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US30 trade ideas
US30 (Dow Jones) 4H Analysis – Bearish Outlook Ahead?Trend Analysis:
🔸 The market is in a downtrend since early February.
🔸 Lower highs and lower lows indicate strong bearish momentum.
🔸 A recent break below support suggests further downside pressure.
📌 Key Support & Resistance Zones:
🟣 Resistance Zone (~41,500 - 41,300):
🔺 Price tried to retest but failed = Bearish signal 🚫
🟣 Support Zone (~40,000 - 39,800):
🔻 A minor support area before the next big level.
🔵 Major Target (38,821):
👉 If price keeps falling, it could reach this level 🔽
📊 Price Action & Prediction:
✅ Pullback to resistance → 🚀 Bears defending!
❌ If rejection holds → 📉 Drop expected towards 38,821.
🚦 A break above resistance? Trend might shift!
📌 Trading Idea:
🛑 Short below resistance if rejection holds.
🚀 Long only if resistance breaks convincingly.
⚠️ Stay cautious! Watch for confirmations 📊🔍
Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 42,208.96
1st Support: 41,442.18
1st Resistance: 42,990.92
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DOW JONES: MA50-100 Bearish Cross says we've bottomed.Dow Jones is almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.171, MACD = -608.620, ADX = 62.568), rising aggressively since last week. Technically that was the bottom no just on the 8 month Channel Up but also on the LL trendline. We've seen the very same LL bottom on the October 2023 and March 2023 lows, all of which had oversold 1D RSIs. The 1D MA50-100 Bearish Cross marked those bottoms and today we've completed a new one. Technically the index can rise as high as the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 49,000).
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Dow Jones 4H Chart Analysis: Support Test & Potential Reversal 📉 Downtrend: The price was falling sharply before forming an upward channel.
📊 Channel Break: The price broke below the ascending channel 🚨.
🟦 Support Zone: The blue area marks a strong support region 📌.
🔵 Bounce Expected? If the price holds, a rebound could happen 📈.
🎯 Target: The projected upside target is 42,758.3 🚀.
⚠️ Risk: If the support fails, the price may drop further ⛔.
🔴 Watch for: A confirmed reversal near support or further breakdown!
US30 Trade Outlook – 31/03/2025🚨 US30 Trade Outlook – 31/03/2025 🚨
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
US30 is currently consolidating after a steep selloff from the 42,800s. Price is sitting near short-term support at 41,434, but momentum remains bearish unless bulls step in fast.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔻 Strong Bearish Momentum – Sharp drop from resistance zones
🔹 Support Holding (for now): 41,400
🔻 Breakdown Risk: Below 41,400 opens the door toward 40,678
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔻 Short if 41,400 fails → Target 40,678
🔹 Long only if price reclaims 41,800+ and EMAs flip bullish
⚠️ Wait for clean confirmations – no chasing moves.
US30 Dow Jones Trade Idea📉 The US30 (Dow Jones) is currently overextended! In this video, we analyze the price action 🔍 and go over my trading plan for a potential short 📊—if the setup plays out as discussed. 🚨 Not financial advice! 🚫e.
Correction The downtrend is expected to end at the current support level and start an uptrend. Otherwise, a continuation of the downtrend is likely with a break of the support level.
US30 bullish LongWall Street goes full bull with tariffs and payrolls looming
I buy the correction
Price closed at low on Friday,for me:Time to buy the correction
Also non farm payrolls looming coming this Friday.
I dont use price action,because it is worthless to use past gone data,on future movements.
Instead I use my favourite commercial analysis
Big commercials buying US30, hedgefunds taking profit and selling it.It means its time to BUY!!!
US30 3D IdeaPotential for a bearish pullback on the US30 3D which could lead to a price movement towards the support level at 38400. SELL levels from 41900
US30The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) this week is showing a bearish direction, driven by several factors:
1. **Tariff Concerns**: The announcement of new tariffs, particularly a 25% tariff on auto imports, has caused market uncertainty. Investors are wary of potential inflation and the impact on corporate earnings.
2. **Inflation and Interest Rate Fears**: Ongoing concerns about inflation and the Federal Reserve's policies on interest rates are also contributing to market volatility.
3. **Upcoming Earnings Reports**: Key earnings reports, including Tesla's Q1 delivery numbers, are creating uncertainty. Depending on these results, market sentiment could either stabilize or worsen.
Given these factors, the market is leaning bearish this week, and more volatility can be expected depending on upcoming economic data and corporate earnings releases.
BUY EVERY DIP, HOLD FOR THE NEXT 7-MONTH CYCLE UNTIL OCTOBERThere are the current turmoil by tariffs and perceived recession, yet, the cycles strongly support a further advance from the March lows until October 2025. The bottom in March 2020 formed the base for the 5 year bull cycle nested within the larger 13 year cycle.
PRICE
The 2020 crash low formed at 18213.65, the decline in 2022 formed a bottom at 28660.94. We would have a price range Low - Low of (+10447.29 pts)
(28660.94 - 18213.65) = 10447.29 units
By projection if the range between the first two bottoms is 10447.29 we would expect the third bottom connecting three expanding points to be at 1.618 of 10447.29 points from 28660.94
28660.94 + (10447.29 x 1.618) = 45564.66
This makes the current top at 45073.63 through 45564.66 level a major support whereas its also a minor resistance for some correction and we expect price to move through this level.
TIME
Time connecting the three points 23/03/2020 - 03/01/2022 - 10/10/2022 with March 2020 as starting point would give us a time count (0.0 - 651 days - 931 days).
We find that between the two bottoms the top in Jan 2022 came in at 651 days. By projection we expect the next bottom to be at least 209 weeks or 1463 days from 10/10/2022 with a top located at a Phi variation of 651.
We would project a time range 1064 - 1099 days for a top and a decline into the third bottom 1463 days from 10/10/2022 and 2394 days from 23/03/2020. Trade safe, good luck.
My idea on Us30 Price came to the 1D TF and gave us series of HH and HL leading to a BOS on the M30 so I'm expecting price to respect the M30 demand below.
Possible long on the M30 if demand is respected.
Pipful week ahead.
warning dji huge correction incomingThis is whats going on,Trumps tariffs are a catalyst for whats happening.we are going back down to the 0.618 level and are in an abc correction at this time, a 3 month bearish Div on the macd,also,we only have seen dji only down 2+ percent and people are freaking out about there 401k and how the richer are going to get richer by buying this dip. i agree if you have no free cash you are stuck. if this plays out its going to be painful,but after this correction we will be shooting vertical,and is your best opportunity to buy low and get rich.
sellPlease provide a meaningful and detailed description of your analysis and prediction. Walk us through your thought process. Put yourself in the reader’s shoes and see if you would understand the context based on what you wrote. Clearly stated profit targets and stop loss areas help clarify any trade idea.
Dow heading below $40k?Based on two important measured moves -- the double top AND the bear flag -- they both point to below $39k. If so, then I would not be surprised to see the 382 Fibonacci level around 36K-37k get tagged.
DJI US stock market forecast 2025-2026Assumption:
oct-22 — nov-24 (1-2-3-4-5) wave is over.
correction (a)-(b)-(c) is expected.
likely structure is a 3 wave regular flat.
Time:
the correction is expected to last until at least sep-25.
Price:
it's too early to predict final price for wave (c).
anticipated range is 35000-39000.
wave (a) shall reach 39600.
Long term waves:
Major uptrend lasts 25 years.
Major correcting downtrend lasts 9 years.
Next major downtrend is expected to start in 2033-2034.
US30 Trade Outlook – 28/03/2025 🚨 US30 Trade Outlook – 28/03/2025 🚨
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
US30 is holding just above key support at 42,159, after a sharp rejection from the 42,787 - 42,872 resistance zone. Current price action suggests potential for a breakdown if buyers don’t step in.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔻 Bearish Pressure – Lower highs forming + rejection from supply
🔹 Critical Support: 42,159
🔻 Break below = downtrend continuation
🔹 If held = range/reversal potential
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔻 Short below 42,159 → Target 41,529 – 41,462
🔹 Long only if strong bounce above EMAs & 42,400 reclaimed
⚡️ Let the level guide you. Stay disciplined.
Support and resistance: navigating all-time highs with US 30Trading the US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) with support and resistance is a powerful strategy, especially when the index approaches or breaks into all-time highs (ATHs). Key support levels often form at previous resistance zones, while psychological price levels (like round numbers) can act as both barriers and breakout points. When US30 reaches new ATHs, traditional resistance no longer exists, so traders must rely on Fibonacci extensions, trendlines, and volume analysis to gauge momentum. Watching price action near key levels and using stop-loss strategies can help manage risk in these uncharted territories. Always stay adaptable—ATH breakouts can lead to explosive rallies, but false breakouts are just as common.
US30 longHere is why:
All the timeframes (3M, M,W and D) are showing very bullish signs after the recent downfall we have seen in price due to political factors. However, there is no clear targets in those timeframes as of now.
However, there is a distinct target on the 4H timeframe.
The target is at 42,980.
The reason is we saw price collecting a lot of orders at 41,500 and the next major liquidity point is at 42,980.
So basically, all price is doing is collecting orders in order to reach that target.
We know this to be true because we have seen bullish indications in the way price has been collecting orders between the consolidation region of 42,660 and 42,500.
Yesterday, price broke above that region, however, orders that were made at the time were not enough for price to reach the target of 42,980.
Price went all the way to 42,300 to collect more orders in order to go and hit the 42,980 liquidity region.
Currently, I am waiting for price to form any sort of bullish confirmation for me to buy.
The best signs for that is for price to retrace to 42,500, where I will look to buy to the next liquidity region at 42,650.
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( BUY LIMIT ) Technical Analysis:
1. Daily Chart (Long-Term View):
• The price has recently pulled back but remains in a long-term uptrend.
• The MACD is negative, indicating past selling pressure, but it is starting to turn, which suggests momentum may shift bullish.
• The RSI is at 47.54, close to neutral, meaning there is room for upside movement without being overbought.
2. 15-Minute Chart (Intraday Trend):
• The price is recovering after a dip.
• MACD is deeply negative, suggesting it may be at a bottom, and a reversal could happen.
• The RSI at 48.27 is near neutral, indicating a potential bullish move.
3. 3-Minute Chart (Entry Timing):
• A small uptrend has started, and the price is crossing above the short-term moving average.
• The MACD is turning positive, signaling a potential bullish push.
• RSI is above 50 (56.24), confirming strength in the short term.
⸻
Fundamental Analysis:
• Market sentiment remains bullish overall for US indices due to strong economic data.
• Dow Jones remains in an uptrend on the higher timeframes, and recent dips are likely just corrections before another push higher.
• Liquidity conditions and central bank policy support equities.
⸻
Trade Setup:
Entry: 42,400 (current price area where price is stabilizing)
Stop Loss (SL): 42,250 (below recent support, keeping risk low)
Take Profit (TP): 42,800 (previous resistance level) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
US30 BEARISH AGAINhi there, how's going on?
My last analysis didn't go well. This is my new analysis. I'm still on the same decline as before.
What you think about it? is it go well or not?
