DXY Shorts 2025DXY's Trump rally seems to have run out of juice with Tarif wars ad uncertainty. Looking major sellside to be taken in the future. At the moment favouring a retracement into Equilibrium of range into monthly buyside-imbalance sellside-inefficiency. Latets CoT Report shows a start to the selling from non-commercial entities.
USXUSD trade ideas
U.S. Dollar IndexHello Dear Traders
This is the updated analysis of the DXY chart. Last week, I explained its bullish trend to you, and this week I was waiting for the necessary confirmations for entry based on last week’s analysis. With this 1-hour confirmation, we can say that this chart has fully turned bullish, and the targets remain as stated in the previous analysis.
Therefore, we can consider sell entries on the Euro, Pound, Australian Dollar, and New Zealand Dollar, while conversely, we can enter buy positions on the Japanese Yen, Canadian Dollar, and Swiss Franc.
Thank you for your support. A very simple and clear chart has been drawn for your use.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
DXY Analysis: Rejection from Resistance – More Downside AheadWelcome back, guys! I'm Skeptic, and let's start the week with a DXY analysis.
This is a crucial period for the dollar index, with many significant events unfolding—one of the most important being Trump’s tariff war. Now, let’s break down the technical outlook on DXY.
1D Timeframe
Looking at the daily chart, we can see that DXY has been rejected from a key resistance zone. Additionally, since it has formed a lower high, I still maintain my previous analysis that DXY is currently undergoing a correction within its previous uptrend. This means we could see further declines. The key support level to watch here is the 35% Fibonacci retracement zone at 105.720.
4H Timeframe – Finding a Trigger
On the 4H chart, we had a daily resistance zone that was briefly broken but turned out to be a fake breakout. This suggests that liquidity has been swept above the resistance, liquidating long positions, and now the market has more momentum to push downward.
The main short trigger is at 106.188, but depending on momentum, we could potentially enter even earlier on lower timeframes.
Key Risk Factor: While we are currently in a correction phase, the major trend is still an uptrend. That means risk should be managed carefully, and trades should be closed sooner than usual.
Final Thoughts
Thanks for sticking around until the end of the analysis. From now on, I’ve decided to publish separate analyses for indices, forex pairs, and BTC instead of grouping them into one post. Let me know what you think about this new format— do you prefer everything in one post, or is this better?
See you in the next analysis! 🚀
DXY Shorts March 2025DXY's Trump rally seems to have run out of juice with Tarif wars ad uncertainty. Looking major sellside to be taken in the future. At the moment favouring a retracement into Equilibrium of range into monthly buyside-imbalance sellside-inefficiency. Latets CoT Report shows a start to the selling from non-commercial entities.
ECB rate cut and NFPs await the DXYThe DXY dropped to fresh yearly lows at 106.13 since my previous idea which does not bode well for my string of ideas calling for the DXY to break above 110.16. The DXY however managed to climb back above the blue support range between 107.12 and 107.50 at the back end of last week off the back of a stronger than expected durable goods orders m-o-m print of 3.1% while the 4Q2024 GDP print and the m-o-m Core PCE price index landed in line with expectations at 2.3% and 0.3%, respectively.
The headlining events for this week is the ECB interest rate meeting and the NFPs for February. Market expectations are for the ECB to cut rates from 2.9% to 2.65%. The ECB has held a more dovish stance than the Fed since the rate cutting cycle began and if it’s more of the same on Thursday, I expect the DXY to find strong footing which will allow it to re-test the 50-day MA at 107.98. Most of the focus will however be on the US non-farm payroll print for February.
The NFPs print for January came in slightly lower than expected and another weak print on Friday will have investors question the validity of Powell’s statement that the US economy is strong and that the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates, which I expect will be dollar negative. A strong print however will allow the DXY to hold levels above the 50-day MA and test levels closer to the 61.8% Fibo retracement at 108.97.
DXY Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is trading in an uptrend
And the index is already making
A bullish rebound from the
Rising support line so we are
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Reaction and move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
DXY|LONG SETUPHello, I hope you have a great week ahead. This is my outlook for the Dollar Index, and please feel free to leave your comments and share your own perspective with me.
Initially, on the lower timeframes, I expect a rise to the 108.570 level and a potential breakout into this resistance zone. Afterward, I anticipate a drop to 105.888, which could mark the start of a sharp upward trend from this level. This is just my analysis, not a signal.
DXY Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 107.566.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 108.420 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
DXY Trading Journal March 2 Previous week in reviewDXY Trading Journal
March 2 Previous week in review
Price had a up closed candle on the weekly taking out previous weeks buy/sell stops.
Monday price takes out previous weeks sell stops and from Dec and closes with a up closed candle.
Tuesday Price raliies to take the buy stops from Monday and aggressively lowers.
Wednesday opens to take Tuesdays lows and then rallies to the high side and creates equal lows.
Thursday opens with a volume unbalance and takes buy stops and rebalances the FVG created from the previous Thursday, i also note a large range day.
Friday Price energetically rallies to take the equal highs with the body of the candle coming to the CE of the SIBI its rebalancing.
Price started the week in a discount on the .79 breaking lower at the start of the week to then seek higher prices.