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US30 trade ideas

US30 (Dow Jones) Probability Analysis – February 28, 2025 **Current Market Structure:** - **Timeframe:** 30-Minute - **Key Levels:** - **Premium Zone:** 43,800 – 43,900 - **Equilibrium:** ~43,500 - **Discount Zone:** 43,050 – 43,130 - **Previous Day’s High (PDH):** 43,900 (strong high) - **Previous Day’s Low (PDL):** 43,130 (weak low) - **Break of Structure (BOS):** Confirmed bearish. - **Change of Character (CHoCH):** Bearish near equilibrium. - **Liquidity Levels:** - **PWL (Previous Weak Low):** 43,360 - **PDL (Previous Day's Low):** 43,130 - **Weak Low at Discount Zone (~43,050)**. --- **1️⃣ Bullish Entry Plan (Long Position)** **Entry Criteria (Long)** - **Ideal Entry Zone:** 43,050 – 43,130 (Discount Zone) - **Confirmations Needed:** - **Liquidity grab at the weak low (43,050).** - **Bullish reversal signal** (Pin Bar, Engulfing Candle, or Order Block reaction). - **CHoCH to the upside, confirming trend shift**. **Entry Trigger** - If price **wicks below PDL (43,130) and recovers strongly**, enter long. **Stop Loss (SL)** - **Below 43,000 (strong low).** **Take Profit (TP)** - **First TP:** 43,360 (PWL & previous structure resistance). - **Final TP:** 43,500 – 43,600 (Equilibrium). 📈 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:3 or higher**. --- **2️⃣ Bearish Entry Plan (Short Position)** **Entry Criteria (Short)** - **Ideal Entry Zone:** 43,360 – 43,500 (PWL & Equilibrium). - **Confirmations Needed:** - **Price must fail to break above 43,500 (Equilibrium).** - **Bearish BOS on lower timeframes (15M, 5M).** - **Liquidity grab above PWL (43,360) before a drop**. **Entry Trigger** - If price **retests PWL (43,360) and rejects strongly**, enter short. **Stop Loss (SL)** - **Above 43,550 (Previous CHoCH area).** **Take Profit (TP)** - **First TP:** 43,130 (PDL). - **Final TP:** 43,050 (Discount Zone). 📉 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:4 or higher**. --- **3️⃣ Neutral Strategy (Wait for Confirmation)** - If price consolidates **between PDL (43,130) and PWL (43,360)**, avoid trading. - Wait for a **liquidity grab or CHoCH before making a decision**. **Trading Plan Summary** | Setup | Entry Zone | SL | TP1 | TP2 | R:R | |--------|----------|----|-----|-----|----| | ✅ Long | 43,050 – 43,130 | Below 43,000 | 43,360 | 43,500 | 1:3+ | | 🚨 Short | 43,360 – 43,500 | Above 43,550 | 43,130 | 43,050 | 1:4+ | --- **Final Thoughts** - **Bullish Bias:** If price sweeps **weak low (43,050) and shows strength**. - **Bearish Bias:** If price **rejects equilibrium (43,500) and PWL (43,360).** - **Avoid trading in the range (43,130 – 43,360)** until confirmation.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by wizzywise1
DJI - Dow Jones Industrial Target 40000sChart analysis can be simple. We take our tools, surround them with rules and follow them. The rules and the framework of the Medianlines are simple, but not easy to follow every time. The Shiff-Fork catches the resistance and support very nicely. Especially at the Center-Line. Above the Upper-Medianline-Parallel, at the extreme where the stretch became clear, price had a job to to do, to trade up to the Warning Line. But it failed twice so far. When price fails to trade to the next line, comes back into the Fork, Chances are >90% that we go to the Center-Line. The first time, it failed (10% fail). The second time, with these market sentiment, I'm even more convinced to follow the rules. Target at the Center-Line around 40'000ish.
TVC:DJIShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
2
US30 (Dow Jones) Probability Analysis – February 27, 2025 Current Market Structure: - Timeframe: 30-Minutes - Key Levels: - Premium Zone: 43,800 – 43,900 - Equilibrium: ~43,550 - Discount Zone: 43,260 – 43,340 - Previous Day’s High (PDH): 43,900 (near weak high) - Previous Day’s Low (PDL): 43,260 (strong low) - Change of Character (CHoCH): Bullish near equilibrium. - Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed downside moves. --- 1️⃣ Bullish Entry Plan (Long Position) Entry Criteria (Long) - Ideal Entry Zone:** 43,340 – 43,420 (Discount Zone) - Confirmations Needed: - CHoCH to the upside**, confirming shift in market structure. - Liquidity grab at PWL (Previous Weak Low). - Bullish rejection pattern** (Pin Bar, Engulfing, or Order Block reaction). - Price must stay above PDL (43,260) and Discount Zone. Entry Trigger - If price **retests PWL (43,340) and holds**, enter long. Stop Loss (SL) - Below PDL (~43,250). Take Profit (TP) - **First TP:** 43,700 (Equilibrium zone). - **Final TP:** 43,850 – 43,900 (Premium Zone & PDH). 📈 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:3 or higher. 2️⃣ Bearish Entry Plan (Short Position) Entry Criteria (Short) - **Ideal Entry Zone:** 43,800 – 43,900 (Premium Zone). - Confirmations Needed: - Liquidity grab above PDH (~43,900). - Bearish rejection (Engulfing candle or BOS to downside). - Price must fail to hold above PDH. Entry Trigger - If price *breaks PDH (43,900) but fails to hold*, enter short. Stop Loss (SL) - Above 43,950 (Strong High). Take Profit (TP) -First TP: 43,600 (Equilibrium). - Final TP: 43,340 – 43,260 (Discount Zone & PDL). 📉 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:4 or higher 3️⃣ Neutral Strategy (Wait for Confirmation) - If price **remains between Equilibrium (43,550) & Premium Zone (43,800)**, avoid trading. - Wait for **clear BOS or liquidity grab before executing trades**. Trading Plan Summary | Setup | Entry Zone | SL | TP1 | TP2 | R:R | |--------|----------|----|-----|-----|----| | ✅ Long | 43,340 – 43,420 | Below 43,250 | 43,700 | 43,900 | 1:3+ | | 🚨 Short | 43,800 – 43,900 | Above 43,950 | 43,600 | 43,260 | 1:4+ | Final Thoughts - **Bullish Bias:** If price holds above **PWL & Discount Zone**. - **Bearish Bias:** If price **fails at PDH & Premium Zone**. - **Avoid Choppy Market:** Wait for clear **BOS or liquidity grab**.
BLACKBULL:US30
by wizzywise1
US30 sellOverall Trend: The overall trend has been bullish, but there has been a breakout below the ascending trendline. The price is currently retracing towards support zones. Key Levels: Main Resistance: Range between 45,208 - 45,300 (upper red zone) Main Support: Range between 44,300 - 44,500 (lower red zone) Important Mid-Level: Around 44,866 Trading Scenario: After hitting resistance, the price has started a correction. The highlighted green area marks a potential entry zone. 📉 Trading Signal: 🔹 Enter Short Position: If the price pulls back to the 44,600 - 44,700 area and shows signs of bullish weakness, a short position could be considered. 🔹 Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone at 45,208 (e.g., around 45,300) 🔹 Take Profit: First level at 44,300 Second level at 43,663 (shown on the chart) Third level at 43,140 if the downtrend continues 🔹 Risk Management: The risk-to-reward ratio for this trade seems reasonable. Reassess the trade if the price breaks above 44,866. ✅ Conclusion: Currently expecting a bearish correction, but if reversal candles or weakness in sellers are observed at support levels, there might be a chance for a trend change.
DJ:DJIShort
by EhsanZeydabadi
DOW pullback triggered by weak US consumer confidenceThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range. The key trading level is at 42980, the previous consolidation zone and the rising support trendline. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 42980 level could target the upside resistance at 43800 followed by the 44080 and 44540 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 42980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 42520 support level followed by 41820 (200 Day Moving Average). This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
DOW JONES Cup and Handle completed and eyes a new ATH.Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the October 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. Inside this pattern, four Cup and Handle (C&H) formations have occurred with the most recent one, about to complete its Handle this week. All such C&H patterns, rebounded to at least the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next pull-back. As a result, our Target before May remains 46400. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US30Long
by TradingShot
1
US30 - BIG MOVE COMING!!! BIG READ! IMPORTANT! Recent Events have shown a loss of a huge amount of money lost from the Stock market Globally. Lots of different reasons are caused for this to happen but for retail Traders we are looking for a large opportunity. Coming up we have alot potential big moves from some very large markets being US30/NAS100/ect As shown in a few of my videos made in my Telegram I have predicated this market for a while now. We are looking at a large scale AMD setup if. Following this we are currently in a smaller TF consolidation at a Key area The prediction I am now looking towards will be a break of this Resistance level before retesting this Key level before making possible new Highs and taking our the Resistance zone. Please follow to stay connected. We can all make some decent cash here together! Follow for more! Good luck to all the traders that follow
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by jamesibartram
5
Us30 strong bullish opportunity 1. Overly Bullish Bias The analysis assumes a clean breakout above support and a strong push to resistance. However, Dow Jones is known for fakeouts—meaning: A false breakout above resistance could trap buyers before reversing. A liquidity grab below support might happen before the real move. 2. Weak Confirmation for the Uptrend There's no clear volume confirmation—breakouts need high volume to be valid. Price is consolidating near key Fibonacci levels, meaning a reversal is just as likely as a breakout. A better approach would be waiting for a strong retest and breakout confirmation. 3. Ignoring Key Fibonacci Levels The chart includes multiple Fibonacci levels but does not integrate them into the projection. The 2.618 (43,535) and 3.618 (43,446) levels suggest possible retracements before an upward move Instead of an instant push-up, a dip to test Fibonacci support is likely. 4. Resistance Might Hold Strong The resistance area is broad, meaning: A rejection at resistance could lead to a short-term bearish pullback. The market might range between the two levels instead of moving in a straight line. Alternative Scenario: Instead of assuming an instant bullish move: 1. Bearish Trap First: A false breakout above resistance to trap buyers, followed by a drop. 2. Deeper Retest: Price could revisit support or a Fibonacci level before a true breakout. 3. Wait for Volume Confirmation: If resistance breaks with strong momentum, then an entry makes sense
SKILLING:US30Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
US30 Dow Jones Equal Lows & Structure Shift - Is This Reversing?The US30 is showing key signs that could point to a potential reversal. 🔄 On the 4-hour timeframe, we can see equal lows 🟢 that have been tested three times, followed by a liquidity sweep 💧 and a sharp rally 🚀—indicating possible accumulation by larger market participants. For confirmation of a Dow Jones bullish reversal, we’ll need to see a pullback forming a higher low 🔽 and then a break in market structure to the upside 📊. In this analysis, we dive into potential price action scenarios based on specific conditions outlined in the video 🎥. If these conditions are not met, the setup will be invalidated ❌. ⚠️ This is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 💼
THINKMARKETS:US30
by fxtraderanthony
US30 PROBABILITH ANALYSIS# 1️⃣ Bullish Entry Plan (Long Position)** This is the **high-probability** scenario where price continues upward. Entry Criteria (Long)** - **Ideal Entry:** If price pulls back into the **discount zone** or holds above the **equilibrium level**. - **Confirmations Needed:** - A **bullish BOS (Break of Structure) on lower timeframes** (5M or 15M). - Bullish rejection (e.g., **pin bar, engulfing candle, or liquidity sweep**). - **Price must stay above the discount zone** and not break below BOS. Entry Trigger** - Look for price action near **43,365 – 43,425 (equilibrium area)** - If price shows bullish reaction in this area, enter long. Stop Loss (SL)** - Below the **weak low** or **PDL (Previous Day’s Low)** - **Target:** - **First TP:** PDH (Previous Day’s High) around **43,800**. - **Final TP:** The strong high near **43,850 – 43,900**. 📈 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R)** → Aim for **1:3 or higher**. 2️⃣ Bearish Entry Plan (Short Position)** This setup assumes price **rejects from the premium zone** and sells off. Entry Criteria (Short)** - **Ideal Entry:** At the **premium zone** near **43,750 – 43,850**. - **Confirmations Needed:** - A **liquidity grab** above PDH (**price fakes out then drops**). - **Bearish engulfing candle** or strong rejection. - A **Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside on lower timeframes Entry Trigger** - If price **sweeps PDH (Previous Day’s High) but fails to hold above**, enter short. Stop Loss (SL)** - Above the **strong high (~43,900)**. Target (TP)** - **First TP:** Equilibrium (~43,450). - **Final TP:** PDL (~43,245). 📉 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R)** → **1:4 or higher**. 3️⃣ Neutral Strategy (Wait for Confirmation)** - If price consolidates **between equilibrium & PDH**, avoid taking trades. - Only enter if **clear BOS or liquidity grab** happens. Trading Plan Summary** | Setup | Entry Zone | SL | TP1 | TP2 | R:R | |--------|----------|----|-----|-----|----| | ✅ Long | 43,365 – 43,425 | Below PDL | 43,800 | 43,900 | 1:3+ | | 🚨 Short | 43,750 – 43,850 | Above 43,900 | 43,450 | 43,245 | 1:4+ | Final Thoughts** - **For Longs:** Wait for a bullish rejection in the discount zone. - **For Shorts:** Look for a liquidity grab at the premium zone. - Use a **1:3 or 1:4 R:R** for better profitability. - Stick to **risk management** (max **1% per trade**).
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by wizzywise1