USD Index (DXY) Short Setup: Reversal Expected from Resistance Z1. Entry Point: ~102.430
The price is currently below this level at 101.583, suggesting a potential short setup once the entry level is reached or confirmed.
2. Stop Loss: ~103.196
This is the price level where losses are limited if the trade moves against the intended direction. It's placed above a strong resistance zone.
3. Resistance Point: ~100.580
This was a previous resistance level which has now been broken, indicating a bullish push. The current price is above this, which may signal a breakout.
4. EA Target Point: ~97.857
The take-profit level, significantly lower, indicating a bearish target. This suggests a short position is intended from the entry point.
Indicators and Signals
The chart uses moving averages (likely 50 EMA and 200 EMA), and the price has surged above them, often a bullish signal.
However, the analysis seems to anticipate a reversal from the 102.430 level, expecting a drop back down toward 97.857.
The move from the current price to the target would be a 4.40% decline, a significant move for an index.
Trade Plan Summary
Trade Type: Likely a short/sell from the 102.430 level.
Risk: ~0.77 (103.196 - 102.430)
Reward: ~4.57 (102.430 - 97.857)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:6, which is favorable if the setup works out.
USDX trade ideas
UXY suggesting a medium-term bullish structure.riggering bullisH Awais Ali: 1. Structure & Market Context
Trend Channel: The price action is contained within a clearly defined ascending channel, suggesting a medium-term bullish structure.
Support Zone: A horizontal support area is marked around the 99.00 level, which previously served as a strong demand zone, triggering bullish momentum.
Break of Structure (BOS): A previous significant support level was broken to the downside (noted as “BOS”), indicating a change in market structure at that point. However, the current structure has resumed an upward trend.
2. Trade Setup
Current Price Level: Around 101.39.
Entry Zone: Near the midline of the channel, marked by a slight retracement after a recent high.
Target Zone: Projected at 103.009, suggesting a bullish continuation toward the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Stop Loss Zone: Below the blue entry box, near 100.481–100.231, indicating a well-defined risk zone.
Risk-Reward: Favorable, with a substantial upside potential relative to the defined stop level.
3. Technical Indicators & Tools
Channel Lines: Used to map the upper and lower bounds of the trend.
Box Zones: Highlight entry and exit zones for trade planning.
Arrow Projection: Suggests a potential price retracement followed by continuation to the upside.
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Professional Interpretation
The chart reflects a bullish outlook on the U.S. Dollar Index, supported by a well-established ascending channel, strong support structure, and a potential correction before continuation. The trader is likely anticipating a bullish reversal from the current retracement area, targeting a new high around 103.00, which aligns with the previous swing level.
This analysis is methodical and uses sound price action principles—ideal for swing traders or short-term position traders seeking directional bias and clear trade execution zones.
Awais Ali: bullish reversal from the current re
Short-Term Pullback Expected for DXY Before Potential ReboundThe current position of the DXY is estimated to be in wave ii of wave (c) of wave . This implies that the DXY remains vulnerable to a correction toward the 100.244–100.905 area. Subsequently, there is a potential for a rebound, with the index likely to retest the 102.563–103.143 zone.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 100.37
1st Support: 99.93
1st Resistance: 102.02
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
After a rock-bottom RSI on DXY, is XAUUSD due for a fall? I thinIts no mystery that the DXY has an inverse mirroring relationship with XAUUSD. When DXY goes down, XAUUSD usually rises.
The RSI for DXY has been bottom of the barrel for a long time now, and combined with a recent break in structure, due certainly due for a temporary rise, which doesn't bode well for XAUUSD in the short term. I placed my SL around 3,254 and TP around 3,243, two key areas of support and resistance from an SMC perspective.
DXY Dual Perspective: Smart Money OB Short vs. Mid-Term LongThis chart presents two perspectives:
My Perspective (Dipanshu - GreenFireForex):
Expecting a bearish reversal from the current Order Block (OB) between 101.9 – 103.2, possibly due to inefficiency and early liquidity sweep.
ChatGPT’s Refined Perspective:
OB refined to 102.4 – 103.0 zone, aligning with imbalance and previous H4 structure break. A rejection from there is more probable.
Target:
Both views expect a drop toward the Demand Zone at 96.4 – 96.3, with bullish reversal expected from that key support.
Let’s observe whether the DXY respects early inefficiency or reaches full OB.
Comment your bias below!
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Dollar At Resistance; Will Lower CPI Cause New Drop? We had a volatile start of a new trading week.
The dollar moved higher across the board as the US and China appear to be moving toward lowering tariffs, suggesting progress toward a potential trade deal. As a result, stock futures are also trading to the upside. However, keep in mind that sharp moves on Monday can easily be reversed through the rest of the week, possibly even today, after US CPI came out lower than expected, which can cause some weakness on yeilds, and possibly FED will be ready to cut rates after-all.
So, I think that USD can still come under pressure, especially if we also consider that rise on DXY is in three legs and that a lot fo gaps from this weekend are still unfilled.
DXY Rebound or Reversal? All Eyes on the Bearish OB Zone! Analysis:
As anticipated, DXY has now swept the major weekly/monthly sell-side liquidity (SSL) at 99.58, tapping deep into a high-probability reversal zone. This aggressive liquidity raid was followed by a sharp bullish reaction—marking the first signs of potential re-accumulation or a relief rally.
Currently, price is pushing back toward a bearish order block (OB) that aligns with a dense cluster of confluences:
A weekly FVG (Fair Value Gap)
A monthly FVG that’s been previously respected
Major supply resistance from previous highs around 108.40–109.39
This confluence zone is critical.
📍 Two Likely Scenarios:
Rejection from OB Zone: If price respects the OB, expect continuation to the downside—possibly targeting a deeper structural shift and breaking below the recent SSL.
Breakthrough & Reclaim: If price breaks and closes strongly above the OB zone, it opens the door for a move toward 114.60, the next major daily buy-side liquidity.
🧠 Either outcome offers a significant macro play, especially for risk-sensitive pairs (i.e., AUD, NZD, Gold, or equities inversely correlated to USD strength). Keep in mind, DXY's movement is heavily influenced by macroeconomic events, so dollar strength or weakness can cascade across global markets.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 100.215 / 99.58
Resistance: 108.40 → 109.39 OB zone
Upper Target if invalidated: 114.60
⚠️ DYOR. Let price confirm before bias is committed.
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 102.05
1st Support: 100.41
1st Resistance: 103.28
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY: Supply Zone Ahead – Possible Turning PointWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** DXY Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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DXYT BUBBLES THROUGH 103.000'S .. The DXY completes its bearish sweep and is now reacting to a substantial demand zone around the 97.000s, prompting a potential pullback toward the 103.000s. Simultaneously, the gold market faces renewed supply pressure in alignment with fundamental drivers. Market participants should anticipate corrective moves across both assets. Follow for more insights , comment , and boost idea .
US Dollar Into Resistance on China Tariff Agreement- First TestNews of a preliminary trade agreement between the U.S. and China fueled a rally of more than 1.1% in the US Dollar with the index surging into confluent downtrend resistance today at 101.77/92 - a region defined by the objective September high and the high-day close (HDC). A topside breach / close above this threshold is needed to suggest a more significant low was registered last month / invalidate the February downtrend.
Near-term bullish invalidation now raised to 99.96 with a breach here exposing 102.95/99 and the 200-day moving average into 104.04/30 . Keep in mind we have U.S. CPI on tap tomorrow. Review my latest US Dollar Short-term Outlook for a closer look at the near-term DXY technical trade levels.
-MB
DXY: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 100.977 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 101.548.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dollar Weekly CLS I Continuation setup Model 2 , Target 50%Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
DXY Breaks out of long term Bearish ChannelThe Dollar Index TVC:DXY has finally broken out of a long term bearish channel and will most likely push back to top of the channel as Dollar Index strengthens. Expect a minor retracement to the bearish channel to gain momentum for the bullish move.
The financial market will likely experience many short positions/bearish moves on major FX pairs like AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, SGDUSD. Be on the lookout for such moves.
Kindly support this analysis to enable it reach to other people, and do comment your thoughts.
DXY Has More To The UpsideDXY is right now in what I believe to be a 4th wave correction, which has turned into a wxy, and probably also will turn into a WXYXZ.
It has plenty of room to develop.
Since 4th wave corrections has a tendency to enter the area of the 4th wave of previous impulse, it will most likely go up to the area of the green rectangle above.
This will be between 103.2 - 104,7.
If it will go further up before heading down is to early to say.
But my previous forecast about it will go down below 96 is still in play and intact.