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QO1! trade ideas

Gold Futures ($GC1!) — US Session Setup: Bearish Retest from 618🟡 Gold Futures ( COMEX:GC1! ) — US Session Setup: Bearish Retest from 0.618 Fib in Bullish Breakout Context ⏳ Pre-US Session Playbook We're currently watching Gold Futures ( COMEX:GC1! ) for a potential short opportunity into the US session open. While the broader structure has broken bullish, we're anticipating a bearish retest scenario from a key Fibonacci level — aligning cleanly with last week’s breakout structure. No positions have been taken yet — we are setting up for the US session — and are closely monitoring price action near the 0.618 retracement zone before committing. 📍 Setup Breakdown • 0.618 Fib Retracement from the last bearish impulse aligns with: ○ Recent volume shelf resistance ○ Retest zone from prior breakout ○ An overextended local push into thin volume above 3380 • Bullish Context: ○ HTF breakout from descending wedge structure remains valid ○ Macro buyers still in control ○ Upside continuation risk is high if sellers don’t show up • Short Bias Conditions: ○ Rejection or absorption in the 3385–3390 zone ○ Weak follow-through above 0.618 (failed breakout scenario) ○ Breakdown of LTF higher low structure post-test 🧠 Strategy Commentary Although we’re in bullish breakout mode, this is a tactical short setup — a fade into prior structure with clear invalidation. We're not fighting trend, but looking to short into exhaustion at a defined level, with tight risk parameters. Confluence Factors: • 0.618 fib alignment • VRVP volume shelf • Prior breakout structure retest • LTF divergence or absorption confirming the fade 🎯 Trade Parameters (Planned) • Entry Zone: ~3385–3390 • Stop Loss: Tight, 3395–3400 • Target Zone: 3342–3337 (full structure retest) 📌 Patience is key — this remains a setup until confirmed. We'll post live if and when conditions are met. Let the market come to you.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by JoshuaDanford
Gold’s Got Commitment Issues, Short the GhostingWe’ve reached a premium zone, tagged prior Buy-to-Sell Liquidity (BTL) above 3,778, and filled a local imbalance. With structure breaking above the previous bearish trend line but reacting to a liquidity zone, we are anticipating a rejection and retracement during the Tokyo and London sessions before NY opens. Thesis: Trendline Structure Clean break above the bearish structure; price is testing the zone where buyers may exhaust. Rejected cleanly from the Sell-Side Liquidity box between 3,775–3,780, suggesting seller presence. Key Imbalances Major Order Flow Imbalance at 3,760 already tapped and showing reaction. Further downside liquidity targets resting in imbalance zones 3,715 and 3,685, offering high RR plays. Market Context Price flipped bullish into NY last week but overextended into a thin volume zone. This leaves us with a high probability of a retrace to retest deeper imbalances and prior demand structure. Macro levels like PDH (3,782) and PDL (3,322) give us range clarity. Now let's get into the execution. Execution Plan Entry Zone - 3,775.50–3,780.00 (confirmed reaction) TP1 - 3,760 (imbalance fill) TP2 - 3,743 (prior OF zone) SL - Above 3,783 Trade Logic - Enter short post-Tokyo if price retests 3,775–3,780 with rejection candle on LTF (5–15min). Confirm with volume divergence or weak delta. Risk Context Avoid chasing price, NY open tends to offer better fills. Watch the 3,743–3,715 zone. Strong demand may react here into NY. If price reclaims 3,783, invalidate short bias and reassess. Notes Liquidity Grab has already occurred on the upside. Watch for Order Flow Absorption between 3,760–3,765. Tokyo volume is often deceptive do not overcommit early. Look for a full 1:3 setup and scale partials at TP1. If you followed this plan, how did your entry go? Did your execution align with the bias? Drop your screenshots, tag me, or reply with your play-by-play always keen to sharpen my edge.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by stakkd
GOLD - GC | Weekly Recap & Plan 13.07.2025🟡 GOLD (GC) Weekly Recap & Outlook Symbol: GC1! Date: Week of July 8–12, 2025 Timeframes Used: 4H, Daily, Weekly, HTF structure 🔍 What Happened Last Week? Gold saw a strong rejection from a confluence of two HTF trendlines, signaling resistance. But that move was absorbed by: 🟦 Daily Demand (blue zone) 🔵 Daily Swing Liquidity (blue line) This builds a bullish structure on the daily chart. 🧭 Scenarios I'm Watching Scenario 1 — Minor Pullback: 🔹 Price may revisit the Daily Gap (pink line) and find support for continuation. Scenario 2 — Deeper Pullback: 🟣 Price could retrace into the HTF bullish trendline (purple) before resuming upside. 🗞️ Bonus Macro Scenario: Powell Resignation? There are growing rumors that Fed Chair Powell might resign this week. 📈 If that happens, I expect strong bullish momentum in Gold — → very limited retracement, and → potential straight breakout into new highs. 🎯 Targets for the Week: ✅ 1st Target: W C DOL (purple line) → acts as a primary take profit area. ✅ 2nd Target (Expansion): EQHs / DOL (extended purple levels) Game Plan: Watch for LTF confirmation on both retracement zones. Maintain bullish bias unless Daily Demand fails. If Powell resigns, be ready for breakout setups.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Performance Audit GC Precision Week (W/E July 11, 2025)This week’s operations focused solely on GC (Gold Futures) with a disciplined structure-first model. Only five trades were executed — all pre-validated, rule-based, and logged. The result: +6.8% portfolio gain, a controlled 1R max risk profile, and no strategy deviation. No forecasts. No overtrading. Only defined setups and asymmetric execution. Staakd isn’t about high-frequency noise it’s about data-driven decisions, edge alignment, and position sizing that compounds over time. Weekly Summary Trades Taken 5 Wins 4 Losses 1 Win Rate 80% Avg R/R Ratio 2.1:1 Net R Gained +6.4R Portfolio Growth +6.8% Max Drawdown (in-session). < 1R Strategy Deviation 0% Overtrading Incidents 0 Context: Most professional day traders target 1–3% per week. Prop firms often expect 8–10% per month. A +6.8% weekly gain, on just 5 trades with strict risk control, reflects not just profitability — but edge, structure, and execution precision. Systems Deployed ORB Breakout Model — NY Open-based volatility extension Pre-Market Liquidity Sweep Model — Asia Close setups Supply/Demand with Imbalance Filtering Session Volatility Overlay — Trade windows confined to high-probability timeframes All positions were triggered only after full multi-signal confirmation: ▫️ HTF structure validation ▫️ Liquidity mapping ▫️ FVG/inefficiency alignment ▫️ Volume + time-of-day confluence No trades taken outside predefined protocols. No scalping. No overrides. Trade Validity Scoring Entry Logic Precision 91.6% Setup Integrity 100% SL Discipline 100% Journal Compliance 100% Emotional Bias Detected 0% The one loss was structurally valid, aligned with bias, and managed with precision. Losses don’t damage equity emotional errors do. None occurred. Next Week Model Update Asset Focus: GC (Gold Futures) remains primary Schedule: Monday–Thursday only (Friday excluded for edge decay) Sessions: NY Open and Asia Close exclusively Setup Preference: Structure > Imbalance > Sweep Trade Limit: 1 per session max Bias: Continue compounding gains through mechanical execution Why Follow Staakd? If you’re tracking setups like a quant not a gambler and you value transparency, discipline, and systems over hype: @stakkd on TradingView Every move is structured. Every result is tracked. No guesswork. Just edge.
COMEX:GC1!
by stakkd
GOLD - Lovers Elliott wave - looking strong Short/Medium termGOLD-----Daily counts indicate Excellent bullish wave structure. Both appear to be optimistic and this stock invalidation number (S L) wave 2 low target short / long term are already shared as per charts correction wave leg seems completed (C) Investing in declines is a smart move for short/ long-term players. Buy in DIPS recommended Long-term investors prepare for strong returns over the next two to five years. one of best counter Every graphic used to comprehend & LEARN & understand the theory of Elliot waves, Harmonic waves, Gann Theory, and Time theory Every chart is for educational purposes. We have no accountability for your profit or loss.
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by wavesmonk
Gold - Watching for Trendline Retest Gold has shown a significant breakout from a recent downtrend resistance line on the 4-hour chart. The price action suggests a shift in momentum, but a potential retest of the broken trendline offers a high-probability entry point. Technical Analysis: Trendline Breakout Confirmed: The provided chart clearly shows XAUUSD breaking above a descending trendline that has defined the recent short-term consolidation/downtrend. This breakout indicates a potential resumption of bullish momentum or the end of the consolidation phase. Immediate Resistance: The price has encountered resistance near the area of the previous daily high (PDH) or a local swing high around 3,376.6. This level will be the immediate target for buyers if the breakout holds. Potential Retest Zone: A common occurrence after a trendline breakout is a "retest" of the broken resistance level, which now acts as support. The trendline itself and the immediate support levels identified on the chart (e.g., 3,335.8 to 3,316.6) form a potential retest zone. Trade Idea & Strategy: The primary trade idea is to wait for a technical confirmation of the breakout by observing a retest of the broken trendline. Entry Strategy (Bullish Confirmation): Wait for the price to pull back towards the broken trendline (approximately 3,330 to 3,345 area, depending on the exact slope). Look for bullish reversal signals (e.g., candlestick patterns like hammers, engulfing patterns, or significant buying volume) at the trendline support. Enter a long position upon confirmation of support at the retest zone. Potential Target 1: The recent swing high/PDH area around 3,376.6. Potential Target 2: If Target 1 is cleared, the high of 3,476.0 (or previous major resistance levels). Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the low of the retest candle or below the significant support area (e.g., below 3,300), invalidating the bullish setup. Alternative Scenario (Bearish Rejection): If the price fails to hold the trendline support during the retest and decisively breaks back below it, the breakout may be considered a false breakout. In this scenario, the market could revert to the previous downtrend structure. Disclaimer: This is an analysis for educational purposes and is not financial advice. Always perform your own research and risk analysis before trading.
COMEX_MINI:MGCQ2025Long
by rassen21
NY Open PlaybookGold is extended heading into NY, but structure is clean and bullish. We’re sitting above PDH and holding a reclaimed supply zone. If $3,364 holds, we expect continuation toward $3,384–$3,390. If NY rejects at the top, watch for a clean reversion to $3,346 and possibly lower. Key decision level is $3,364. Key Levels PDH - $3,359 Previous day high (currently holding above) PDL - $3,310 Previous day low Displaced HVRA - $3,346 – $3,350 Reclaimed supply → demand (buy zone) FR Demand Block - $3,324 – $3,335 Fair range support if trend fails Primary HVRA - $3,372 – $3,384 Main target / short trigger zone ATE Extension - $3,390+ Final bullish extension target Bullish Scenarios (b]Reactive Long Entry: $3,346 – $3,350 SL: $3,343 (aggressive) or $3,339 (safe) TP1: $3,364 TP2: $3,372 TP3: $3,384 Momentum Breakout Long Trigger: Break + hold above $3,364 SL: $3,358 TP1: $3,372 TP2: $3,384 TP3: $3,390+ Bearish Scenario Rejection Short Entry: $3,372 – $3,384 (on wick/failure) SL: $3,390 TP1: $3,358 TP2: $3,346 TP3: $3,335 Direction is binary at $3,364. Whether we rotate down or extend up, both plays are valid execute with discipline, not bias.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by stakkd
Gold vs UNI – Is UNI in the Early Stages of AccumulationThis comparison between Gold (MGC1!) and Uniswap (UNIUSDT) on the weekly timeframe suggests that UNI could be in Phase 1 of a buy program, similar to how gold accumulated before its major breakout. 📌 Key Observations in the Chart Comparison: PHASE 1: The Accumulation Zone (Green Highlighted Area) Gold went through a long accumulation period (2013–2017), trading in a sideways range before its parabolic impulse leg kicked in. UNI is currently in a similar consolidation phase, potentially in the early stages of accumulation. The monkey face + pointing emoji suggest a "stealth phase" where most retail traders remain unaware of the underlying accumulation. Old High & Market Structure Gold formed a major high, crashed, and accumulated before breaking out. UNI also reached an all-time high (~$44), crashed, and is now ranging in what looks like a potential accumulation phase. Similar structural formation suggests UNI could be following gold’s footsteps. Impulse Leg & Breakout Potential Gold’s first major breakout came after a long accumulation, followed by a massive impulse move (Phase 2). If UNI is mirroring gold, the next breakout could start the impulse leg leading to a retest of old highs and beyond. Standard Deviation Extensions (STDVN) – Potential Price Targets Gold reached 0.5 and 1 STDVN levels after its breakout, which became short-term targets before continuation. If UNI follows a similar trajectory, targets could be $44.77, $64.98, and eventually $85+ if the accumulation plays out. 🔮 What This Means for UNI? Early accumulation phase means the smart money is likely positioning. Price compression leads to expansion—UNI could be preparing for an explosive move. Similar to gold, UNI could break above accumulation and enter Phase 2, targeting 0.5 and 1 STDVN levels. If UNI truly follows gold’s structure, long-term price discovery is on the table. 🚨 Lord MEDZ Trading Perspective "Not financial advice, but let’s keep it real…" Gold showed the exact same pattern before making a historic move. UNI is mirroring the early accumulation phase. This is the shakeout before the breakout. Smart money is accumulating while retail panics. Patience = Wealth. Stay ahead of the crowd. 🚀 UNI could be setting up for something massive. 🚀
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by Skinwah
Gold Trade Setup – Watching the BreakoutGold Trade Setup – Watching the Breakout Gold is currently consolidating between $3,200 and $3,500, with price action now pressing against a descending resistance line that has triggered multiple rejections in the past. We’re approaching a key decision point. I'm favoring the upside in this setup — the momentum and structure suggest a potential breakout — but I fully recognize the downside potential and want to be prepared for both scenarios. Tight risk controls are key here. Here’s how I’m positioned: • Long Entry: Around $3,333 - Stop Loss: $3,330 - Target: $3,363 (looking for this level to be reached by end of day) • Short Entry: Around $3,336 - Stop Loss: $3,340 - Take Profit: $3,303 The structure could resolve sharply in either direction, so I’m staying nimble and reactive.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by JoshuaDanford
Gold Potential Bullish Break Showcasing Loxx's HandiworkNo surprise that bullish momentum is clearly evident on the Monthly & Weekly time frames with Higher timeframe hulls sloping on the M W D charts What is interesting is how Loxx's PAARSX indicator, on the daily timeframe, clearly shows a dark blue cycle downwards while price consolidates (yellow boxes under the price action) providing us with hidden bullish divergence and another potential breakout very similar to the previous 2 ledge and wedge patterns. Adaptive-Lookback Stochastic Top & Stochastic of Two-Pole SuperSmoother Bottom show some solid daily historical entries. I can only imagine the 4 hour chart entries look just as profitable and enticing This trader will be going long soon
COMEX:GC1!Long
by TransitMan
Compression Structure at Key Inflection PointDescription: GC is currently trading within a high-probability inflection zone defined by confluence between structural demand, a well-defined fair value gap, and multi-timeframe descending trend line resistance. The asset is compressing between key volume thresholds and macro trend lines, presenting a binary scenario with favourable asymmetry in either direction. Context & Market Structure Chart Basis: 4H Instruments Used: GC1! (COMEX Gold August 2025 Futures) 20 & 50 EMA for short-term dynamic structure Manual markups: S/D zones, FVGs, trendlines Session Data: NY session highs/lows (previous day) Key Technical Elements Descending Trendline (Macro): Initiated from swing high on July 5th, currently acting as dynamic resistance. Confirmed via 3+ touchpoints. Linear regression indicates slope remains intact. Rising Trend line (Structural Support): Originates from June 26th low supporting current bullish attempts. Intersection with demand and session low adds weight to this level. Demand Zone (3280–3286): Structurally valid with absorption wicks and bullish reaction. Volume clusters indicate localized buyer interest. Rejecting this zone twice already. Fair Value Gap (FVG) (3297–3304): Formed post-impulsive leg. Statistically, ~78% of FVGs in gold futures are filled within 2 sessions when no continuation candle follows which is the current setup. Supply Zone (3314–3318): Defined from previous consolidation pre-selloff. Aligns with ORB high + unfilled inefficiency, creating layered resistance. Previous NY Session Levels: High: 3310.0 Low: 3277.5 Price trading midpoint of this range increased probability of expansion after compression. Scenario Mapping Bullish Scenario: Trigger: Break and 15-min hold above 3305 Validation: Acceptance into FVG zone + reclaim of previous session high Target: 3316–3320 (supply zone + inefficiency fill) Extended Target: 3334 swing high (mean reversion area) Bearish Scenario: Trigger: Breakdown below 3277.5 session low Validation: Failure to reclaim demand zone; increased volume on breakdown Target: 3250 (local HVN & previous accumulation node) Extended Target: 3227 structural low (trend continuation) Bias Model: Volatility Compression: 3-day ATR declining; tightening range. Mean Reversion Probability (MPR): 58% if price returns to mid-FVG before rejection. Expansion Probability (EXP): 64% post-session high/low sweep. Trend Alignment Bias: Bearish until > 3305 is sustained. Below 3280, short bias accelerates. Summary: GC1! is currently in compression between confirmed demand and a clean FVG/supply stack, with trend lines boxing in price from both directions. A breakout from this tri-zone structure is statistically likely in the next session. I remain neutral-biased with actionable directional triggers above 3305 or below 3277. Not a market to guess, wait for confirmation. High-quality setups require patience at the edge of structure. Staakd Rating: ★★★★☆ (4.6/5)
COMEX:GC1!
by stakkd
Gold LongsSolid daily structure for Gold heading into the holiday weekend. Bullish going into next week if price closes bullish on the week. Daily discount SSL swept and closed back inside the range on Monday. Daily OB confirmed on Tuesday. FVG created and inversion fvg confirmed on Wednesday. Anticipating Thursday to possibly pull back and offer a prime continuation to the upside. I'd like to see the inversion be respected. Price can wick into the BISI but I don't want to see price close below the BISI. That's a red flag. Targeting Equal Highs.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by CEOTraders