NQ: Today's planFollowing strong bearish Q/M/W candles and ST/MT/LT Sell Outlooks, today's plan: Sell the retest of TL.
NDQ100 trade ideas
50/50 Long on NAS100Price is reacting at the D FVG, I think there could be an opportunity to set the high of the week later today or tomorrow before we see price tanking in reaction to the so called liberation day by POTUS.
A 50/50 Long on NAS100Price is retesting the Daily FVG and the high of today and fill at least 50% of the 4HR FVG before we see price going low.
USTEC Sell Limit Trade Idea⏳ Expires: 02/04/2025 - 12:00
Market Outlook
A 5-wave bearish count has completed at 18,818, indicating potential downside.
The 261.8% Fibonacci extension from 20,363 to 19,765 is located at 18,796, reinforcing bearish momentum.
Equities opened higher due to an overnight positive theme, but previous support at 19,423 has now turned into resistance.
Trade Details
Entry (Sell Limit): 19,415
Stop Loss: 19,555 (-140 points)
Take Profit: 19,125 (+290 points)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.07:1
Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: 19,415 (Bespoke Resistance)
R2: 19,423 (Previous Support Turned Resistance)
R3: 20,636
Support:
S1: 19,157
S2: 19,124
S3: 18,796 (Fibonacci Extension Target)
Technical & Fundamental Factors
✅ Bearish 5-Wave Count Completed – Suggests potential for further downside.
✅ Fibonacci Resistance at 18,796 – Aligns with key technical levels.
✅ Previous Support Turned Resistance – 19,423 may act as a rejection zone.
⚠️ ISM Manufacturing PMI Release (01/04/2025 at 15:00) – Potential market-moving event to watch.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NQ: Q/M/W Analysis!FA Analysis
ST/MT/LT Outlook: SELL
1- US Economy: Recession/slowing down economy
2- Inflation is UP!
3- Trump's policies: Tariffs; Treasury hole;
4- Consumer sentiment and corporation sentiment are down
5- FED has hands tied; under Trump's pressure; confirmed uncertainty
6- Europe is waking up: Major investments in Infrastructures and Defense; Europe is and will attract investments (US equities DOWN Versus EUR Equities UP)
7- GOLD made new ATH seeking the sky as a response to UNCERTAINTY.
All the above are very bad for US equities.
7- This week, we have key employment data (i.e., Jolts and NFP). Market expectations are very low. But I won't be surprised if NFP data comes NEGATIVE.
8- April 2nd: US tariffs comes into effect!
9- Market made already their decision: sell-off! Even with good news (i.e., today's Europe bending knee); So any good news will be short live, unless all these non-sense tariffs go away which is unlikely.
TA Analysis:
Quarterly TF
Strong bearish Q candle! A confirmed break of TL, it means continuation down.
Monthly TF
Same here: strong bearish Monthly candle!
The chart shows next key targets.
Weekly TF
Same thing: Very strong bearish weekly close. This weekly candle is the strongest bearish candle you may have!
Price closed below 19620 (mentioned previously). During the last week, price bounced to test the previous swing of 19620 and grabbed liquidity and went down in an impulsive way. This wave still have room to continue down.
Daily TF
Last Friday daily candle is now the new strong resistance that buyers have to go through to make a change of structure. Many large sellers are sitting there.
Us100 Upward or downward?In the 5-minute timeframe, you can sell at the top of the trading range and buy at the bottom of the trading range (by observing reversal candles and patterns).
Alternatively, you can wait for a breakout and enter in the direction of the breakout.
Be mindful of fake breakouts.
Help! Potential High liquidity price for US100/NasdaqIn my Video i only just indicated price points which i suspect may be significant today help me out by Judging for me if they really do end up significant also correct me suggest some ideas
NAS100 EYESI am honestly intending to see some buys, so I did not draft for this video hence my mind was all over the zones and the gaps, I wannit to talk bias but I ended up analyzing to trade. I am sorry about that but we will fix it as soon as possible. Happy Trading.
Lastly, if your plan fail, don't reconsider another entry, especially on the same day.
Precision Trading – How Our Trade Played Out PerfectlyIn trading, precision and patience are everything. We don’t chase trades—we wait for the perfect confluence of technical factors to align. This trade idea followed our systematic approach, utilizing ranges, Fibonacci levels, internal & inducement liquidity, break of structure (BOS), entry confirmation patterns, and harmonics. Here’s a breakdown of how it all unfolded.
1. Identifying the Range
Before executing, we mapped out the market structure to establish a clear range. The price action showed a well-defined consolidation zone, which helped us anticipate liquidity grabs and potential reversal points.
2. Fibonacci Confluence – 38.20% Level
Using the Fibonacci retracement tool, we identified the 38.20% level as a strong reaction point. This aligned with other key technicals, increasing our confidence in the trade setup.
3. Internal & Inducement Liquidity
Liquidity is key in trading. We spotted internal liquidity zones where price was likely to manipulate weak hands before the actual move. Inducement liquidity was also present, providing additional confirmation that price would tap into deeper levels before reversing.
4. Break of Structure (BOS) and Entry Confirmation
Once BOS occurred in alignment with our anticipated liquidity grab, we looked for our entry pattern. The market printed a textbook confirmation, allowing us to enter with precision and minimal risk.
5. Harmonic Pattern for Additional Confluence
The final piece of confirmation was a harmonic pattern, further validating our entry. These patterns, when combined with our overall strategy, add an extra layer of probability to our trades.
Trade Outcome
The execution was flawless! 🎯 The price respected our levels, moved in our favor, and hit our target zones with precision. This is the power of structured analysis and disciplined execution.
📉 Key Takeaway: Never trade blindly! Always have a solid confluence of technicals before taking a trade.
🔎 What’s your go-to confirmation before entering a trade? Let’s discuss in the comments! 📩
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Monday NasDaqMorning Buddy, Today I hope to see 2 things that I have put on my Journal, 1 : Nas is within a daily FVG which seems weak to hold, but enough to create a manipulative retracement, either into the highlighted zone, which is a weekly bullish candle. 2 : The gap gets slowly taken, increasing FOMO trading and then retraces leaving $ lows, should this happen I expect to see the market retrace in a way that makes 15 minutes charts going down to 5, seem completely bullish.
I will drop a video later today to keep up with the charts. Stay tuned. Happy Trading
NASDAQ Pullback Loading? Small Retrace or Massive Opportunity AhThe NAS100 looks primed for more downside, but the real question is: how deep will the pullback go? Right now, we’re trading into key lows — a shallow retrace could offer a lower RR setup, but if we get a bigger move back, it could set the stage for a high-probability, high-reward trade.
NDX / M2 Double Top? Echoes of the Dot-Com BubbleThis chart compares the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) to the M2 Money Supply, revealing a potentially critical inflection point. The NDX/M2 ratio has reached levels not seen since the dot-com bubble — and now appears to be forming a textbook double top.
NASDAQ Bearish, What's Next? Is 18.5k feasible?Price respected Weekly's bearish imbalance to continue lower. Still price is within the weekly's context area to which is suitable to look for entries in lower timeframes targeting weekly's swing low (POI).
Once, the Weekly POI get's tagged we might look to continue to the next POI (Point of Interest). Likely, the daily swing lows.
What's Next?
Potential target price is 18,537.88.
NASDAQ Bearish, What's Next?Price respected Weekly's bearish imbalance to continue lower. Still price is within the weekly's context area to which is suitable to look for entries in lower timeframes targeting weekly's swing low (POI).
Once, the Weekly POI get's tagged we might look to continue to the next POI (Point of Interest). Likely, the daily swing lows.
What's Next?
Pontetial target price is 18,537.88.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY bearish reaction to US PCE data US PCE Inflation – Market Impact (NASDAQ Focus)
Headline PCE YoY: 2.5% (steady, in line with expectations).
Core PCE YoY: 2.8% (higher than 2.7% prior, above forecasts).
MoM Figures: Headline +0.3%, Core +0.4% (showing steady inflation pressure).
Market Implications for NASDAQ:
Slightly hawkish as Core PCE remains elevated—could delay Fed rate cuts.
Tech stocks (NASDAQ) may face short-term selling pressure as yields react.
If risk appetite holds, dips could present buying opportunities in growth stocks.
Watch Treasury yields & Fed commentary for further market direction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20000
Resistance Level 2: 20350
Resistance Level 3: 20650
Support Level 1: 19,440
Support Level 2: 19,140
Support Level 3: 18880
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#NDX - 28 MarSimilar to SPX, NDX flushed down to make a new lows. However, if this holds, look for a move back to yesterday's high.
Nasdaq analysis: 28-MAR-2025Good morning, traders! Today's Nasdaq analysis will help you achieve your trading goals. Let's work together towards success.
Nasdaq analysis: 27-MAR-2025Good morning, traders! Today's Nasdaq analysis will help you achieve your trading goals. Let's work together towards success.
[NDX] A textbook chart for being bearishSummary
- See the previous idea for context:
- Another realization: horizontal channels for S/R work better than diagonal ones. This doesn't mean that the latter need to be discarded altogether.
- Looking back, NDX did really have desperate jumps towards the end of the bull rally.
- High volume on days with large inverted hammers was a sure sign of an impending stampede.
- Today's rejection is why being long without confirmation is a bear trap. Being on the short side is much less stressful.
