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USD Index (USX) / US Dollar

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U.S. Dollar Index . 1MLong-term DXY (Dollar Index) Analysis Greetings to all valued followers, This is a long-term analysis and macroeconomic outlook based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), carefully charted with key reactive zones highlighted. Within this analysis, significant support levels, imbalance zones, and liquidity pools are outlined, which can guide your market decisions as the price reaches these areas. Key Zones Based on the Monthly Timeframe Support (Monthly): 97.441 This level is considered the primary support. It’s expected that, should the price reach this zone, a reaction or corrective rally might unfold. Support (Monthly): 94.629 This is the secondary support, which acts as the next target if the previous support is broken. Typically, these supports indicate potential reversal points or short-term retracements. Imbalance Zone (Unfinished Business): Range: 91.782 – 91.436 This zone represents an Imbalance, signalling a strong disequilibrium in the market. The market will likely revisit this area to restore balance (rebalancing). Significance: It acts as a Liquidity Magnet — if the Federal Reserve fails to provide sufficient liquidity and the support line is broken, the price will tend to continue downward into this zone to gather the required liquidity for economic rebuilding and confirmation of a bearish trend. Liquidity Pool: Liquidity (M): 89.209 This is a liquidity pool where, should the bearish momentum persist, the price is expected to test or reach this level. A significant volume of buy and sell orders are accumulated here, making it a crucial target for further downside. Charting Summary and Outlook: The monthly supports at 97.441 and 94.629 are key areas to watch, with market reactions to be evaluated via Order Blocks and Break of Structure (BOS) signals. The imbalance zone between 91.782 and 91.436 may trigger a retracement within the ongoing downtrend — traders should look for confirmation signals in price action. If the market fails to gather enough liquidity in these zones, the next downside target would be around 89.209, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend.
TVC:DXYShort
by fereydoon1199
Persistent concerns about the US economy are weighing on the DXY US-China tensions deepened as President Trump criticized China’s rare earth exports and threatened broader tech restrictions and visa cancellations for Chinese students. He also vowed to double tariffs on foreign steel to 50% to strengthen the US steel industry. April headline PCE inflation eased to 2.1% (prev. 2.3%, cons. 2.2%), partly soothing tariff-related inflation concerns. DXY broke below the 99.00 threshold and dropped to a 6-week low. EMA21 is widening its gap with EMA78, suggesting a potential extension of the bearish structure. If DXY breaks below the support at 98.00, the index may decline further to 97.00. Conversely, if DXY reclaims the resistance at 99.00 and breaches above EMA21, the index could advance to 99.50.
TVC:DXY
by inkicho_exness
DXY Analysis Next Week After Market OpenUS tariff policy is becoming a key variable affecting the Fed's interest rate policy. Current tax policies are facing negative reactions and declining support rates, creating pressure on the US government to promote trade agreements and implement tax cuts to stabilize the economy. At the FOMC monetary policy meeting in May, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, showing a cautious stance on inflation risks and low unemployment rates. The latest employment figures show that the possibility of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged at the June meeting is very high. As inventory accumulation can increase inflation, the Fed will wait for a clearer assessment of the impact of tax policies before making a decision. Accordingly, the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates up to 3 times in the second half of the year is low. The US dollar is expected to continue to decline to adjust Best regards StarrOne !!!
TVC:DXYShort
by StarrOne
1
Bretton Woods 2.0?Examining the long-term trend of TVC:DXY since the 1980s, we might be facing a staggering 40% reduction in valuation, potentially landing us around 60. If the US were to devalue the dollar this drastically, could it effectively erase the national debt? 🤔 Is Trump bold enough to consider such a move? We know the FED is going to cut eventually, the question is when and by how much? Initial claims came in higher than estimated, with cracks beginning to show in the labor market, how much longer can JPow hold out?
TVC:DXY
by httpz
Bearish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 100.21 1st Support: 99.08 1st Resistance: 101.14 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
Dollar Index (DXY) Completes Correction, Resumes DowntrendThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for the Dollar Index (DXY) indicates that the cycle from the January 13, 2025 high is unfolding as an impulse pattern, characterized by a five-wave structure moving in the direction of the larger trend. The decline from the January 13, 2025 high began with wave (1), which concluded at 106.96. This was followed by a corrective rally in wave (2), peaking at 109.88. The Index then resumed its downward trajectory in wave (3), reaching 97.92, before a corrective wave (4) rally ended at 101.99, as illustrated in the 1-hour chart below. Currently, wave (5) is in progress, unfolding as another impulse in a lesser degree. From the wave (4) high, wave (i) concluded at 100.27, followed by a corrective wave (ii) rally ending at 101.259. The Index continued lower in wave (iii) to 99.33, with a subsequent wave (iv) rally peaking at 100.118. The final leg, wave (v), completed at 98.69, finalizing wave ((i)). The corrective wave ((ii)) unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure, with wave (w) reaching 99.87. Index then pullback in wave (x) to 99.48, before concluding wave (y) at 100.54. The Index has now turned lower in wave ((iii)). In the near term, as long as the pivot at 101.99 remains intact, the Dollar Index should extend its decline, potentially reaching new lows as the impulse wave continues.
TVC:DXY
by Elliottwave-Forecast
DXY 15-Minute Technical & Fundamental AnalysisDXY 15-Minute Technical & Fundamental Analysis DXY has reclaimed momentum, trading at 99.300, after strong U.S. economic data and a hawkish tone from Fed officials signaled policy stability — boosting short-term confidence in the U.S. dollar. On the 15-minute chart, we’re seeing a bullish structure reinforced by clean liquidity manipulation and institutional flow. Price confirmed bullish intent after breaking above minor key resistance at 99.250, triggering a wave of buy-side momentum. A brief liquidity hunt below 99.250 followed — a textbook manipulation phase — before buyers stepped back in. DXY then formed Higher Highs and Higher Lows, indicating a well-supported uptrend. Price is now sitting inside the liquidity zone, where smart money often positions for the next leg up. 📊 Trade Setup 📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 99.140 (Buy Limit) 🛡 Stop-Loss: 98.990 (Below liquidity grab and minor support) 🎯 Take Profit: 99.610 (Next minor resistance / 1:3 RR) This setup aligns with institutional behavior, offering a high-probability entry for short-term trend continuation. 📰 Fundamental Outlook 🇺🇸 USD Strength Backed by Short-Term Fundamentals Resilient U.S. Data: Retail sales and durable goods orders beat forecasts, signaling economic strength and limiting downside for the dollar. Fed Stays Hawkish: Policymakers have reiterated their "higher for longer" stance, reducing expectations for rate cuts and supporting the dollar. Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical concerns and weak economic data abroad have driven flows back into the USD as investors seek stability. Yield Support: Elevated U.S. bond yields continue to attract foreign capital, giving additional strength to DXY. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by RebornFXTrader
BULLISH REVERSALThe frame of a possible trade On the Daily time frame, going back to what we can identify as the parent move price gapped to the upside, filled with wicks and candles, price moves to the upside leaving short-term lows(STL) Price retraced and took liquidity at STL On the Daily time frame, price expands violating a Daily Sell-side Imbalance Buy-side Inefficiency 05/29/25 Price gapped up, taking out liquidity at a STH If this price action implies bullishness, then price will have to take/deliver some form of sellside This is happening ahead of the Core PCE Price Index Data release on Friday 30/05/25
EIGHTCAP:USDXLong
by iseetrades