Volume Surge in SILVER Futures!!How the Demand in Silver came from sub 100 contracts to over 400k contracts on weekly basis in last few months. What is ahead is what volume speaks. Longby pavan060610Published 113
Head & Shoulder Breakout in Silver.Silver is ready to rocket. After giving a gap up breakout of H&S pattern Silver Fut is looking superb for a new record high. We should see silver around 1,11,000 by Diwali. Longby Shorabh_JainPublished 111
Dont Buy Silver Here; Watch Gold/Silver RatioSilver has been mostly sideways since 2021 and till 2024, when metal clearly formed a corrective price action because of choppy and overlapping moves. Ideally, that was a very big triangle that sent prices sharply higher this year as shown on weekly chart below. We have seen some nice turn up, due to inflation hedge, CB easing and geopolitical tensions. In fact, we can see some volatility in last few weeks with sharp move out of a big contracting range; its an impulsive reaction since price broke above $25, but notice that price now trades $34-37 area as expected; marked as potential resistance zone identified by swing highs from 2012, 2013, and Fibonacci levels. The reason why we should be aware of a resistance on silver and also gold, is gold/silver ratio (XAUSD/XAGUSD ), which is pointing higher after an A-B-C corrective setback. Based on past correlations, bullish gold/silver ratio is usually bearish for metals, so if ratio start moving higher, then watch out for a limited upside on silver. From an Elliott wave perspective this push higher on XAUSD/XAGUSD chart would deffinitely not be a surprise because of bullish pattern. If someone wants to join uptrends on gold and silver, then due to the reasons described above, it may not be a bad idea to wait on some pullback first. $30 can be an interesting levels in such case.by ew-forecastPublished 4
Silver Soars amid China’s Stimulus and Investment DemandSilver’s dual role in both investment and industry makes it highly sensitive to economic slowdowns but also well-positioned to thrive during periods of strong growth. Silver prices have surged 30% year-to-date, driven by a fourth consecutive year of supply deficit, soaring demand from the expanding photovoltaic (PV) industry, and spillover momentum from gold, which has also risen about 30% this year. However, unlike gold, silver remains well below its 2011 peak of USD 50/oz. With bullish sentiment building, the question remains—could silver catch up with gold’s blistering performance? CHINA’s STIMULUS SUPPORTS SILVER China’s broad stimulus announcement supports a bullish view on silver. The announcement of the massive stimulus package in China drove a 4% rally in silver prices. However, since then, further announcements have failed to drive a similar rally in silver. The scale of the stimulus package was the largest since the pandemic. The stimulus package included a 50 basis point cut in the Reserve Ratio Requirement for Chinese banks which is expected to free up about 1 trillion yuan of liquidity. The stimulus package also included a 20 basis point cut to the 7-day repo rate, as well as a 30 basis point cut to the medium-term lending facility. Over the past weekend, China announced additional broad stimulus measures, signalling a “significant increase” in debt. While the exact scale of new debt issuance remains uncertain, the scope and tone of the announcement reflect the government’s commitment to delivering sufficient monetary support to revive the struggling economy. The stimulus package benefits silver through multiple channels. It bolsters industrial demand by driving increased activity from PV and electronics manufacturers. Additionally, improved consumer sentiment is likely to boost silver consumption in the form of jewellery and electronics. RUSSIA TO INCLUDE SILVER IN PRECIOUS METALS STRATEGY According to a report by InterFax , the Russian Finance Ministry is considering adding silver to its State Fund's precious metal holdings. Although the volume of potential acquisitions remains unclear, this move represents a new source of demand for silver. PV PRODUCTION AND INSTALLATIONS REMAIN STRONG PV production continues to thrive, boosting silver demand. Data from Ember Climate shows that global solar installations are 29% higher than last year. This growth has remained steady throughout the year, with several agencies, including the IEA and S&P Global, continuously raising their forecasts for annual installations in recent months. Source: Ember Climate The growth slowdown observed in China last April has since reversed, with solar additions rising sharply and projected to close the year 28% higher year-over-year. The easing of installation curbs in June played a key role in supporting this renewed growth. Source: Ember Climate MASSIVE ETF INFLOWS SINCE JULY Silver ETFs have experienced significant inflows in recent months, indicating strong investor interest. Since July 1, cumulative flows into four U.S.-listed silver ETFs have reached USD 942 million. Notably, over USD 400 million flowed in following the Fed’s first rate cut in September. A lower interest rate environment encourages investment in non-yielding assets like silver and boosts industrial demand. COMEX SILVER OPTIONS SIGNAL BULLISH SENTIMENT Source: CME QuikStrike COMEX Silver Options positioning suggests a strong bullish sentiment. Overall OI put/call ratio is at 0.52 suggesting nearly twice as many calls as puts. Options skew points to higher IV for calls relative to puts suggesting higher demand. Moreover, bullish positioning has only increased since the disappointing announcement by the National Development and Reform Council (NDRC), China’s top economic planner, on 8/Oct with a large call buildup on the December expiry. Source: CME QuikStrike SEASONALITY POINTS TO BULLISH OCTOBER Seasonality in silver prices since 2015 suggests a bullish outlook for October. 78% of the time, the month has returned positive returns for silver with an average increase of 1.7% and a low standard deviation of returns. The outlook is even more bullish for December which has yielded a 4% gain on average. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP The fundamental outlook for silver remains bullish with support from China’s stimulus package, central bank interest, sustained PV demand, and ETF inflows. Silver prices have remained in an uptrend year to date due to the convergence of these factors. However, prices have struggled to cross past USD 33/oz, with this level acting as a strong resistance. Prices have retraced sharply from near this level thrice this year. The most recent reversal came after China’s stimulus announcement. Investors can express a bullish view on Silver using CME Micro Silver futures. Each Micro Silver futures contract provides exposure to 1000 troy ounces (1/5th the size of a full silver futures contract) and requires margin of USD 2,300 as of 14/Oct. A hypothetical trade setup using CME Micro Silver futures expiring in December offering a reward to risk ratio of 1.67x is described below: Entry: 31.595 Target: 33.66 Stop Loss: 30.36 Profit at Target: USD 2,065 ( (33.66 – 31.595) x 1000) Loss at Stop: USD 1,235 ( (30.36 – 31.595) x 1000) Reward to risk: 1.67x MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description. Longby mintdotfinancePublished 228
Cycles and Sentiment may no Longer Matter - SilverWatch video for more detail on the trajectory for silver's next move EDIT: in the video I said "convert unleveraged to leveraged" I mean to say take profit on leveraged positions and convert to unleveraged accordingly depending on how quickly we approach 35-40Long16:23by Commodity_TA_PlusPublished 1
Silver coming to the Monthly ATH Open tickExpecting silver to pullback it trades to or near 34.74Shortby LotusTrading20Published 1
Gold & Silver Ripping Higher. Should You Be Cautious Of A CrashThis video highlights the recent rally in Gold and Silver and covers some basic information related to the risk of a US/Global market crash event. Take a minute to try to understand why Gold & Silver are rallying away from the Breakaway phase and into the Expansion phase. This is a huge opportunity for traders if they understand why Gold and Silver are rallying like they are. This is not a move of Panic and global market contagion. This move is related to metals being extremely undervalued compared to global market risk factors. Metals must appreciate in order to properly reflect the risks related to the global markets. Gold may rally well above $5500 and Silver may rally well above $65 before the end of 2026. Are you ready for that move? Pay attention & Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold Long08:58by BradMathenyPublished 7
SILVER WEEKLY ALERTSILVER WEEKLY ALERT After sharp corrective pullback yesterday, silver bounced back to trade around 34.40. Price is currently in wave 3 targeting 35.35 to 35.55 area initially. After wave 3 is completed we may see a sharp corrective pullback that is WAVE 4 targeting 32.40 to 32.90 area. Wave 5 will then target the final rally towards 36.12 area.Longby mohsinhassan242Published 5
SILVER MCXSilver MCX - Current Trend Lines Support & Resistance level & Zone for Silver - MCX to watch out for as per 15min chart. by lkcjain36551Published 2
SILVER | XAGUSD Weekly Outlook Oct 21st: Wait For BUYS!This weekly forecast is for Oct 21 - 25th. After closing last week with a strong bullish candle, the week ahead maintains a bullish bias. Be mindful of a short term pullback this week, as price tends to retrace after breaking swing highs. Just remain patient and wait for valid buy setups in this case. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.Long07:26by RT_MoneyPublished 2
Directional bias for trade filtering on lower TF , or 70 win % Hi there! I’m excited to share a system I’ve developed called 'Zones.' These zones offer a directional bias, helping predict where price is likely to move next with a current follow-through rate of 70%. In other words, if the price exits one of the orange zones, there’s a 70% chance it will reach the next orange zone, at least touching the boundary, rather than reversing back and closing within the previous zone. You can trade these zones directly for a 70% win rate, or use them as a directional bias to complement your existing strategy on a 1-minute or 5-minute chart (which I highly recommend). Important note: When the price briefly exits a zone but doesn’t close outside it, this is not considered a valid exit — we call this a "spike" or wick. For the 70% win rate to apply, the price must close outside the zone. These zones are the result of years of research, experimental machine learning development, and collaboration with colleagues who have decades of experience in physics. And the best part? I’m offering them completely free. The real challenge isn’t just following a system with a 70% win rate — it’s whether you can overcome your own psychology and avoid sabotaging your success. If you had a winning strategy, what’s really stopping you from being consistently profitable? Often, the answer is ourselves. My zones are built on theoretical thermodynamics and mathematical proofs that help predict the likely trajectory of a system, similar to particle movement in physics. Keep in mind, the orange zone line represents an unpredictable area — while the price often touches the line, there are instances where it may not reach it. Due to the inherent limitations of modern physics, this zone remains an unsolvable area, adding a layer of uncertainty to the system. I promise, none of the paid indicators, whether it’s LuxAlgo or anything from a Pine Wizard or trading “guru,” can match the accuracy of these zones. But don’t take my word for it — try them for yourself and see the results!by user2839409Published 1
Silver downside continuation?Will we see downside continuation in Silver? Platinum broke it's trend with force this session, foreshadowing Silver's drop. If support is found and maintained in the current marked areas, we may see consolidation and stability in price. However, if the obvious trend continues, Silver may want to tag the prices marked below. Gold was choppier than it's metal cousins, but has also seen a steep decline in London trading hours. This is NOT trade advice, simply my observations. Have a nice weekend by The_LionessPublished 1
Silvers look bullishseems silver preparing for a good move ahead....after retracement it again started the move removing the weaker handsby nj1980Published 4
SILVER HUGE BREAKOUT!!! Long and Strong NASDAQ:XAG Silver has broken above key resistance level. Any retrace towards mid $32's is a buy although we might not even get such a retrace... its looking extremely bullish right now. Longby ZelfTradePublished 4
The Power of TrendinesA comprehensive review of the multi-year cycle lows in the precious metals complex Long09:27by Commodity_TA_PlusPublished 2
Directional bias for trade filtering on lower TF , or 70 win %Hi there! I’m excited to share a system I’ve developed called 'Zones.' These zones offer a directional bias, helping predict where price is likely to move next with a current follow-through rate of 70%. In other words, if the price exits one of the orange zones, there’s a 70% chance it will reach the next orange zone, at least touching the boundary, rather than reversing back and closing within the previous zone. You can trade these zones directly for a 70% win rate, or use them as a directional bias to complement your existing strategy on a 1-minute or 5-minute chart (which I highly recommend). Important note: When the price briefly exits a zone but doesn’t close outside it, this is not considered a valid exit — we call this a "spike" or wick. For the 70% win rate to apply, the price must close outside the zone. These zones are the result of years of research, experimental machine learning development, and collaboration with colleagues who have decades of experience in physics. And the best part? I’m offering them completely free. The real challenge isn’t just following a system with a 70% win rate — it’s whether you can overcome your own psychology and avoid sabotaging your success. If you had a winning strategy, what’s really stopping you from being consistently profitable? Often, the answer is ourselves. My zones are built on theoretical thermodynamics and mathematical proofs that help predict the likely trajectory of a system, similar to particle movement in physics. Keep in mind, the orange zone line represents an unpredictable area — while the price often touches the line, there are instances where it may not reach it. Due to the inherent limitations of modern physics, this zone remains an unsolvable area, adding a layer of uncertainty to the system. I promise, none of the paid indicators, whether it’s LuxAlgo or anything from a Pine Wizard or trading “guru,” can match the accuracy of these zones. But don’t take my word for it — try them for yourself and see the results! by user2839409Published 0
Forecasting potential profit taking opportunities silver 7 to 9% Forecasting potential profit-taking opportunities in silver ranging from 7% to 9% SILVER, a prominent commodity, is currently on a notable upward trajectory, reaching its highest levels Since 2012. Today's spot cash price for silver surged to $34.853, while December futures are closely aligned at $35.065, signalling robust market performance and strong investor demand. The silver market's future direction depends on several factors, including inflation trends, interest rates, industrial demand, and geopolitical tensions. While there is potential for further price increases if inflation remains high and demand for silver in industries like renewable energy and electronics grows, a sudden rise in interest rates or a shift in investor sentiment could lead to a correction, potentially causing the current silver bubble to burst. Since January 2024, silver prices have exhibited an impressive surge of nearly 60%, capturing the attention of traders and analysts alike with its remarkable upward momentum. Several key factors are driving the recent surge in silver prices: 1. Inflation Hedge: As inflationary pressures increase, many investors turn to silver as a safe haven to preserve wealth, much like gold. This demand boosts its price. 2. Weaker Dollar: A depreciating U.S. dollar tends to make commodities like silver more attractive to foreign buyers, driving up demand and prices. 3. Industrial Demand: Silver has significant industrial applications, particularly in electronics, solar panels, and the renewable energy sector. As these industries grow, so does the demand for silver. 4. Supply Constraints: Disruptions in mining operations due to environmental regulations, labour shortages, or geopolitical issues can limit silver supply, contributing to price increases. 5. Speculative Buying: Market speculation and increased interest from retail investors, fuelled by market sentiment or expectations of future shortages, often lead to sharp price movements. 6. Geopolitical Uncertainty: Global economic and political tensions, such as trade wars or conflicts, often lead to higher demand for precious metals, including silver, as investors seek safer assets. A strengthening U.S. dollar could trigger profit-taking in hedge funds invested in assets like gold and silver, as these commodities typically have an inverse relationship with the dollar. As the dollar appreciates, the value of these hedge investments tends to decline, prompting investors to lock in gains. If referring to a decline in silver prices, several factors could contribute: 1. Strengthening U.S. Dollar: As silver is priced in dollars, a stronger dollar makes it more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand and putting downward pressure on prices. 2. Rising Interest Rates: Higher interest rates make non-yielding assets like silver less attractive compared to interest-bearing investments, leading to reduced demand for precious metals. 3. Lower Industrial Demand: Since silver has significant industrial uses, a slowdown in sectors like electronics, solar energy, or manufacturing could decrease demand, causing prices to fall. 4. Decreased Inflationary Pressures: If inflation slows or stabilizes, the need for inflation hedges like silver diminishes, leading to lower prices as investors shift to other asset classes. 5. Profit-Taking by Investors: After a significant rally, some investors may engage in profit-taking, selling off their silver holdings, which can lead to short-term price declines. 6. Improving Economic Conditions: In times of economic recovery, risk appetite increases, and investors may move away from safe-haven assets like silver toward equities and other higher-yielding investments, reducing silver demand. These factors, individually or collectively, could trigger a decline in silver prices. These are just a few potential factors that could lead to a decline or crash in silver prices. If profit-taking occurs, it may indicate a shift in investor sentiment, exerting downward pressure not only on silver but also on other precious metals like gold, as market participants adjust their positions across the metals sector. Based on my analysis, the gold-to-silver ratio and profit-taking in hedge funds will play a significant role in driving down silver prices. Given these factors, there is a strong likelihood of a substantial decline in silver prices, making this an opportune moment to trade and sell large positions in silver. Intraday and Short-Term Trading Strategies for Spot Silver (XAGUSD) Given recent market conditions, spot silver (XAGUSD) reached a peak of $34.853 during the morning Asian session, offering a potential entry point for traders. Should profit-taking occur and prices continue to decline, key downside targets include $33.772, yesterday’s low. A break below this level could lead to a test of last Friday’s low at $31.655, with further declines potentially reaching $30.752, the low from October 15. A drop below this level would signal a significant downtrend, with the next support around $30.114, the October 8 low. MCX December silver futures reached an all-time high of ₹1,00,081 per 30 kilos today, presenting a key entry point for traders. Potential downside targets include ₹97,715, yesterday's low. A breach of this level could lead to a test of Monday's low at ₹96,506. If prices fall further, they may approach the 100-day moving average at ₹94,309. A decline below this point would indicate a significant downtrend, with the next support level at ₹91,995, the October 18 low. Holding Period – Maximum 5/7 weeks Considering the convergence of factors such as market trends, demand shifts, gold-to-silver ratio forecasts, and anticipated profit-taking by hedge funds from elevated levels, a projected decline in silver prices of at least minimum 7% to a maximum of 9% from recent record highs is expected in the coming days. Conclusion As a research analyst with decades of experience, successfully navigating the complexities of financial markets demands a deep understanding of the various factors at play. While hedge funds focusing on gold and silver may offer stability amidst geopolitical uncertainties, the shifting policies of central banks and fluctuating economic data introduce significant volatility. Investors must proceed with caution, equipped with knowledge and a strategic mindset, to effectively weather the challenges and capitalize on opportunities within this dynamic landscape. Shortby sebihirengarasondiaPublished 1
SILVER READY FOR 120000 LEVELMCX:SILVER1! trade at 99000 level. You can watch for a huge upside move upto 120000 level...Longby thecapitalmarketsPublished 2
silver: a long road aheadI think: the long-term goal can reach 53, but we need to study carefully, because silver is also an industrial material, a commodity. Silver: - is building a price base 2 with a target of 44. -At the end of the previous 20 year bull cycle, a 10 year bull cycle follows to create a set of 30 year cycles.Longby tienlucPublished 0
SILVER Rockets Beyond All Targets – 6,000 Points Secured!SILVER Futures (15m time frame), Long Trade Entry: ₹92,508 Current Price: ₹98,451 All Targets Hit! Key Levels: Entry: ₹92,508 – Positioned after a clear bullish breakout from consolidation, following a strong uptrend. Stop-Loss (SL): ₹91,769 – Placed below recent support to manage risk in case of a reversal. Take Profit 1 (TP1): ₹93,420 – Already hit, confirming momentum continuation. Take Profit 2 (TP2): ₹94,896 – Successfully reached, indicating a sustained buying interest. Take Profit 3 (TP3): ₹96,373 – Achieved, reinforcing the trend strength. Take Profit 4 (TP4): ₹97,285 – All targets met, signaling a powerful bullish surge. Trend Analysis: The price movement stayed well above the Risological Dotted Trendline, indicating strong bullish momentum. Each take profit level was hit, showcasing a clear uptrend without significant pullbacks. The long entry capitalized on a breakout of consolidation with growing volumes. The continuation of higher highs confirms that buying pressure remains strong, allowing all targets to be comfortably reached. With the current price significantly above all targets, the trade has yielded excellent returns.Longby ProfitsNinjaPublished 1
Silver Ballistic Phase - Give it the Benefit of the DoubtSilver appearing to be in a short squueze. Watch for my opinion Long11:17by Commodity_TA_PlusPublished 0
Today was "THEE" tell-Silver's Artificial Price Cap IneffectiveAfter a 2 week rally in the DXY, silver, and even more so, gold price were nearly unaffected. As i suspected last night, mild weakness in the DXY could trigger a massive move in silver - this suggests the artificial suppression of the metal via the futures market is being overwhelmed by worldwide physical purchases, likely leading to a short squeeze if my prediction played out. Follow through on Monday will likely confirm this and is a huge bullish signal. After just a 1/3 of a percent drop in the DXY as it hit its head on the 200DMA, bullion banks could not touch silver, suggesting a failed attempt to suppress price and potential short squeeze underway. I am looking for 40$ silver within the next 3 weeks of a DXY decline, possibly into a left translated DCL Please watch for more detailsLong07:42by Commodity_TA_PlusPublished 0
DXY Getting Rady to Roll Over-The Cartel Has its Hands FullAs the dollar will start to make its next move down expect a big rally from precious metals Watch for detail Long03:07by Commodity_TA_PlusPublished 0