NAS100 Breakout or Bull Trap? | Smart Money Zone Rejected! NAS100 has just tapped into a strong supply zone marked by institutional activity — right around 21,700–21,731. After weeks of bullish momentum, price has now shown hesitation at this level.
📉 If sellers step in here, we may be witnessing the beginning of a retracement back to key demand levels.
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🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
🔵 Resistance (Current Supply Zone): 21,700 – 21,731
🟦 First Demand Level: 20,507 – A previous structure and breakout zone
🟧 Major Demand Zone: 19,263 – Institutional accumulation zone and strong price memory
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📊 What to Look For:
✅ Bearish confirmation at the supply zone (rejection candles, break of structure)
✅ Volume spike + lower highs = possible short-term reversal
❗ Invalidation: Clean breakout and retest above 21,731 may continue the bullish rally
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🔮 Possible Scenario:
🟥 If sellers defend the current level, we could see:
1. Pullback to 20,500 📉
2. Deep retracement into 19,263 if demand fails 🚨
3. Short setups may become attractive below 21,500 with tight stops above the zone
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⚠️ Why This Matters:
📆 We're heading into a heavy news week (see the upcoming US economic calendar at the bottom of the chart). Volatility is expected. Smart money often moves before major releases!
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💬 What’s your bias? Are we looking at a fakeout or a breakout?
👉 Drop your analysis below and don’t forget to like if this helped your trading plan!
📌 Follow me @FrankFx14 for more smart money insights and daily trade setups.
NDQ100 trade ideas
A Nasdaq Black Hole - Unprecendented yes, Impossible no Before anyone says anything...yes Elliot Waves are completely subjective BUT IMHO i have drawn these correctly....
The NAS made a violent move from 22100 down 16300 in a very short space of time. So what? It will just make another ATH right?
Well, of course. It almost certainly will, the real question is when. If this pattern plays out, it won't be in 2025.
After every impulse on any timeframe, long or short, you'd naturally expect a pullback.
However, not all pullbacks are the same. Usually, the first significant pullback for a corrective wave is no more than 50%.
However, if you have a pullback that is 61.8% or more, it is usually considered an impulsive wave.
What the difference? Corrective waves have3 waves, ultimately trending in one direction, and impulsive waves have 5 waves trending in one direction.
If the Nasdaq falls beneath 20900, with increasing volume, this will signify confirmation to me at least, that we could be starting one of the most violent impulsive bearish waves in the history of financial markets.
Nas100NAS100 Safety Trade Setup
Strategy Name: Safety Trade — NAS100 (M5/M15)
Setup Description:
This is a momentum-based entry using the Safety Trade concept, identifying high-probability reversal or continuation zones based on layered confirmations across EMAs and price behavior.
Criteria:
• EMA Setup: 800 EMA (Trend), 200 EMA (Market structure), 50 EMA (Signal line), 5 EMA & 13 EMA (Entry signals)
• Zone Identification: Price pulls away from the 50 EMA and creates a significant gap (liquidity imbalance).
• Entry Signal:
• Red-Red-Green candle pattern for buys
• Green-Green-Red candle pattern for sells
• Confirmed by EMA re-alignment and RSI divergence (optional)
• Entry: After the third candle closes in the pattern.
• SL: Below/above the second candle wick.
• TP: 1:2 to 1:3 RR or key ADR zone.
• Preferred Session: New York (after 9:30 AM EST)
• Avoid: Major news releases or uncertain market conditions.
⸻
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading NAS100 and other indices involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always use proper risk management, do your own research, and consult a licensed financial advisor before trading
NASDAQ 100 Setup After Bearish Pullback. My Bullish Game Plan!🚀 NASDAQ US100 Update – Key Levels I'm Watching 💡📈
Looking at the NAS100 right now, we’ve seen a strong rally kick off after the weekend 📊🔥 — this comes on the back of an aggressive bearish pullback last week 📉.
📌 My bias is bullish, but with a condition: I want to see price retrace into the 10-minute fair value gap and hold above the previous low 🧠🔍.
If we get a clean pullback, followed by a continuation with higher highs and higher lows, I’ll be watching closely for the first bullish break after that next pullback — that’s where I’d look to position long 🐂📈.
🛑 Not financial advice.
👇 Drop a comment if you're watching these levels too!
US100 (NASDAQ) BREAKOUT BLUEPRINT: LOOT LIKE A SMART TRADER!🔥 NASDAQ 100 HEIST: STEAL THE TREND LIKE A MARKET BANDIT! 🚨💰
Locked & loaded for the US100 (NASDAQ 100) heist? This slick blueprint cracks the code to loot profits—blending killer technicals with macro intel. Ride the bullish wave, but dodge traps near the Overbought Zone. Bears lurk, so secure your bag before the reversal hits! 🐻💨
🎯 ENTRY: STRIKE LIKE A PRO THIEF
Long the breakout near 21,500.0 (or ambush pullbacks at 20,400.0 & 19600.0).
Set stealth alerts to catch moves in real-time. 🕶️🔔
🛡️ STOP LOSS: ESCAPE ALIVE
Hide stops under the last 4H swing low/wick—no reckless bets!
Adjust for your risk—survivors play smart. ⚡
💸 TAKE PROFIT: VANISH WITH THE LOOT
Main Target: 22,250.0 (or bail early if momentum fades).
Scalpers: Trail stops & ghost out with quick wins. 🏃♂️💨
📡 WHY THIS HEIST WORKS
NASDAQ 100’s on fire: Fundamentals + COT data + macro tides align.
Sentiment’s bullish, but stay sharp—links below for the full intel. 🔍🌐
⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = POLICE SIRENS
Avoid new trades during high-impact news. 📢
Lock profits with trailing stops if you’re already in. 🔐
🤝 JOIN THE TRADING MAFIA
Smash LIKE, drop a comment, & let’s dominate the US100! �
Ready for the next big move? Stay tuned. 👀
Happy hunting, chart pirates! 🏴☠️📉
USTEC100 Chart 4H, Trends To Watch for Short The provided USTEC 100 (US Tech 100) 4-hour chart highlights a strategic short (sell) trade setup based on technical price action and defined risk levels. The analysis suggests a bearish market bias, provided that specific price conditions are met and maintained. Let's explore the details and rationale behind this trade idea to understand how traders might approach this setup with calculated entries, targets, and stops.
As per the current market data presented, USTEC 100 is trading around 21,115.00 on Monday, 19 May 2025. The chart emphasizes a critical resistance zone highlighted in red, located at approximately 21,445.10. This level acts as a potential invalidation point for the short trade. If the price crosses above this red zone and a full candle closes above it, the entire bearish setup becomes invalid. This is a key condition – any move above this threshold signifies a shift in market sentiment and cancels the downward outlook.
Nasdaq Holds Above 21,000 Ahead of NVIDIA EarningsDespite Risk-Off Headlines, Nasdaq Remains Resilient
AI remains embedded in long-term national strategies across 2030 and beyond, which is keeping tech resilient even amid trade uncertainty and weaker economic data. Markets are now eyeing NVIDIA’s earnings on Wednesday. Expectations are high, but the announcement could raise volatility risks, particularly heading into Wednesday evening and Thursday's U.S. market open.
The Nasdaq remains in a bullish zone above the neckline of a double top pattern that formed between December 2024 and February 2025. Price action is currently consolidating between the 21,500 resistance and the 20,800 support.
A clear breakout above 21,500 could push the index toward 22,200 and potentially the next major high near 23,700.
Conversely, a decisive close below 20,800–20,600 would signal increased selling pressure, targeting 19,600 and 19,100.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
NASDAQ100 (US100) – Supply Zone Rejection in Play?Fundamental
Despite strong earnings from big tech and resilient economic data, concerns around Fed’s hawkish tone and sticky inflation are resurfacing. Rate cut expectations are being pushed further out, weighing on high-growth sectors like tech.
Technical
The index is testing a key supply zone between 21,380–21,420, aligned with previous highs and fib levels (0.618–0.786). Volume is thinning above, and momentum (Stoch RSI) shows early signs of bearish divergence.
Trade Setup (Short-biased)
- Entry: If price rejects the 21,380–21,420 zone. Before entering, make sure you see bearish pressure first. Like strong red candle on 1h, 2h time frame.
- First Take Profit 1: 20,600
- Second Take Profit 2: 20,000
Follow me for updates on entry confirmation, scaling strategies, and live adjustments.
Thank you
Trend Line Breakout – USNAS100The USNAS100 has shown signs of bearish momentum following a decisive break below a key trend line. This breakdown suggests increased selling pressure, potentially leading to lower price levels. Technical indicators support the bearish bias, with momentum shifting in favuor of the bears. The first target at 20,898 represents an initial support zone, while the second target at 20,270 could be reached if downside pressure intensifies. Traders should monitor volume and price action for continued confirmation and use appropriate risk management strategies, including stop-loss placement above the trend line, to protect against reversal scenarios.
Entry: 21,170
1st Target Point: 20,898
2nd Target Point: 20,270
NASDAQ SELL OPPORTUNITYSo this is not a signal but a lesson. So my main focus is the gap created by the market on the last 2 Mondays. In most cases the market likes closing the gaps that it creates. So here is a little experiment that I am looking at of whether or not the market proves our hypothesis. Not a signal purely a learning experience.
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument 37Last week the market created great opportunities for buyers and sellers as there was a high level of volatility and consolidation, so much so that many traders ignored a key element in the movement for NAS100 and that is that with all the selling that took place, the NAS100 index still closed above the previous weeks low and above the lowest point so far of the year...a clear indication that the HL's are still intact.
As I have always said and will continue to say...any sells on the NAS100 are only temporary retracements to form the HL on a larger timeframe. With that being said, any retracement sell that I take is simply to capitalized on the current retracement and to build my account to be able to scale up to a larger lot size.
While many continue to anticipate a sustained drop in the NAS100...A master class in trend movements is currently being prepared and will be executed when the time is right.
For now, I continue to capitalize on this perfect opportunity to take buys and sells in a consolidatory market that clearly is making space for the next move once it completes it's required retracement.
Until such times:
1. I enter on my largest HL
2. Exit on my largest LH (if the market continues to consolidate and wait for the next HL to be
formed for another entry
3. The HH's are guaranteed to come again once the upper level consolidation is broken.
Until then, the retracements provide some very profitable bonus moves once you have an understanding that they will not continue forever.
So for this week...no rush to enter any buys without proper confirmation.
My original level is 20,667.9, however my if I get a confirmation before that level is touched then the buys will resume for me.
Have a great week and happy trading.
#oneauberstrategy
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#patience
#zigzagtheory
#oneauberstrategy
US1OO SHORT TRADE IDEA Chart Breakdown:
1. Trendline Break:
A clear uptrend was in place, supported by the ascending blue trendline.
The price broke below this trendline, suggesting a potential reversal or correction.
After the break, price attempted to retest the trendline (a common behavior before continuation in the new direction).
2. Bearish Rejection:
Price got rejected around the trendline retest zone, which aligns with a resistance area marked in red.
This confluence zone suggests supply dominance, pushing the price lower.
3. Imbalance Zone (Fair Value Gap):
A pink rectangular zone marks an imbalance, often called a fair value gap (FVG)—where price moved too quickly, leaving inefficient trading volume.
These zones are typically revisited to "fill the imbalance."
4. Heikin Ashi Candles:
Recent candles show strong bearish momentum with little to no upper wicks, confirming a downward trend.
Multiple consecutive red candles support trend continuation.
📉 Bearish Setup Analysis:
Entry Zone: Around the trendline retest, near 21,000–21,100.
Target Zone: Imbalance/fair value gap around 20,100–20,200.
Stop-Loss Zone: Above the resistance area, around 21,150–21,200.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable (visualized with the green zone risk and extended red arrow for reward).
✅ Bearish Case Justification:
Trendline break and retest failure.
Rejection at key resistance/supply.
Imbalance acting as a price magnet.
Momentum strongly favors bears (based on Heikin Ashi structure).
⚠️ Risk Factors / Invalidations:
If price reclaims and holds above the trendline or breaks above 21,200, the bearish setup could be invalidated.
Major macro news or earnings could reverse the move rapidly.
Watch for divergences or weakening bearish momentum on smaller timeframes as price approaches the target zone.
🧭 Strategy Tip:
This could suit a swing short setup, especially for traders looking to capitalize on trendline break retests and imbalance fills. A tighter entry around the top of the rejection zone provides a better risk/reward.
NASDAQ Potential Bullish ContinuationNASDAQ price action seems to exhibit signs of potential Bullish momentum as the price action may form a credible Higher High (after tarriff delays on the EU) with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : 21600
Stop Loss : 20550
TP 1: 22649
US index futures and Apple tumble on Trump warningUS index futures and Apple shares tumbled in premarket as Trump warned the company of 25% tariffs if manufacturing of iPhones is not moved to the United States.
This is what Trump posted on social media:
"I have long ago informed Tim Cook of Apple that I expect their iPhone’s that will be sold in the United States of America will be manufactured and built in the United States, not India, or anyplace else. If that is not the case, a Tariff of at least 25% must be paid by Apple to the U.S. Thank your for your attention to this matter!"
Let's see if the recent stall in the rally will now turn into more than just a pause.
The other big concerns remains over US Treasuries and rising long term bond yields. Long-dated US Treasuries managed to claw back some of their recent losses yesterday and that helped the markets a little. But if the bond market selling resumes then yields will remain elevated and pressurize all sorts of risk assets. Without a fundamental shift in US fiscal policy, the implications of rising US borrowing costs and widening fiscal deficits means the US is on an unstable fiscal policy path, which could lead to heighten market volatility.
By Fawad Razaqzada
NASDAQ TP Smashed! Patience PaysBeautiful execution on NASDAQ — structure respected, EMAs aligned, and momentum confirmed. Waited for the clean setup, entered with confidence, and held until target. Discipline and timing were everything.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.