Polkadot: Low Set!After Polkadot showed its first signs of an uptrend last week, we now consider the green wave (ii) complete. The same-colored wave (iii) should push the price above the resistance at $4.92. However, if the price slips below the support level at $3.61 (35% probability), we would need to place the price in the magenta wave alt.(ii), anticipating a decline into the orange Target Zone between $2.98 and $1.67.
DOTUSD.P trade ideas
DOTUSD Is it really copying ETC's past Cycle?Polkadot (DOTUSD) appears to be following since its 2021 High (All Time High), ETC's previous Cycle of 2018 - 2021. As you can see on this 1W chart, the RSI sequences in particular between the two fractals are almost identical.
Lower Highs Double Tops leading to the Bear Cycle, then an RSI bottom leading to a price break-out above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (on overbought RSI), finally followed by a new decline (RSI at 40.00), which in ETC's case when broken, led to the Bull Cycle's Parabolic Rally.
Right now it appears that DOT is on the 40.00 RSI Low, so naturally if it is indeed replicating Ethereum Classic's previous Cycle, we should see the price starting to rise aggressively towards the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. If that's the case, we can expect a High around $200 by the end of 2025.
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Polkadot
The price has recently moved below the middle band, indicating short-term weakness. The lower Bollinger Band is acting as potential support near $4.60.
The break below the middle Bollinger Band suggests a shift in momentum, potentially signaling the start of a downtrend on this timeframe.
Volume is relatively low during the latest pullback, which could suggest the move lower is not backed by strong selling pressure. However, if the volume picks up on further declines, it may indicate stronger downside potential.
Support: The lower Bollinger Band around $4.60 is an immediate support level. If this level is broken, the next potential support is around $4.40 (seen from previous price action).
Resistance: The price faces resistance near the upper Bollinger Band at around $4.85-$4.90.
A bounce off the lower Bollinger Band around $4.60 could provide a buying opportunity if confirmed by an increase in buying volume.
A break below the lower band could signal further downside, with the next support around $4.40.
The price of DOTUSD is currently undergoing a short-term pullback after a notable uptrend. A key level to watch is the lower Bollinger Band around $4.60, which could act as support. If broken, more downside can be expected. Conversely, a bounce could indicate a resumption of the uptrend. Volume will be crucial in confirming either scenario.
Polkadot: Gained Momentum!DOT initially slumped in the last seven days, but was able to recover fully. We now expect further advances to the upside. The green wave (iii) should ultimately stretch well above the resistance at $4.92. Afterward, we expect an interim correction before another rise completes the green wave 1. If, on the other hand, the coin slips below the support at $3.61, our alternative scenario (probability: 37%) will be activated. This wave count involves a setback into our orange Zone (between $2.98 and $1.67) during the magenta-colored wave alt.(ii).
Polkadot's Bullish Divergence: The Next Big Move?Hey Traders! 🌐
If you've been keeping an eye on Polkadot (DOT), you might have noticed something exciting brewing in the charts. Yep, I'm talking about a bullish divergence that's starting to take shape, and it could be signaling some serious upside potential! 📈
Polkadot: The Powerhouse of Interoperability 🌉
Polkadot isn't just another crypto; it's the go-to platform for connecting blockchains, making the decentralized web a reality. With its unique ability to facilitate cross-chain communication, Polkadot is a critical piece in the puzzle of the blockchain ecosystem. 🧩
Spotting the Divergence 👀
Diving into the technicals, there's a noticeable bullish divergence forming. This is when the price action is moving downward, but key indicators like RSI or MACD are hinting at an upward momentum. It's like the market's saying, "Get ready for a possible breakout!" 💥
Why This Matters 🧐
Bullish divergences can be early signs that the bears are losing steam and the bulls are ready to charge. For Polkadot, this could mean we're on the verge of a potential rally. If you're in the market for opportunities, this might be one to watch closely! 🔭
Stay Ahead of the Curve 🏃♂️
As always, make sure to do your own research and keep an eye on the charts. The crypto market can be wild, but with the right insights, you can navigate the waves like a pro! 🌊
#Polkadot #BullishDivergence #CryptoAnalysis #DOTtoTheMoon
DOTUSD - Possible Scenarios For The Bull MarketThe Polkadot network is still alive. It is a unique L0 platform. It has zealous believers, talented developers, and it WILL have its turn to take center stage and pump like crazy in a continued bull market scenario / alt season.
That's all we really need to know as far as fundamentals.
Drawing arcs, it's difficult to know exactly what the arc will look like until it's well on it's way up the arc.
So I offer here the two most extreme possibilities for what the completed arc will look like.
The yellow arc has the most touch points, and is also very bullish with a 6x in 6 months.
The black arc has touch points near the bottom, and stretches the ascension to the previous ATH another year.
That gives us the possible dates for a new ATH between autumn of 2024 and autumn of 2025. I think a long and volatile bull market lasting deep into 2025 is indeed the most likely macro scenario.
It also gives us how to invalidate - if the black arc breaks down, it will be a long time (or never) before we see DOT valued the way it was in the 2021 peak.
Holding DOT yields staking rewards and I believe it is a good bet to get some adoption. I'm bullish on this and am adding to my stack.
Good Luck.
Polkadot 2.0- So i predicted many times that 4.30$ was the bottom.
- And i was wrong, Polkadot is still young.
- Trading Altcoins is like that, it's really hard to predict a perfect bottom with a new project.
- it's much more easy with BTC because TheKing volumes are high and it stays around from many years already.
- Remember that Trading is trying to predict the future by looking at the past, more you have data from past, more the job is easier.
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- A bit FA here :
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- Polkadot did the same as Cardano's first bullrun, it went back to the start.
( i will post a Cardano Charts in comments )
- Actually it's not a sign of weakness, but an opportunity.
- Polkadot didn't make noise just because they want to build steady following some SEC rules.
- Now if you follow the news, you can find that Cardano, Polygon and Near Protocol are building on Polkadot's SDK, DYOR it more to get some more informations.
- With time Polkadot could be the mother of all blockchains connections and interoperability.
- Remember what they had to do with ETH when problems came around, they forked it for ETC ( Ethereum Classic ).
- Polkadot doesn't need any FORKs, everything can be changed by votes in the governance.
- The difference between DOT and ETH is very simple.
- Polkadot is scalable, Ethereum is not.
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- Trading Parts :
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- So Right now look at the graphic.
- DOT made a bottom around 3.60$. The exact same bottom it did in 2020.
- DOT is actually staying near a demand zone (6$).
- i do not recommend to buy now but wait for a retracement or a breakout from this area.
- To get peace of mind i would buy DOT after 8$, after that zone, it's a free fly!
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My predictions on DOT for the next bullrun are unchanged :
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- Security TP : 85$ ish
- Middle TP : 140$ ish
- Max ATH : 220$ ish
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- if you missed to become a Whale with ETH in 2016.
- Here yours second chance with Polkadot.
- Stay S4fe
Happy Tr4Ding !
Keep an eye on DOT this weekend, as it might surge 24.6%Polkadot (DOT) is waiting to catch up as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Dogecoin soar. While some older coins have yet to make major moves, they've formed interesting patterns. DOT is one of those and has developed an inverse head and shoulders pattern over the last 36 days.
A breach to $6.50 could push the price as high as $8.11, a 24.6% increase. It's too early to determine the exact stop level, but it should realistically be just below the breakout candle.
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DOTUSD ANALYSIS 1.0🚨 Trade Alert: DOT/USD Short Setup 🚨
We have identified a bearish setup in DOT/USD, characterized by the following:
No Bullish Divergence on RSI: No indication of a trend change.
Retracement: The price has retraced to the 0.618 Fibonacci level, suggesting a potential for continuation to the downside.
Entry Point:
Short: At the current market price (CMP)
Target Prices (TP):
TP 1:
TP 2:
Stop Loss (SL):
SL: to manage risk
Trade Summary:
Short: At CMP
TP 1:
TP 2:
SL:
Trade Type: Short Swing 📉
Good Luck! 🍀
Stay informed and trade smart! 📊
DOT in H8 chartHello
I have gave you my ideas about DOT and nothing has changed. This chart is just a temporary signal. I am not if it happens but if it was making an ABC for wave (ii), you'd be happy entering in that floor.
Please get your confirmations before entering.
This is immature idea and needs reliable confirmations.
Thanks
dot bottomas everyone waits for alt season we are seeing possibly some hope for alts, dot is currently seeing an inverse h/s hasn't broke yet but we will see what happens this week. i still think current alt markets look a little weak yet but at some point we will see a bottom pattern. if this pattern plays out we will have targets from $7 to $7.30. if neckline doesn't break this is invalid.
Polkadot (DOT): Setting Up for a Bullish ReversalBINANCE:DOTUSD has recently breached the $6 level, forming a bullish divergence, as indicated by the vertical lines on the chart. The exit from the 3.618 Fibonacci time zone should ideally mark the end of Wave 2, though the exact completion of Wave 2 may lie slightly outside this range. It appears that Polkadot has completed its accumulation phase and is now entering the manipulation phase, with potential for expansion to follow.
Given the current situation, we are planning to place an entry at $4.85, with a stop-loss set just below the 100% Fibonacci retracement to protect against a Wave 2 invalidation. Our initial target is $9.30, aligning with the Daily Fair-Value Gap. This strategy aims to capture the potential upward movement as Polkadot transitions from accumulation to expansion.
Yearly VWAP Analysis:
Polkadot is currently holding the 2021 VWAP level perfectly. However, if this level is lost, the price could move down towards the 2021 VAL (Volume Area Low) at $4.55, which might provide significant support. To resume a bullish trend, Polkadot needs to reclaim the 2021 VAH (Volume Area High) at $6.80. Overcoming this level is essential for a sustained bullish move. If these levels are breached, a drop to the 2021 VAL at $4.55 is possible, where we might find strong support. Overcoming the yearly VWAP resistance is crucial for a bullish continuation.
Monthly VWAP Analysis:
Polkadot has lost the April VAL (Volume Area Low) and recently touched the November 2023 VWAP. Holding the November 2023 VWAP is crucial to maintaining a bullish stance, although there is potential for further downside. We anticipate a possible drop to retest the November 2023 VWAP and VAL levels to gather momentum for a bullish reversal. To turn bullish again, Polkadot needs to reclaim the current month's April VAL and VWAP levels, suggesting a stronger bullish outlook.
Conclusion:
If Polkadot fails to hold the November 2023 VWAP, we expect a move towards $4.82. For a bullish reversal, reclaiming the April VAL and current monthly VWAP levels is essential. Until these levels are reclaimed, we remain cautious and anticipate further downside. Our trading strategy involves entering at $4.85, with a stop-loss at $3.55. The take-profit targets are set at $7.76, $9.50, and open for further potential gains.