NDQUSD trade ideas
BUY Stop on Nas100/US100this is a tricky trade where I'm looking for the break of tht high represented by the light bulb 💡the break above it is a confirmation for the buy entry any moves down or failure of breakage means it's an invalidated trade
Trade war impact on Nasdaq 100Trade wars are escalating, and this time the United States is in conflict with nearly every major economy. In this video, I explain why this shift could have a massive impact on global markets and what it means for traders right now.
I walk through the historical parallels from 95 years ago, when similar tariffs deepened the Great Depression and led to an 80 percent drop in the Dow Jones. A decade later, World War II followed. While no one wants to see that repeated, economic tension is clearly building.
We take a closer look at the Nasdaq 100, which is now trading below its 200-day moving average. I explain why the technical setup suggests further downside and how traders might look to short into rallies rather than chase the current move.
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USTEC Sell Limit Trade Idea⏳ Expires: 02/04/2025 - 12:00
Market Outlook
A 5-wave bearish count has completed at 18,818, indicating potential downside.
The 261.8% Fibonacci extension from 20,363 to 19,765 is located at 18,796, reinforcing bearish momentum.
Equities opened higher due to an overnight positive theme, but previous support at 19,423 has now turned into resistance.
Trade Details
Entry (Sell Limit): 19,415
Stop Loss: 19,555 (-140 points)
Take Profit: 19,125 (+290 points)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.07:1
Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: 19,415 (Bespoke Resistance)
R2: 19,423 (Previous Support Turned Resistance)
R3: 20,636
Support:
S1: 19,157
S2: 19,124
S3: 18,796 (Fibonacci Extension Target)
Technical & Fundamental Factors
✅ Bearish 5-Wave Count Completed – Suggests potential for further downside.
✅ Fibonacci Resistance at 18,796 – Aligns with key technical levels.
✅ Previous Support Turned Resistance – 19,423 may act as a rejection zone.
⚠️ ISM Manufacturing PMI Release (01/04/2025 at 15:00) – Potential market-moving event to watch.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NASDAQ: Wave Analysis & Forecast for April-MayHello, traders! Let’s analyze the current wave structure of the NASDAQ index.
At the moment, there is a high probability that the index is forming wave C of a correction. Most likely, this is a horizontal expanded correction.
✅ Sub-wave 1 of wave C has already formed.
✅ Sub-wave 2 is also likely completed.
On Friday, the index showed a strong decline and closed at the day’s lows, indicating a high probability of further downside movement next week.
What’s next?
We expect the formation of the third sub-wave within wave C. Most likely:
🔻 The index will continue to decline toward 17,700, where the 38% Fibonacci level is located.
🔻 The key support zone is 17,300.
🔻 After a short correction, the decline may extend to 16,300.
🔻 In a deeper scenario – down to 15,700-15,000.
Technical factors
⚡ The price failed to break above the 200-day moving average, bounced off it, and started declining.
⚡ The next major support is the 200-week moving average, around 16,200.
⚡ Throughout April – May, the market is likely to remain in a correction phase.
Once key levels are reached, we expect a potential reversal and new highs in the second half of 2025.
Stay tuned and share your thoughts in the comments!
Nasdaq - The Most Decisive Point Ever!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) might break below all structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After breaking above the major channel resistance trendline just a couple of months ago, the Nasdaq is now being dominated by bears and starting to break everything back to the downside. So far we didn't see any confirmation but the next couple of days will decide just everything.
Levels to watch: $20.000, $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nasdaq market analysis: 03-APRIL-2025Good morning Dear Traders! Join me for Nasdaq market analysis for the today. Share your charts, ask questions, and let's discuss trading strategies.
USTEC Buy Setup – Reversal Signal & Smart Money AccumulationTechnical: After a sharp decline, TRADENATION:USTEC has found support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. A reversal candle on March 31, followed by a bullish confirmation on April 1, suggests a potential bottom. Today’s small pullback ahead of Liberation Day may offer a buying opportunity.
Fundamental: While concerns over tariff implementation persist, the market may have already priced in the worst-case scenario. Any outcome perceived as "less bad than expected" could trigger a short-term rebound. Additionally, increased commercial interest in TRADENATION:USTEC signals that smart money is positioning for a move higher.
Risk & Reward: This is a speculative setup due to ongoing tariff uncertainties, but it presents an attractive risk-reward opportunity.
📈 Trade Idea:
Entry: 19308
Stop Loss: 18766
Target: 20726
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US100Price is back to retest H4 support that was broken and it looks like buyers have no more pressure. Got the bearish flag on M15 and if broken we could see price back down to 18,800
$NQ CorrectionPrice clearly is going towards Sellside Liquidity.
The standard deviation shows -2 to -2.5 is where price would reverse from and its also aligned with Sellside liquidity.
Idea: Bearish.
Not looking good for TradFi.First (38.2%) and second (61.8%) support level as shown.
Ichimoku cloud also turning bearish again.
Will the crypto market be pulled along, or will it finally decouple (less likely)?
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – The Way of the Silent Blade
⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate.
We do not react—we execute.
Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword.
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
🩸 Bullish Structure Shatters -
Key Break Confirms the Path – 19980
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters
Key Break Confirms the Path – 19840 Zone
our reversal always at key level
even a reversal area is well studded
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set.
Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
Potential Reversal on the NAS100. key level around 20700.0?The Nas100 has been in a downtrend since mid-February, primarily due to President Trump's tariffs, among other factors. The bearish trend began at a high of 22225.5 and has aggressively declined to 19171.0 without any significant corrections on the 1-day chart. However, currently, the price is forming a correction phase, and I am focusing on the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which is around 20700.0. This level coincides with a previous weekly higher high and higher low area.
Now on the 1D Chart
We can observe that the price bounced from 19171.0. After being choppy for a few days, the price has now broken the lower high structure. It appears that the price is aiming to return to the key level around the 20700.0 area, where we also have the aforementioned weekly levels.
The price seems to be making a gradual approach to the mentioned level, which I find favourable. As this develops on the daily chart, I will continue to monitor this setup in preparation for a bearish sell opportunity, when the price breaks the 1-day correction.
Thank you for reading! 🙋🏼♂️
Moustafa! NASDAQ 16.03 Warren Buffett would wink to me right now- If you want to know the moves of the market whales, you have to think as you are one of them! then you need to think big! and analyse on the large time frames!
- Open the weekly frame then you will notice the biggest rising channel in the history of Nasdaq which started to form on March 2020! then you will find that the index touched already twice its upper and lower line! which validated that channel! inside it you would find other smaller channels! but have a look on when the whales including the great Warren Buffett sold a big portion of his stocks! before it reaches the upper line! for a clear reason!
- I believe that chart is showing everything and the people in charge in this world is setting simply reasons to make it happen! any reasons you could imagine! just to make it work out! for example Trump winning or his created agenda of tariffs and the response back from the attacked countries to set other tariffs in return! a trade war! which no one knows when and how it would end! and how will exactly the consequences be in the medium and long term! but why we would not think that the stocks markets were not planned to crash from the early beginning?! nothing is not planned and they know exactly what they are doing! and what they will and how!
- You remember me creating an idea since two months and predicted that a huge bearish wave would hit this index and us 30 too and could be the biggest one in that index history! no one believed me! but now only all know that I was right! and Here I am, coming again with an idea for a medium and long term time frames predicting the next move and will tell you why!
- I said before that you would find series of red weekly candles and look now, we reached our 4th bearish weekly candles and moreover in a row! and this wave is the 7th fastest bearish waves in Nasdaq history! the 4th candle closed under the moving average 50! imagine that the last week candle closed under the average of the last 50 WEEKS candles! just imagine that!
- Just observe with me, that between September 2022 and January 2023, the price formed a double bottom pattern after a very strong bearish trend, was enough to turn the index completely bullish for a complete 2 years till February 2025! but now between December 2024 and February 2025, the index formed exactly the opposite! a double top pattern also on the weekly chart!
- In trading, there is a simple rule but not many traders know about it! that every long wick MUST and WILL be filled sooner or later! then have a look on the weekly candle lower long massive wick from the week of carry trade of 05.08.2024! remember that week as we will return back to its low! (the TP2) as the massive pull back happened after its settle on the MA50 exactly, then went up non-stop literally in a huge bullish rally leaving behind a wick could fill the space between the sky and the ground! This wick will be filled in this wave!
- Consider please the area I highlighted in yellow in a square! that is an area without any volume and each time recently the price go in that area, would try to return back so fast with a power! that would explain Friday 15.03.2025 massive push up for more than 2% to the upside! as if it would fell down, so no interest from traders in any price that! which means in case it would return back and fall in that area, the index would travel to its end non stop!
- The target of the massive double top pattern is 18330 but my TP1 is before that level! as the index did not reach back to test the high of the weekly candle of 20.05.2024 so there a retrace to the upside would happen! but temporarily! but on the weekly! so it could be looking like a big retrace on lower time frames!
- Let us say that market could open bullish on Monday then any good news would take place or whatever which would lead to a bullish wave! I would say no chance to go further up more than 20845! and the weekly candle would close under that price, as that the neck line of the massive double top pattern on the weekly chart!
- My TP 3 is so critical and the most important support and resistance level, when the index broke that resistance in the week of 15.01.2024 and never tested it back on the weekly chart! so I believe it is the time, that will happen!
- My TP4 is the deepest price we could reach to which is at the MA 200 and another top of the week 31.07.2024 which the index did not test too and it was also a strong resistance level! and by reaching there, would mean reaching to the lower line of the rising channel! or I expect it would reach there when the index reaches in same time the lower rising channel line! but I can guarantee the price but can not expect how long time it would take to reach there!
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Nasdaq in Correction: Technical Targets and Weekly OutlookWe can observe that Nasdaq has started a new corrective leg since its last recovery in early Q3 2024. Currently, the index is experiencing its first rebound and test of the 20-period moving average (MA20, in green) since this average turned downward. Typically, this scenario triggers a selling reaction, with the first target at the previous low of 19,200. If selling pressure intensifies, the next projections are at 18,300 and 17,900.
However, from a weekly perspective, there is still room for a deeper correction, potentially reaching the 200-period moving average (MA200), which is currently at 15,690. When applying a Fibonacci retracement to the last major bullish leg (Oct 10, 2022 – Feb 17, 2025), we see that the 50% retracement level aligns closely with the weekly MA200 at 16,300.
We know that price movements do not follow a straight line but rather unfold in waves. Given this context, the bias remains bearish, and I see further corrections ahead in the U.S. market.
Nasdaq Short: Top of channelThis is similar to the S&P500 short idea. In fact, they complement each other. While S&P500 has breached the top trendline, Nasdaq hits the trendline.
Also something different from S&P500 is that the Nasdaq correction unfolds is 5 waves instead of 3 in S&P500.
Place the stop loss where I indicated and you should be fine to take one a positional short.
Good luck!
20323.3-20647.3 The key is whether it can rise above this level
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The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
Let's talk about the NAS100 chart.
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(NAS100 1M chart)
I think the stock market is fluctuating due to the rapidly changing situation and various economic issues.
Therefore, I think it is not easy to analyze index charts such as NAS100 and US30.
However, since the HA-High indicator of the current 1M chart is newly generated and is showing a downward trend, if it does not rise above 20647.3 when the competition starts, it is likely to eventually fall.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, it is necessary to check for support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.5 (15898.2) ~ 0.618 (17130.8).
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(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 19598.6, the HA-Low indicator point of the 1D chart, and rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
If not, it is expected that it will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and determine the trend again.
Currently, the price is being maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, so it is maintaining an upward trend in the medium to long term.
Therefore, when the competition starts, you should respond depending on whether the price is being maintained above or below the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart.
Currently, the short-term support zone is 19269.9-19598.6, and the medium to long-term resistance zone is 20323.3-20647.3.
Even if it is supported and rises in the short-term support zone, if it fails to break through the medium to long-term resistance zone, it will eventually fall.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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US100US100 is in bearish trend,
printing LH and LL.
Alligator indicator also indicates price will go down.
We sell at CMP.
Good times still to roll on after correction.Bear flag forming at the edge of the channel. The flag pole came down with good volume and flag itself (consolidation) on decrease volume therefore good probability of more downside. If that happens that could create a Wycoff spring and resume the current trend.
