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GER30 trade ideas

DAX(GER30), nuke is coming?I explained the fundamental part in my EURUSD post. Check it out here: Now, let's talk about the technical part: At the London opening, we saw significant manipulation downward with a liquidity sweep from the previous day's low (PDL) and other swings. Now, I would love to see an aggressive movement upwards toward the all-time high (ATH), where I'll be looking for a short setup. However, if the price closes on the 1-4h time frame with a big fat candle, I won't touch the GER40 (DAX) for a while because there won't be any targets ("sky is the limit") to get liquidity from. There's one possible scenario: a move into premium after the first market structure (MS) shift today, followed by a second shift (break of structure, BoS). Bearish order flow will be confirmed, with the final target being the 4h fair value gap (FVG).
FOREXCOM:GER40Short
by Almenio
#202436 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr 4th consecutive bull bar closing on it’s high. Low volume but who cares. Can only be bullish on this price action. Futures are close to the ath while xetra already made a new ath. 19000 on xetra will most likely be hit next week. Will bears come around there to trap late bulls? Maybe but I would not bet on that. R:R (risk:reward) is on the bear side here but it’s too early to short. Could even go up to 19200 before turning. Quote from last week: comment: Bulls went mostly sideways until Friday which means that bears are still not doing much. Friday produced another breakout for W5, where my target is still 18800ish. Low probability the bear trend line from the ath will hold again. If bulls can get this above 18800, there is no reason to not print a new ath. Bears would need consecutive bear bars below 18500 to stop it. Bulls should not have the illusion that this is something other than a short squeeze. This is not buying on higher volume due to more market participants wanting in on the next bull run to 30000. This will crumble soon enough but for now it’s only going up and you should never fight the trend. comment : Bulls printed a new ath and if you would look at the RSI, which I don’t, it would show a divergence. You really really don’t need the RSI to tell you that. Even so, market could go higher and there is no reason to short this yet. I am 90% certain this is not a W1 of a new bull trend that will break above the bull wedge but rather a retest of the highs, in this case a higher high, and it will reverse soon enough. A bigger pullback is overdue but that does not mean you can short this yet. current market cycle: Bull trend inside bigger trading range. Will reverse soon. key levels: 17000 - 19000 bull case: Bulls closed the month at the highs while making a new ath. It’s a buy signal but the move is so climactic without any pullbacks, that most bulls will probably get out on a decent bear bar. The first pullback will most likely fail and it will probably be a decent buying opportunity but buying 18900 right now is bad any way you look at it. What upside do you expect? Strong breakout above 19200? Where do you put your stop? The whole move up happened above the 1h 20ema. So if bears finally break it and trade consecutive bear bars below, bulls might start thinking about taking profits. Invalidation is below 18750. bear case: As mentioned above, 1h ema held for 3 weeks now. Only objective for the bears is to stop the market from making higher highs and breaking below the 1h ema. 19000 is the best area for them to achieve that. If they don’t come around on Monday, we might es well see 19200 or higher. Invalidation is above 19050. outlook last week: short term: Absolutely neutral. Big up, big down, big confusion. → Last Sunday we traded 18633 and now we are at 18906. Neutral was wrong again since bears touched the 1h ema once last week and that was on Monday. 1h on xetra and on futures you’d have to take the 2h 20ema. short term: Neutral again. I’m confident we will reverse soon but it’s too early to be looking for shorts. Bears need to start making lower lows and lower highs before I start. What do I need to go long? Only scalps after pullbacks for me. Very little interest in buying up here because I do not see this going to 19200. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-01: 4 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19000 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Next 2000 Points will be made to the downside but it’s too early to short this. current swing trade: Nope. Not yet. chart update: Nothing. Bull wedge is still valid.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
01.09.24As we have seen price has been reaching new all time highs due since August sell of. What is pricing the charts is the announcement of cutting interest rates for the Economy. What will be in focus this new coming month and week is Friday NFP prior to Wednesday JOLTs job opening and Thursdays Inital Jobless claims. US30: US30 has jumped past Julys all time highs at 41414.72 and Monday highs at 41447.86. I'd like to see price pushing past 41604.04 this week. GER40: Price seemed to sail smoothly to break previous all time highs at 18916.9 and has seemed to hault at the top of that range. I will like to see price push past 18972.2 during this week
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by S0202Trades
Dax - 3 White Soldiers If we look at the Dax for early August, 2 bullish overlapping weekly candlestick formations are apparent 1. Morningstar - Firstly price HAMMERS's a low at 17,000 , wicking the 3rd Standard Deviation Channel. We then have an extended range bullish candle move near 2 standard deviations , to complete the Morningstar. 2. Three White Soldiers - this last bullish candle and the following 2 , together are 3 white candles with successive HH and HL. The second candle in this formation actually gaps the first with the weekly open, adding impetus to the bullish move. The Dax is at ATH with a price of 18948.60. It is still within the 2nd Standard Deviation Channel, and room to move up. The weekly RSI is printing 62. It reflects a buy signal, and it is a long way from oversold. The Daily Chart shows price has entered the Supply Zone with strong conviction. This is the 4th test of this Zone. A higher probability exists for selling pressure to have abated by now. IF we look at the VSA, Volume in the uptrend has been Average . There is no blow off. Furthermore, the last daily candle was below average. The Bulls with little volume, were able to move price easily up through this zone ( no selling pressure). With 9 bullish daily candlesticks in a row, there has to be some retracement. It is likely to be small, probably some form of multiple Doji, narrow range candles. Client Sentiment has 84% of traders net short. They are likely backing this retracement. A contrarian view suggests the index will rise. Technically , there is conviction for the Dax to rise
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by Umlingo