38.2% Retracement at 104.179 aligns with liquidity pool 61.8% Extension at 103.857 matches historical support
Momentum Dynamics:
⚡ RSI: Neutral at 48 with bearish divergence on 4H chart 📉 MACD: Bearish crossover confirmed below signal line
💡 Tactical Trade Blueprint
🎯 Intraday Buy Setup
Entry: 103.857 (Demand Zone & Fib 61.8% Convergence) 🛑 Stop Loss: 103.659 (Below Structural Support) 🎯 Take Profit 1: 104.179 (Immediate Resistance) 🎯 Take Profit 2: 104.500 (Mid-Term Resistance)
Rationale: Reversion play at deep Fib support with RSI hinting at oversold conditions.
🎯 Intraday Sell Setup
Entry: 104.179 (Resistance Zone & Fib 38.2% Retracement) 🛑 Stop Loss: 104.500 (Above Supply Cluster) 🎯 Take Profit 1: 103.857 (Immediate Support) 🎯 Take Profit 2: 103.659 (Structural Demand Zone)
Rationale: Bearish rejection likely at resistance with MACD confirming downside momentum.
📍 Strategic Outlook
Price consolidates between 103.857 (Fib 61.8%) and 104.179 (lower resistance). Sustained break above 104.500 opens path to 105.020. Downside risk escalates below 103.659 with 103.338 as next bearish target.
XAUUSD is and remains bullish. Majority of people are still wondering why gold is pushing up so much. Even with DXY short term strength, gold remains bullish. Ever since Trump joined the office the markets have become harder to navigate that is for sure. From Trump tweets to Trump tariffs. It has a massive affect on the market and we must adapt. We personally still believe gold will slowly chug away to $3150. It’s hard to predict especially when gold is in a “price discovery mode”. Don’t be too quick to sell and understand that sells will come into play once there is buyers exhaustion, no more fear in the market and no more unexpected Trump tariffs. Until then, all the sells we will get are purely profit taking. Be safe!
DXY Oh, look at that—the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is flexing its muscles again, and I’m here for it! 💪 The 4H chart is screaming “bullish flag” louder than a Wall Street bro at a crypto conference. After climbing to 104.377 in January, the DXY’s been chilling in a descending channel, playing coy at 104.290 as of March 31, 2025. But don’t let that fool you—this dollar’s about to break out like a reality TV star on a redemption arc! 📈
The chart’s got all the vibes: RSI at 0.382 (oversold, hello!), Stochastic RSI at 0.618, and a descending channel that’s basically begging to be broken. The RoadToAMillionClub on TradingView is calling for 107 by April’s end, and I’m inclined to agree. That’s a 2.7% pop—enough to make Euro bulls cry into their espressos ☕. Trump’s tariffs (25% on Mexico and China) are still shaking things up, and with inflation at 2.8%, the Fed’s not slashing rates anytime soon. The dollar’s got legs, baby, and it’s ready to sprint! 🏃♂️
Now, I know the dollar haters are out there, clutching their Bitcoin bags and muttering about “fiat doom.” Newsflash, HODLers: the DXY doesn’t care about your laser eyes or your “digital gold” dreams. Gold’s at $3,000, sure, but the dollar’s the real king here—sorry, not sorry! 😏 If this flag breaks above 104.5, we’re looking at 107 faster than you can say “Satoshi who?” So, are you riding this dollar wave, or are you still betting on the Euro to save the day? Let’s debate in the comments—I’m ready to hear your bearish tears! 🐻💬
BTCUSDT In his annual letter to investors on Monday, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink warned that if the U.S. doesn't get its debt under control and deficits keep ballooning, the country risks losing its world reserve currency status to digital assets like bitcoin. "It could undermine America's economic advantage if investors begin seeing bitcoin as a safer bet than the dollar."