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ARABIA INVESTMENTS HOLDING

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AIH trade ideas

AIH stockUfff, What a chart man. This stock was in a downtrend for over 7 years. Then for a whole year is in this triangle as its accumulate. And so far it didnt take the liquidity @0.668, it did make an attempt, but failed. Then it will try again in the coming period. I think to trade this one we should be patient as hell, as a one year accumulation, will definitely be followed by a manipulation then to the intended direction. When i say manipulation is the one as you see on 9, 10 of April. For now i would take short trades between the triangle upper and lower legs. If the price breaks below 0.45, and closes below it, then we are testing the trendlines below, if it breaks above 0.55, then we will move higher to 0.668. Do your own research. This is only a TA, NEWS is very important to be tracked alongside the TA.
EGX:AIH
by lojjkkjvvv
2
AIH AnalysisOk, as predicted before long ago, i gave you a good entry at 0.46, but i think there still good chance to make some money in here. Iam very much looking to take this trade, that's why i did some fundamental analysis on this stock which turned out to be a low cap stock. Ok, lets run quickly through some facts: 1- Economy is doing great in Egypt in general, and its expected a rate cut by Q4 2025. 2- The company previous FY of 2024 ended with a total loss of almost 24 million. Q1 2025 was at loss of almost 1 million 3- There will be Q2 statement and if the company in profit it will be a plus (which is actually very hard to expect, but if its in red with 1 or 2 million EGP i still think it will not be a problem), which might offer an entry point. To sum it up: 2024 in total loss of 24 million, now Q1 is only 1 million in loss, with expectations that the economy as a whole will do better, so this company also is expected to be in profit later down the road, which explains the surge in price. Technically, - This chart took more than 2 hours to understand what is going on and how we should proceed from here. So there are two case scenarios in here, as iam technically expecting this surge to continue until at least 0.96 to 1 Egp. But of course on the technical level it will never be a straight line to 1 EGP. So from where the price is at right now. - Broke a huge down trendline (bullish) - We are above weekly upper VAH (bullish) - VWAP is reversing upwards (bullish) - Recent liquidity has been taken (bullish) !! Worrying, there are some huge liquidity areas under the trendline, but if whales crashing the stock to reach those areas, i would be amazed. Now to go deep into details, we will assume that the price closed above A1 (orange line, on the Daily and Weekly, early sign will be daily), also didn't stretch much or even beyond that zone 1, or the yellow box and will start correcting, there are three areas of interest 1- The black area, this area is not very important as the price could always ignore it (even though its Value area high VAH) and heads to an area which is more liquid and have much higher volume, however, it cant be ignored, so i would put very small amount of money into this zone. 2- The Orange area, now that's an important area as it is the 0.5-0.618 Fib level, break out of a micro trendline and this area has the potential to become a Resistance turned into Support, Additionally iam anticipating VWAP to reach that Orange area by the time price reaches this area. Further, This area has some volume, but not major. (entry will be discussed later but if you want use the VWAP on the weekly TF as a guide along with volume, then volume spikes and increasing in volume in this area on lower tf once the price touches the VWAP on the weekly have very good hit rate) 3- The Blue area, now thats an interesting area because thats the High Volume Node on the Weekly timeframe, which means bears will face a fierce resistance to break it to the downside also 0.78 Fib level. Now we assume that the price closed above the A1 on the weekly, and preferably above the yellow area. then we shift our thinking into longing from this yellow zone and we will have our stoploss under the Orange area. And if you want to snipe the entry, there is a purple line in the middle of the yellow box, now confirm on lower tf once price touch this line, and look for a stoploss below this black box. Iam very confident that the bears will take some control in the red box marked above and we will have some reaction here, but iam not sure if i should be selling everything in this level, maybe we can take some profit and rotate back during correction, will update when the time comes.
EGX:AIHLong
by lojjkkjvvv
AIH -Long Arabia Investments Holding (EGX:AIH) Arabia Investments Holding engages in the non-banking financial, engineering, contracting, and manufacturing businesses in Egypt. Arabia Investments Holding was founded in 1985 and is based in Cairo, Egypt. At close: Apr 6, 2025 0.490 EGP/share is slightly undervalued Key Investment Highlights 1. Undervaluation Opportunity o Current Price (0.49 EGP) vs. Book Value (0.91 EGP): Trading at ~46% discount to book value. o Fair Value (1.18 EGP): Ostoul Securities estimates 141% upside based on sector P/E. o Low Trailing P/E (10.52): Suggests earnings are reasonably priced. 2. Strong Financial Growth (2023) o Revenue Growth: +11.48% (1.41B EGP). o Earnings Growth: +27.95% (90.16M EGP). o Market Cap CAGR (5.17% since 2013): Steady but modest long-term appreciation. 3. Technical Indicators Suggest Bullish Reversal o Wyckoff Accumulation Phase (Since Oct 2024): Potential upward breakout. o Falling Wedge Pattern (Monthly Chart): Targets 1.01 EGP. o Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 1 target at 0.721 EGP. o Point of Control (POC) at 0.6 EGP: Near-term resistance. o EMA200 Below Price: Indicates bearish trend, but reversal signals emerging. 🔑 Strategy Suggestion: • Entry Zone: 0.48–0.52 EGP • Stop-loss: Below 0.44 EGP • TP1 refers to volume Money flow profile =POC is 0.6 EGP/share • TP2 refers to Elliot analysis current in wave 1and TP is 0.721 EGP/share • TP3refers to daily falling wage 0.737 EGP/share and Flag in monthly to be 1.01 EGP/share • TP4 refers Book Value Per Share 0.91 EGP/share 📌 Investment Thesis Summary ✅ Positives • Undervalued vs. Book Value and Sector P/E • Strong revenue and earnings growth in 2023 • Technical setup suggests a bullish reversal (accumulation + falling wedge) • Fair value (1.18 EGP) implies significant upside (~141%)
EGX:AIHLong
by maminpip
Aih Gann analysis - Important levelsWelcome to a new analysis, and today we’re breaking down the Arabia Investments Holding stock on the Egyptian Exchange. We’ll go through the chart in detail, highlight key technical levels, and discuss potential future scenarios. 🔥 🔎 Quick Overview of the Chart 🔹 The stock is currently trading at 0.519 EGP after testing strong resistance at 0.524 EGP and slightly pulling back. 🔹 We can see that the stock is moving within a rising channel defined by the white trendlines and is attempting to hold above the lower boundary to continue its uptrend. 🎯 Key Levels on the Chart 📌 Important Resistance Levels: ✅ 0.524 EGP – A very strong level. If the stock successfully breaks above it with strong closing, we could see further upside. ✅ 0.583 EGP – A key resistance zone. Breaking above it could lead to a move toward 0.645 EGP in the medium term. 📌 Support Levels: 🛑 0.469 EGP – The nearest support level. If it gets broken, we might see a drop to 0.416 EGP. 🛑 0.416 EGP – A major support zone and a potential area for a strong rebound if a correction occurs. 🚀 Possible Scenarios 📈 Bullish Scenario (Uptrend): If the stock stabilizes above 0.524 EGP with a strong daily close, we could see an upward move toward 0.583 EGP, followed by 0.645 EGP. Breaking above 0.645 EGP would signal a strong bullish phase. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Downtrend): If the stock fails to hold above 0.524 EGP, we might see a corrective move down to 0.469 EGP. A break below 0.469 EGP could push the stock lower toward 0.416 EGP, which is a key support level for a possible bounce. 🕵️ What Should We Watch for Now? ✅ Monitor the daily closing price: If we see a strong close above 0.524 EGP with high trading volume, the stock could move higher. ✅ If a pullback happens, keep an eye on 0.469 EGP as a key support zone. ✅ The overall bullish structure remains intact as long as the stock is trading within the rising channel. 💬 What’s your take on this analysis? Do you agree or see another scenario? 👇👇 Let’s discuss in the comments!
EGX:AIH
by Magic_xD
Arabia Investments: A Promising Opportunity The stock exhibits several promising signals: - RSI has crossed the 50-line, indicating potential buying momentum - MACD has crossed its signal line, hinting at a bullish trend - Trading volume has surpassed the moving average, suggesting increased market activity - The stock has gained ground for 2 consecutive weeks, outperforming the 200-day moving average Market structure analysis reveals: - The stock has touched the 150% Fibonacci level twice, forming a double bottom pattern. Factors to monitor: - An upcoming stock split on May 24th - The stock is currently trading at a strong resistance level, with the 21-day moving average providing support - The stock is expected to face significant resistance at the 0.6 and 50-day moving average levels - A potential test of the 0.634 price could signal a very strong resistance zone
EGX:AIHLong
by mnmabroukw36ix
Arabia Investments: A Promising Opportunity The stock exhibits several promising signals: - RSI has crossed the 50-line, indicating potential buying momentum - MACD has crossed its signal line, hinting at a bullish trend - Trading volume has surpassed the moving average, suggesting increased market activity - The stock has gained ground for 2 consecutive weeks, outperforming the 200-day moving average Market structure analysis reveals: - The stock has touched the 150% Fibonacci level twice, forming a double bottom pattern. Factors to monitor: - An upcoming stock split on May 24th - The stock is currently trading at a strong resistance level, with the 21-day moving average providing support - The stock is expected to face significant resistance at the 0.6 and 50-day moving average levels - A potential test of the 0.634 price could signal a very strong resistance zone
EGX:AIHLong
by mnmabroukw36ix
Risky targets long positions for day tradersFirst Target is 0.536EGP as we are having a strong resistance there, so we can sell half and try to catch the 2nd target of 0.573EGP (that's the highest point in the downtrend started 14 Dec.), The risk/reward ratio is 0.8-0.85 that's why i see it risky, but why not!! you can paper-trade it anyway to see the results and regret or celebrate later xD My Analysis is just for fun and educational purposes not financial advice, Best of luck!
EGX:AIHLong
by MoatazFarid