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DXY & BTC FOR NIGHT OWLSDXY & BTC FOR NIGHT OWLS You know, last Friday night I posted that DXY would see a corrective upward move toward the 104–105.3 range—just a corrective rise, mind you. At this moment, there’s a bit of a conflict between DXY and BTC. DXY wants to edge up slightly to that range after bottoming out around 101.7. Meanwhile, BTC is stuck, unable to rise alongside DXY, even though they’re currently in the same structural boat. This very “stuck” situation is what gave you a short position down below 74k—lower than the previous bottom of 76k. So now, as DXY climbs, BTC has the conditions to follow DXY’s lead. Here’s a key reminder: right now, DXY, BTC, and stocks (CK) are on the same team. XAU (gold), GBP, and EUR are on the opposing team. In the medium term, the gold camp has already taken profits, and naturally, GOLD will decline. Medium-term money is shifting back to USD and BTC. Will this shift provide enough momentum for BTC to surge strongly again? I don’t think so—not yet. DXY will likely cut interest rates soon, and the act of devaluing the US dollar’s peg will kick off shortly after. Enjoy the read!
TVC:DXYShort
by rainbow_sniper
DXY Breaking Down?The US Dollar Index (DXY) may be entering a strong bearish wave. After completing wave B, the market has started impulsive wave C to the downside. Currently, wave 3 might be ending, with a potential short-term bounce for wave 4, followed by a drop into wave 5. Key Bearish Outlook: Resistance Zone (Wave 4): 104.924 – 104.932 Invalidation Level: 106.505 Final Wave 5 Target: Near 93.422 If price stays below the invalidation level, more downside is expected. Watch for shorting opportunities if wave 4 completes and reverses.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Greenfireforex
DXY In Difficult Circumstances Since the Start 80's I decided to give a go at the Dollar Index given the circumstances around the world. And to be honest, I tried to put on the positive glasses. I believe the dollar has been in a complex correction since the mid 80's. Starting out with a large dump in '85 with the a-wave, the correction slowed down and only grew more and more complex. Thought about current wave: What I believe we are going through now is, that we are finishing up the purple C-wave in a green (C)-wave. This wave can end at any time now, since it's now at the 61.8% fib level of the purple A-wave. But it might go down to the 95 level (The green box) to complete at the 100% fiblevel of the purple A-Wave. But first we will have the fourth wave meaning the DXY is gonna struggle for some weeks. Because we had a swift two week wave 2, which means we are probably going have a slow fourth wave according to the rule of alternation. This mean the purple C-wave could drag out into the end of '25 into early '26. This is also with that in mind that a C-wave most likely will take longer than an A-wave. These are the Purple boxes. BUT, after this, DXY is gonna experience some happy years again, going back up to the yellow box somewhere between 110 and 120 to finish the WXY of x of the larger degree. This will take DXY into a couple of years bull-run as long as the green (C) wave runs and completes no earlier than late '27, depending when the purple C-wave prior to the green (C) wave ends. But I believe the green (C)-wave will take about two years to complete. But after this, DXY could again go into some dark ages and considering the high degree purple w-wave took 23 years to complete (blue giant box), there is no reason to believe this high degree purple y-wave will be a swift matter and actually don't complete before the year 2050. And it will take the DXY all the down to start 60's or lower. The reason I said I tried to put on the positive glasses, is that I tried seeing the white channel as a leading diagonal for a new bull run, but I just don't see it as such. I also tried seeing it as a C-wave of a flat diagonal, but this would result in another C-wave afterwards, and also take us down to the 60's level. So that didn't do us any good. For the sake of DXY, I hope I'm wrong, but this is how I see it.
TVC:DXY
by TheDane
DeGRAM | DXY dollar in the turbulence zoneDXY is in a descending channel under the trend lines. The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel. After breaking the trend line, the chart went sharply lower amid the announcement of trade duties, after which it formed a gap. On the main timeframes indicators have gone into the oversold zone. We expect that the index will seek to close the gap after testing the lower boundary of the channel. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
TVC:DXYLong
by DeGRAM
1
DXY just broke below the 1W MA200 after 6 months!The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) broke today below its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 6 months (since the week of September 30 2024). By doing so, it has almost hit the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up. The last contact with the 1W MA200 initiated a massive Bullish Leg two weeks after, so it would be an encouraging development if the candle holds here or better yet even close above the 1W MA200. If it does, we expect a new strong Bullish Leg to start, targeting initially at least the 0.786 horizontal (blue) Fibonacci level at 108.000. If not, the 2-year Support Zone is the last defense, with 99.600 as its lowest level (the July 10 2023 Low). Below that, a multi-year downtrend for DXY awaits. Notice however, the incredible 1W RSI symmetry between selling sequences. Since January 2023, we've had two -54.50% declines. Right now, the current decline since January 2025 is exactly at -54.50%. If DXY rebounds here, it will confirm this amazing symmetry. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingShot