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GER30 trade ideas

GER40 - Short Setup My main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower, this indicates on probable distribution Wyckoff range. But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower. Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by Maks_Klimenko
4-hr Germany 40: Getting Ready for 500 Points Increase The German DAX 40 saw impressive gains of over 1,500 points between mid-November and mid-December. However, following comments from the Fed, the index corrected nearly 800 points, reaching the crucial 50% Fibonacci retracement level. For the past three weeks, the DAX 40 has held above the 38.2% Fibonacci level, signaling that bulls may be regaining control. Supporting this bullish outlook is today’s Golden Cross, a classic buy signal and an indicator of strong upward momentum. Based on this setup, we favor entering a buy position but will wait for a potential 100-point dip to secure a better risk-to-reward ratio. Buying near 19,950 offers a strategic entry point, with a target set at December’s swing high of 20,450. This target aligns with the potential formation of a Double Top pattern, a critical resistance level. If the bullish momentum persists, this strategy positions us well for capitalizing on the DAX 40's upward trajectory.
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by Trendsharks
Fri 2024 12 13 Long||| Stats ||| Stats Week: ** Mid Month Turn, ** US CPI: 14:30, - as expected, ** Thu EU GC 14:15:, - reduced as expected, ** Mon Morning rule, - yes, ** Tue return to W1 trend and not a W1 trend change, - yes Stats Month: ** Christmas Rally - start Mid Nov. - yes bottom ** Christmas Rally - US election year, start Dec. - yes Stats Year: ** US Election, ||| Trade Taken ||| Trade Taken: ** Time frame: * H3 ** Time: * 03pm, Set-Up: ** Trigger for trade: * Momentum Long, * Mon Morning rule, * Tue return to W1 trend - UP, * Senti, - P16, ** Mom Width: * 6 candles - med/strong, ** Mom Type: * 3rd directional - risk at last Mom turn, Risk Reward: ** Risk: * last Mom Turn, ** Target: * R 1:1 as at ATH,
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by ErPat
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. *KEY Trend is set by the slope of the VWAP over 50 periods Phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level (above or below) Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively. Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold). Analysis ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Germany 40 maintains its bullish correction phase, currently trading at 19,937, below the VWAP (20) of 20,121. Support is positioned at 19,680, while resistance is at 20,562. The RSI at 50 reflects neutral momentum, indicating a pause in the prior uptrend. UK 100 index remains neutral within its long-lasting consolidation phase, trading at 8,218, slightly above the VWAP (20) of 8,183. Support is at 8,040, with resistance at 8,326. An RSI of 55 signals moderate momentum, hinting at slight bullish tendencies within the range. Wall Street is in a bullish correction phase, trading at 42,375, below the VWAP (20) of 43,064. Support is located at 41,941, with resistance at 44,188. The RSI at 32 suggests oversold conditions, potentially signaling a reversal higher. Brent Crude has finally flipped from its sideways range into a new bullish impulsive phase, trading at 7,642, above the VWAP (20) of 7,361. Support is at 7,144, while resistance is at 7,578. The RSI at 70 indicates overbought momentum, suggesting near term caution for further upside. Gold remains neutral in a consolidation phase, trading at 2,658. It has just broken back over the VWAP (20) of 2,635, which has defined the top of a short-term range. Support is at 2,574, and resistance is at 2,695. The RSI at 55 shows balanced momentum with a new bullish tilt, but still consistent with the ongoing range-bound market. EUR/USD remains very bearish with euro-dollar parity coming into view. It is in an impulsive phase, trading at 1.0267, below the VWAP (20) of 1.0428 . Support is at 1.0297, with resistance at 1.0559. The RSI at 28 highlights oversold conditions, suggesting potential downside exhaustion. GBP/USD is in a bearish impulsive phase, breaking down below a rising trendline drawn by Autotrend trading at 1.2380, below the VWAP (20) of 1.2589. Support is positioned at 1.2416, with resistance at 1.2761. The RSI at 30 indicates bearish momentum, with the oversold level consistent with a strong downtrend. USD/JPY continues its bullish impulsive phase, trading at 157.35, above the November high and the VWAP (20) of 155.76. Support is at 151.82, with resistance at 159.70. The RSI at 62 reflects strong upward momentum, supporting the bullish trend.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
DAX: Watch 20100-20200 Resistance For A Sell-offThe German DAX is trading slowly for the last few days, here beneath the 20,000 level, which clearly acts as a strong resistance zone. However, I wouldn’t be surprised if more liquidations occur slightly higher, around the 20,100 mark. Because what I’m observing is a minor triangle within current recovery, and these patterns are typically in the middle of smaller trends. This suggests that we might still be missing one final leg in wave B to complete the recovery from December 20th low. After that, a strong bearish reversal could still show up on the DAX, possibly sometime this week. Be prepared and aware of the potential for a deeper correction ahead. GH
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by ew-forecast
DAX H4 | Pullback resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementDAX (GER30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 20,212.82 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 20,393.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 19,825.69 which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:GER30Short
by FXCM
2
#202501 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax xetra: Bulls printed 5 consecutive bull bars but price went nowhere. We are still below the daily 20ema and this looks like a shallow pull-back in a bear trend. Bears need a strong close below 19800 to confirm it. If bulls close above 20000 again, bears could give up and we test higher again. Market is in breakout mode and we will see a bigger move next week. Right now I see the odds 60/40 for the bears. comment: I don’t have anything to add to my tl;dr paragraph. current market cycle: Bull trend or trading range. Only a daily close below 19600 would be my confirmation for the trading range. key levels: 19600 - 20100 (below 19600, 19000/19200 come into play / above 20100, 20400 or higher is possible again) bull case: Bulls are preventing the market from making a new low for now but they fail to close daily bars above 20000. Once they do that again with follow-through, they likely took control of the market again and we could expect higher prices above 20200 again. Their first target above 20000 is to close the bear gap to 20240 and above that there is no more resistance until 20400. Invalidation is below 19600. bear case: Bears are doing good in keeping the market below 20000 which is the most important price for both sides. I still favor the bears to get a second leg down to 19200/19400 but those odds will only rise if we close below 19600. Market is currently in balance. Invalidation is above 20100. short term: Slightly bearish but once this goes with some momentum above 20000 again that bearish bias is gone. Bears have the setup here and now and if they fail to break down below 19600 early next week I will view this as neutral or bullish if we go above 20100. medium-long term from 2024-12-22: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025. current swing trade: None chart update: Added bear gap and still having my preferred path down as a two legged correction down to 19000.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
Correction followed by a Bearish phaseThe German benchmark is currently declining after reaching an all-time high at 20.348 and may continue to do so until finding bullish pressure from key support structures. The 19.124, 18.714, and 18.340 may be immediate key barriers that may put bullish pressure on the indice to retest the top as time progresses. Upon reaching the top and failing to continue the upward movement, may lead the Dax declining further to 17k or 16.9k for support. However if price action fails to fall and stabilises above 20.6, this will potentially yield to continued growth.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by Two4One4
GER40 LONG Below is a high-level, multi-timeframe trading plan for GER40 (DAX) that synthesizes the Weekly, Daily, and 4-Hour analyses you provided. As always, manage risk carefully, adapt to changing market conditions, and remember that no setup is guaranteed. This is a technical overview for educational purposes and not financial advice. 1. Overall Market Context Weekly Bias: • Trend: Bullish structure with higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). • Support/Resistance: • Support near 19,750 (0.618 Fib extension) • Resistance near 20,500 (recent HH) • Indicators: • SMAs (10, 50, 100, 200) all sloping up. • Ichimoku Cloud is bullish, OBV rising, RSI ~60 (positive), ADX is low (trend not very strong but still bullish). Daily Bias: • Trend: Overall bullish, but short-term pullback has price near support. • Key Levels: • 19700–19650 is a confluence zone (50 SMA, Ichimoku Base Line, 0.5 Fib). • 20500 is major resistance (recent swing high). • Indicators: • Price above 100 & 200 SMAs (long-term uptrend intact). • Price below 10 SMA and Ichimoku Conversion Line (short-term bearish tilt). • RSI ~49 (neutral), MFI ~50 (neutral), ADX ~20 (weak trend). 4H Bias: • Trend: Range/consolidation after fall from 20500. • Price Position: • Below 10, 50, 100 SMAs, but finding support near 200 SMA (~19750). • Ichimoku Cloud signals short-term bearishness (price below the cloud). • Indicators: • OBV still positive relative to previous HL (buyers holding but not aggressively adding). • CMF slightly positive (~0.10), MFI ~32 (nearing oversold), RSI ~45. • ADX ~22 (weak momentum), with -DI > +DI (mild short-term bearish pressure). Takeaway: • The long-term trend (Weekly, Daily) remains bullish. • A short-term pullback is unfolding (Daily, 4H). • We want to align with the bigger uptrend but confirm a short-term reversal signal before entering. 2. Actionable Trading Setup A. Preferred Direction: Long/Bullish Given the weekly and daily uptrend, the ideal plan is to buy the dip once the short-term down move shows signs of exhaustion or reversal. B. Entry Triggers 1. Aggressive Early Entry • Zone: Around 19,700–19,650 (Daily 50 SMA / 0.5 Fib / Ichimoku Base Line). • Trigger Condition: A 4H bullish reversal candle (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar with strong rejection) or a clear break back above the 4H Ichimoku Conversion Line along with rising RSI > 50 on the 4H. • Why Aggressive? Price is still below short-term SMAs on the 4H and below the Ichimoku cloud. You’re buying on expected support without waiting for a full breakout. 2. Conservative Breakout Entry • Zone: Above 19,900–19,950 to reclaim the 10 SMA on the Daily and the 4H Ichimoku cloud. • Trigger Condition: A Daily close above the 10 SMA and/or the Ichimoku Conversion Line on the Daily. This signals the short-term pullback is likely over. • Why Conservative? Waiting for price to show proven strength, reducing false-break risk. C. Stop Loss Placement • Stop Loss (SL) for Aggressive Entry: • Just below 19,600 (below the 50 SMA & 0.5 Fib). • This levels out to a potential 100–150 point risk, depending on the precise entry. • Stop Loss (SL) for Conservative Entry: • Below the recent swing low (around 19,650). If the market truly regains the 10 SMA and Ichimoku levels, it shouldn’t return below that swing low if bullish momentum is resuming. • This is a wider SL, but the setup is more confirmed. D. Profit Targets (TP) 1. First TP: • 20,500 (the recent swing high). • If price approaches that level, consider locking in partial profits or moving the SL to breakeven. 2. Second TP (Optional Extension): • 20,800–21,000 (a psychological area / possible Fib extension above the previous HH). • Watch for weekly chart extensions or Bollinger Band upper extremes if momentum accelerates. 3. Stretch Target: • 21,250–21,500 based on a full extension from the Weekly Fibonacci or if the market picks up strong bullish momentum. • Only feasible if the market cleanly breaks 20,500 and a bullish daily structure continues. E. Trade Management & Timing 1. Partial Exits: • If you’re trading multiple contracts, consider taking partial profit at 20,500 and letting the remainder ride with a trailing stop. 2. Break-Even Stop: • Once price is comfortably above 20,100–20,200 and holding intraday retracements, move SL to entry to lock in profits and limit downside risk. 3. Monitoring Indicators: • Keep an eye on the 4H Ichimoku Cloud and the Daily 10 SMA for signs of ongoing bullish momentum. If price fails to hold above these levels once reclaimed, it could signal a deeper pullback. 4. Time in Trade: • Given the Weekly and Daily structure, this is not a scalp trade. It can take days to weeks. Let the market action confirm your bias. F. Suggested Leverage & Risk Management • Leverage: • Use moderate leverage (e.g., 1:5 to 1:10) if comfortable with the inherent risk. The more leverage, the higher the stress on your account if price temporarily dips. • Always size positions so that total risk (i.e., position size * SL distance) does not exceed your account’s acceptable drawdown (e.g., 1–2% of total capital per trade). • Risk/Reward Target: • Aim for at least 1:2 or 1:3 R:R. For example, risking ~100–150 points to potentially gain 300+. 3. Putting It All Together 1. Wait for Support Confirmation: • On the 4H, watch for a bullish candle near 19,700–19,650 (Aggressive) or a break above 19,900–19,950 (Conservative). 2. Enter Long Position: • Execute the buy on the confirmed signal. • Place SL below the identified support (19,600 or 19,650). 3. Manage the Trade Dynamically: • Move SL to breakeven at the first sign of decent profit (~20,100+). • Take partial TP at 20,500. • Let the remainder ride toward 20,800–21,000 if momentum persists. 4. Stay Aligned with the Bigger Picture: • Weekly and Daily remain bullish; short-term dips can be noise in a bull market. • Maintain discipline if price fails to reclaim key SMAs or Ichimoku levels (exit if breakdown accelerates below 19,600). 4. Final Notes • News & Fundamentals: While this setup is technical, be aware of any macro events (ECB, Fed, major economic releases) that can cause volatility spikes on indices like the DAX (GER40). • Adapt if Key Levels Break: • If price fails to hold 19,600 and closes multiple days below it, the bullish scenario may be invalidated short term. Look for deeper support in the 19,300–19,000 zone. • Emotional Control: Trading pullbacks within an uptrend requires patience to avoid jumping in too early. Confirmation signals reduce the chance of whipsaw. Conclusion: • Primary Strategy: Long (buy the dip) aligned with the Weekly and Daily uptrend. • Entry Zones: Around 19,700–19,650 (aggressive) or above 19,900–19,950 (conservative). • Stops & Targets: SL below 19,600; TP1 ~20,500, TP2 ~20,800–21,000. • Leverage: Keep it moderate (1:5 to 1:10). • Indicator Cues: Watch SMAs, Ichimoku lines, RSI, and OBV for confirmation of a renewed bullish push. Trade safe, manage your risk, and watch for momentum returning on lower timeframes to confirm the Weekly/Daily bullish bias!
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by EliteMarketAnalysis
DAX // risky phase of the correctionThe market has printed a deep correction of the last weekly impulse. The correction fibo 61.8 is already done, and we may be heading towards the 78.6 There is a clean (not yet tested) H1 breakout, where entry signals have some chance, but don't forget, we are deep into the correction, where the accumulation phase may be built up with frequent changes in direction. ——— Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated. ——— Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ <<boost🚀 if you enjoy💚
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by TheMarketFlow
DAX H1 | Potential bullish reversalDAX (GER) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 19,771.69 which is a swing-low support. Stop loss is at 19,640.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support. Take profit is at 20,020.69 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:GER30Long
by FXCM
GER30 Navigating the Next Move A Beginner’s Guide and Key LevelsTrade Plan. What’s Happening Now The price reached a high near 20,360, completing a big upward move (wave 5). There are signs the market is slowing down and could drop to "correct" itself before the next big move. Where the Market Might Go? First Support Level Around 18,814 – This is where the price might bounce (go back up). Deeper Support Level Around 17,944 – If the first level doesn’t hold, this is the next likely area for the price to stop falling. Where It Might Struggle to Go Higher??? Resistance Level 1 Around 20,360 – The recent high where sellers might step in again. Resistance Level 2:Around 20,530 – A key level above the previous high. How to Trade This..... If You’re Looking to Sell (Short Trade) Watch for price to fail near 20,360 or 20,530. If the price shows weakness, you could sell, aiming for support at 18,814 or 17,944. If You’re Looking to Buy (Long Trade) Wait for the price to drop to 18,814 or 17,944. Look for signs of the market turning back up, like strong green candles or breaking above resistance at 18,928. Your target could be the recent high (20,360) or higher (20,530). Key Things to Remember!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Support Zones: These are areas where the price might stop falling and go up: 18,814, 17,944. Resistance Zones: These are areas where the price might stop rising and go down: 20,360, 20,530. Risk Management: Always use a stop-loss to protect your account. For example: If you’re buying at 18,814, place your stop-loss below 17,944. If you’re selling at 20,360, place your stop-loss above 20,530.
FX:GER30
by spaceangel
3
2024-01-01 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and happy new year. comment: Xetra (futures are currently trading 143 points higher) closed the year 2024 below 20000 and bulls could not get a decent bounce during the most bullish days of the year. My base assumption for the next days/weeks is a bigger second leg down which will leave no doubt that this bull trend is over and investors would be lucky to see 2025 close near 20000. There is a much greater chance of a decent bear year where market corrects a big chunk of the past 2 years and then moves sideways for the rest of the year. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 19600 - 20200 bull case: Very weak price action by the bulls the past week. We have a big open gap between 20032 - 20241 and until bulls close that, bears are in control. If bulls manage to close above 20000 again, the odds of closing the gap will be good. We have the start of 2025 and you never know which side it will turn. Both 2023 and 2024 saw huge inflows and the start of the year also marked the low of the year. Bulls hope this time will be the same but I have big doubts about that. Invalidation is below 19800. bear case: Bears are in control. Decent two-legged pullback after the sell-off, we are trading below the daily 20ema and the bull bars last week were bad buys for the bulls. Bears expect a bigger profit taking to take place over the next days and another leg down to at last 19200 or even 19000. Their next target is a close below the breakout point 19660 to confirm the first leg and I doubt many bulls will hold long below 19600 because we could go and test the bull trend line around 19200. I can’t see this breaking much below 19000 for now because that price was tested so much between October and December, that we will likely go sideways there for many days. Invalidation is above 20150. short term: Neutral around 19900. Bearish below 19800 and uber bearish below 19600 for 19200 or lower. medium-long term from 2024-12-22: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Market was closed
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds