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USDX trade ideas

DXY BEARISH TRENDDXY has been on a bearish movement since December, heading to the strong resistance of monthly and weekly timeframe. Currently trapped inside 4hours consolidation zone, if we see breakout to the down side, this will be continuation of the down movement to the monthly resistance before the new uptrend will start. But if the breakout is to the upside, meaning there will be a short bullish movement before another strong fall DXY. this will help to know what Gold and other USD pair is about to do in our analysis. What is your view? comment below.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by J1000PIPSfx
Weekly FOREX Forecast March 17-21: Wait to Sell USD, Buy Majors!This is an outlook for the week of Feb 17-21st. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD CAD, USDCAD CHF, USDCHF JPY, USDJPY The structure on the majors is simple and obvious. USD looks to move higher in the short term, into a bearish FVG, and then continue its bearish ways. The EUR, GBP will take advantage and move higher. The AUD and NZD are in consolidation, so waiting for a breakout is the best course of action. The CHF should outperform thee USD. Be mindful there is a lot of red folder news items coming up for the week ahead, to include FOMC on Wednesday. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
6
DOLLAR TREND REVERSAL? 📉 The DXY has reached a key demand zone—is this the perfect buying opportunity? Liquidity grab & reversal incoming? 📊🔄 🔍 Market Insights: ✅ Support Zone: 102.28 - 102.96 🟡 ✅ Bullish Bounce Expected 📈—Targeting 105.42 - 106.13 🎯 ✅ Smart Money Accumulation? Watch for a liquidity sweep & strong upside! 🚀 💬 What’s your take? Drop your analysis in the comments! Let’s trade smart together! 🔥📊 #Forex #DXY #USDollar #Trading #MarketAnalysis #GreenFireForex
TVC:DXY
by Greenfireforex
DOLLAR DOMINANCE or DIVE? --- 🚀 📉💰 🔥 The DXY (US Dollar Index) is at a CRUCIAL turning point! After completing a 5-wave Elliott structure, is the biggest correction about to begin? 📊📉 🔍 Key Levels & Insights: ⚡ Major Resistance at Wave 5 – Rejection confirmed! ❌ ⚡ 12% Drop Incoming? The corrective A-B-C wave could shake the markets! 🌊 ⚡ Smart Money Watchlist – Will the Dollar Bulls hold, or are the Bears ready to take control? 🐂 vs. 🐻 📢 What’s your take? Drop your analysis in the comments! Let's decode the market together! 🔥🔍 #Forex #DXY #ElliottWave #USD #MarketAnalysis #Dollar
TVC:DXY
by Greenfireforex
Gold Tracks Purchasing Power (updated)YES, gold does track your purchasing power over LONG PERIODS of time. It tracks the inflation ADJUSTED US Dollar more accurately than it does either the US Dollar OR Inflation. It is a better way to understand macro tides which move the price of gold. While there are periods of lower/diminishing correlation... you should really keep your eye on what has been happening now! Gold has been in a period of INCREASING, statistically significative correlation with Purchasing Power. WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? Well, when gold sniffs out the end of the current rally for US Dollar versus Inflation, then it will tell us on its price chart. You might want to reshare this post and maybe pin it. I will. ======== Below is why I did this post. What makes gold move? I see soo many focus too much on either inflation or the US Dollar. They are often wrong for 2 reasons: 1- Gold tracks neither per say, but inflation adjusted US Dollar (purchasing power). 2- Gold has a tendency to move 3 to 6 months ahead of the next move in purchasing power. Use charts for unbiased, objective evidence gathering. Forget headline news, stories, and narratives.
INDEX:DXY
by Badcharts
DXY March 16 Analysis DXY March 16 Analysis Price parent bias is bear Price is Discount M/W/D Previous session premium and discount on the daily range March 15 delivery Price delivering in a premium, taking buy stops hitting the .618 before turning around passing through the 50 to seek lower prices taking sell stops from the previous session March 17 delivery I suspect that Price could come up to the buy side target at the .618 and turn around? Wait for more tomorrow after Sundays dealers range and evaluate before Asia session. Note Price broke structure and bounced off the .70 My Model Factors Bias for Asia to London bull Price will have to do the following for me to trade *session liquidity taken *macro time only *first presented FVG *4 candle pattern *hour analysis down to 1 min every 15 minutes *every hour mark out what price has done Stay open to build narrative once Asia opens. Stay open to reading price deliver
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY Will Move Higher! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for DXY. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 103.733. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 104.118 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalProvider
1
DXY Potential Reversal: Eyeing a Break Above 104.20Market Structure & Trendline Break The US Dollar Index (DXY) recently broke out of its descending trendline on the 15-minute chart. This signals a potential shift from the prior downtrend into a short-term bullish phase. After bouncing from the key support around 103.40–103.50, price is now hovering near 104.00. Key Support & Resistance Levels Support Zones: 103.40–103.50: Recent swing low and demand area. If price falls below this zone, it would weaken the bullish case and could lead to a retest of the 103.00 area. 102.80–103.00: Major support if the 103.40 zone fails. Resistance Zones: 104.20–104.30: Minor resistance just above the current market price. 104.60–104.80: Next hurdle if DXY gains momentum. A clear break above 104.80 could open the path toward 105.00 and beyond. Trading Plan Bullish Scenario Entry: Consider longs on a confirmed break or retest of 104.00–104.20. Targets: First target around 104.60 Second target around 105.00 Stop Loss: Below 103.40, to invalidate the bullish structure. Bearish Scenario If price fails to break 104.20 and moves back under 103.40, watch for a retest from below to consider short positions. Downside targets could be 103.00 or even 102.80 if the selling accelerates. Overall Bias The short-term momentum has shifted bullish with the trendline break and higher lows forming. Keep an eye on major resistance levels around 104.20 and 104.60 to see if DXY can sustain its upward move. A failure to hold above 103.40 would negate the bullish setup. Always remember to manage your risk appropriately. Use stop losses, size your trades responsibly, and adjust targets based on market conditions.
TVC:DXYLong
by ayushpanchal92
DXY Potential Scenario - 15 March Technical - 1ST Scenario : Price will sweep Previous Week Low. inside weekly BPR -2ND Scenario : Price moving from the same level too filling this massive liquidity voids Fundamental -Investors still do not trust Trump’s policies due to the numerous irrational decisions imposed by the U.S. on other countries regarding tariffs. -The U.S. is still trying to stop the wars between Russia and Ukraine, as well as Israel and Palestine. -At the same time, the U.S. is clearly waging economic wars against other countries. -Let’s see, despite the positive inflation data, whether interest rates will remain stable or decrease
TVC:DXYLong
by Liquidity_Taker_
DXY in monthly chart (An idea for decades) Hello What I want to discuss might be a little confusing for some you or unrealistic for other ones but I myself believe in it. I do not talk about Fundamental or any logics stand behind this chart but it's just an analysis in the aspect of EW. Dollar started its rally from 2008 and what has made is definitely a motive wave that can be wave 1 or in bigger scale wave A. If we consider it as wave 1/A which has taken 5300 days to finish so we can expect a reasonable correction for its wave 2/B even it becomes a Zigzag. It means that I expect more complex pattern for wave 2/B. Next point is the structure of wave 1/A which makes me anxious because if it was wave A what would happen after its wave C. To be simpler, if it is wave A, so we are in a bearish ABC for DXY and after this correction completes it must continue its bearish trend to ZERO that is impossible. Some say that it happens when Dollar is replaced with something else but I am not sure about it. The Second scenario is that it is wave 1 bullish and after this correction (in where we are now) the biggest rally starts for Dollar. It may take a few years to be disclosed. Thanks Thanks
TVC:DXY
by AMA_FX
2
$DXY IdeaFor the DXY, on the monthly chart, we remain in a consolidation bias, as the price is trapped within a range formed by two FVGs. However, when analyzing the yearly candles, we notice a macro bearish bias, since the 2025 candle has swept the 2024 high and is now targeting the annual lows. Since we trade intraday, it is essential to analyze other timeframes to confirm a trading bias. On the weekly chart, we observe that last week's candle swept the previous week's low and closed within the range, indicating a potential correction. This makes sense, as the DXY has extended significantly in recent weeks and is currently discounted, which may lead the price to a premium zone before resuming its downtrend, in line with our macro bias. Additionally, based on the economic calendar, there is a possibility that the weekly low will be formed on Monday, which could create an opportunity for a counter-trend trade at the beginning of the week. However, this type of trade carries high risk, requiring caution and confirmation before entry. For this week, we are looking for bullish opportunities up to equilibrium or until the price shows resistance to continue rising. However, this initial outlook will only be confirmed as price action develops throughout the week. It is also important to note that this will be a challenging week, due to a lack of significant news events and a Federal Reserve speech on interest rates, which could significantly impact the market and increase volatility.
TVC:DXYLong
by Pilucax
DXY Analysis – Key Market Structure Levels📌 D1 Timeframe: - The price is currently in a discount zone and has reacted to a Balanced Price Range (BPR) on the monthly timeframe . - If bullish momentum builds from this level, potential targets include: - D1 premium zone - Order block within the balanced price range - 4H order blocks as key areas of interest 📌 Monthly Timeframe Confluence: - The Balanced Price Range (BPR) aligns with ICT Stup , Fibonacci 0.705 - 0.79 retracement levels , and key liquidity areas. - If price holds above discount levels , we may see a move towards the 110.157 target zone . 🔍 Market Outlook: Short-term bullish bias as long as discount levels hold. Price action confirmation is needed before considering entries. ⚠ Risk Warning: Trading involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly. ✅ If you find this analysis useful, don’t forget to subscribe and hit the "Boost" button to support the page!
TVC:DXYLong
by Rahmatullayev_Halilulloh
DXY Dollar Index Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (37800) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 38500 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 36500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: DXY Dollar Index Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. ⚡Fundamental Analysis Fundamental factors driving DXY focus on U.S. economic conditions, Fed policy, and global currency dynamics. Interest Rates: U.S. Federal Reserve: Rates steady at 3-3.5%, down from 2024’s 4.5-5%. Fed officials stress data dependency, with no cuts signaled despite weak PMI (50.4) and jobless claims (219,000 vs. 215,000 forecast). Real yields (10-year Treasury at 3.8%, ~1% inflation-adjusted) support USD. Other Countries: ECB at 2.5%, BoJ at 0.25-0.5%, BoE at 4-4.5%—U.S. yield advantage persists, though narrowing. Impact: Bullish for DXY, tempered by global easing. Inflation: U.S.: PCE at 2.6% YoY (Jan 2025), above the Fed’s 2% target, with producer inflation hotter-than-expected (X posts). Inflation fears linger, supporting USD. Other Countries: Eurozone at 2.8%, Japan at 2.5%, UK at 2.5-3%—global inflation pressures USD rivals less. Impact: Bullish, as U.S. inflation sustains Fed hawkishness. Economic Growth: U.S.: Mixed signals—PMI at 50.4 (near stagnation), jobless claims up, but ADP jobs beat at 183,000 (Jan 2025). Tariffs add uncertainty. Other Countries: China at 4.5% (slowing), Eurozone at 1.2%, Japan at 1%—U.S. outperforms peers. Impact: Mildly bullish, U.S. resilience aids USD. Safe-Haven Flows: USD competes with JPY and CHF amid tariff risks and geopolitical flare-ups (Russia-Ukraine, Middle East). Recent yen strength (X posts) pressures DXY. Impact: Mildly bearish, global risk-off challenges USD dominance. Trade Balance: U.S. deficit persists, but Trump’s tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China) aim to bolster USD via trade shifts. Impact: Bullish long-term, short-term neutral. ⚡Macroeconomic Factors U.S.-focused with global context: U.S. Policy: Fed’s tighter stance vs. global easing (ECB, BoJ) favors USD. Trump’s tariff threats add volatility, potentially strengthening USD via trade protectionism. Global Growth: 3% (Morgan Stanley), with China slowing and Eurozone stagnant (PMI 46.2). U.S. relative strength supports DXY. Commodity Prices: Oil at $70.44 pressures import-heavy peers (Japan), mildly weakening JPY vs. USD. Currency Dynamics: Yen strength and EUR softness (EUR/USD below 1.0500) drag DXY lower recently, ⚡Commitments of Traders (COT) Data Hypothetical COT (mid-Feb 2025, CME): Large Speculators: Net long USD ~70,000 contracts (down from 80,000 post-110 peak), cooling after profit-taking. Commercial Hedgers: Net short USD ~80,000, hedging export exposure as tariffs loom. Open Interest: ~150,000 contracts, stable, reflecting U.S. trader engagement. Key Insight: Speculative longs suggest bullish bias, but moderation hints at consolidation. ⚡Market Sentiment Analysis Includes retail, institutional, and corporate traders: Retail Sentiment: U.S. retail traders likely 60% short DXY at 106.000 (hypothetical broker data), betting on yen/CHF gains. Contrarian upside risk if shorts unwind. Institutional Traders: U.S. funds (e.g., Citi, HSBC) mixed—bearish short-term (DXY to 96.87, Citi Hong Kong), bullish long-term (WalletInvestor to 119.193). Sentiment leans cautious. Corporate Traders: U.S. exporters hedge at 106.50-107.00, neutral as tariffs loom; European firms favor EUR weakness. Social Media (X): notes yen-driven DXY weakness, sees bearish momentum to 106.15—trending bearish. Broker Data: U.S. IG sentiment ~55% long—balanced positioning. ⚡Quantitative Analysis Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (106.30), 200-day SMA (105.50)—price below 50-day, above 200-day, neutral signal. RSI: 45 (daily), bearish momentum fading, room for reversal. Bollinger Bands: 105.80-106.80 range, 106.000 at midpoint—consolidation likely. Fibonacci: 38.2% retracement from 110.00-102.50 at 105.62—key support holds. Volatility Model: Implied volatility (1-month) at 7%, suggesting 0.75-point monthly range (±0.7%). ⚡Intermarket Analysis USD/JPY: At 150.00, yen strength pressures DXY; drop to 145 could accelerate declines. EUR/USD: Below 1.0500, EUR weakness supports DXY mildly. Gold: XAU/USD at 2940 (risk-off proxy) inversely pressures USD. Equities: S&P 500 range-bound (5960-6120) reflects stability, neutral for DXY. Bonds: U.S. 10-year yield at 3.8% vs. JGB at 0.9%—yield gap aids USD. ⚡News and Events Analysis Recent: Trump’s tariff threats (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China, Feb 23-25) fuel risk-off, pressuring DXY via yen strength (X posts). Weak U.S. PMI and jobless claims offset by PCE at 2.6% (Jan 2025). Upcoming: U.S. PCE data (Feb 28) critical—hotter data could lift DXY, softer data bearish. Fed rhetoric pending. Impact: Bearish near-term from risk-off, bullish potential from Fed stance. ⚡Overall Summary Outlook DXY at 106.000 balances U.S. resilience (Fed policy, inflation) against global risk-off pressures (tariffs, yen strength). Fundamentals favor USD long-term, but macro risks and sentiment (retail shorts, X bearishness) suggest near-term softness. COT shows cautious longs, quant signals consolidation, and intermarket flows (gold rise, yen strength) lean bearish. Short-term dip to 105.50-105.91 likely, medium-term range-bound with a bullish tilt if Fed holds firm. ⚡Future Prediction Bullish Case: DXY to 108.00-110.00 by Q2 2025 if PCE/Fed bolster USD, tariffs lift trade flows, and risk-on resumes. Bearish Case: Drop to 103.50-105.00 if yen/CHF surge, tariffs falter, or Fed dovishness emerges. Prediction: Mildly bearish short-term to 105.50, then bullish to 108.00 by mid-2025, driven by Fed policy divergence. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Thief_Trader