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NDQ100 trade ideas

NAS100USD: SMT Divergence Hints at Potential ReversalGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, although the current market structure reflects bearish institutional order flow, there are growing signs that a potential reversal may be forming. Key Observations: 1. Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergence: We are currently observing SMT divergence—a strategy where the underlying asset (NAS100) is compared against its benchmark (US500). These indices typically maintain a 90–100% correlation. However, when this correlation breaks down, it often signals that a reversal may be imminent. In this case, while NAS100 continues to show bearish momentum, the divergence from US500 suggests the possibility of bullish interest building. 2. Institutional Support at the Rejection Block: Further confluence for a potential reversal lies in the presence of a rejection block acting as a strong institutional support level. This is a zone where smart money previously defended price, and if confirmed, it could provide an optimal entry for long positions. Trading Plan: We will monitor the rejection block for confirmation of bullish intent before entering any trades. If confirmed, the idea is to target the buy-side liquidity residing in premium pricing zones. Invalidation Level : This reversal idea will be invalidated if NAS500 breaks below its most recent swing low. Stay alert for confirmation, and always ensure the idea fits within your broader trading framework. Kind regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
Navigating the Next Trend MoveOverall Trend: The price shows a clear uptrend, as indicated by the ascending channel (sloping yellow lines). The price has been respecting this channel, with higher lows and higher highs. Support and Resistance: Support: The 19,734.2 level (marked on the chart) has acted as a key support. The price bounced from this level after a correction. Resistance: The 19,849.6 level (also marked) appears to be a resistance zone, as the price has shown difficulty breaking above it on a sustained basis. Projection: The price is approaching potential resistance at 20,072.9, which could be a target if the uptrend continues. Indicators: 200-period EMA (blue line): The price is above the 200-period EMA, confirming the uptrend on this timeframe. The EMA is around 19,889.4, acting as dynamic support. Patterns and Structure: The price has broken out after consolidating near the 200 EMA and the support at 19,734.2, suggesting that buyers are in control. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks the resistance at 19,849.6 with increasing volume, it could head toward the target at 20,072.9. This would confirm the continuation of the uptrend within the channel. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break above the resistance at 19,849.6 and confirms the pin bar with a downward movement, it could correct toward the support at 19,734.2 or even the 200 EMA at 19,889.4. Trader Recommendation: Long Entry (Buy): Wait for a breakout and close above 19,849.6 with confirmation (e.g., a strong bullish candle or increased volume). The target would be 20,072.9, with a stop loss below 19,734.2. Short Entry (Sell): If a rejection at 19,849.6 is confirmed (e.g., with a bearish candle following the Pin Bar), consider a sell entry with a target at 19,734.2 or the 200 EMA, placing a stop loss above 19,849.6. Conclusion: The US 100 is in an uptrend, but the resistance at 19,849.6 and the Pin Bar suggest caution. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering positions, either to take advantage of the bullish continuation or a possible correction. Managing risk is key, especially on a 15-minute time frame, where volatility can be high.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by JAG_Trader
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Bullish Break– Confirming the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 19575 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. ——— Analysis 👌 Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19460 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19000 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 19100 – Major support / Key level ➗ 19450 – Proven resistance 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 19450 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest • 19460 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times) • 19100 – Equal lows • 19500 – Equal highs Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
FX:NAS100Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
US100 Triangle Squeeze – Breakout or Fakeout?Hey Traders, Price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, squeezing between rising support and descending resistance. Two potential bullish scenarios on watch: 🔹 Scenario 1: Breakout above triangle resistance with confirmation → Potential rally toward the 19,200–19,600 zone. 🔹 Scenario 2: Short-term rejection at resistance → Pullback to triangle support or the 18,370 level → Then bounce for continuation to the upside. If the triangle breaks to the downside, I’ll be watching the 18,000 and 17,600 demand zones for a potential reaction. 📌 Key Levels: Resistance: 18,800 / 19,200 / 19,600 Support: 18,370 / 18,000 / 17,600 ⚠️ Not financial advice – just sharing market insights. – Mr. Wolf 🐺 #US100 #NAS100 #DowJones #Indices #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading #TradingView
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by MrWolf10
USNAS100 30M CHART PATTERN echnical Analysis Summary Chart Pattern Observed: The chart shows a clear ascending triangle pattern, which is a bullish continuation pattern. This is formed by a horizontal resistance level (around 19,550) and a rising trendline (higher lows), suggesting buying pressure is building up. Key Levels: Resistance Zone: 19,550 Support Trendline: Rising from ~19,050 to current level Current Price: ~19,580 Breakout Target: 19,800.00 (as marked) Interpretation: Price has tested the 19,550 resistance multiple times without breaking lower significantly, indicating strength. A breakout above this resistance would confirm the bullish triangle pattern. The projected target, calculated using the height of the triangle added to the breakout level, is around 19,800. Volume confirmation would further strengthen the breakout's validity (not shown here). Potential Strategy: Buy on breakout above 19,550, ideally with volume confirmation. Take Profit: Around 19,800, per the measured move projection
FX:NAS100Long
by Trend_logic
NAS100 - Stock Market Waiting for a New Stimulus?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index continues to move upwards towards the specified supply zone, one can look for further Nasdaq short positions with a risk-reward ratio. Last week, financial markets experienced a brief sigh of relief as U.S. President Donald Trump appeared to ease tensions by signaling a limited retreat in the tariff war with China, sparking hopes for reduced friction. However, this optimism quickly faded once it became clear that Trump’s retreat was neither substantial nor impactful. From Beijing’s perspective, the trade war has transcended economic concerns, becoming an issue of national pride and sovereignty. As a result, China, the world’s second-largest economy, is not retreating as easily as Trump anticipated. This stance has evolved into a significant challenge for the White House. U.S. officials indicated that tariffs of 145% could be reduced within two to three weeks if an agreement is reached. Nonetheless, according to Chinese authorities, negotiations have yet to even begin, raising doubts about Trump’s negotiation tactics. Additionally, other concessions, such as reducing tariffs on American automakers, remain uncertain, and Trump has even threatened to raise tariffs on Canadian car imports. This environment not only fails to clarify U.S. trade policy but also deepens uncertainty for domestic businesses. Although the White House claims it is monitoring markets closely and Trump is eager to strike deals with key partners, these assurances have not alleviated concerns about the future of the U.S. economy. In the upcoming week, critical economic data could either intensify or ease current worries. On Tuesday, the Consumer Confidence Index for April and the JOLTS job openings data for March will be released. The highlight, however, will be the preliminary estimate of GDP growth, scheduled for Wednesday. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model forecasts a 2.2% annualized contraction in the U.S. economy for Q1 2025. Meanwhile, a Reuters survey of economists projects a modest 0.4% growth rate, a significant slowdown from Q4’s 2.4% growth. Accompanying these reports, the ADP private-sector employment data and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index will be published. The core PCE for March is expected to show a monthly increase of 0.1% and an annual rise of 2.5%, down from 2.8% previously. Personal spending is anticipated to maintain its 0.4% monthly growth, reflecting resilient household expenditures. Additionally, on Wednesday, the Chicago PMI and pending home sales figures will be released. Thursday will bring the Challenger layoffs data for April, but market focus will be on the ISM manufacturing PMI, expected to drop from 49 to 47.9. The week’s main event will be Friday’s release of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Forecasts suggest job growth will slow from 228,000 in March to 130,000 in April, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.2%. Wages are projected to rise by 0.3%.If NFP and PCE data come in weaker than expected, market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in June could intensify, although the likelihood of a cut in May will remain low. Such data would likely be bearish for the U.S. dollar but could support equity markets if recession fears do not dominate sentiment. Some Federal Reserve officials have suggested that if economic conditions deteriorate significantly, rate cuts could start as early as June. Currently, the Fed has maintained high rates to combat inflation but may lower them to support growth and prevent a sharp rise in unemployment if necessary. Trump’s trade wars pose a dual risk of increasing inflation while hurting employment, complicating the Fed’s monetary policy strategy. Presently, the Fed is in a “wait-and-see” mode, but several officials indicated last week that cuts could begin if economic data worsens. Beth Hammack, President of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, told CNBC on Thursday that the Fed might lower rates starting in June if signs of economic weakening due to Trump’s sporadic tariffs appear. Christopher Waller, a Fed Board member, stated on Bloomberg TV that he could foresee rate cuts if the labor market collapses but does not expect such a scenario before July. On Thursday, Waller remarked, “It would not be surprising to see an increase in layoffs and a higher unemployment rate, especially if major tariffs return. I would expect faster rate cuts once signs of severe labor market deterioration emerge.” These comments highlight the Fed’s current dilemma as it awaits clearer evidence of significant economic fallout from Trump’s trade wars. The Federal Reserve’s mandate is to maintain low inflation and unemployment levels. Its primary tool, the federal funds rate, influences borrowing costs across the economy. The Fed can stimulate growth by lowering rates or curb inflation by raising them. Economists warn that Trump’s tariffs present the risk of simultaneously driving up inflation while damaging employment, forcing the Fed to prioritize which challenge to address first.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
The same repeat as 4 April 2022The market seems to be recovering and more and more positive ideas are emerging. However, on a weekly timeframe, the NDX appears to be forming a pattern very similar to what we saw at the end of 2021. Even the RSI shows remarkably similar levels. Personally, I’m staying cautious. I haven’t taken a position yet, but I’m ready to buy in on the next significant dip. I’ve set my alert around 14,500 – let’s hope we reach that level again. 😉 What are your thoughts on this? Feel free to share your opinion!
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Stockbuzzr
US100There’s a **Sell opportunity** forming on **US100**, but this one carries a bit more risk compared to the others. That’s why I recommend opening the trade with a **smaller lot size** just for this setup. 🔍 **Criteria:** ✔️ Timeframe: 15M ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 20021.8 ✔️ Take Profit: 19945.8 ✔️ Stop Loss: 20059.6 🔔 **Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies: 💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Nurlan_PT
NASdaq_ Bullish trendline check and breakoutToday the Nasdaq made a Bullish trendline check and breakout to the up-side. Looks to be a sustainable rally. Also the Ichimoku is breaking out on the daily. If you have hedge positions this the potential BULL rally you might need to manage those position through. Seems we are lining up for good news, Bullish narrative: Ukraine mineral deal, May 06-07 interest rate cut, trade deals with India, Japan, Italy Australia, Mexico, Russian Ukraine peace deal. after that who knows
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by wolffarchitecture
2
Following the Wave StructureAnalysis: The NASDAQ100 appears to be following a classic 5-wave structure. Currently, we are finishing Wave 3, with an expected corrective move toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement zone near 19,018.7. From there, the chart suggests a continuation toward the 19,879 area (close to the daily 200 EMA) and, finally, toward the 20,866 target, completing the cycle. Key zones: Support: 19,018.7 (50% Fibo and strong structural level) Resistance: 19,879.1 and 20,866.2 Additional levels: Daily 200 EMA and previous structural gaps The path won't be in a straight line — expect consolidation and pullbacks along the way. However, the bullish projection remains intact as long as the 19,018.7 support holds. Let's keep riding the wave! 🌊
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by JAG_Trader
5 May Weekly NAS100 Forecast USTECH: Trade Talks and Fed Decision in Focus Analysis: Markets are at a pivotal juncture as investors monitor two critical developments: the potential resumption of U.S.-China trade negotiations and the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision. Trade Negotiations: Renewed dialogue between the U.S. and China could alleviate tariff pressures, stabilize global supply chains, and bolster investor confidence, thereby reducing recession risks. Federal Reserve Decision: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet on May 6–7, 2025. While the Fed is widely expected to maintain the current interest rate range of 4.25%–4.50%, market participants are keenly awaiting Chair Jerome Powell's commentary for insights into future monetary policy directions. Market Bias: Cautiously Bullish The confluence of potential trade resolutions and a steady monetary policy stance supports a cautiously optimistic outlook. However, market volatility may persist pending concrete developments. Key Levels to Watch: USTECH (NASDAQ 100): Resistance: 20 531 Support: 19 481 Conclusion: Investors should remain vigilant, monitoring both geopolitical developments and central bank communications, as these factors will significantly influence market trajectories in the near term. --- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions. ---
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by tshiiamom_sa
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for FOMC?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect corrective moves from the specified range, but if the index continues to move upwards towards 21,000 points, we can look for the next Nasdaq short positions with a risk-reward ratio. Last week, U.S. equity markets experienced $8.9 billion in capital outflows, while equity markets in Japan and the European Union saw net inflows. Additionally, U.S. Treasury bonds recorded an outflow of $4.5 billion—the largest since December 2023. Meanwhile, the gold market witnessed its first weekly investment decline since January. Looking ahead, financial markets are focused on the upcoming earnings reports from major companies across sectors such as technology, healthcare, automotive, energy, and financial services. These reports are expected to significantly influence equity trends, investment strategies, and corporate outlooks. Below is a daily breakdown of key companies set to release earnings this week: Monday, May 5, 2025 The week starts with a focus on the healthcare and biotech sectors: • Before market open: Companies such as Palantir, Ford, Onsemi, and Tyson Foods will report earnings. Palantir and Ford are particularly noteworthy for investors in the tech and auto sectors. • After market close: Healthcare firms like Hims & Hers Health, Axsome Therapeutics, and financial company CNA Financial will report. Tuesday, May 6, 2025 Tuesday highlights several key tech earnings: • Before market open: Celsius, Datadog, Rivian, and Tempus will publish their results. Rivian’s report is especially anticipated due to the intense competition in the electric vehicle space. • After market close: Tech giants like AMD and Arista Networks will release earnings, along with Marriott from the hospitality sector. Wednesday, May 7, 2025 A packed day for earnings reports: • Before market open: Reports from Uber and Teva are expected, along with ARM Holdings, a key player in semiconductors. • After market close: AppLovin, Unity, and Robinhood will release their reports—representing digital gaming, software, and fintech respectively. Thursday, May 8, 2025 This day centers on digital health, cryptocurrency, and e-commerce: • Before market open: Peloton and Shopify will report. Shopify’s performance is particularly critical in the online retail sector. • After market close: Crypto firm Coinbase and online sports betting platform DraftKings are in focus. Friday, May 9, 2025 Fewer companies will report, but some are of strategic interest: • Firms like 1stdibs, Ani Pharmaceuticals, and Embecta are scheduled, as well as Telos and Algonquin—key names in energy and cybersecurity investing. This week, markets are closely monitoring Wednesday’s FOMC meeting. At the March session, the Fed left rates unchanged and signaled only two potential cuts totaling 50 basis points for the year, based on its dot plot—suggesting a cautious approach to monetary easing. Simultaneously, April’s U.S. Services PMI is set to be released today, providing clearer insights into post-tariff business activity. Amazon’s CEO stated that, so far, there is no indication of reduced demand due to tariff concerns. Some inventory spikes were noted in specific categories, likely driven by stockpiling ahead of tariff implementation. Retail prices, on average, have not significantly increased, and most sellers have yet to raise prices—though that could change depending on how tariff policies evolve. Notably, essential goods have grown at twice the rate of other categories and now account for a third of all unit sales in the U.S. Following April’s jobs report, the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in June dropped from 75% to 42%. With only one more employment report due before the June 18 meeting, hopes for an early policy shift have faded. Some analysts argue that without the tariff conflict, the Fed might already be cutting rates, given the downward trend in inflation, steady growth, and Congressional focus on fiscal measures. The April jobs data showed that the U.S. labor market remains resilient—neither too strong to spark inflation fears nor too weak to trigger panic. After the release, with market confidence rebounding, Goldman Sachs forecasted the Fed’s first rate cut to come at the July 30 meeting. The consensus expectation is for the Fed funds rate to remain in the current 4.25%-4.5% range, unchanged since January. The CME FedWatch tool currently assigns just a 1.8% chance of a rate cut at the upcoming meeting. Economists warn that Trump’s newly imposed tariffs—active since April—could drive up prices and hurt employment, challenging the Fed’s dual mandate of controlling both inflation and joblessness. However, recent data shows inflation remained mild in March and the labor market held steady in April. Nancy Vanden Houten, Chief U.S. Economist at Oxford Economics, wrote: “The data is strong enough for the Fed to stay on the sidelines and monitor how tariffs influence inflation and expectations.” While hard data remains stable, forecasts and sentiment surveys signal looming challenges. Business leaders and individuals express concern that rising costs may burden consumers and businesses in the coming months or years, possibly even tipping the economy into recession.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
Approaching 200SMA and long-term uptrend line, pullback expected(The following is a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please exercise independent judgment before making any decisions.) Last week, the market remained in a consolidation phase near recent highs. The current price has broken through and is approaching the 200-day moving average, while also nearing a retest of the uptrend line that began in 2023. Considering the price has been on a 9-day upward streak, there is a high probability of a significant pullback upon reaching these key resistance levels. At present, it is difficult to categorize the overall market trend as either bullish or bearish. With ongoing uncertainty around tariff-related policies, the market appears to be in a consolidation phase rather than a sustained uptrend, lacking fundamental support for further rallies. As such, there is a higher probability that the price will fill the lower gap at 18,264. Next week, special attention should be given to the FOMC rate decision and the press conference on Wednesday. Recent employment data has been strong, and inflation has shown signs of rising. The Fed is expected to maintain its current stance, which could trigger a market sell off. It's also possible the pullback may begin as early as Monday or Tuesday, offering opportunities for early positioning. From a technical perspective, if the price continues to rise, it may test the area around the 200-day moving average and previous trend resistance, roughly between 20,226 and 20,400. Should this area be tested early in the week (Monday or Tuesday), I would consider initiating short positions. Light positions can be considered above the 20,000 level, as the current price range offers a relatively favorable risk-to-reward. To the downside, a break below the 19,000 level is required first, after which there's a higher probability of filling the price gap between 18,264 and 18,583. If supported by macro news, the market may further test lower levels in the coming weeks, including 17,589, 17,278–16,946, and potentially 16,108–16,589. These levels will require further observation as developments unfold.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by zygliu
Nasdaq: Where should I buy from next? New bullish orderblockWe are hunting the next buyzone already. The correction zone is printing now. This is how you accurately forecast your next entry ahead of time. Learn how corrections should work. Long below higher time frame (Hourly/Daily/Weekly) lows is the name of the game. This should be easy work, and you can feel free to look for longs below 15m lows on the way to the targets above. Once we hit those, we should look for correction after closing below hourly candles, the same way we were able to freely take long after close above hourly candles today just as I prescribed while it was dropping. This is just the rules of the game 🔓 gotta be sharp enough to observe them and trust the mechanics. Thanks for tuning in
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by HollywooodTrades