Dr Copper ~ Snapshot TA / Contraction x Expansion = InflectionIt ain't easy being DR CAPITALCOM:COPPER
Peaked in March 2022, only to crash -38% & bottomed-out in July 2022.
Since then it has fluctuated between Contraction (will Global Economy collapse?) versus Expansion (will Global Economy recover?), while also contending with outlook of China's Economy, yeesh lol.
Copper's price action has also been compressing, as descending trend-line squeezes current Trading Range against ascending Parallel Channel.
This suggests momentum will eventually need to "pop" in either direction...but it could also continue trading sideways a little longer while more data is disseminated by Market Makers to make a confident decision, TBC.
Tick tock, time is running out for the Doctor..
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AMEX:COPX AMEX:CPER COMEX:HG1! COMEX:HG2!
COPPER trade ideas
COPPERHi,,,,GUYS look at my last speech on copper :https://www.tradingview.com/chart/COPPER/Ng01HLRj-COPPER/
always there is opportunity in market we lost some money on copper short but now we obtain huge again from copper long .....now you can close your long position ....and take your profit off the table ...
Good luck
#COPPER Weekly Chart Trend Line TestDOC COPPER Weekly Chart Trend Line Test. Guess who was the legendary trader that said this?
"Copper is a very sensitive barometer of the business cycle. It is the first metal to feel the pulse of trade. When copper goes up, it is a sign that business is improving. When copper goes down, it is a sign that business is declining."
COPPERHi guys as i have said we closed our long copper because it confirmed below 3.88.
we should accept our loss and prepare ourself for another position.......you cant always take profit from market that is the nature of the beast......
look at my chart and high potential zones for retrace are remarked.......continue your path.
Good luck
Copper pullback brings potential buying opportunityCopper has been heading lower over the course of this week thus far, with a more fearful market environment bringing dollar strength and weakness for this key metal. Dr Copper is typically seen as a key gauge of global economic strength, but it is also inversely correlated with the dollar. That means that it can also experience selling pressure on strong data if markets perceive that as being a negative in terms of the implications for monetary policy.
For the long-term perspective, demand for Copper is likely to gain traction as the Chinese recovery takes shape and EV demand drives the commodity higher yet. Nonetheless, for now we are likely to see near-term movement based on risk attitudes. The pullback in to trendline and 76.4% Fibonacci support has brought about a potential bullish reversal play. A decline through trendline and $3.7875 support would signal a potential bearish breakdown from here. Until then, the bulls look like they could come back into prominence once again here.
Chinese PMI might send copper down.Here's how Chinese PMI can influence copper prices:
Strong PMI (above 50): A higher PMI reading indicates a growing manufacturing sector, which is a positive sign for copper demand. As manufacturing activities increase, so does the need for copper, as it is an essential material used in various industries, including construction, electronics, and infrastructure. This higher demand for copper can drive up prices.
Weak PMI (below 50): A lower PMI reading suggests a contraction in the manufacturing sector, which can signal reduced copper demand. A slowdown in manufacturing activities can lead to lower consumption of copper, potentially putting downward pressure on copper prices.
The current PMI is below 50, indicating a contraction in economic activity. If the upcoming PMI data also falls below expectations, it could lead to increased volatility in the copper price and potentially create a favorable environment for a short trade.
Copper coming to the end of a wedgeI would hope I breaks UPWARD....but likely this is a continuation pattern to finish another test of the lower boundary. With all the talk of electrification My hopes may be granted....with the equities markets keeping up and rate hikes possibly slowing down UP would be the final breakout...
Copper: Is Dr. Copper showing signs of discontent?A price action below 3.90 supports a bearish trend direction.
Dipped below its 200-day simple moving average.
Further bearish confirmation for a price action below 3.80.
The target price is set at 3.65 (the 200-week simple moving average).
The Stop-loss is set at 4.00.
Failed to break the resistance trendlines through the tops.
copper scenariosCopper has hit an important weekly demand area and then an upward move that has not had strong momentum and has also been weak to the downside. Considering the high and low liquidity, if the high liquidity is established first, the first scenario is proposed, which is the possibility of a pullback in the four-hour supply area and then ascending to higher areas again. And if there is low liquidity in the beginning, we can act according to the second scenario and look for an upward scenario in the area of lower demand.
COPPER: Trigger on 4H with Daily and Weekly analysisWEEKLY:
Starting from a broader view and thus observing the Weekly timeframe in order to have a clearer general idea of the price structure, as also indicated by my custom-made LuBot indicator, we can see on the chart below a change in structure from Bullish to Bearish from the color of the candles in purple.
I've also highlighted 2 numbers with a gray border that indicate for me the number of swings in favor of the current structure. So after the first swing in favor of the bearish structure we see a retracement that leads prices to lean on the Weekly ema21 forming a Reversal candle that closes in the negative. Breaking the low of this last candle would already give us an entry trigger as well as the formation of the second swing in favor of the structure (provided the candle continues in a short direction without making an outside).
DAILY:
Having clear the situation on the Weekly and therefore deciding to favor the triggers in the Short direction, I move to the Daily where I find a Bullish structure in the last few days which leads to the formation of 5 consecutive swings, of which the last 2 swings the maximums stop in the area 3.92 where they find a static resistance as well as the ema200.
From the last maximum, the price begins to fall by reversing its bearish structure as seen by the purple color of the candles (in favor of the Weekly timeframe). We therefore have further confirmations also considering the LuBot Short signal, the LuTrender which becomes negative, the reversal signals and the negative TrendCloud, at this point we are looking for a trigger on the 4H timeframe.
4H:
On the 4H, as can be seen from the main image, right on the current candle, a Short trigger would form when the minimum of the previous candle broke. Here too we have a Short structure in favor of the other timeframes and a Short LuBot signal. Everything coincides.
The stop loss could be placed above the latest 4H highs which would lead prices to a short reversal of the structure and therefore would lead us to re-evaluate the entry later. Or for those who want to avoid risky stops in favor of maintaining the position on a fairly clear trend, they could place the stop loss above the Daily highs and therefore in the 3.97 area.
As regards the Take Profit, it is a bit to be evaluated based on the next movements, but I would say that a target in the 3.71 area is already quite satisfactory.