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NDQ100 trade ideas

likely short-term bottom, watch for a potential rebound(The following is only a personal opinion, not investment advice. Please make your own judgment before making any decisions.) This week, the price fluctuated between 19,129 and 19,700. A lower high (LH) has formed, and the price broke above the descending trendline on Friday. If the price can successfully remain above the descending trendline next week, there is a high probability of a significant rebound. The ideal scenario would be for the price to stay above 19,300 and start rebounding. If the price briefly breaks below 19,300 but quickly recovers above this level, the rebound hypothesis remains valid. However, if the price falls below 19,300 and stays below the descending trendline, further declines may occur. Next Wednesday's FOMC meeting will be a key event. Currently, the CME suggests there is almost no chance of a rate cut. The main focus will be on the Fed’s post-meeting statement. The market currently expects the Fed to start cutting rates again in June, with only a 25% probability of a rate cut in May. If expectations for a May rate cut increase, market sentiment could receive a strong boost. Conversely, if rate cut expectations are pushed further back, the market may decline further. Given this week's better-than-expected CPI data and the fact that recent economic data has not supported rising inflation, the Fed may adopt a relatively dovish stance. Target TP levels are 20,256, 20,715, 21,098, and 21,370. Further declines remain possible after a rebound. If the price surpasses 21,345, pay close attention to its behavior between 21,400 and 21,600, as well as potential overbought conditions. The market may decline further after completing the rebound.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by zygliu
NQ: Key News impacting NQ and all US EquitiesGood day! During Asian and European sessions, price retraced and broke the upper TL. Closing above TL, it will end the down movement for ST. This said, I want to pick your attention on two news: 1- What is happening currently in Germany in terms of unlocking the spending, including military spending is very relevant for the future. As a consequence, DAX and all European equities are rallying up in contrary to US equities. Also EURO is rallying up. 2- TSLA stock is in free fall; TSLA worldwide revenues are dropping; it becomes alike a symbol to demonstrate the worldwide frustration against Musk and Trump administration (bullying, tariffs). For reference, I attach TSLA chart highlighting Price target in the near future. ============= See you later after the opening range and Consumer Sentiment data.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by OTM-Fadhl
corrections continue The NASDAQ 100, on the 1-hour chart, has shown notable declines in recent weeks, as reflected in the provided image. From the recent high near 19,940.0 (labeled "E"), the index has undergone a significant correction, breaking key levels and approaching critical support zones. The price is currently testing the 18,717.8 level (138% Fibonacci according to the "tag pole"), a level that could act as temporary support. Context of the Declines Recent declines have been influenced by factors such as macroeconomic uncertainty, including interest rate expectations and the strength of the dollar (USD), in addition to profit-taking following a previous rally. On the 1-hour chart, this corrective movement has brought the index to a confluence between the descending channel (labeled "D") and important Fibonacci levels, such as the 138% at 18,717.8 and the 100% at 18,466.7. Possibility of a Further Downside Given the 1-hour timeframe, the NASDAQ could extend its correction before a rebound. The next relevant support zone is located at 18,466.7 (100% Fibonacci), which coincides with a previous liquidity level (labeled "B"). If this support fails, the price could head towards 18,200, where a stronger support zone is observed (labeled "V"). The corrective structure with waves (I-IV) suggests that we are in wave IV, and a downward wave V could complete in this zone before a trend reversal. Rebound Scenario Once the price reaches these supports, especially 18,466.7 or 18,200, we are likely to see a technical rebound. This could lead the index to retest resistance at 19,000 or even the 19,726.9 level (labeled IV) if the correction is considered complete. Traders may see reversal signals such as divergences in the RSI or a hammer pattern in these areas. Conclusion: Keep an eye on 18,466.7 as critical support. A break below could target 18,200, but a rebound from these levels seems imminent after the current correction.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by JAG_Trader