NDQUSD trade ideas
Nasdaq Short: Adjustment in Primary Wave CountsI've made changes to my original wave count where wave A has ended on a short 5th wave. However, the strength of the rally today made me revisit the counts itself and I realised that it is actually more appropriate for the 5th wave to extend.
I studied if there is a relationship if I moved the original 5th wave down 1 degree to become a 1st of 5th and I was truly taken aback when the relationship was crystal clear and staring at me but I was too blind to see it (actually, I was too busy at work to study the charts again which is why I only publish this 2 days later).
Now that Wave A has completed, the strong rally these 2 days can be easily accepted. Are we going into a wave C crash? I believe so. So sit tight and enjoy the ride!
Remember to keep your risk tight. I can be wrong (as I often do).
Good luck!
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message..
Enjoy Trading... ;)
NASDAQ 100: Is a Reversal Coming?Learn why the NASDAQ 100 might face strong resistance near 19,000 and what key levels to watch for a potential rollover. We also explore how crypto weakness could signal downside risk for equities.
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NASDAQThe decision to buy or sell should be based on individual financial goals, risk tolerance, and investment timelines. Given the current market volatility and economic uncertainties, a cautious approach with a focus on diversification and defensive investments may be prudent. It's essential to conduct thorough research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
NQ: Uncertainty after the bloodbath!Good day!
Yesterday close was irrelevant: Uncertainty, indecision and inside the previous huge candle. Until clear direction, we've today Trump's ultimatum to China with additional 50% tariffs if China does not step back with its retaliation of 34%. China has additional tools: sell US Treasuries which trigger a crise worldwide and particularly in USA.
Along this, we've some cracks within Trump billionaires, including E. Musk, who start showing frustration with tariffs.
Nasdaq 1 day - Imbalance 📝 Chart Structure Overview
The chart previously formed a rising wedge — a classic bearish reversal pattern — which broke down aggressively.
The breakdown has now led to a steep decline, bringing price back to the major support zone between 17,000 – 17,700, which held strong multiple times in the past (highlighted in purple).
📉 Current Price Action
Current price: 17,618.3
Price is hovering just above a key demand zone from 2023, with a small bounce visible today.
The large red candle breaking through multiple support levels suggests strong bearish momentum, but this area could act as temporary support or a bounce zone.
💹 Volume Analysis
There’s a visible spike in volume, indicating capitulation or panic selling — this can often lead to short-term relief rallies or bounces as buyers step in at support.
📊 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI is 34.76, approaching oversold territory (<30), signaling potential exhaustion of the sellers.
Momentum is still bearish but could be ripe for a short-term bounce or consolidation phase.
⚠️ Key Levels
Support Zone (Demand): 17,000 – 17,700
Resistance Levels:
19,921 (previous support, now resistance)
20,532 (supply zone)
Breakdown Level: ~20,000 (former wedge support)
✅ Potential Trading Setups
1. Reversal/Bounce Play (Short-Term Bullish Idea):
Entry: Around 17,600–17,700 if price stabilizes
Target 1: 18,400
Target 2: 19,200–19,500
Stop Loss: Below 17,000
2. Bearish Continuation (If support fails):
Entry: On break below 17,000 with high volume
Target: 16,000 (next major support)
Stop Loss: Above 17,700
ABC Correction on nas100!Trading plan
SL:20,448.6
TP:17,000 / floating
Trading set up
(ABC) correction
A-Wave: Initial sharp decline with increasing volume, breaking short-term support.
B-Wave: Temporary recovery (typically 50-61.8% retracement) with lower volume.
C-Wave: Final decline, typically final capitulation, targeting major support and weekly moving averages or 1,618 fib level around 17,000 level as target price for correction
reasoning:
Trade war, trump tariff ,geopolitical issue and stocks has been overpriced for the last couple of months.
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Potential bullish bounceNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 17,407.64 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 17,000.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 18,238.84 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Possible move for nasdaqI had to redraw my channels from my last view. Sometimes we really have to zoom out to get the bigger picture.....I believe we may have entered a bear phase for the market. I have noted the important levels on the chart. I have outlined the possible path the market might take...There are plenty of untested levels below where massive buy orders are sitting. Of course it will not get there in a day or 2. But it is very clear where bears are sitting. Bear market bull rallies are also quite strong and might give an impression that we will go to ATH. But there is a reason why channels work most of the time at least from a long term perspective. This is merely a conjecture, but if you view the larger time frame as a 5 min chart, you know what moves might take place. I'm not advocating a full blown market crash, but we might get to see lower highs and lower lows over the next few months.....I could be completely wrong on this....For investors these are the best levels to enter big, for day traders...well...vix is still elevated and we trade the day whether it is bullish or bearish...So keep your position size smaller than usual as you will need a wider SL. Trade small, trade safe....Investors can start accumulating good stocks bit by bit and average out with every 10-15% dip, of course in smaller amounts....As we don't know when a bottom will happen...
NAS100 - Monthly Demand Zone Rejection | Massive Bullish PotentThe NAS100 has pulled back significantly from its all-time highs, retracing into a major monthly demand zone aligned with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level (16,344.76).
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Demand Zone: Price has tapped into a historically strong demand block between 14,955 – 16,344 (gray box), which previously acted as a launchpad for the last rally.
Fibonacci Levels: Price bounced right off the 50% Fib level, showing early signs of bullish interest. Below lies the 61.8% and deeper retracement levels at 14,955 and 13,872 respectively—strong areas to watch if price dips further.
Bullish Reversal Candlestick: Current monthly candle showing potential reversal with high buying pressure.
RSI: The RSI is rebounding from near the 40 level, historically acting as support during major bull runs.
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry: Near current levels or on a retest of 16,344
Target: 25,410 (Previous ATH and Fibonacci extension zone, +27%)
Stop Loss: Below 14,000 support, giving room for volatility
🧠 RSTRADING View:
We’re anticipating a long-term bullish reversal as the market finds footing at a key institutional zone. With macroeconomic optimism returning and tech stocks regaining momentum, NAS100 could be setting up for a new leg higher.
NAS100 Rebounds Sharply from Demand Zone – More Upside Ahead?The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) just delivered a textbook bounce from the key demand zone between 16,800 and 16,900, showing signs of a strong bullish reaction after a sharp drop.
This reaction may be the start of a potential bullish reversal, especially with upcoming US news that could add fuel to the move.
Key Levels:
Demand Zone (Support): 16,800 - 16,900
This zone has held firm and triggered a rapid bullish engulfing move – clear buyer interest!
Next Resistance Levels:
18,437 (Mid-range target – strong historical resistance)
19,852 (Supply zone – high confluence area with potential to reject price)
Bullish Bias Reasoning:
Strong bullish momentum post-dip
Buyers defended key structure near 16,826
Clean structure for risk-reward trades
Possible double bottom forming on lower timeframes
Possible Trade Setup (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: 17,000 – 17,100
SL: Below 16,750
TP1: 18,437
TP2: 19,850
Watchlist Alert:
US economic data incoming – high-impact news could create volatility and push NAS100 into breakout territory.
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Are you buying the NASDAQ dip or waiting for confirmation? Comment your outlook below!
The Nasdaq 100 nears a big breaking pointThe Nasdaq 100 has continued declining, attempting to find some support after breaking below the August 2024 lows on 4 April. The next obvious support levels lie around the late 2021 and 2022 highs, which, for now at least, are offering some stability. It would not be surprising to see the index test that region during the trading session.
However, a break below support at 16,700 could be a negative signal for the Nasdaq, suggesting the index may head even lower. The next level of technical support would not appear until the July 2023 highs at 15,750. If that level breaks, the next area of support lies at the October 2023 low of 14,100, effectively erasing all gains made over the past 18 months.
The problem for the Nasdaq is that several areas on the chart will likely offer little to no support should it break under its 2021 highs, with numerous lower gaps remaining unfilled. This suggests the potential for further declines, which could extend to the 1.618% level around 14,510, especially as we’ve only seen a full extension of the initial bear flag so far.
If the Nasdaq can find support at the November 2021 highs, there is room for a rally back to 17,265, which marks the August lows, and potentially further to 18,360. However, a complete reversal back to the previous highs seems highly unlikely, given that the market may now reprice risk and reassess how much it is willing to pay for it.
Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
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NQ sell explaining Hi traders
as u see in the chart we have to LQ one higher and one lower .
- The higher one should be internal LQ that were gonna target it after we took the lower
- The lower is to close and we should focus to take it first
1-1 We observe on the last week huge fall on market and trump decision who affect on the market to move down down
1-2 I'm not sure but 100% the market well open on Gap and if that true we should be patience not take any trade until we got confirmation remember being patience
1-3 the analysis will be 100% if the market not open on huge gap we must wait London session probably were gonna see a Juda swing on London or new York session to move down and took the LQ
this trade for short term not for long term to hold
Good luck any question i would like to answer
NASDAQ Might Recover From Massive LossesWohooo... These days are wild!
Now let's take a look at how the day can develop, because... the market, at least the NASDAQ, doesn't look that bad anymore.
We are seeing the first signs of a bottom. However, it can be assumed that the market will dip again at the opening.
There is a bullish order block in the area shown, which coincides pretty much exactly with the POC of the last recovery attempt.
An excellent RRR for long trades could be taken here.