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Nasdaq Daily time frame - Rising wedgeNASDAQ 100 (US100) Analysis - March 31, 2025 Trend & Structure The chart shows a strong bearish breakdown from a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal formation. After a sharp decline from all-time highs, price is breaking below key support at 19,921. The next major support zone is highlighted in purple, around 18,000 - 17,600, which served as a base for the last rally in mid-2024. Volume Analysis The volume is increasing on the decline, which confirms strong selling pressure. If price enters the purple zone, we could see a reaction (either consolidation or bounce). Key Levels to Watch Resistance Levels: 19,921 (previous support, now resistance) 20,532 (higher resistance level if a pullback occurs) Support Levels: 18,800 (current level) - slight reaction zone 18,000 - 17,600 (strong demand zone) Potential Scenarios Bearish Continuation: If sellers remain in control, price could fall further into the 18,000 - 17,600 zone, where a potential rebound may occur. Short-term Pullback: A retracement back to 19,921 (previous support turned resistance) before continuing lower. Conclusion Trend is bearish, and further downside is likely unless buyers step in at the highlighted demand zone. Traders should watch for price action at 18,000 - 17,600 to see if buyers defend this area. Short-term rallies could be selling opportunities unless price reclaims 19,921.
IG:NASDAQ
by Forexbeats
NASDAQ 55% dip coming? The next two weeks are critical...I haven't posted on here in a minute but the NAS is looking weak, along with the SP and DOW, but mainly the SP and NAS. The next two weeks are critical to the remainder of the year. If we breach the 2024 high and close below it in January, I anticipate more lows. If we breach above it, and can hold above it through mid-February, we're probably looking at another bullish year. My analysis points to a consolidation with bearish intent on the horizon, with a potential target of 9,800. The tools I used in this video are liquidity techniques. This is a macro/yearly analysis. There is no "setup" I only use yearly outlooks to help me gauge sentiment. The possible catalyst for us to breach and reverse the 2024 high could be inauguration. The time window to monitor is now through the Super Bowl. If you want to learn my style of trading I'm opening a group this summer, give me a follow on trading view and I'll reach out to you when it launches. .... I apologize for any noises in the background, and my explanations being a little scattered, I'm busy but wanted to get this analysis done real quick before it was too late, or I forgot, I've been meaning to post this since early December.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by elevatedinvestor
2
How Low Could the Nasdaq Go?The Nasdaq-100 has pulled the broader market lower since late February. What could be next for the tech-heavy index? The first pattern to consider is the 20,315 level: its post-election pullback low on November 15. NDX slid below that price in early March and rebounded to stall at the same area last week. That could make some chart watchers think old support has become new resistance. The index also peaked at its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which may suggest the longer-term trend has grown more bearish. The falling 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) may paint a similar picture in the shorter term. That combination of patterns, including a lower high at old support, could make traders expect a lower low. The September trough near 18,400 may be a logical place to look. We’ll next consider two important charts impacting the Nasdaq. First, Apple NASDAQ:AAPL made a potentially lower high at its falling 21-day EMA. It also stalled at a 50 percent retracement of a recent move. The 50-day SMA may be nearing a “death cross” under the 200-day SMA, as well. Second, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index NASDAQ:SOX closed slightly below its previous low from April. Does it face risk of a further breakdown? If those two charts result in bearish price action, it may additionally keep pressure on NDX. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:NDX
by TradeStation
NAS100 selling pressure continues due to Apple stock declineHello traders, As I highlighted in my previous NAS100 analysis, I expected a move to the downside. Technically, the index formed a double top, which was confirmed by a neckline break. Additionally, it has fallen below the rising support trendline from November 2024 and successfully retested it. This week, I anticipate further downside continuation. For an optimal selling opportunity, keep an eye on price action during the New York AM session. Ideally, I’d like to see a minor pullback to 19,200 before considering short positions, with the index potentially targeting liquidity at 18,297 and possibly extending to the 17,235 low from August 2024. From a fundamental perspective, several factors are reinforcing our bearish outlook on NAS100: Trade Tariff Concerns – New U.S. tariff measures are fueling trade war fears, weighing on tech stocks. Inflation & Fed Policy – Higher inflation raises concerns about prolonged high interest rates. Tech Sector Weakness – Leading NAS100 stocks like Apple and Nvidia are experiencing declines. Stay cautious and trade wisely! 🚀
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by AmaWina
NAS100 - Stock market still in a downtrend?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down, it will be clear that it is heading for further moves. At the channel ceiling, I could be close to the next sell-off. As the new US tariffs are set to take effect on April 2, new evidence suggests that they may be less than the markets had expected. According to a recent report in the Toronto Star, Canada is likely to face the lowest level of tariffs, while Mexico, another member of the US trade agreement, is likely to face a similar situation. In addition, Trump’s recent statements about significant progress in controlling fentanyl (an industrial drug), are seen as a positive sign for improving trade relations. In this regard, CNBC reported that VAT and non-tariff barriers will not be taken into account in calculating the tariff rate, or at least not fully. The main concern is that by threatening to impose a 25% tariff, Trump is actually preparing Canada and Mexico to accept higher rates than the current conditions. It seems that his goal is to impose the highest possible tariff level. This decision could be an incentive to increase tariff revenue to reduce taxes. Of course, such an approach is associated with high risks, since any level of tariffs can lead to retaliatory measures from trading partners. In the case of Europe, tariffs imposed on American goods are higher than in other countries, but a large part of them relate to the automotive industry. Europe has previously announced that it is ready to reduce these tariffs. The question now is whether the EU will take a different approach than Mexico and Canada? That is, first impose higher tariffs and then negotiate to reduce them. This scenario could ultimately benefit the US economy, as the bulk of its trade is with Mexico and Canada. Meanwhile, China remains a complex challenge, as it is the main target of Trump’s tariff policies. In addition, the US president recently proposed imposing tariffs on Venezuela, which could be a pretext for intensifying trade pressure on China. Polls show that 50% of the market expects new tariffs on China, which indicates the level of investor concern. The European Union has reacted to the Trump administration’s decision to impose new tariffs on imported cars and expressed regret over the move. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has said the bloc will seek a negotiated solution to ease tensions, but she has also stressed that Europe’s economic interests will be protected against US trade policies. The US credit rating has risen to a new low, according to a new report from Moody’s, which warns that tax cuts and trade tariffs could widen the country’s budget deficit. Analysts at Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank say investors expect the effective tariff rate on all imports to be between 9% and 10%, although some analysts at Goldman Sachs have suggested a rate of 18%. However, inflation and exchange rate expectations point to lower figures. If Trump’s promise of “reciprocal tariffs” is implemented, the effective tariff rate could be even lower than 5 percent, although this depends on whether the agricultural sector is also subject to tariffs. Some reports also suggest that non-tariff barriers may be completely ignored. According to Deutsche Bank, it is very difficult to determine market expectations precisely. But if the tariff rate ultimately falls between 5 and 7.5 percent, markets are likely to react with more confidence. Otherwise, more volatility and turbulence in financial markets are expected. At the beginning of the year, markets were in a positive and optimistic mood. The Republican victory in the election, the continuation of tax breaks and the possibility of new support packages were among the factors that reinforced this optimism. However, factors such as the high US budget deficit, the deadlock in Congress and the high inflation rate have now challenged this optimism. Meanwhile, two important support tools that were effective in the past may no longer be as effective: 1. During Trump’s first term, the stock market was of particular importance to him. Even during the COVID-19 crisis, he constantly talked about the stock market and considered it part of his successes. The term “Put Trump” meant that even if he made harsh statements, he ultimately acted in the market’s favor. 2. But now, in Trump’s second administration, he talks about “short-term pain” and “economic detoxification.” Tariff threats, reduced investment and policy uncertainty have caused the S&P 500 to fall 10% since February. Trump still considers the market important, but he is no longer as staunchly supportive of it as he used to be. In addition, this week will include the release of a series of key economic data. Including: • Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS. • Wednesday: ADP Private Employment Report •Thursday: ISM services index and weekly jobless claims. One of the big risks to the markets is that economic data remains weak while the ISM price sub-indices rise. Such a situation could signal a deflationary tailwind. In such a situation, even if the Federal Reserve moves to lower interest rates, it will still be difficult for the stock market to grow.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
US 100 Index – All Eyes On President Trump!Risk sentiment crumbled on Friday, taking the US 100 down 3% and within touching distance of its 2025 lows at 19113 from March 11th. More importantly it brought the index to a potentially crucial first retracement support level at 19065. Further details on this in the technical section below. The weekend brought little in the way of positivity, with protests against Tesla and Elon Musk across Europe, and comments from President Trump stating he ‘couldn’t care less’ if automakers raise prices in response to his 25% tariff on imported vehicles, as US consumers will buy American cars. Regarding ‘Liberation Day’, as he calls it, which is Wednesday April 2nd, where he has previously promised to impose reciprocal tariffs on all trading partners, he stated late on Sunday that ‘You’d start with all countries, so let’s see what happens’, which indicates he is in no hurry to back down. Although, as we all know, President Trump is unpredictable, so anything is still possible! So, at the start of a potentially pivotal week for the direction of the US 100 index moving forward into the start of Q2 its probably no surprise to see it probing lower levels again. The focus for traders is likely to remain on the scope and size of the tariffs President Trump imposes, whether there are any reprieves or reductions provided to certain countries, and the extent of retaliatory action taken by trading partners such as the EU. Concerns over the strength of the US economy also remain a hot topic for traders and in that regard, there is some tier 1 data to consider across the week. The ISM Manufacturing PMI (Tuesday 1500 BST), ISM Services PMI (Thursday 1500 GMT) and then the Non-farm Payrolls (Friday 1330 BST) update all have the potential to impact the direction of the US 100 index. Oh, and did I forget to mention that the week finishes with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell speaking at 1625 BST on Friday? It really is a week that has it all! Technical Update: 38% Retracement Support to Hold Again or Give Way? Perhaps with the benefit of hindsight, it wasn’t too much of a surprise that having seen the US 100 index trade to the March 11th low of 19113, a reactive recovery materialised. As the chart above shows, the decline was a 14% move within a 4-week period between February 18th to March 11th, although perhaps more importantly, it approached support at 19065, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of October 2023 to February 2025 strength. Traders will often focus on retracement levels within sharp phases of price activity, as potential support or resistance, from which reactive moves can be seen. It might be argued this was the case within the US 100 index. Interestingly, as impressive as the recovery from the March 11th low appeared, this was held and reversed by resistance at 20307, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of February to March weakness. See chart above. What Now? It would seem within the coming week, the first potential support to monitor on a closing basis is still the 19065 retracement, with 20307 continuing to represent possible resistance. While closing breaks of either of these levels won’t guarantee a significant price movement with much still dependent on the outcome of events across the week, a closing breakout may lead to a more extended price move in the direction of any break. Support: Closing breaks under the 19065 support might suggest resumption of recent declines, with risks possibly then emerging to test 18111, which is the deeper 50% retracement, may be even further if this is in turn breached. Resistance: If 20307 is broken to the upside on a closing basis, it may lead to a further retracement of the February to March weakness, with the 50% level standing at 20679, or even 21050, which is the higher 62% retracement. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
NASDAQ Bullish Reversal (Potential Tariff Resolution?) NASDAQ price action went through a massive correction with a drop from the top worth approx. 14%. However after the passing of the latest FOMC Meeting, we may finally see a direction towards the resolution of widespread tariff based uncertainty across the macro economic landscape. This presents us with a potential Reversal opportunity if we see the formation of a credible Higher High (given a potential proper break out) on the 4 HR and shorter timeframes. Trade Plan : Entry @ 20045 Stop Loss @ 19070 TP 0.9 - 1 @ 20923 - 21020
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by LevelsBySBT
Precision Trading – How Our Trade Played Out PerfectlyIn trading, precision and patience are everything. We don’t chase trades—we wait for the perfect confluence of technical factors to align. This trade idea followed our systematic approach, utilizing ranges, Fibonacci levels, internal & inducement liquidity, break of structure (BOS), entry confirmation patterns, and harmonics. Here’s a breakdown of how it all unfolded. 1. Identifying the Range Before executing, we mapped out the market structure to establish a clear range. The price action showed a well-defined consolidation zone, which helped us anticipate liquidity grabs and potential reversal points. 2. Fibonacci Confluence – 38.20% Level Using the Fibonacci retracement tool, we identified the 38.20% level as a strong reaction point. This aligned with other key technicals, increasing our confidence in the trade setup. 3. Internal & Inducement Liquidity Liquidity is key in trading. We spotted internal liquidity zones where price was likely to manipulate weak hands before the actual move. Inducement liquidity was also present, providing additional confirmation that price would tap into deeper levels before reversing. 4. Break of Structure (BOS) and Entry Confirmation Once BOS occurred in alignment with our anticipated liquidity grab, we looked for our entry pattern. The market printed a textbook confirmation, allowing us to enter with precision and minimal risk. 5. Harmonic Pattern for Additional Confluence The final piece of confirmation was a harmonic pattern, further validating our entry. These patterns, when combined with our overall strategy, add an extra layer of probability to our trades. Trade Outcome The execution was flawless! 🎯 The price respected our levels, moved in our favor, and hit our target zones with precision. This is the power of structured analysis and disciplined execution. 📉 Key Takeaway: Never trade blindly! Always have a solid confluence of technicals before taking a trade. 🔎 What’s your go-to confirmation before entering a trade? Let’s discuss in the comments! 📩 #ForexTrader #ForexLifestyle #ForexSignals #DayTrading #TradingMindset #ForexMoney #PipsOnPips #ForexSuccess #ForexMotivation #MillionaireMindset #TradingStrategy #FXMarket #ForexWins #TradeSmart #MarketAnalysis #WealthBuilding #Investing #PriceAction #ChartAnalysis #Scalping #SwingTrading #FinancialFreedom #MakingMoneyMoves #HustleHard #NoDaysOff #MoneyMindset
FX:NAS100
by Vusizwe_Capital
Monday NasDaqMorning Buddy, Today I hope to see 2 things that I have put on my Journal, 1 : Nas is within a daily FVG which seems weak to hold, but enough to create a manipulative retracement, either into the highlighted zone, which is a weekly bullish candle. 2 : The gap gets slowly taken, increasing FOMO trading and then retraces leaving $ lows, should this happen I expect to see the market retrace in a way that makes 15 minutes charts going down to 5, seem completely bullish. I will drop a video later today to keep up with the charts. Stay tuned. Happy Trading
FX:NAS100
by TheDemoTrader_SA
Bear Market FormingVery big things happening in the economy this quarter, mainly trade wars, real wars, and new policies. Job cuts 100k+ government job cuts, 25-50k more expected in the coming months. In addition to 35k tech layoffs, and 38,956 retail job cut announcement. So probably 225k+ jobs lost this year The number of people employed part-time for economic reasons increased by 460,000 to 4.9 million in February. Tarrifs are divided, some calling it inflationary, but statements from JPM: "Roughly half of the GDP decline from higher tariffs is attributed to a negative sentiment shock related to rising trade policy uncertainty." and RBC: "Based on 2024 import data from Canada, Mexico, and China, the announced tariffs could boost total U.S. tariff revenues by about $300 billion" at least show potential offsets. War has been ongoing, but increased economic activity from Russia, and stimulus in the EU increase liquidity in the markets. But all of that is going to take time to settle, so you cant write off another 6 months of a downtrend of up to 10% in equities - until we get more information introduced to the market.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Trendytrend
1
NAS100 OUTLOOKAnalysis of NAS100 (H4 Timeframe) Key Observations: Downtrend Structure The market has been in a consistent downtrend since February 2025. Lower highs and lower lows indicate strong bearish momentum. Key Support Zone (Near 19,225) The price is currently sitting at a critical support level. If buyers step in, we could see a bounce to previous resistance levels. If this level breaks, the next potential target could be around 18,800 - 18,700. No Clear Bullish Signs Yet The price is still making lower highs. A bullish reversal would require a strong rejection or bullish candlestick pattern at support. Possible Trade Setups Bullish Setup (Buy Trade - If Support Holds) ✅ Entry: If price forms a bullish reversal pattern around 19,225 - 19,300. 🎯 Target: First target 19,800, second target 20,400. 🛑 Stop-Loss: Below 19,100 to avoid fakeouts. 📈 Confirmation: Look for bullish engulfing candles or double-bottom formations. Bearish Setup (Sell Trade - If Support Breaks) ❌ Entry: Below 19,100 after a strong bearish close. 🎯 Target: First target 18,800, second target 18,600. 🛑 Stop-Loss: Above 19,400 to protect against false breakdowns. Final Thoughts: Right now, NAS100 is at a make-or-break level. If buyers defend support, a rally to 19,800+ is likely. If support breaks, expect a further drop to 18,800 or lower. Wait for confirmation before entering a trade.
FX:NAS100
by THE_FOREX_BLUEPRINT
1
$NAS100 in correction mode. Is a bounce coming?Market experts will say 10% is a correction 20% is a bear market. In the last 5 years NASDAQ100 has been in the bear market 2 times. Once during COVID19 and another time during the FED Rate hike cycle. And it has been in correction mode in Aug 2024 when the Yen carry trade unwound. Since Aug 2024 PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 has shown great strength with higher highs and higher lows and perfectly within the upward slopping Fib Retracement channel as shown in the chart below respecting the major fib levels and bouncing off from the 0.618 Fib retracement level every time it had a drawdown. The current correction in PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is very close to the 0.618 Fib retracement level which is currently at 18700. This will indicate another potential downside of 2-3 % and if the Fib levels are supposed to holds then we will see a bottom @ 18700 and a bounce back from those levels. This will also bring down the RSI to low 30s which will indicate an oversold position. Verdict: Start DCA into $ NAS100 and go long 18700.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Long
by RabishankarBiswal
NAS100 Is Bullish! Long! Take a look at our analysis for NAS100. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 19,181.5. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 19,921.0 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by SignalProvider
2