Nas100Nas100 1H Analysis
• Peak Formation 1 = Start of the peak reversal cycle (Level 3 confirmed)
• Peak Formation High (PFH) or Low (PFL) = Price has likely reached the extreme zone and is reversing.
So, when you see:
• An M pattern on your chart
• And Peak Formation 1 on DashFix
It means:
The system has recognized a Level 3 stop hunt and shift, and it’s now marking this area as the potential high of the week (start of reversal cycle).
This is your confirmation zone that:
• The market has likely hit a weekly top
• It’s safe to look for short setups (after confirmation)
• It’s too risky to buy unless proven otherwise
⸻
3. What You Should Do (Execution Plan)
If you see M + Peak Formation 1:
Wait for:
• M pattern completion (two peaks, often 2–3 candles apart)
• 5 EMA & 13 EMA cross down on your entry time frame (M5 or M15)
• TDI confirmation (green crossing red downward near overbought)
• Price breaking the neckline of the M
Enter trade:
• Sell after confirmation (engulfing/rejection candle at M peak)
• Place stop loss above the high (trap candle or second leg)
• Target: 50–100 pips depending on ADR or prior support zones
⸻
4. Extra Tips
• Peak Formation 1 usually appears after New York session fakeouts or early Tuesday/Wednesday
• Avoid entering early during consolidation or inside the Asian range
NDQ100 trade ideas
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Pullback support at 23.6% Fibonacci retracementNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,898.76 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 20,500.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 21,471.38 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Nasdaq long up to 21,454.57Nasdaq is working on a strong recovery from the US tariffs.
Last Friday we saw a strong liquidity grab, respecting the current bullish trend and breaking the weak highs.
I do expect a little pullback to generate some more liquidity before pushing to higher highs at 21,454.57
NAS100 - Will the Stock Market Reach Its Previous High?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the trend line is broken, I expect corrective moves, but if the index corrects towards the demand zone, we can look for further buying positions in Nasdaq with a risk-reward ratio. Maintaining this trend line will lead to a continuation of the Nasdaq upward trend.
The strong rally in U.S. equities that had pushed the S&P 500 close to record highs for 2025 came to a halt on Friday, following the release of disappointing consumer sentiment data. A report from the University of Michigan revealed a drop in consumer confidence and a surge in inflation expectations to levels not seen in decades—factors that have amplified concerns about the economy’s outlook.
Despite this, some analysts remain hopeful that robust corporate earnings and the temporary suspension of tariffs could provide needed support for the market. Meanwhile, rating agency Moody’s warned that U.S. federal debt is projected to climb to 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2024.
Moody’s noted that while the U.S. economy and financial system remain strong, the weakening of certain fiscal indicators has diminished the ability of these strengths to offset negative effects. According to their analysis, trade tariffs will not significantly impact long-term U.S. economic growth, and substantial changes in mandatory spending are unlikely in the near future.
Although the U.S. credit rating has been downgraded, the country’s long-term domestic and foreign credit ceilings remain at AAA. However, Moody’s has revised the overall credit rating for the U.S. down from AAA to Aa1.
One noteworthy detail is that since April 21, the index has seen only one negative trading day—May 9, which experienced only a slight decline. Falling Treasury yields have reduced some market risks, while Donald Trump’s trip to the Middle East has also helped ease political tensions at home. The market clearly reflects growing investor appetite for risk, though the possibility of a correction at these levels remains real.
Looking ahead to this week, traders will closely monitor preliminary purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data for May on Thursday. They will also pay attention to speeches from several Federal Reserve officials to gauge whether the Fed remains focused on economic growth or has shifted more attention to inflation, especially in light of recent U.S.-China trade agreements.
A rise in PMI figures may suggest that business sentiment has improved since tensions eased between the U.S. and China, but investors are also eager for clear guidance on the Fed’s next policy steps. Key speakers include John Williams (New York Fed), Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed), Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed), and Mary Daly (San Francisco Fed). If these officials continue to express concerns about elevated inflation risks, the U.S. dollar could continue to strengthen, as markets may price in fewer rate cuts ahead.
As for the equity markets, their reaction remains uncertain. Recently, equities have risen even as expectations for rate cuts have diminished—primarily due to a reduced fear of recession following tariff adjustments. However, with recession fears now less pronounced and a growing narrative around sustained higher rates due to sticky inflation, Wall Street may pull back if Fed officials emphasize upside inflation risks.
In related news, President Donald Trump harshly criticized Walmart’s pricing strategy, stating that the company should absorb the cost of tariffs rather than passing them onto consumers. In a public statement, Trump pointed out that Walmart made billions in profit last year and argued that American shoppers should not bear the burden of higher prices caused by trade tariffs.
Trump also implicated China in the issue, stating that either Walmart or China should take responsibility for these added costs. He warned that both he and consumers are closely watching how Walmart handles the situation.
US Debt Crisis & NAS100Shorting levels reached again.
This time the shorting level is DEBT CRISIS at 13600.
In the today news:
Moody’s downgrade of the U.S.′ credit rating.
The levels was mentioning at
Norges Bank Reveals potential 800 billion dollar loss in stress test scenario.
www.youtube.com
As far is correct.
NDX Be carefullWe’re currently braced for an 8–9% pullback in the Nasdaq 100 before we attempt what could prove to be a bull‑trap breakout above last cycle’s all‑time high. Historically, the ‘summer swoon’ is supported by data showing that, since 2000, the Nasdaq 100 has experienced an average decline of roughly 5–7% between June and August as institutional investors trim positions ahead of mid‑year portfolio rebalances. With selling pressure typically peaking in July—when mutual funds lock in gains for window dressing—we’re unlikely to see a committed uptrend until the back‑to‑school season around late September to early October. Even if we see a short‑lived bounce on positive headlines or better‑than‑expected earnings, the broader bias remains sideways to down until seasonal headwinds abate and real money players rotate back into large‑cap tech.
US100 SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 21,312.4
Target Level: 19,338.7
Stop Loss: 22,625.1
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
NQ: Upcoming Weekly analysis!FA Analysis:
1- Not much to update in comparison to last week analysis.
- Trump deals have had the upper hand; Market took them as a relief and stocks and equities are crumbs away from the pre-tariffs values.
- FED has tied hands:
a) On one hand, FED knows very well the negative impacts of tariffs that both prices and employment are not hit yet by them.
b) On the other hand, economic data are still good which are sufficiently reasonable and rationale to cut rate.
c) Latest data on Consumer Sentiment came undershoot and Inflation Expectations came overshoot which really reflect the tariff impacts.
Hence, it will be very difficult for the FED to cut rates on June meeting.
2- Moody's Rating: Last Friday Moody cut United States ratings to AA1 from AAA
Market will open with a Gap down.
3- Next week is relatively calm in terms of macro-economic data. We might see other Trump's deals.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
NQ Weekly candle provided a strong bullish candle.
Price closed and broke out the monthly Candle (green dashed line).
1- If the opening (gap down) is below the green dashed line, the weekly close should be revised down to the opening.
2- If the opening is above the green line, the weekly close is bullish.
Price should retest both the previous weekly high and low (blue lines) as a sign of Consolidation.
Daily TF:
The last three days show a clear exhaustion.
According to the ST/MT/LT Outlook (i.e., SELL), FED no rate cut in June and Moody's rating, market might start a sell-off.
That's all for this week. Wish you a green and wealthy week!
(Note: This analysis reflects my view and my bias that ST/MT/LT Outlook is Sell. Someone else may argue a complete opposite narrative and it could be a correct analysis. So do your own assessment and make your own decisions!)
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NASDAQ : waiting for take sell stopsfirst of all follow me on Substack for market action analysis
There’s an FVG on the 4H timeframe in Nasdaq,
which indicates strong momentum—likely aiming to hunt some lows.
If the price takes out the specific low I’ve marked,
I’ll watch how the candles react around that area.
If the reaction isn’t strong,
then I’ll start considering a bullish scenario
and look for a potential long setup.
This is not a bull trap, US100 target 22kIm expecting Nas to climb after healthy pullback. You can enter now at 21319 and TP next week at 22K. If you decide to trade this idea, use a proper size. You can also average at the bottom of SL zone. TP partially at the red lines. Please check my previous ideas to know if-what are you trading. Wish you good luck.
Falling towards pullback support?NAS100 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 20,809.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 20,352.24
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 21,779.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NAS100 BEARISH FOR 35,532 TICKS1. Understanding the Target (35,532 Ticks)
1 tick in NAS100 (CFD/Futures) typically represents 0.25 index points (varies by broker).
35,532 ticks = 35,532 × 0.25 = 8,883 points.
This suggests a long-term bullish outlook if starting from current levels (~18,000-19,000).
2. Key Analysis for NAS100 Forecast
Trend: NAS100 is strongly influenced by tech stocks (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, etc.) and Fed policy.
Support Levels:
Major support at 18,000-18,500 (2024 consolidation zone).
Resistance Levels:
19,500-20,000 (ATH zone).
21,000-22,000 (next psychological barrier).
3. Take Profit (TP) Strategy
If entering a long position (assuming bullish trend continuation):
Short-term TP: 19,500 (scalping).
Medium-term TP: 20,500-21,000 (swing trade).
Long-term TP (35,532 ticks): ~26,883 (if starting from 18,000).
If entering a short position (unlikely given bullish bias):
TP at key supports (17,500 or lower).
4. Risk Management
Use stop-loss (SL) below key support (e.g., 17,800 for longs).
Position sizing: Risk ≤1-2% per trade.
5. Conclusion
Bullish Case: If NAS100 breaks 20,000, the 35,532-tick (8,883-point) target could be possible in a strong bull run.
Bearish Case: Unlikely unless major crash (Fed tightening/geopolitical crisis).
Nasdaq: Positive Momentum Builds Following Nvidia's Q1 EarningsThe Nasdaq is experiencing increased bullish momentum following Nvidia’s impressive Q1 earnings.
On the medium to long term, the index is targeting levels around 23,800.
In the short term, a corrective move toward 21,500 is expected, which will likely set the stage for a strong rebound toward 22,300 and 23,000.
📈 Stay tuned for upcoming opportunities and key levels!
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