US30 trade ideas
Trade Idea : US30 Sell ( MARKET)1. Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
• Trend: The index is in a broader downtrend, with a recent pullback from highs around 42890 to 42060.
• MACD: Deep in negative territory, suggesting bearish momentum.
• RSI: 43.01 — indicating it’s closer to oversold but still has room to fall further before a reversal.
15-Minute Chart
• Trend: Short-term uptrend, showing a rally from a dip around 40900 to 42060, but nearing resistance near 42145.
• MACD: Positive, but momentum appears to slow down.
• RSI: 61.29 — heading toward overbought territory, indicating a potential pullback.
3-Minute Chart
• Trend: Micro uptrend, but showing signs of consolidation after the recent strong push.
• MACD: Positive but flattening, suggesting momentum is fading.
• RSI: 60.10 — also near overbought.
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2. Fundamental Analysis
• Market Sentiment: Recent rallies seem more like a technical rebound rather than a fundamentally-driven bullish push.
• Geopolitical/Economic Factors: If the broader market sentiment remains uncertain (e.g., interest rate worries, inflation data), the US30 could face further downward pressure.
• Dollar Strength: A strong USD typically weighs on US equities, which aligns with the bearish technical outlook.
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3. Trade Setup: Short Position (Sell)
• Entry: 42080 (near current price, just under resistance)
• Stop Loss (SL): 42150 (just above the last 15-min resistance level)
• Take Profit (TP): 41700 (previous support on the 15-min chart) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
DOW JONES This is why chances of a brutal rebound are so high.Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 31 2023 High and last week it hit (marginally breached) its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of October 30 2023. The price went on to test the bottom of the Channel Up and rebounded back above the 1W MA50.
This is an incredibly strong long-term bullish signal and it is not the only one. The market also made a Lower Low rebound on the 3-month trend-line while the 1W CCI got oversold below -150.00 and is rebounding. The last time we got these conditions fulfilled was exactly 2 years ago on the March 13 2023 Low.
That was when the index made a similar Megaphone Lower Low rebound on oversold 1W CCI that initiated a +13.57% rally. Both Megaphone fractals emerged after Dow rose by +21.00%.
In fact, every oversold 1W CCI rebound has produced very aggressive rallies. Based on those similarities with the March 2023 fractal, we expect the index to hit 46150 (+13.57%) minimum by July. If the more aggressive scenario of the November 25 2024 rally that made a Channel Up Higher High on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension prevails, then our more optimistic scenario is 48900 (Target 2) by September, which could technically be the end/ Top of the current Bull Cycle.
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The bear setup into Late March is still intactNo change in the analysis from yesterday. The pump today is just another attempt to breakout of the range and I don't think they will do it. More traps.
US30My opinion
Unspoken truth: The 3rd touch on #US30 can make or break your trading strategy. Don't underestimate its impact. Stay focused and stay informed with our expert market analysis. #tradingtips #stockmarket #investing
Long term outlook of Dow jones US 30Break of sec trendline may take US30 to Primary trendline. Due to Economic Uncertainty Dow jones is consolidating with bearishness. But we expecting recovery in last quarter of the year.
Bearish drop?Sow Jones (US30) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 42,198.94
1st support: 41,416.44
1st Resistance: 43,014.27
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US30 SHORT IDEA Short idea for US 30 with the probability of price taking out the level 40668.0 But currently would target 41236.4 for TP and SL just above 41894.0 .. Drop me a comment and tell me what you think ..
US30 (Dow Jones) Technical Analysis – Bullish Scenario to 42300The US30 (Dow Jones) 1-hour Heikin Ashi chart suggests a potential bullish continuation. Based on technical analysis, the price has shown resilience after a pullback and is currently positioned for a potential climb towards the 42,300 level.
Key Technical Levels:
Current Price: ~41,741
Immediate Support: 41,600 – 41,739
Major Support: 41,420 – 41,400 (Break of this level invalidates the bullish outlook)
Target Resistance: 42,300
Technical Indicators & Market Structure:
Price Action & Structure:
The price is currently consolidating around 41,750, forming higher lows, which indicates bullish pressure.
A clear breakout above 41,800 could trigger further upside momentum.
Failure to hold above 41,420 – 41,400 will shift momentum bearish.
MACD Indicator:
The MACD histogram shows a recovery, with a shift towards positive momentum.
The signal line is turning upwards, supporting a bullish outlook.
Support & Resistance Levels:
41,600 – 41,739 acts as a key support zone, where buyers have defended price recently.
42,300 is the next significant resistance, aligning with a prior supply zone.
Risk Management – Invalidation Level:
If US30 declines to 41,400 or below, this analysis will be considered invalid, as it would indicate increased bearish momentum.
Conclusion & Projection:
Bullish Case: If price maintains above 41,600 and breaks 41,800 with strong momentum, a rally towards 42,300 is expected.
Bearish Risk: A drop below 41,400 will invalidate the bullish setup and suggest further downside.
This analysis remains valid unless the price breaks below 41,400, which would signal a potential trend reversal.
Bearish outlook, followed by a bullish longUS30 broke through a bearish channel last week and has continued to show bullish pressure. However, as long as the price is under 42,000, the indice may correct a bit, towards the 41,550, 41,200, and 41,000 barriers.
Price action is currently oscillating between 42,000 and 40,600. A break of either side, will be the intended direction from a long term perspective.
DowJones INTRADAY Volatility ahead Fed Rate decisionAs the Federal Reserve wraps up its two-day meeting today, investors will be paying close attention to Chair Jerome Powell’s comments, as they could spark market volatility.
Although Powell recently stated that “the economy’s fine,” traders will closely examine his remarks and the updated forecasts (the dot plot) for any signs of concern. The Fed’s projections are expected to show slower economic growth while acknowledging persistent inflation. Typically, the Fed waits for clear changes in the data before taking more decisive action.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42488
Resistance Level 2: 43067
Resistance Level 3: 43575
Support Level 1: 40657
Support Level 2: 40109
Support Level 3: 39584
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Buy the dip: US30 (Dow Jones industrial average Index)Hello,
The stock market remains a compelling investment option despite a two-month correction. Recently, U.S. equities have experienced heightened volatility as investors navigate the uncertainties surrounding trade tariffs and regulatory policies. President Trump’s unpredictable stance—announcing tariffs only to retract them at the last minute—has added to market instability, making it challenging for businesses to plan with confidence.
While many analysts anticipated higher inflation due to tariffs, deregulation, and deportations, the combination of a declining stock market and falling interest rates suggests a potential deflationary environment. Given these conditions, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has signaled a cautious stance, acknowledging that inflation remains contained. However, if fears of an economic slowdown driven by trade tensions escalate, the Fed may implement the first of a series of rapid rate cuts as early as June.
The next Federal Reserve rate decision is scheduled for today March 19, 2025. As shown in the chart here
The stock market has remained resilient over the long term always recovering from corrections and achieving new highs. Since the current president (Trump) is pro markets, we expect the same trend to continue over the long run. This can be reinforced by the fact that he has gone to an extent of buying a Tesla car in support of Tesla company owned by Musk. At the right time, Trump or the FED shall move to save the stock market from a crash.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
uptrendThe current support range is expected to change the trend and we will witness the start of an uptrend. Otherwise, the continuation of the downtrend to the previous low is possible.
Order Block @41484 |Buy signalPrice created a break of structure that was preceded by an order block and fair value gap.
It then retraced to mitigate the fair value gap, it then created a change of character on the fair value gap which was a confirmation for the buy signal. Entry will be on the order block that created the change of character, targeting the next swing high.
Us30 Hi traders , it's been ages without trading us30 . But this is my overall prediction. Feel free to add your insights
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Pullback From Resistance
Dow Jones Index looks bearish after a test of a key daily/intraday resistance.
An inverted cup & handle pattern on that on an hourly and a strong
intraday bearish momentum this morning leaves clear bearish clues.
I think that the market can retrace at least to 41580 support.
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US30 Trade Outlook – 18/03/2025 🚨 US30 Trade Outlook – 18/03/2025 🚨
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
US30 has seen a strong bullish push but is now facing resistance at 41,969. The price is consolidating near this level, indicating a potential breakout or rejection scenario.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Bullish Momentum – Price broke above EMAs and is holding higher lows.
✅ Key Resistance – 41,969 - 42,000 is a major level to watch.
✅ Support Zone – 41,600 is the key area for buyers to defend.
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Long if price breaks & retests 41,969, targeting 42,200 - 42,600.
🔻 Short if rejection at 41,969, targeting 41,600 - 41,400.
⚡ Watch for confirmations & manage risk! 🔥
#US30 Buy 40920 - 40790💎 #US30 Buy 40920 - 40790 💎
Stoploss 40530
Breakeven 40925
TakeProfit 1: 40940
TakeProfit 2: 41020
TakeProfit 3: 41160
TakeProfit 4: 41280
TakeProfit 5: 41400
Trade at your own risk
Protect your capital
The Wizard 🧙♂️
Thursday 03/13/2025 01 PM EST
Dow Jones ideaI bet this newly-formed channel will be broken into the FOMC and then the price will crash into the end of the week to test the yellow channel. No reversal signals right now. But who knows, maybe tomorrows housing/building data will disappoint the market.
Fundamental Analysis of Tariffs and Donald Trump/ Herbert HooverHerbert Hoover and Donald Trump are very similar in their policies. Both are Republicans that want to impose high tariffs. I believe the market is seeing past history and are bracing.
Looking at the timeline of the 1929 Depression, which Hoover caused due to his tariffs, I am seeing similar action today. I don't know if a wide spread depression will hit again but it is quite funny that we are rapidly approaching the 100 year anniversary of the 1929 Crash (2029). Both times had a Republican president, a Republican controlled House and Senate, High Tariffs. It seems like history does have a way of repeating itself.
I too am bracing for the last rally to 46,000 before something may happen. I don't know if anything will or not. Key levels to watch for is a massive slice through 41,000 marked in red, a pullback into the bottom and a downtrend reversal. This is on the weekly chart and so, price action takes time to unfold.
US30 about to continue it's down movement?There's a huge possibility US30 might continue dropping, the analysis shows it's possible and we can see bears are pushing the price down
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks Structure – Confirm the Next Move🆚 US30 – The Way of the Silent Blade
⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate.
We do not react—we execute.
Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword.
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
🩸 Bullish Structure Shatters -
Key Break Confirms the Path – 41480
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters
Key Break Confirms the Path – 41270 Zone
our reversal always at key level
even a reversal area is well studded
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set.
Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
US30 H1 IdeaPotential for a bullish pullback on the US30 H1 which could lead to a price movement towards the resistance level at 41800. BUY levels from 41260
