NDQUSD trade ideas
Precision Trading – How Our Trade Played Out PerfectlyIn trading, precision and patience are everything. We don’t chase trades—we wait for the perfect confluence of technical factors to align. This trade idea followed our systematic approach, utilizing ranges, Fibonacci levels, internal & inducement liquidity, break of structure (BOS), entry confirmation patterns, and harmonics. Here’s a breakdown of how it all unfolded.
1. Identifying the Range
Before executing, we mapped out the market structure to establish a clear range. The price action showed a well-defined consolidation zone, which helped us anticipate liquidity grabs and potential reversal points.
2. Fibonacci Confluence – 38.20% Level
Using the Fibonacci retracement tool, we identified the 38.20% level as a strong reaction point. This aligned with other key technicals, increasing our confidence in the trade setup.
3. Internal & Inducement Liquidity
Liquidity is key in trading. We spotted internal liquidity zones where price was likely to manipulate weak hands before the actual move. Inducement liquidity was also present, providing additional confirmation that price would tap into deeper levels before reversing.
4. Break of Structure (BOS) and Entry Confirmation
Once BOS occurred in alignment with our anticipated liquidity grab, we looked for our entry pattern. The market printed a textbook confirmation, allowing us to enter with precision and minimal risk.
5. Harmonic Pattern for Additional Confluence
The final piece of confirmation was a harmonic pattern, further validating our entry. These patterns, when combined with our overall strategy, add an extra layer of probability to our trades.
Trade Outcome
The execution was flawless! 🎯 The price respected our levels, moved in our favor, and hit our target zones with precision. This is the power of structured analysis and disciplined execution.
📉 Key Takeaway: Never trade blindly! Always have a solid confluence of technicals before taking a trade.
🔎 What’s your go-to confirmation before entering a trade? Let’s discuss in the comments! 📩
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Monday NasDaqMorning Buddy, Today I hope to see 2 things that I have put on my Journal, 1 : Nas is within a daily FVG which seems weak to hold, but enough to create a manipulative retracement, either into the highlighted zone, which is a weekly bullish candle. 2 : The gap gets slowly taken, increasing FOMO trading and then retraces leaving $ lows, should this happen I expect to see the market retrace in a way that makes 15 minutes charts going down to 5, seem completely bullish.
I will drop a video later today to keep up with the charts. Stay tuned. Happy Trading
NASDAQ Pullback Loading? Small Retrace or Massive Opportunity AhThe NAS100 looks primed for more downside, but the real question is: how deep will the pullback go? Right now, we’re trading into key lows — a shallow retrace could offer a lower RR setup, but if we get a bigger move back, it could set the stage for a high-probability, high-reward trade.
NDX / M2 Double Top? Echoes of the Dot-Com BubbleThis chart compares the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) to the M2 Money Supply, revealing a potentially critical inflection point. The NDX/M2 ratio has reached levels not seen since the dot-com bubble — and now appears to be forming a textbook double top.
NASDAQ Bearish, What's Next? Is 18.5k feasible?Price respected Weekly's bearish imbalance to continue lower. Still price is within the weekly's context area to which is suitable to look for entries in lower timeframes targeting weekly's swing low (POI).
Once, the Weekly POI get's tagged we might look to continue to the next POI (Point of Interest). Likely, the daily swing lows.
What's Next?
Potential target price is 18,537.88.
NASDAQ Bearish, What's Next?Price respected Weekly's bearish imbalance to continue lower. Still price is within the weekly's context area to which is suitable to look for entries in lower timeframes targeting weekly's swing low (POI).
Once, the Weekly POI get's tagged we might look to continue to the next POI (Point of Interest). Likely, the daily swing lows.
What's Next?
Pontetial target price is 18,537.88.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY bearish reaction to US PCE data US PCE Inflation – Market Impact (NASDAQ Focus)
Headline PCE YoY: 2.5% (steady, in line with expectations).
Core PCE YoY: 2.8% (higher than 2.7% prior, above forecasts).
MoM Figures: Headline +0.3%, Core +0.4% (showing steady inflation pressure).
Market Implications for NASDAQ:
Slightly hawkish as Core PCE remains elevated—could delay Fed rate cuts.
Tech stocks (NASDAQ) may face short-term selling pressure as yields react.
If risk appetite holds, dips could present buying opportunities in growth stocks.
Watch Treasury yields & Fed commentary for further market direction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20000
Resistance Level 2: 20350
Resistance Level 3: 20650
Support Level 1: 19,440
Support Level 2: 19,140
Support Level 3: 18880
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#NDX - 28 MarSimilar to SPX, NDX flushed down to make a new lows. However, if this holds, look for a move back to yesterday's high.
Nasdaq analysis: 28-MAR-2025Good morning, traders! Today's Nasdaq analysis will help you achieve your trading goals. Let's work together towards success.
Nasdaq analysis: 27-MAR-2025Good morning, traders! Today's Nasdaq analysis will help you achieve your trading goals. Let's work together towards success.
[NDX] A textbook chart for being bearishSummary
- See the previous idea for context:
- Another realization: horizontal channels for S/R work better than diagonal ones. This doesn't mean that the latter need to be discarded altogether.
- Looking back, NDX did really have desperate jumps towards the end of the bull rally.
- High volume on days with large inverted hammers was a sure sign of an impending stampede.
- Today's rejection is why being long without confirmation is a bear trap. Being on the short side is much less stressful.
Retailers on the Attack: The “Buy the Dip” Phenomenon on NasdaqBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
In a surprising turn of events for the stock market, so far in 2025 we see how retail investors have taken center stage, betting heavily on “ buy the dip” as large investors reduce their positions. According to data from VandaTrack, these small investors have injected nearly $70 billion into U.S. stocks and ETFs. This phenomenon, which seems to be straight out of a Reddit forum, has sparked conversation on digital platforms and has captured the attention of analysts and specialized media.
The “buy the dip” phenomenon is based on the idea of buying stocks during their declines, with the expectation that the price will recover and a profit will be made. Despite the volatility generated by the current environment - marked by geopolitical tensions, regulatory changes and the impact of technological innovations such as China's DeepSeek artificial intelligence - retailers have shown unusual resilience. Phrases such as “be the dip” have become popular in forums and social networks, driving a wave of optimism that contrasts with the cautious approach of large investors, who are withdrawing their liquidity or diversifying into less volatile assets.
The notable betting by retail investors is reflected in large-scale deals. For example, last week alone saw investments of $3.2 billion in Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) and $1.9 billion in Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), according to figures released by JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM). These moves not only evidence confidence in the recovery potential of these companies, but also the ability of small investors to influence liquidity and market direction.
In addition, the trend extends to leveraged ETFs, whose trading volume has increased considerably. The “buy the dip” behavior has been internalized to the point of becoming an automatic reflection of today's retail mentality. This phenomenon has also been observed in other international markets, where online investment platforms and mobile applications have facilitated access to the stock markets, allowing a greater number of investors to participate actively and, in many cases, on a massive scale. This dynamic can have both short- and long-term effects. On the one hand, the massive inflow of capital by retailers can generate a “rebound effect” in certain sectors, especially those perceived as innovative and disruptive. On the other hand, the high concentration of investments in a few assets and sectors - such as technology - could increase volatility and systemic risk in the market. While the “buy the dip” strategy has worked in previous periods, relying solely on this tactic in such a changing environment could lead to significant imbalances if there is a sharp turn in the market.
The implications of this trend also extend to the regulatory arena. Financial authorities are closely observing how the massification of “buy the dip ” is impacting market stability, and some regulators have already initiated studies to evaluate possible control measures. The evolution of this phenomenon could force a rethinking of current regulations on retail investor participation in high volatility markets.
Technical Analysis Nasdaq 100(Ticker AT: USATEC)
Currently, the main support zone is around 16,986 points. The second support zone pivots around 18,400 points. The current range is between 18,737 and 20,505 points with the control point (POC) at 19,755 points. The RSI is at 53.64% since this last rebound started at 23.03% so it seems to have stabilized in a middle zone. If we look at the movement of the index, it does not seem to have finished its movement to the upper band of the range. At the moment, it is about to test its strength in the direction of the highs if the Bulls continue to drill hard. The truth is that on March 4th on the daily chart there was a bearish crossover, so it does not seem that this strength will hold and the lower part of the range will be tested again. If the index shows weakness we will see a return to the 18,400 level.
In short, while the “ sharks ” or large investors flee the water, the “ minnows ” continue to splash about happily, demonstrating a new era in which the democratization of access to the stock markets is redefining the rules of the game. The commitment to “ buy the dip ” is a clear reflection of a renewed confidence in the market's potential for recovery and growth, although not without risks and challenges that must be managed by both investors and authorities.
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Nasdaq insights: 26-MAR-2025Good morning, traders! As a seasoned price action trader, I'll share my Nasdaq insights to help you improve your trading skills.
Bullish Signal NAS100Trade Setup:
Market: NAS100 (US100 Cash CFD)
Timeframe: 4-hour chart
Entry Strategy: Looking for a retracement to a key price level (Killzone) before a bullish move toward resting liquidity.
Key Components of the Analysis:
1. Market Structure & Price Action
The market is in a downtrend, but there is a sign of a potential reversal.
Price is approaching a key Fibonacci retracement zone, around 19,565 - 19,668, where buying pressure is expected.
The 50% - 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels indicate an area of interest for buyers.
2. Liquidity & Key Price Levels
A key price level is marked around 20,450, acting as a potential resistance zone.
Resting liquidity (liq) is positioned higher at 20,880, suggesting an upside target if the trade plays out.
The killzone (highlighted in red) is the ideal area for a possible buy entry.
3. Trade Execution Plan
Entry: Within the Fibonacci retracement zone (Killzone) around 19,565 - 19,668.
Stop Loss: Below the 100% Fibonacci retracement level (19,403) to avoid being stopped out by market noise.
Take Profit: Targeting the resting liquidity zone around 20,880, aligning with a previous supply zone.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the green risk/reward box indicates a positive R:R setup.
4. Additional Confluences
The 200 EMA (blue line) may act as dynamic support.
Volume profile shows a high liquidity area near the killzone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
Previous price action suggests strong reactions from similar levels.
NQ: 300-500 to end the bounceGood day!
Asian session consolidated and European session continued the bounce. Price is currently above yesterday High. Price might reach the last target of this retrace today. Price is 300-500 points away from it. Then, we should see a short consolidation. around that area. Hence, price will resume the down movement early next week.
BUY Nas100*I am in no way a financial advisor and you should always do your own due diligence before placing any trade. Do not trade what you are not comfortable with losing. No trade is guaranteed.
SL 19,818
TP 22,165
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NDXGood Morning Folks,
As you can see we are nearing a take profit zone. If you followed my NDX profile you would have started accumulating stocks during the 19500 Zone - This accumulation would have giving you roughly 30% on most stocks trending with the NASDAQ (This is also applicable to other Indexes).
We are nearing another point of uncertainty which is the April tariffs - Will this strike fear in investors again or is it already priced in.
Amidst uncertainty I will always take profit - I am a swing trader which means there is opportunity everyday and every week!
Nas bullish outlook, buy here 20151 and 20069Good morning, I´m expecting that Nas has bottomed and it will start to climb as shown in the idea. If you decide to trade this idea, you can enter now with smaller size or you can wait till 20069 will be tested. In the second option, entry is safer, but also the chance to miss the trade. I´m expecting that today the "follow up candle" will be bullish. Price got a momentum, so expecting 330-450 are to be tested. Wish you good luck.
P.S. I´m not a signal service, do not sell anything here. Also do not have any premium channel to sell something. We are a group of traders sharing-trading same strategy. If you want to buy something, please contact one of the signal factories.
