Business sentiment turning up which is usually bullish Since the 70's, a significant improvement in the US business sentiment, as measured by the US NFIB Business Optimism Index, usually translated in a higher S&P500 in the following months and year. The only exception being 2021 when the pandemic put a halt to the rise in the stock market (but did reco
Key data points
Last release
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Observation period
Mar 2025
Next release
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Forecast
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Highest
108.80 POINT on Aug 31, 2018
Lowest
80.10 POINT on Apr 30, 1980
About United States NFIB Business Optimism Index
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index is a composite of ten seasonally adjusted components calculated based on the answers of around 620 NFIB members. This questions include: plans to increase employment, plans to make capital outlays, plans to increase inventories, expect economy to improve, expect real sales higher, current inventory, current job openings, expected credit conditions, now a good time to expand, and earnings trend.
MACRO MONDAY 33 ~ U.S. NFIB Business Optimism Index MACRO MONDAY 33 ~ NFIB
National Federation of Independent Business Index (NFIB)
Released Tuesday 13th Feb 2024
Think of the NFIB small business index as a sentiment index, a sort of mood meter for small businesses. The higher the index, the more optimistic small businesses will be about spending
USBOI and SPXThere appears to be a correlation between the U.S. NFIB Business Optimism Index (USBOI) and the S&P 500. When the Stochastic RSI of the USBOI was oversold to the 2.67 level, the S&P 500 tended to outperform thereafter. Interestingly enough, this signal is currently oversold at that level meaning the
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