$CNGDPYY -China's GDP (Q1/2025)ECONOMICS:CNGDPYY 5.4%
Q1/2025
source: National Bureau of Statistics of China
- China’s economy grew 5.4% year-on-year in Q1 of 2025,
maintaining the same pace as in Q4 and exceeding market expectations of 5.1%.
It remained the strongest annual growth rate in 1-1/2 years amid Beijing's ongoing stimulus.
The latest GDP readings were also buoyed by robust March activity:
industrial output rose at its fastest pace since June 2021, retail sales posted the biggest gain in over a year, and the surveyed jobless rate eased from a two-year high.
Fixed asset investment also slightly surpassed expectations in the first quarter.
On the trade front, exports recorded their strongest growth since October as firms accelerated shipments ahead of looming tariffs, while a drop in imports narrowed.
The statistics bureau said the Chinese economy was “off to a good and steady start” and highlighted the growing role of innovation.
However, intensifying trade tensions with the U.S. have quickly darkened the outlook, increasing pressure on Beijing to roll out additional support measures.
CNGDPYY trade ideas
$CNGDPYY -China 2024 GDP Meets Official Target ECONOMICS:CNGDPYY
Q4/2024
- The Chinese economy expanded by 5.4% yoy in Q4 2024, topping estimates of 5.0% and accelerating from a 4.6% rise in Q3.
It was the strongest annual growth rate in 1-1/2 years, boosted by a series of stimulus measures introduced since September to boost recovery and regain confidence.
For full year, the GDP grew by 5.0%, aligning with Beijing's target of around 5% but falling short of a 5.2% rise in 2023.
$CNGDPYY - China's GDP (Q3/2024)ECONOMICS:CNGDPYY Q3/2024
source: National Bureau of Statistics of China
-The Chinese economy expanded 4.6% YoY in Q3 of 2024,
compared with market forecasts of 4.5% and a 4.7% rise in Q2.
It marked the slowest annual growth rate since Q1 2023, amid persistent property weakness, shaky domestic demand, deflation risks, and trade frictions with the West.
The latest figures came as Beijing had intensified stimulus measures to boost economic recovery and rebuild confidence.
In September alone, there were some positive signs:
industrial output and retail sales both saw their largest increases in four months, and the urban jobless rate fell to a three-month low of 5.1%.
On the trade front, however, exports rose the least in five months while imports were sluggish. In the first three quarters of the year, the economy grew by 4.8%, compared with China’s full-year target of around 5%.
During the period, fixed investment rose by 3.4% yoy, topping consensus of 3.3%.