Bullish dollarIf price breaks above the resistance zone above, wait for retest and ride long. Dollar to a new all time high.
USXUSD trade ideas
Dollar forecast well targets clear stop loss set dxy Dollar forecast well targets clear stop loss set dxy
DXY ShortTrump’s Tariff War: A Threat to the US Dollar? 🇺🇸📉
Donald Trump’s latest tariff threats are sending ripples through the forex markets, and history suggests they could weigh heavily on the US Dollar. 💰⬇️
🔻 Why?
1️⃣ Trade Wars = Economic Uncertainty 🤯
Markets hate uncertainty. Tariffs disrupt global trade, slow down economic growth, and make investors rethink holding USD.
2️⃣ Risk-Off Shift = Less Demand for USD 📉
A trade war can weaken business confidence, pushing investors towards other safe-haven assets like gold or the Japanese Yen (JPY) instead of the dollar.
3️⃣ Inflation Pressure & Rate Cut Risks 🔥🏦
Higher import costs due to tariffs can drive up inflation. If inflation rises too fast, the Federal Reserve might need to step in with rate cuts, making USD even less attractive.
🔍 What to Watch?
If Trump pushes forward with aggressive tariffs, expect USD weakness—especially against currencies like EUR, JPY, and CHF as investors shift to alternative safe havens.
Will history repeat itself? Or will the dollar defy expectations? Keep an eye on market reactions! 👀📊 #Forex #USD #Tariffs
DXY - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Let me share my personal view on the DXY (Dollar Index) with you.
Based on the chart, I expect DXY to move upward and reach the range of 110.668 to 110.877.
However, if DXY breaks below the 107.500 level in the 1-hour timeframe, I expect it to move downward toward 106.731.
📉 Expectation:
Bullish Scenario: Upward move to 110.668–110.877.
Bearish Scenario: A break below 107.500, targeting 106.731.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 110.668, 110.877
Support: 107.500, 106.731
💬 What’s your outlook on DXY this week? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Trade safe
possibility of uptrendThe correction at the current support levels is expected to end and we will see the start of an upward trend.
Uptrend view on continuation
market is looking Bull and we are in correction phase so we suggest to from clear structure for continuation
Uptrend market
DXY updatePreviously on DXY.........
We had identified the potential for a retracement back into bearish move and we had highlighted some key point surrounding order flow.
fast-forward
Price action is chilling at the range midpoint, probably waiting for someone else to make the first move. Recent price action has been pretty efficient on approach, which sounds great until you realise that efficiency often means price can slip right through given enough volume.
The same goes for the area above current price. It’s weak, like my new year's resolutions. If the market decides to push, it won’t take much effort to break through.
Takeaways:
Price will leave the range. Eventually. Just don’t expect it to RSVP first.
Direction remains uncertain. Flip a coin? No. Wait for more data.
We need more evidence before making informed decisions—unless you enjoy trading on pure gut
And remember, stay hydrated, because watching your P&L evaporate is bad enough without your kidneys joining in.
DXY Trading JournalDXY Trading Journal
Feb 10
Price is delivering to a premium on the weekly and the daily chart. Last Price was seeking lower prices beginning of the week and then rebalanced the inefficiencies and equal lows/highs.
HTF price is rebalancing a SIBI and a daily SIBI.
On the range price created last week Price is delivering in a discount on that ranges .618.
I noted Price came to the CE of a hourly FVG and reversed. I suspect for Price to seek lower prices rebalancing the volume gap and seeking sell side liquidity.
Stay humble to the action being delivered and open to being to what is being d
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bullish Reversal From Trend LineThe dollar index has reached a significant upward trend line.
Following a sharp decline, the market appears to be overbought, with the formation of a cup and handle pattern indicating weakness in seller's activity.
I anticipate a retracement to 108.79.
SuperBowl Sunday Viper Weekly BreakdownSunday's we give a wide market breakdown of what we are looking at as possible outcomes for the upcoming week.
We cover DXY, US30, Forex, Gold, Oil and Crypto
Big CPI news week ahead that can really give these markets some volatility.
The weekly chart that indicates the $ will rally all of 2025
The weekly chart will tell us how things will probably playout in the months ahead.
The double bottom has much further to run.
In the immediate time-zone on a daily the dollar price is at the bottom of a triangle that it wants to have some more room.
I expect the dollar will continue its climb this week.
China - U.S. Tariff Trade War!🩸China has slapped the U.S. with 10% tariffs on Energy products & automobiles as a retaliation🩸
China’s tariffs on U.S. energy & cars will hurt American exporters by reducing demand & pushing down prices, affecting profitability. Energy producers may struggle with oversupply, while automakers like Tesla and Ford face declining sales in China.
The move escalates U.S.-China trade tensions, discouraging investment and increasing market volatility. While lower energy prices could help inflation, job losses in key industries may offset any benefits.
U.S. policymakers might respond with countermeasures. If tensions rise further, a broader trade conflict could emerge, increasing risks for the global economy.
DXY - Monthly - ShortWe have reached the FVG Monthly, which we have been striving for more than two years.
DXY is bearish, dont be caught off guardI've been saying this since beginning of this year. I've given macro reasons. The chart is also reflecting it now.
Monthly time frame
Dxy on the monthly formed an indecison candle. I'm expecting February to close bearish to complete the formation of evening star.
Wkly time frame
A close look at the weekly timeframe will show a double top forming. And it formed after taking a critical high. And evening star has already formed here. Last week price action caused a retest and rejection from the zone
Daily time frame
Now the daily time frame is filled with patterns pointing downwards.
We start with a 3 drive pattern that has been broken to the downside. Last weeks price action offered a retest and has also moved away from it with impulse.
We can also see a classic head and shoulder pattern. Some may be seeing double top depending on how you draw it.
Market has also been following a trendline since 30th September,2024. The trendline has been broken, retested and moved away from with impulse.
In all, the trend is down.
I wonder how you guys are missing all this
Now, I know you may be confused as a result of Trump's policies and sanctions and actions and inactions. fear not, he did the same in 2017, he wants dollar to be weaker to ease purchase for average Americans. The only thing he will offer is crazy spikes. That's all
The market has already recovered from his tariff shenanigans. It's all an illusion, a fugazi to swerve you from what is really happening, dollar will be weak. At least till 4th quarter of this year. My target is still 100. Let's see how it goes
You can use any of your strategy to look for buy in cross pairs like EUR ang GBP
I will also send some for you guys, just follow me to see it on time cos I mostly enter with buy order and not limit order.
Udo diri unu
DXY (Dollar index) short from 108.800My DXY analysis aligns with the expectation of a bearish move, which suggests that my pairs—EU and GU—could push higher. However, before that, we may see a minor pullback as price moves toward a demand zone.
Price has recently broken structure to the upside, leaving behind a fresh demand level. Once price reaches this area, I anticipate accumulation before a potential move upward. I will look for opportunities to capitalize on this movement across the pairs I trade, such as Gold, EU, and GU.
The price action has been very clean so far, which is promising, and we can expect more of the same as we move further into Q1.
Have a great week ahead and remain vigilant!
US CPI week for the DXY It has been a topsy turvy week for the dollar after the week opened with news of 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada from the US as well as a 10% import duty on Chinese goods. The DXY spiked to a high of 109.9 before closing the week marginally lower at 108.1. The weaker than expected US NFP print however and surprisingly provided support for the DXY. This week’s price action is indicative that the ABC corrective wave has run its course and that another leg higher towards 112 is on the cards for the DXY.
The critical support range is the blue range between 107.2 and 107.5. As long as the DXY remains above this range and maintain levels above the 50-day MA at 107.8 there is nothing stopping the DXY from moving higher as the dollar milkshake theory continues to suck the DXY higher.
A break below 107.2 will however invalidate the idea and allow the DXY to drop onto the 200-day MA level of 104.8.
It is CPI week for the DXY and a stronger than expected CPI print will allow the DXY to regain its momentum and commence the start of another leg higher for the index. The US CPI print for January, which is expected to remain unchanged at 2.9%, just like it did back for the December print. Inflation has been ticking higher since October last year, almost right after the Fed started their cutting cycle and anything other than an inline or lower than expected CPI print will have the DXY packing and making its way to 110 and 112 thereafter since it will indicate that the Fed will stay higher for longer.
A bullish DXY I think the dollar index TVC:DXY is gonna go higher coz of the recent price action. On the daily timeframe, we had a BOS and price created a swing failure as we couldn't close above the previous month's high. Price then retraced, took out internal range liquidity, tapped into a higher timeframe POI and reacted bullish (CISD). NFP triggered buy entries from the 4H OB, which rested below the pdl. Besides, the unemployment rate data indicates strengthening of the dollar as the rates have decreased from 4.3% to 4.0% in the past 6 months. I am confident jobs are increasing in the United States and unemployment rates will decrease
DXYThe U.S. Dollar Index (USDX), also known as DXY, DX, or informally the "Dixie," measures the value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of six foreign currencies. It was created by the U.S. Federal Reserve in 1973 after the Bretton Woods system ended. The index rises when the U.S. dollar gains strength compared to other currencies and falls when it weakens.
The USDX is calculated as a geometrically weighted average of the following currencies.
Euro (EUR): 57.6%
Japanese Yen (JPY): 13.6%
British Pound Sterling (GBP): 11.9%
Canadian Dollar (CAD): 9.1%
Swedish Krona (SEK): 4.2%
Swiss Franc (CHF): 3.6%
The value of the U.S. Dollar Index is influenced by the demand and supply of the U.S. dollar and the component currencies. Currency demand is affected by several factors, including monetary and trade policy, economic growth, inflation, geopolitical events, and financial market sentiment.
As of February 5, 2025, the U.S. gross national debt is $36.22 trillion8. On January 2, 2025, the debt limit was reinstated at $36.104 trillion. The United States breached the debt ceiling on January 21, 2025.
Here's how the debt may affect the U.S. government in the future:
Growing interest payments The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects that interest payments will total $952 billion in fiscal year 2025. Interest payments are projected to rise rapidly throughout the next decade, climbing to $1.8 trillion in 2035.
Strain on essential programs Programs that millions of Americans depend on may be squeezed by interest costs on the national debt.
Slower economic growth Unsustainable debt levels may lead to slower economic growth and increase the chances of a fiscal crisis.
Limited resources Larger explicit debt means more future receipts devoted to debt service, reducing funds for public goods and services.
Fiscal policy challenges The U.S. faces several fiscal policy challenges in 2025.
Increased borrowing costs The government's annual spending on net interest has more than tripled .
Unsustainable path The federal government is on an unsustainable fiscal path that poses serious economic, security, and social challenges if not addressed.
Growing Deficits The U.S. is projected to run a federal budget deficit of $1.9 trillion in fiscal year (FY) 2025.
High percentage of GDP Publicly held debt is projected to grow more than twice as fast as the economy, reaching 200% of the size of the economy by 2047.
many Americans don't know and don't see what is coming, its bigger than them .
disclaimer; trade at your risk and manage your risk, if you find yourself in a bad trade try as much as possible to come out of it.
DXY Deep Dive: A Structured Approach to Weekly Trade PreparationApplying the "Where, What, Next" Methodology for Multi-Timeframe Analysis
This example demonstrates how to conduct a structured weekly analysis using DG for long-term trades. The same methodology applies to shorter-term trades by starting with the weekly timeframe and refining the analysis down to 60-minute or even 15-minute charts.
Methodology Overview
1️⃣ Where is price? (Location in the focal timeframe and lower timeframes)
2️⃣ What is it doing? (Look at structure and flow: is it trending, rejecting, consolidating?)
3️⃣ What is next? (Anticipated flow: if an area is up, lower timeframe areas near it should also be up and act as strong support.)
DXY 3M with 12M – The Big Picture (Quarterly & Yearly View)
🔎 1️⃣ Where is price?
Price is in Quarterly Area 5 and within a Quarterly C-wave .
It rejected the static yearly top and sits in Yearly Area 4, in line with the yearly trend.
Currently below the yearly live and static ETOP, as well as the 3M live ETOP.
📊 2️⃣ What is it doing?
Trend, slope, and flow are all up , indicating strong bullish momentum.
The rejection from the yearly static ETOP suggests price is seeking new energy before resuming a move.
Price is hovering near potential PLdot refresh areas on both 3M and 12M .
🚀 3️⃣ What is next?
If price respects the 3M and 12M PLdot refresh areas (105.55-105.64) , expect a push higher.
If price fails to hold, then the next key support areas should be observed to assess structural integrity.
Alternative scenario : If price tests but fails to reclaim the 3M static ETOP, a downward correction may be in play.
DXY 1M with 3M – Monthly & Quarterly Context
🔎 1️⃣ Where is price?
Price recently completed a C-wave up and rejected Area 5 in February.
The PLdot refresh occurred in the static area, signaling a possible re-test zone.
It is currently trading in Area 4 , aligned with an upward trend.
📊 2️⃣ What is it doing?
The monthly trend, direction, and slope are up .
However, next month’s slope and PLdot are turning down , indicating a potential slowdown or congestion phase.
🚀 3️⃣ What is next?
For the 3M YES scenario to play out, the monthly timeframe should enter a congestion phase, allowing price to retest the 12M and 3M PLdot refresh areas before resuming upward movement.
If price fails to hold , the next downside structure should be evaluated.
DXY 1W with 1M – Weekly Execution Framework
🔎 1️⃣ Where is price?
Weekly price is currently in Area 3 and in the third candle of a downtrend.
Price closed below the PLdot, reinforcing short-term bearish sentiment.
📊 2️⃣ What is it doing?
The projected weekly direction suggests congestion as price tests previous support and resistance levels.
🚀 3️⃣ What is next?
Resistance Levels:
First resistance at the monthly live PLdot .
Stronger resistance at 109.16 - 109.27 (5-1 down monthly + 6-1 down weekly).
Support Levels:
First support at 6-5 Up monthly & 5-3 Up monthly.
Stronger support at static monthly PLdot & weekly static EBOT.
Very strong support at live monthly EBOT + previous week’s 5-2 & 5-2 extension around 106.5.
DXY 1D with 1W – Daily Execution Strategy
🔎 1️⃣ Where is price?
Daily price is in Area 4, with a CE candle projecting a target of ~108.5 for next week.
Friday’s direction was down, but the slope was swinging.
Monday’s expected direction is up.
📊 2️⃣ What is it doing?
First level of resistance : Weekly Live PLdot + static ETOP 108.16.
Stronger resistance :
6-6 Down + 5-2 Down levels.
CE target lies between these levels .
5-2 Down extension + Monday’s exhaust top = very strong resistance .
Support levels:
First support: Monday’s static PLdot at 107.8.
Stronger support: Weekly 5-3 Up.
Very strong support: Envelope bottom with 5-2 Up + 5-2 Up extension.
🚀 3️⃣ What is next?
Key Trading Insight:
If price fails to reach a C-wave target such as the bottom of the exhaust zone, it signals potential market reversal.
If price enters congestion, it should revisit 2-3 PLdots back—failure to do so signals a shift.
Final Thoughts & Key Takeaways
✅ Apply the "Where, What, Next" method for structured analysis —start with location, assess structure, then anticipate flow.
✅ Use PLdot refreshes & support/resistance zones as trade signals to gauge momentum.
✅ Monitor price reactions at projected targets —failure to reach them is itself an actionable signal.
✅ Multi-timeframe analysis ensures better trade execution —always align lower timeframes with higher timeframe trends.
📢 Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any financial losses incurred as a result of this analysis.
🔍 Stay disciplined, trade smart, and let price action guide you! 🚀
The US Dollar Index (DXY)This chart shows what has historically been a DXY "risk-off" area for risk assets and a DXY "risk-on" area.
US dollar will continue side way of 108-107Hey there on 4HTF US dollar looking for these three major point on level he keeps touch continue
Now we can see there 108 and will see touched downside 107 in this week where we can see a major support for buyers and will see again 109 ath record level
So this week we can see these three patterns will work as usual of US dollar
Good luck and follow like comment for more updates and analysis
