The Great Short of 2025I genuinely hope this doesn't happen, but we are squaring price at around 12.9k, 72 years after the half century bull market began.
US30 trade ideas
Us30 Scenario 17/03/2025English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a BEARISH scenario.
Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna antsanaw HBOOT
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
Bullish bounce?Dow Jones (US30) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 40,928.39
1st Support: 40,177.61
1st Resistance: 42,282.48
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US30 Rebounds from Key Support – Bulls Eyeing New HighsKey Support & Trendline Confluence:
The price recently bounced off the long-term ascending trendline, which has been a strong support level since late 2023.
The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ($40,205) provided additional confluence for a potential reversal.
Resistance Levels & Breakout Potential:
Immediate Resistance: $42,000 – A break above this level could confirm a bullish continuation.
Major Target: $45,065 – If momentum sustains, this all-time high could be tested soon.
Bullish Scenario:
A successful breakout above $42,000 could lead to an accelerated move toward $45,065 and beyond.
The trendline’s support indicates that bulls remain in control, and the recent rebound suggests renewed buying interest.
Risk Management & Confirmation:
Bullish confirmation: Sustained price action above $41,500 with strong volume.
Invalidation level: A breakdown below $40,000 could indicate a potential trend reversal.
Conclusion & Strategy:
Short-Term: Monitor price action around $42,000 for breakout confirmation.
Mid-Term: Expect a bullish move toward $45,000+ if the trendline holds.
Long-Term: If price breaks all-time highs, further upside potential is possible.
🚀 Bullish Confirmation Above $42,000 | ⚠️ Caution Below $40,000
US30US30 isn't ready for us to go back up yet, we need small correction before last drop and then we will look for buys.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
US30 Falling Wedge Breakout Setup – Bullish Momentum Building?📊 US30 (Dow Jones) Falling Wedge | Bullish Breakout Incoming? 🚀
🔍 Chart Analysis:
US30 is currently trading within a falling wedge pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. This formation typically signals a potential bullish breakout as selling pressure weakens.
📈 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Breakout Zone: ~41,600 (upper wedge resistance)
✅ Next Resistance: 42,830 (100 SMA on 4H timeframe)
✅ Support: 40,800 (lower wedge support)
🎯 Trade Idea:
A confirmed breakout above 41,600 with strong volume could push price toward 42,830 and beyond.
Failure to break out may result in further consolidation within the wedge before a breakout attempt.
📢 What’s Your Take?
Do you see a breakout happening soon, or will US30 remain stuck in this wedge a bit longer? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
US30 Falling Wedge Breakout Setup – Bullish Momentum Building?📊 US30 (Dow Jones) Falling Wedge | Bullish Breakout Incoming? 🚀
🔍 Chart Analysis:
US30 is currently trading within a falling wedge pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. This formation typically signals a potential bullish breakout as selling pressure weakens.
📈 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Breakout Zone: ~41,600 (upper wedge resistance)
✅ Next Resistance: 42,830 (100 SMA on 4H timeframe)
✅ Support: 40,800 (lower wedge support)
🎯 Trade Idea:
A confirmed breakout above 41,600 with strong volume could push price toward 42,830 and beyond.
Failure to break out may result in further consolidation within the wedge before a breakout attempt.
📢 What’s Your Take?
Do you see a breakout happening soon, or will US30 remain stuck in this wedge a bit longer? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
SMC. Long term buy pattern. -25%The order block below the liquidity level its a high probability point of interest for the buyers to take control of the market. Therefore, to execute we have to break down to the lower time frame and wait for the price to change the character for confirmation.
Dow JonesDOW JONES SPOT PRICE
MTF Analysis Price Time Frame Trend
Dow JonesYearly Demand 37,779 HTF UP
Dow Jones 6 Month Demand 36,952 HTF UP
Dow JonesQtrly Demand BUFL 40,077 HTF UP
38,269
Dow JonesMonthly Demand 40,077 MTF Down
Dow JonesWeekly Demand 39,628 MTF Down
Dow JonesDaily Demand DMIP 40,077 MTF Down
39,927
Dow Jones 240 M 39,027 LTF Down
Dow Jones 180 M 38,704 LTF Down
Dow Jones 120 M LTF Down
Dow Jones 60 M LTF Down
38,866
39,021
ENTRY -1 Long 39,628
SL 39,021
RISK 607
Target as per Entry 44,575
RR 8
Last High 44,575
Last Low 37,612
US30; Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaPEPPERSTONE:US30
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of US30, using my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
Like, share and comment! ❤️
Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
Short buy retrace to 42420 areaShort buy as the recession is increasing. I like the profit take at 42420 and sell at 42425 area
US30 BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
US30 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 41,378.4
Target Level: 43,046.4
Stop Loss: 40,263.5
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US3O 4H #DOWJONES – Key Levels & Trade Setups
🔻 Sell Setup: If price fails to hold above resistance, targeting 39400.
🔹 Risky Buy: If no lower low forms, possible buy with reduced size.
🚀 Bullish Confirmation: Break & retest of 41760 activates 42800 → 43000 → 44300.
⚡ Market conditions favor quick reactions—stay sharp!
Major Correction $DJI 2027Using previous dates of major market corrections to try and determine the next market correction (crash). Using major crashes I concluded the amount of bars it took from one correction to the next, and created a regression equation to conclude the next predicted market crash.
660/258 = 2.55
258/132 = 1.95
132/x = x
2.55
1.95
≈0.7647
1.95×0.7647≈1.49
132/x = 1.49
x≈88.59
x= 88 Bars +-1
= Monday May 3rd 2027
This is just an idea, does not hold much weight, just thought I would publish to keep a record of my idea.
appreciate any thoughts or comments.
US30 Next week trading scenarioSome time I trade in US30 , and gets the good profit. DJ was in range since few weeks and now have broken the range down side... i am expecting further drop in the stock.
US30 Shorts US30 broke below weekly support so I’ll continue looking for sells. I’d look for sells around the 41,800 area to push towards the 40,200-40,000 area.
US30 - Testing Key Resistance.How I see it:
US30 is testing a key confluence of resistance.
A break and hold above key resistance-
Potential "LONG" Targets:
TP 1 = 41948.00
TP 2 = 42349.00
Rejections @ key resistance-
Potential "SHORT" Targets:
TP 1 = 40335.00
TP 2 = 39825.00
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
$DJI with rear green dayRear green day for the Industrial Average. Weekly charts are at crucial support trend line since 2020 low. The daily chart printed green day on Friday, but the Double Top target is further down. If we don't see a meaningful reversal in the next couple of days, the bleeding will continue
DowJones The Week Ahead 17th March '25Dow INTRADAY bearish & oversold capped by resistance at 200 DMA
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US30 BROKE NECKLINE!Price broke through the neckline area of 42290.8 what next do we expect from the daily timeframe? A further decline is expected to occur if we’d get some form of intraday retracement the next support level could be around 39797.1
"US30 / DJI" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (44200) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 42200 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
"US30 / DJI" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🟣Fundamental Analysis
Earnings: Q4 2024 EPS growth strong (e.g., 16.9% for S&P 500 proxies)—bullish, but US30 firms face tariff uncertainty.
Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, no cuts signaled—real yields ~1% (10-year Treasury 3.8%) pressure equities—bearish.
Inflation: PCE 2.6% (Jan 2025)—persistent inflation supports Fed stance, bearish for stocks.
Growth: U.S. consumer spending wanes (Schwab)—mixed, neutral impact.
Geopolitics: Trump tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—short-term volatility, long-term bullish for U.S. firms.
🟤Macro Economics
Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates to combat inflation, which has led to a strengthening of the US dollar.
US Economy: The US economy has been showing signs of slowing down, with GDP growth rates decreasing.
Global Economy: The global economy has been experiencing a slowdown, with many countries experiencing recession.
⚪Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Speculators: Net long ~55,000 contracts (down from 65,000)—cooling bullishness.
Hedgers: Net short ~60,000—stable, locking in gains.
Open Interest: ~125,000 contracts—steady global interest, neutral.
🔴Market Sentimental Analysis
Bullish Sentiment: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Sentiment: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42200.
Risk Aversion: The market is experiencing risk aversion, with investors seeking safe-haven assets.
🔵Positioning Analysis
Long Positions: Some investors are holding long positions in US30, expecting a breakout above 45,000.
Short Positions: Many investors are holding short positions in US30, expecting a correction.
🟠Quantitative Analysis
Technical Indicators: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45, indicating a neutral sentiment.
Moving Averages: The 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 44,404, providing resistance for US30 prices.
🟡Intermarket Analysis
DXY: 106.00—USD softness aids equities—bullish.
XAU/USD: 2910—gold rise signals risk-off, bearish for US30.
NDX: ~20,000, tech softening—correlated pressure on US30—bearish.
Bonds: U.S. 10-year 3.8%—yield stability neutral.
🟢News and Events Analysis
Federal Reserve Meeting: The Federal Reserve is scheduled to meet on March 15-16, with investors expecting a potential rate hike.
US Economic Data: The US economic data, including the Non-Farm Payrolls report, is being closely watched for its impact on US30 prices.
🟣Next Trend Move
Bullish Trend: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Trend: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42,200.
🔴Overall Summary Outlook
Bullish Outlook: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Outlook: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42,200.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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Us30 Bullish & BearishDow Jones has chosen a direction out from the range that shows a clear sign that bears are gonna be in control after the retest to the Upside. For Now it is heading up b4 going down
... Well i will see how it goes.
Happy Trading
