Oil Leads -> PPI -> CPI aka Inflation💵 Unpopular Opinion💵
PPI MoM came in today lower than expected at 0.2! But as we can see here below. OIL price is curving up. OIL leads, then PPI ( Producer Price Index ) goes up, leading to Consumer Price Index goes up! 😭
Oil 📈 PPI 📈 CPI 📈
"Soft Landing" they said! More like kick it to tomorrow!
Key data points
Last release
—
Observation period
Mar 2025
Next release
—
Forecast
—
Highest
19.57 % on Nov 30, 1974
Lowest
−6.86 % on Jul 31, 2009
About United States Producer Prices Index YoY
In the United States, the Producer Price Index for final demand measures price change for commodities sold for personal consumption, capital investment, government, and export. It is composed of six main price indexes: final demand goods (33 percent of the total weight), which includes food and energy; final demand trade services (20 percent); final demand transportation and warehousing services (4 percent); final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing (41 percent); final demand construction (2 percent); and overall final demand.
Are you ready to repeat 2008..?I am not like those clowns who use rocketships and invite you to the Moon,
But,
I warn you from getting whipped out,
and I started doing this many months ago..!
the gates of recession will be open sooner or later..!
Macroeconomy in simple words:
Higher inflation, Higher rates, lower spending
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