GER40 trade ideas
DEX to FALL and retest its previous highs to make it a VALID RunGerman DEX has made its higher highs and as per the technicals, every chart has to retest its previous highs. Coming week DEX will restart its correction and will retest FIX61 and may as well go back to 170000 where the run was started. TRUMP TERIFFS COMING to haunt German Economey it will add more tax and it will slows down the production. German Elections coming on 23rd feb.
4-hr German40: Further Drop to Attract Buyers at Cheaper Price The primary stock market index in Germany is undergoing a correction, mirroring the recent downturn in US markets. After rebounding from the critical 38% Fibonacci retracement level, it struggles to generate upward momentum, with the price remaining below the immediate support at the 23% Fibonacci level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has yet to signal an extremely oversold condition, suggesting that further downside movement remains likely. Given this technical setup, we anticipate an additional decline toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement, coinciding with the key support region around 22,000. This level presents an optimal entry point for our long positions, allowing us to limit potential drawdowns while improving our risk-to-reward ratio. To manage risk effectively, we will maintain our stop-loss (SL) at a standard distance of 1.5% from the entry price. For profit-taking, we aim for a target just below the previous high, around 22,800, ensuring a well-balanced trade setup.
DAX LONGWe didn’t get the chance yesterday. We came very close to a bullish setup, which is why I published the idea, but then the whole thing collapsed. However, there was no opportunity for a proper short either, according to our system.
Today, we’re revisiting Germany’s leading stock index, as it seems the stars are finally aligning. An hourly sellside level was taken out, which is enough for us to establish a foundation. The 30m -FVG within the excessive 30m counter-swing has been reversed, so we’re no longer concerned about opposing pressure. The first 6m +OB has already been mitigated, and the second one — located above the 30m +IFVG — can serve as our variable 2. As a bonus, we’ve got a retest of the 30m +IFVG as well.
As soon as we see a flip in the order flow on the 2m timeframe and the first confirmed buyside delivery above the 6m +OB, all three of our timeframes will be in alignment. At that point, we can enter a long position, aiming to take partials at the liquidity pools marked with the blue lines, with the ultimate target at the 30m -FVG.
A sell-side level on the 6-minute timeframe was taken out about half an hour ago, so we’re well within the operational window for the combustion phase.
DAX INTRADAY coiling, retest of 61.8% FibThe DAX (DE40) equity index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation towards the breakout level, previous resistance, and now a new support zone.
The key trading level is at 21780 level, the previous consolidation price range and also the 61.8% Fib retracement zone from the 03rd Feb ’25 lows to the 19th Feb high. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21780 level could target the upside resistance at 22400 followed by the 22705 and 22900 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 21780 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 21585 support level followed by 21060.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX40 responds boosted by ElectionsBy Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
The German DAX stock index has experienced a remarkable upward momentum today. The results of the German federal elections have generated optimism in the markets. The strength shown by the CDU/CSU, reaching 28.5% of the vote and positioning Friedrich Merz as a key figure, has reinforced the expectation of a stable, pro-business government. This outcome has been well received by the markets, as greater political and economic stability is anticipated in the country, a fact that has been reflected in the DAX, which has risen more than 0.7% at the start of the day, as investors are confident that a predictable political environment will favor the economy and strategic sectors, such as automotive and technology. At the same time, the euro has reached its highest level in a month, trading at $1.0528 against the dollar. This appreciation of the European currency reflects the renewed confidence in the German economy and the euro zone in general, following the election results.
However, despite the initial enthusiasm, there are some challenges ahead. The new coalition government will have to address issues such as economic stagnation and external pressures, including U.S. trade policies. The ability of the new government to implement fiscal and economic reforms will be crucial to maintain market confidence over the long term.
In the first hours of trading, the DAX registered an increase of more than 1.54%, reaching 22,584.80 points in the first hours of pre-market trading prior to the opening. This optimism is partly due to the expectation that the CDU/CSU will form a “grand coalition” with the SPD, thus avoiding the participation of extreme right-wing parties such as AfD, which obtained 20.8% of the votes. The possibility of a stable, pro-business government has strengthened investor confidence. The automotive sector has been one of the biggest beneficiaries in this context. Manufacturers such as BMW and Volkswagen have experienced increases in their shares of 2% and 1.6%, respectively. In addition, companies such as Deutsche Bank and SAP have also shown positive returns in the market.
Looking at the chart, the support of the last impulse is located at 21,950 points, with the current support at 22,115.26 points. The current high is around 22,945.01 points. Today the mood begins with strength in Europe, so we will have to see if this positivism is transferred to the rest of the day, although it does not seem that in the opening hours the enthusiasm has been maintained. If we look at the value of the current control point is located around 22517 points. RSI is slightly oversold at 44.48%. Relying on last Thursday's checkpoint. The crosses of averages seem to be showing a possible crossing of the 50 and 100 average. If this happens, a price drop to the support zone to test price would be foreseeable. If this does not happen we may see a new test of the current high resistance.
In summary, the DAX has reacted positively to the election results in Germany, driven by the prospect of greater political stability and a pro-growth government. However, it will be essential for the new administration to effectively address economic and geopolitical challenges to sustain this momentum going forward.
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
GER40-BUY/SELL strategy 90 MIN chartOver all I feel we will see 21,400 test and lower. However, short-term it is oversold, so the choice is BUY current or SELL when some recovery.
Strategy is BUY current 22,400-22,550 and TP near 23,000
Strategy SELL @ 22,750-22,950 and TP 21,467 for now.
ShortUse proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice.
Final update d30How are you friends
I posted in my profile from dates from the beginning of January
And this is the same drawing
The trend was up and the target was the end of 22600 and the end of the blue line is 22750 as the final point of the blue line and now it seems we still have an uptrend as I told you I will update
But there is no doubt that the trend will head to much higher areas at least 23k
I will update again
DE30 UpdateHow are you my friends
This chart is on January 17th in my profile and this simple channel was set and targets up to 22600 and today we crossed 22600
I hope everyone benefits from the updates and we will monitor again and make new updates
To follow more updates on DE30 and other markets please follow me and I will be happy to analyze any market you want as well
DAX 40 Crosses the 22,000 Mark for the First TimeThe German index increased just over 3% in the past five sessions, driven by the strong performance of companies such as SAP, Siemens, and Deutsche Bank , which have posted gains exceeding 3% during this period. Notably, these companies represent more than 20% of the weight in DAX 40, making their positive performance a key factor in sustaining the bullish pressure that has now pushed the index to new all-time highs.
Strong Uptrend
The DAX 40 is currently in a strong uptrend, which has accelerated since November 2024. The price has now reached the 22,000-point zone , a potentially significant resistance level. However, for the buying momentum to remain intact in the short term, it will be crucial for bullish positions to hold above this level.
Potential Correction
At the moment, the RSI line continues to oscillate above the 70 level , signaling overbought conditions. Additionally, while the DAX price has been making higher highs, the RSI has been making lower highs, forming a bearish divergence. These two signals suggest that the recent buying activity may have created an imbalance in the market, which could open the door to short-term downward corrections.
Key Levels to Watch:
22,000 points – A new critical resistance zone, aligning with the latest all-time high reached by the DAX 40. If buying activity remains strong above this level, it could help sustain the bullish bias and pave the way for further upward movement in the coming sessions.
21,300 points – A nearby support level, corresponding to a neutral zone from previous sessions, and also aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This area could serve as a potential correction zone, and if price action falls below this barrier, it may lead to a sideways phase in the medium term.
20,300 points – A distant support level, aligning with the 50- and 100-period moving averages. If the price approaches this level, it could revive bearish sentiment and put the current uptrend at risk.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
DAX uptrend continuationThe Dax (DE40) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer term prevailing uptrend.
The key trading level is at 21703, which is 07th Feb swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21703 level could target the upside resistance at 22000 followed by 22096 and 22200 over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 21703 support and a daily close below that level could trigger a further retracement and a retest of 21600 support level followed by 21400 and 21240.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX NO CHANGES IN THE LABELING FORECAST TOPThe chart of the German Dax. All markets are in harmony in the formations . Inflation causes higher prices higher prices causes higher revenues higher revenues causes higher profits which causes higher stock prices based on increased Earnings . So without inflation All ASSETS DEFLATE !! That is just about to happen !!!
shorts set-upLooking at taking selling opportunities as price is over bought this will take place very swiftly during the early hours of the US sessions
DAX MARKET Continued monitoring of the IFO business Climate Index and PMI data will be crucial. A sustained decline could signal deeper economic issues, potentially leading to a technical recession.
The upcoming snap elections in February may result in policy shifts that could impact investor sentiment and market stability
The performance of major economies, particularly the US and China, will affect demand for German exports.
Dax Short 4HGood Day, Trading View friends!
I'm excited to share my latest trading insights with you. This setup is all about those trusty Fibonacci and psychological levels. Right now, the DAX is testing a 4-hour midline, and we’re typically seeing a pullback at this point. If the DAX can hold 21,500 and 21,550 as a demand area, based on our earlier 4-hour wave, we're aiming for the next level at 21,965 to 22,000.
I’m on the lookout for a rejection near 22,000, followed by an M pattern with a lower high on the second peak for that perfect entry confirmation.
Also, be cautious today as we have the FOMC meeting. Make sure to factor that into your strategies!
Feel free to check out my previous setups to get a feel for how I approach things. I can’t wait to hear what you think and keep the conversation going!
Trading Channels The Dax is having an impressive run...
It broke out of a weekly ascending channel and hasn't looked back since.
No signs of bears year, but this could be an interesting resistance zone
DAX traders are not bothered about steel and aluminum tariffs It seems that MARKETSCOM:DE30 traders today don't care much about the announcement of US tariffs on steel and aluminum. In fact, the German index continues to show resilience and keeps forming new highs. But how can this last for?
XETR:DAX
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
#202506 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: I still think we will top out around 22000 but I also think we won’t go down for meaningful points before we have printed that price. We now have made 7 consecutive green weeks and the odds of a pull-back are far better than another strong move beyond 22000. I will decide on Monday on swing shorts for at least 21k and will continue to scale in and out of shorts for this.
current market cycle: Bull trend (very climactic move last weeks, market needs to take a breather)
key levels: 20500 - 22100
bull case: Bulls want to print 22000 and then continue. As long as bears are not stepping in, bulls will continue because it has been profitable for 3 months straight. My base case for the bulls has not changed since last Sunday. We are at the top or have broken above multiple bullish patterns and I think the upside will probably be very limited. Bulls know that buying new highs in hopes of higher ones is unsustainable and we are close to the point where the bull wedge breaks and bulls will wait for pull-backs to buy.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Bears have a red bar on Friday, wooo ducking hooo. The bull wedge looks like it can break on Monday but bears know that 22k is the price to print, so I think they will be cautious. Only a big gap down on futures open and then follow-through below 21500 could change that. Bears can’t expect either the bull trend line nor the daily 20ema to just break on the next touch. They still have nothing until we see much bigger selling pressure. Anything below 21500 next week, would be a huge surprise for the bears.
Invalidation is above 22200.
short term: Neutral until we break below 21700. Below 21700 we will likely close the gap down to 21585 and test the lower wedge bull line.
medium-long term from 2024-01-25: No more bullish talk. Full ducking bear mode.
current swing trade: Scaling in and out of shorts with stop 22300.
chart update: Adjusted bull wedge and bear targets.
Divergence Trading Explained For Beginners -DAX Pullback TradeTrading divergence in the Forex or Stock market can be an important tool. Learn how to identify divergences & practically apply them to your technical analysis to increase your edge & profits in the financial markets.
In this video you'll learn
What is a bullish and bearish divergence
How to use divergence to spot potential reversals in the market
How to use volume to identify key levels of reversals
How to measure out a "Kill Zone"
What are tweezer tops & tweezer bottoms & why they are important
How to use the Fibonacci retracement tool
How to use the Relative Strength Index (RSI Indicator)
Your Trading Coach - Akil
GER40-SELL strategy 6 hourly chartOverall I have no change in view, and at different levels, we remain overbought. The market re-tested previous highs and this spooked the market a bit, I feel. However, medium term I see a return to 20,850 area, based on longer term charts.
Short-term it is a tug of war game.
Strategy SELL @ 21,750- 22,000 and take profit at 20,950 for now.
GER40 "Germany 40" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GER40 "Germany 40" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (21250.00) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high or low level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at 21500.00 (swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
First Target 20800.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Final Target 20300.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
GER40 "Germany 40" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Neutral (there is a high chance for Bearish trend)., driven by several key factors.
🟠Fundamental Analysis
1. Earnings Growth: The Germany 40 index has experienced a decline in earnings growth, with a 5-year average earnings growth rate of 5%.
2. Dividend Yield: The dividend yield of the Germany 40 index is currently 2.5%, which is relatively low compared to historical standards.
3. Valuation: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the Germany 40 index is currently 15.6, which is slightly above its historical average.
⚪Macro Analysis
1. GDP Growth: The German economy has experienced a slowdown in GDP growth, with a 2022 growth rate of 1.4%.
2. Inflation: The inflation rate in Germany has remained relatively low, with a 2022 inflation rate of 1.4%.
3. Interest Rates: The European Central Bank (ECB) has maintained a dovish stance, keeping interest rates low to support economic growth.
🟢COT Analysis
1. Non-Commercial Traders: Non-commercial traders, such as hedge funds and institutional investors, have increased their short positions in the Germany 40 index, with a net short exposure of 10,000 contracts.
2. Commercial Traders: Commercial traders, such as banks and brokerages, have decreased their long positions in the Germany 40 index, with a net long exposure of 5,000 contracts.
⚫Sentiment Analysis
1. Retail Trader Sentiment: Retail traders have a bearish sentiment towards the Germany 40 index, with 55% being bearish.
2. Institutional Investor Sentiment: Institutional investors have decreased their bullish sentiment towards the Germany 40 index, with 50% being bullish.
3. Hedge Fund Sentiment: Hedge funds have increased their bearish sentiment towards the Germany 40 index, with 60% being bearish.
🟤Positioning Analysis
1. Long Positions: Long positions in the Germany 40 index have decreased, with a net long exposure of 50,000 contracts.
2. Short Positions: Short positions in the Germany 40 index have increased, with a net short exposure of 10,000 contracts.
3. Open Interest: Open interest in the Germany 40 index has decreased, with a current open interest of 500,000 contracts.
🟣Based on this analysis, the Germany 40 index is expected to trend bearish in the short term, with a 60% chance of a downtrend and a 30% chance of an uptrend. However, please note that market predictions can be unpredictable and influenced by various factors.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
DAX: Channel Up, Bullish Cross targeting 22,500DAX turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.428, MACD = 367.400, ADX = 47.746) which is signalling a strong uptrend ahead, especially with the 4H RSI rising on a Bullish Cross. The last time the Channel Up pattern traded on those numbers it was on January 15th, again after a 4H MACD Bullish Cross and a bottom bounce. That time it increased by +7.50%. That is again our medium term target (TP = 22,500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
