Weekly Forex Outlook Sun.Dec.29.2024 - Fri.Jan.3.2024Like and Comments would be appreciated :D Not Financial Advice, Just my outlook/opinion
DOWUSD trade ideas
DOW JONES LONGDow Jones
MTF Analysis
Dow JonesYearly Demand Breakout 37778
Dow Jones 6 Month Demand Breakout 40077
Dow JonesQtrly Demand 40077
Dow JonesMonthly Demand 40077
Dow JonesWeekly Demand 42505
Dow JonesDaily Demand DMIP 42130
ENTRY -1 Long 42505
SL 41650
RISK 855
Target as per Entry 44562
RR 2
Positional Target 49211
Target Points 2057
Recent High 45000
Last Swing Reversal 41647
US30 1HIn the previous analysis , I expected a correction to begin about 150 points lower. If the 43,470 level is maintained, the market direction remains bearish, and the target has been updated with a slight correction.
A break below the 43,470 level, even by just one point, would invalidate the analysis, and the market direction would turn bullish.
Let’s wait to see if buyers show their strength and then make our judgment.
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LET GO for short this Loveley chart i think market up in a uptrend and after that we have a big move for dumping and i predict and ready for this setup if verfyed i enter in trade
US30 SELL ANALYSIS RISING WEDGE PATTERN Here on US30 price has form a rising wedge pattern and is likely to fall as the line 43340.8 has broken so trader should go for short and expect profit target of 43160.4 and 42970.1 . Use money management
Dow to drop into bear market but first bounce at 36k H&S patternBearish case
Dow to drop 20% from ATH to be into a bear market
20% from ATH = weekly 200 EMA so banks will try and hold the price at 36k
I think it bounces here and then eventually fails and we get a big equity bear market
We have two H&S patterns that together take us below 36k if their targets are met
be a nice trade if it bounces at 36k off the 200 EMA to get in and out and add to short again without being slapped in the face. At which max bounce point off the (36k) look for the rest of the equities to go short on of stocks that have broken their key levels of support. Or look for dow stocks that are leading the way down because they already broke their weekly 200 EMA and are the weaker members of the pack.
Is another big crash coming ?This chart displays the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) monthly candlestick data alongside its 200-month simple moving average (SMA), highlighting significant historical declines and their characteristics. Here's the analysis:
Key Observations:
1. Bearish Phases (Highlighted in Blue Boxes):
Major drawdowns over the years are shown, with the percentage drop, the number of bars (months), and the trading volume involved. These events align with historical financial crises or economic downturns:
2000-2003 (-36.94%): Reflects the Dot-Com bubble burst.
2007-2009 (-52.12%): Represents the Global Financial Crisis.
2020 (-37.58%): Associated with the COVID-19 pandemic shock.
2. Recovery Time:
The recovery periods vary significantly:
Dot-Com Bubble: Took 37 bars (1,127 days).
Financial Crisis: Longer with 18 bars (548 days) of drawdown and prolonged recovery beyond the charted downturn.
COVID-19 Crash: Shortest at 2 bars (58 days) due to rapid monetary intervention.
3. Trends and Momentum:
The 200 SMA provides a clear indicator of long-term trend stability:
Downturns saw temporary breakdowns below the SMA, followed by robust recoveries.
Overall, the index reflects an upward trend over the decades.
RSI (14) Indicator: RSI peaks correlate to market highs; lows often match oversold conditions in major bear markets.
4. Market Volatility and Volume:
A noticeable spike in volumes coincides with large bearish moves (e.g., 2007-2009 and 2020 crises), signifying panic-driven trading activity.
Recent periods (2020 onwards) show high volatility, accompanied by strong rebounds.
---
Conclusions:
Historically, even severe bear markets have seen the DJIA recover and continue its long-term uptrend, which aligns with the principle of compounding returns and economic growth.
The market tends to break its long-term SMA during extreme crises but eventually recovers.
Current RSI values suggest the market may not yet be overheated, but caution is advisable given previous patterns.
Would you like a deeper technical analysis or possible forecasting based on this data?
Is another big crash coming ?This chart displays the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) monthly candlestick data alongside its 200-month simple moving average (SMA), highlighting significant historical declines and their characteristics. Here's the analysis:
Key Observations:
1. Bearish Phases (Highlighted in Blue Boxes):
Major drawdowns over the years are shown, with the percentage drop, the number of bars (months), and the trading volume involved. These events align with historical financial crises or economic downturns:
2000-2003 (-36.94%): Reflects the Dot-Com bubble burst.
2007-2009 (-52.12%): Represents the Global Financial Crisis.
2020 (-37.58%): Associated with the COVID-19 pandemic shock.
2. Recovery Time:
The recovery periods vary significantly:
Dot-Com Bubble: Took 37 bars (1,127 days).
Financial Crisis: Longer with 18 bars (548 days) of drawdown and prolonged recovery beyond the charted downturn.
COVID-19 Crash: Shortest at 2 bars (58 days) due to rapid monetary intervention.
3. Trends and Momentum:
The 200 SMA provides a clear indicator of long-term trend stability:
Downturns saw temporary breakdowns below the SMA, followed by robust recoveries.
Overall, the index reflects an upward trend over the decades.
RSI (14) Indicator: RSI peaks correlate to market highs; lows often match oversold conditions in major bear markets.
4. Market Volatility and Volume:
A noticeable spike in volumes coincides with large bearish moves (e.g., 2007-2009 and 2020 crises), signifying panic-driven trading activity.
Recent periods (2020 onwards) show high volatility, accompanied by strong rebounds.
---
Conclusions:
Historically, even severe bear markets have seen the DJIA recover and continue its long-term uptrend, which aligns with the principle of compounding returns and economic growth.
The market tends to break its long-term SMA during extreme crises but eventually recovers.
Current RSI values suggest the market may not yet be overheated, but caution is advisable given previous patterns.
Would you like a deeper technical analysis or possible forecasting based on this data?
US30 Fell to collect Stop Losses only to rallyUS30 Fell at 10am only to rally and continue its Bullish Look above 42600 zone. This is indication the US30 will continue its overall bullish trend since hitting the recent low on December 24th. Look for price to continue its bullish trend as companies look to optimistic out comes due to the recent elections and Trump initiatives.
DOW JONES: Ignore the pullback, this is a new bullish wave.Dow Jones turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.280, MACD = -138.420, ADX = 33.278) as it failed to hold the 4H MA50 as support today and crossed under it. The 1D MA100 is coming in as the next level of support, which formed the Dec 18th-19th low. According to the 4H MACD, the index formed during those 2 days a bottom similar to of August 5th. As long as the 1D MA100 holds, it is more likely to see a bounce above the 4H MA50 again like August 13th. Our goal is a wave, so we're targeting the R1 level (TP = 45,000).
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Weekly Forex Outlook Sun.Dec.22.2024 - Fri.Dec.27.2024Like and Comments would be appreciated :D Not Financial Advice, Just my outlook/opinion
trend dji#dji
Will the Dow Jones reach its previous ceiling?
Support range 43200 and 42300
43700 and 44450 resistance ranges
With the high stabilization of the resistance of 43700, we can hope for the rise of the price ceiling.
DOW JONES What signals the top of this Cycle?Dow Jones (DJI) has been on a highly systematic pattern ever since the 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis and this chart on the 3W time-frame depicts very accurately the symmetrical nature of the Cycles that the index is going through in the past 15 years.
As you see, ever since the October 2011 bounce on both the 3W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 3W MA200 (orange trend-line), Dow started a hyper aggressive Bull Cycle, which after making a Top on each phase, it broke below the 3W MA50 to become a buy opportunity again but has never yet broken below the 3W MA200.
So far we have completed three such phases and we are currently on the 4th. In the three that have already been completed, the Top of the Phase was signaled by the RSI. At a certain point that it broke above the 70.00 overbought barrier, it started a Channel Down comprised of 4 legs (a through d). On the (d) leg, it gave a signal that Dow had (or is very close to) topped. That was the ultimate long-term Sell Signal. Similarly, when the index broke below its MA50 and the RSI double bottomed, it has been the ultimate signal to buy.
Right now it appears that the RSI has completed Leg (a) and is starting the rise to Leg (b) of its newly emerged Channel Down. That means that the market has around another 12 months before it Tops again.
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US30 BULLISH SWING IDEA So US30 hit a beautiful double bottom creating a 4HR Divergence pushing price back up 1st breaking a 1hr trendline propelling it all the way back up from the news drop now we’re slowly making higher lows looking like we will break to the upside BUT keep in mind Bearish scenario #2 (drawn in RED) is possible since we still are under the daily/weekly trendline/resistance level in Bearish territory UNTIL we break 43.400 to the upside.. if that happens expect a beautiful Bullish Rally going into January.. May the markets be on our side !!
US30 Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 43,000 zone, USOIL is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 43,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
uptrendIt is expected that the continuation of the upward trend will form until the specified resistance levels. Then there is a possibility of a trend change
US30 4HIt is expected that the price will move towards the middle range after hitting the upper resistance and then again move towards the lower target.
I also expect that after hitting the lower range, the price will change direction upwards; however, I will wait to see if an engulfing pattern occurs or not.
US 30 Came out of Consolidation to Give a Bullish MoveUS30 made a bullish move after hours of consolidation. Price is currently between supports at 43300 and 43100. This area could elicit some additional consolidation but will likely continue bullish until. 43700 and then will likely correct again at that level.
Look for price to push up the remainder of the day.
Bullish possibility YM may likely break the green trendline with the motive to go towards the top. However, failure to break the trendline to the upwards may mean bearish continuation.
