DXY BULLISHHello traders, hope we all had an eventful week.
In the coming weeks we will be seeing a bullish move in DXY, which will also create a bullish momentum for all USD pairs.
Trade safe!
USDX trade ideas
Dollar Index (DXY): Bullish Reversal is Coming?!
Dollar Index is stuck on a key daily horizontal support.
Analyzing the intraday time frames, I spotted an inverted head & shoulders
pattern on a 4H.
Its neckline breakout will be an important event that will signify a bullish reversal.
The index will continue recovering then.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the underlined blue support
will push the prices lower.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
DXY - local reboundWe have entered the full moon phase, I am waiting for a local rebound both in DXY and in everything else, this could take from a few days to a few weeks.
DXY Dollar Index Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (37800) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 38500 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 36500 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
DXY Dollar Index Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
⚡Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental factors driving DXY focus on U.S. economic conditions, Fed policy, and global currency dynamics.
Interest Rates:
U.S. Federal Reserve: Rates steady at 3-3.5%, down from 2024’s 4.5-5%. Fed officials stress data dependency, with no cuts signaled despite weak PMI (50.4) and jobless claims (219,000 vs. 215,000 forecast). Real yields (10-year Treasury at 3.8%, ~1% inflation-adjusted) support USD.
Other Countries: ECB at 2.5%, BoJ at 0.25-0.5%, BoE at 4-4.5%—U.S. yield advantage persists, though narrowing.
Impact: Bullish for DXY, tempered by global easing.
Inflation:
U.S.: PCE at 2.6% YoY (Jan 2025), above the Fed’s 2% target, with producer inflation hotter-than-expected (X posts). Inflation fears linger, supporting USD.
Other Countries: Eurozone at 2.8%, Japan at 2.5%, UK at 2.5-3%—global inflation pressures USD rivals less.
Impact: Bullish, as U.S. inflation sustains Fed hawkishness.
Economic Growth:
U.S.: Mixed signals—PMI at 50.4 (near stagnation), jobless claims up, but ADP jobs beat at 183,000 (Jan 2025). Tariffs add uncertainty.
Other Countries: China at 4.5% (slowing), Eurozone at 1.2%, Japan at 1%—U.S. outperforms peers.
Impact: Mildly bullish, U.S. resilience aids USD.
Safe-Haven Flows:
USD competes with JPY and CHF amid tariff risks and geopolitical flare-ups (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East). Recent yen strength (X posts) pressures DXY.
Impact: Mildly bearish, global risk-off challenges USD dominance.
Trade Balance:
U.S. deficit persists, but Trump’s tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China) aim to bolster USD via trade shifts.
Impact: Bullish long-term, short-term neutral.
⚡Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.-focused with global context:
U.S. Policy: Fed’s tighter stance vs. global easing (ECB, BoJ) favors USD. Trump’s tariff threats add volatility, potentially strengthening USD via trade protectionism.
Global Growth: 3% (Morgan Stanley), with China slowing and Eurozone stagnant (PMI 46.2). U.S. relative strength supports DXY.
Commodity Prices: Oil at $70.44 pressures import-heavy peers (Japan), mildly weakening JPY vs. USD.
Currency Dynamics: Yen strength and EUR softness (EUR/USD below 1.0500) drag DXY lower recently,
⚡Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Hypothetical COT (mid-Feb 2025, CME):
Large Speculators: Net long USD ~70,000 contracts (down from 80,000 post-110 peak), cooling after profit-taking.
Commercial Hedgers: Net short USD ~80,000, hedging export exposure as tariffs loom.
Open Interest: ~150,000 contracts, stable, reflecting U.S. trader engagement.
Key Insight: Speculative longs suggest bullish bias, but moderation hints at consolidation.
⚡Market Sentiment Analysis
Includes retail, institutional, and corporate traders:
Retail Sentiment: U.S. retail traders likely 60% short DXY at 106.000 (hypothetical broker data), betting on yen/CHF gains. Contrarian upside risk if shorts unwind.
Institutional Traders: U.S. funds (e.g., Citi, HSBC) mixed—bearish short-term (DXY to 96.87, Citi Hong Kong), bullish long-term (WalletInvestor to 119.193). Sentiment leans cautious.
Corporate Traders: U.S. exporters hedge at 106.50-107.00, neutral as tariffs loom; European firms favor EUR weakness.
Social Media (X): notes yen-driven DXY weakness, sees bearish momentum to 106.15—trending bearish.
Broker Data: U.S. IG sentiment ~55% long—balanced positioning.
⚡Quantitative Analysis
Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (106.30), 200-day SMA (105.50)—price below 50-day, above 200-day, neutral signal.
RSI: 45 (daily), bearish momentum fading, room for reversal.
Bollinger Bands: 105.80-106.80 range, 106.000 at midpoint—consolidation likely.
Fibonacci: 38.2% retracement from 110.00-102.50 at 105.62—key support holds.
Volatility Model: Implied volatility (1-month) at 7%, suggesting 0.75-point monthly range (±0.7%).
⚡Intermarket Analysis
USD/JPY: At 150.00, yen strength pressures DXY; drop to 145 could accelerate declines.
EUR/USD: Below 1.0500, EUR weakness supports DXY mildly.
Gold: XAU/USD at 2940 (risk-off proxy) inversely pressures USD.
Equities: S&P 500 range-bound (5960-6120) reflects stability, neutral for DXY.
Bonds: U.S. 10-year yield at 3.8% vs. JGB at 0.9%—yield gap aids USD.
⚡News and Events Analysis
Recent: Trump’s tariff threats (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China, Feb 23-25) fuel risk-off, pressuring DXY via yen strength (X posts). Weak U.S. PMI and jobless claims offset by PCE at 2.6% (Jan 2025).
Upcoming: U.S. PCE data (Feb 28) critical—hotter data could lift DXY, softer data bearish. Fed rhetoric pending.
Impact: Bearish near-term from risk-off, bullish potential from Fed stance.
⚡Overall Summary Outlook
DXY at 106.000 balances U.S. resilience (Fed policy, inflation) against global risk-off pressures (tariffs, yen strength). Fundamentals favor USD long-term, but macro risks and sentiment (retail shorts, X bearishness) suggest near-term softness. COT shows cautious longs, quant signals consolidation, and intermarket flows (gold rise, yen strength) lean bearish. Short-term dip to 105.50-105.91 likely, medium-term range-bound with a bullish tilt if Fed holds firm.
⚡Future Prediction
Bullish Case: DXY to 108.00-110.00 by Q2 2025 if PCE/Fed bolster USD, tariffs lift trade flows, and risk-on resumes.
Bearish Case: Drop to 103.50-105.00 if yen/CHF surge, tariffs falter, or Fed dovishness emerges.
Prediction: Mildly bearish short-term to 105.50, then bullish to 108.00 by mid-2025, driven by Fed policy divergence.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
$DXY: Dollar Strength or Dollar Dip?(1/9)
Good afternoon, everyone! 🌞 DXY: Dollar Strength or Dollar Dip?
With the DXY at 103.732, is the dollar flexing its muscles or ready to stumble? Let’s break it down! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: 103.732 as of Mar 14, 2025 💰
• Recent Move: Near recent levels, down from 110.18 peak (web data) 📏
• Sector Trend: Forex markets volatile, with trade and policy shifts 🌟
It’s a wild ride—dollar’s dancing on the edge! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Role: Measures USD vs. euro, yen, pound, and more 🏆
• Influence: Drives forex and commodity prices globally ⏰
• Trend: Balancing U.S. policy and global demand, per data 🎯
King of currencies, but not without challengers! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Trade Tensions: U.S.-China tariff talks ongoing, per data 🌍
• Rate Cut Bets: Markets eyeing Fed moves, per posts on X 📋
• Market Reaction: Holding steady at 103.732 amid mixed signals 💡
Navigating a storm of global pressures! 🛳️
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Rate Cuts: Could weaken dollar if Fed acts, per X sentiment 🔍
• Trade Wars: Tariffs disrupting supply chains, per data 📉
• Global Growth: Slowdowns hitting demand for USD ❄️
It’s a tightrope—risks aplenty! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Reserve Status: USD’s global dominance holds firm 🥇
• U.S. Economy: Still a powerhouse, supporting dollar value 📊
• Safe Haven: Attracts flows in uncertain times, per trends 🔧
Got muscle to flex when it counts! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Vulnerable to rate cuts, trade spats 📉
• Opportunities: Strong U.S. data could lift it higher, per outlook 📈
Can it hold the line or break out? 🤔
(8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢
DXY at 103.732—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: 105+ soon, dollar rallies 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks balance out ⚖️
• Bearish: 100 looms, dollar dips 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
The DXY’s 103.732 shows it’s steady but tested 📈. Trade wars and Fed moves could swing it either way—dips are our DCA gold 💰. Buy low, ride high—time’s the key! Gem or bust?
uptrendIt is expected that in the current support range, the trend change is expected to see the rise. It can then advance to the specified resistance range.
DXY DOLLARImpact of Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations on DXY Directional Bias tomorrow
The Department Responsible: The University of Michigan’s Survey Research Center releases both the Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations data.
Key Data Points (March 13, 2025)
Metric Forecast Previous
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
63.1 64.7
Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
4.3% 4.3%
Impact on DXY Directional Bias
Consumer Sentiment Below Forecast
DXY: Bearish. Lower consumer sentiment suggests weaker economic growth, potentially reducing demand for the USD.
Technical Impact: DXY could drop toward 102 level or more if support fails to hold
Fundamental Driver: Reduced consumer spending can slow economic growth, leading to a weaker USD.
Inflation Expectations Remain High
DXY: Mixed. High inflation expectations might signal future price pressures, potentially supporting a hawkish Fed stance. However, if inflation fears are already priced in, the impact might be muted.
Technical Impact: DXY may consolidate or buy based on the current demand floor
.
Dollar index and Inflation There has been a positive relationship between Dollar Index and Inflation over last so many years. Increase in inflation leads to appreciation in Dollar and vice versa.
DXY: Sell the RipThe latest Producer Price Index (PPI) for the U.S. came in at 0.0% MoM, missing expectations of 0.3%. This suggests that inflation pressures at the wholesale level are cooling, which could signal a shift in the Fed's stance towards less aggressive monetary tightening. A softening in inflation reduces the likelihood of further interest rate hikes or extended hawkish policy from the Federal Reserve. This dovish shift typically puts downward pressure on the U.S. Dollar as investors adjust expectations for future yields. The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) has already shown signs of weakening in recent sessions, and this miss on PPI may add further fuel to the bearish trend.
U.S. Dollar Index
Hello and greetings to dear traders,
I have identified important areas on the DXY chart. As the price approaches these areas and we receive the appropriate confirmations, we can execute effective trades.
Key Areas:
Strong Area for Selling:
Secret Order Block (4H): 103.979 and 104.064
Liquidity (4H): 104.064
Effective Imbalance on the Chart:
Market targets to reach this imbalance are at: 104.558 and 104.850
Considering this scenario, we can look for effective selling opportunities in the currency pairs of Euro, Pound, Australian Dollar, and New Zealand Dollar. I will send you updates with these charts for more information.
Thank you for your support. A very simple and clear chart has been drawn for your use.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
DOLLAR I Weekly CLS, KL - MIFVG, Consolidation to reversalHey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets.
🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2.
These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions.
📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk ⚔
DXYdollar ,despite poor Core CPI m/m economic data saw a quick buy based on weekly demand structure. the sudden buy idea reversed AUDUSD,USDJPY,EURUSD,GBPUSD,USDCAD and many more USD PAIRS...avoid trading news if you want to be a long term profitable forex trader,
DXXThe DXY is still under significant bearish pressure, and if the current support levels fail to hold, the index could target lower levels, including 100.740 as a key downside objective. With the broader trend turning negative, a further decline to this level appears increasingly probable.
The Dollar Index has reversed upward.Hey everyone!
Looks like a solid entry for a DXY long and a good time to start ditching EUR and Gold (yes, I do think gold is heading down).
On the daily chart, we can see that we've completed five waves down and are now forming a reversal.
EUR/USD and GOLD/USD have already started reacting, Index Dollar (DXY) hitting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Now the climb begins, with the first target around 125 for the Dollar Index.
The potential peak?
144, though we’ll likely see corrections along the way.
Buckle up—volatile times ahead... 🧐🧐🧐
DXY in 1 H timeframeDXY Analysis on RTM Style
Here’s an analysis of the **U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 1H timeframe** based on the **RTM (Read The Market) style** and your drawn arrows:
Previous Trend & Break of Structure (BoS)**
- The market has been in a strong downtrend, forming **Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH)**.
- After breaking the **105.485 level (0.5 Fibonacci retracement)**, the bearish momentum continued down to the **103.5 support zone**.
Liquidity Zones & Potential Reversal**
- The price is currently consolidating around **103.5**, indicating a possible reaction from buyers.
- A **Higher High (HH)** is marked, suggesting a potential shift in market structure.
Possible Scenario Based on the Arrows**
- A short-term **accumulation phase** is expected between **103.5 - 104**.
- If the price breaks above **103.998**, bullish momentum may drive it toward the **105.5 - 106.7 zone (Fibonacci 0.5 & 0.786 retracement levels)**.
- If this resistance is broken, the final target could be **107.27**, a strong resistance level.
- The market is at a **key support level** and may form a bullish structure.
- Confirmation of a **Higher High** and a break above **103.998** could trigger an upward move.
- **Re-Accumulation** is expected before a strong bullish continuation.
- **Bearish Alternative**: If the **103.5 support** fails, the price may drop further to **102.1**.
This analysis is suitable for publishing, but I recommend adding an alternative scenario in case the support fails, giving a more well-rounded outlook.
DXY Price Analysis: Time For Correction?DXY Price Analysis: Time For Correction?
DXY corrected nearly 65% of the bullish wave in a short time. Currently DXY is testing a price zone that was seen for the last time at the beginning of November 2024, almost 3.5 month ago.
The odds are that DXY has to create any correction before it moves down more. Also this wave is overextended too much and from a technical point of view DXY should not devaluate more.
However this month was very strange across all the currency pairs so everything is possible.
Given that the market will not be so clear overall and will not give up from the USD so easily I think that DXY has room for correction before resuming another bearish wave.
A possible correction near to 105 is possible this time.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Dollar Index SellsThe dollar Index Sells are aligning with the GU Buys and EU buys with AU buys as the dollar Index weakens I expect the mentioned pairs to strengthen with buys let's await the US open and see what really happens
Weakness of Dollar Could Be Over SoonTextbook Head & Shoulders pattern is underway on DXY chart.
Price is close to the target of 101.91.
Watch how price will react there as weakness of dollar could be over soon
DXY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 103.479.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 103.100 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDJPY and NZDUSD Analysis Here is an analysis of UJ and NU.
Currently, nothing is very clear at all. A large move already transpired on most pairs. Waiting for price to cool off and engineer some liquidity. What I see on the chart can be seen via the video.
- R2F Trading.
start the uptrendGiven the behavior of the index within the specified support ranges, possible scenarios have been identified. It is expected that a trend change will take place and we will witness the beginning of an upward trend.
USDX-BUY strategy 12 hourly Line Break (2)The USDX is very oversold and requires correction I feel. MACD shows we have buying pressure building and RSI of course very oversold.
Strategy BUY @ 103.10-103.50 and take profit near 104.57.
DXY Dollar Index at Key Support: Is a Major Retrace Coming? 💹📉
In this video, we dive deep into the DXY and analyze the current market conditions. 📊 At the moment, the pair is overextended and trading into a critical weekly support level. 🔄 Join me as we break down the trend, price action, and market structure, and explore a potential trade idea based on these insights. 🧠💡 Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this analysis will give you valuable perspectives on how to approach key levels in the market. ⚠️ This is not financial advice—always trade responsibly! ⚠️ Don't forget to comment, and boost my video if you find value in the content! 👍📈✨
