uptrendIt is expected that in the current support range, the trend change is expected to see the rise. It can then advance to the specified resistance range.
USDX trade ideas
DXY DOLLARImpact of Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations on DXY Directional Bias tomorrow
The Department Responsible: The University of Michigan’s Survey Research Center releases both the Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations data.
Key Data Points (March 13, 2025)
Metric Forecast Previous
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
63.1 64.7
Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
4.3% 4.3%
Impact on DXY Directional Bias
Consumer Sentiment Below Forecast
DXY: Bearish. Lower consumer sentiment suggests weaker economic growth, potentially reducing demand for the USD.
Technical Impact: DXY could drop toward 102 level or more if support fails to hold
Fundamental Driver: Reduced consumer spending can slow economic growth, leading to a weaker USD.
Inflation Expectations Remain High
DXY: Mixed. High inflation expectations might signal future price pressures, potentially supporting a hawkish Fed stance. However, if inflation fears are already priced in, the impact might be muted.
Technical Impact: DXY may consolidate or buy based on the current demand floor
.
Dollar index and Inflation There has been a positive relationship between Dollar Index and Inflation over last so many years. Increase in inflation leads to appreciation in Dollar and vice versa.
DXY: Sell the RipThe latest Producer Price Index (PPI) for the U.S. came in at 0.0% MoM, missing expectations of 0.3%. This suggests that inflation pressures at the wholesale level are cooling, which could signal a shift in the Fed's stance towards less aggressive monetary tightening. A softening in inflation reduces the likelihood of further interest rate hikes or extended hawkish policy from the Federal Reserve. This dovish shift typically puts downward pressure on the U.S. Dollar as investors adjust expectations for future yields. The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) has already shown signs of weakening in recent sessions, and this miss on PPI may add further fuel to the bearish trend.
U.S. Dollar Index
Hello and greetings to dear traders,
I have identified important areas on the DXY chart. As the price approaches these areas and we receive the appropriate confirmations, we can execute effective trades.
Key Areas:
Strong Area for Selling:
Secret Order Block (4H): 103.979 and 104.064
Liquidity (4H): 104.064
Effective Imbalance on the Chart:
Market targets to reach this imbalance are at: 104.558 and 104.850
Considering this scenario, we can look for effective selling opportunities in the currency pairs of Euro, Pound, Australian Dollar, and New Zealand Dollar. I will send you updates with these charts for more information.
Thank you for your support. A very simple and clear chart has been drawn for your use.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
DOLLAR I Weekly CLS, KL - MIFVG, Consolidation to reversalHey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
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DXYdollar ,despite poor Core CPI m/m economic data saw a quick buy based on weekly demand structure. the sudden buy idea reversed AUDUSD,USDJPY,EURUSD,GBPUSD,USDCAD and many more USD PAIRS...avoid trading news if you want to be a long term profitable forex trader,
DXXThe DXY is still under significant bearish pressure, and if the current support levels fail to hold, the index could target lower levels, including 100.740 as a key downside objective. With the broader trend turning negative, a further decline to this level appears increasingly probable.
The Dollar Index has reversed upward.Hey everyone!
Looks like a solid entry for a DXY long and a good time to start ditching EUR and Gold (yes, I do think gold is heading down).
On the daily chart, we can see that we've completed five waves down and are now forming a reversal.
EUR/USD and GOLD/USD have already started reacting, Index Dollar (DXY) hitting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Now the climb begins, with the first target around 125 for the Dollar Index.
The potential peak?
144, though we’ll likely see corrections along the way.
Buckle up—volatile times ahead... 🧐🧐🧐
DXY in 1 H timeframeDXY Analysis on RTM Style
Here’s an analysis of the **U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 1H timeframe** based on the **RTM (Read The Market) style** and your drawn arrows:
Previous Trend & Break of Structure (BoS)**
- The market has been in a strong downtrend, forming **Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH)**.
- After breaking the **105.485 level (0.5 Fibonacci retracement)**, the bearish momentum continued down to the **103.5 support zone**.
Liquidity Zones & Potential Reversal**
- The price is currently consolidating around **103.5**, indicating a possible reaction from buyers.
- A **Higher High (HH)** is marked, suggesting a potential shift in market structure.
Possible Scenario Based on the Arrows**
- A short-term **accumulation phase** is expected between **103.5 - 104**.
- If the price breaks above **103.998**, bullish momentum may drive it toward the **105.5 - 106.7 zone (Fibonacci 0.5 & 0.786 retracement levels)**.
- If this resistance is broken, the final target could be **107.27**, a strong resistance level.
- The market is at a **key support level** and may form a bullish structure.
- Confirmation of a **Higher High** and a break above **103.998** could trigger an upward move.
- **Re-Accumulation** is expected before a strong bullish continuation.
- **Bearish Alternative**: If the **103.5 support** fails, the price may drop further to **102.1**.
This analysis is suitable for publishing, but I recommend adding an alternative scenario in case the support fails, giving a more well-rounded outlook.
DXY Price Analysis: Time For Correction?DXY Price Analysis: Time For Correction?
DXY corrected nearly 65% of the bullish wave in a short time. Currently DXY is testing a price zone that was seen for the last time at the beginning of November 2024, almost 3.5 month ago.
The odds are that DXY has to create any correction before it moves down more. Also this wave is overextended too much and from a technical point of view DXY should not devaluate more.
However this month was very strange across all the currency pairs so everything is possible.
Given that the market will not be so clear overall and will not give up from the USD so easily I think that DXY has room for correction before resuming another bearish wave.
A possible correction near to 105 is possible this time.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Dollar Index SellsThe dollar Index Sells are aligning with the GU Buys and EU buys with AU buys as the dollar Index weakens I expect the mentioned pairs to strengthen with buys let's await the US open and see what really happens
Weakness of Dollar Could Be Over SoonTextbook Head & Shoulders pattern is underway on DXY chart.
Price is close to the target of 101.91.
Watch how price will react there as weakness of dollar could be over soon
DXY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 103.479.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 103.100 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDJPY and NZDUSD Analysis Here is an analysis of UJ and NU.
Currently, nothing is very clear at all. A large move already transpired on most pairs. Waiting for price to cool off and engineer some liquidity. What I see on the chart can be seen via the video.
- R2F Trading.
start the uptrendGiven the behavior of the index within the specified support ranges, possible scenarios have been identified. It is expected that a trend change will take place and we will witness the beginning of an upward trend.
USDX-BUY strategy 12 hourly Line Break (2)The USDX is very oversold and requires correction I feel. MACD shows we have buying pressure building and RSI of course very oversold.
Strategy BUY @ 103.10-103.50 and take profit near 104.57.
DXY Dollar Index at Key Support: Is a Major Retrace Coming? 💹📉
In this video, we dive deep into the DXY and analyze the current market conditions. 📊 At the moment, the pair is overextended and trading into a critical weekly support level. 🔄 Join me as we break down the trend, price action, and market structure, and explore a potential trade idea based on these insights. 🧠💡 Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this analysis will give you valuable perspectives on how to approach key levels in the market. ⚠️ This is not financial advice—always trade responsibly! ⚠️ Don't forget to comment, and boost my video if you find value in the content! 👍📈✨
US DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bearish Movement ContinuesAs I expected, the Dollar Index decreased last week.
Analyzing the price movements throughout the day, we can see further evidence of a strong downward trend.
After consolidating within a horizontal range on a 4-hour chart, the price broke below its support level and closed below it.
Sellers are showing their dominance once again, with a retest of the broken support level indicating a potential move lower to at least 103.10.
DXY BEARISH SCENARIOIt can be seen that DXY is bullish in long term as President Trump initiates trade wars with other countries. This will pave way for a strong pump for the DXY soon. This will further weaken the currencies that are pegged to the US dollar..
Dollar Index - We Are Seeing Heaviness To The DownsideIt is important to note that although we have recently seen huge decline in the dollar, there is still a possibility for a minor relief rally into the monthly BISI which is now a inverted FVG @ 104.636 - 104.420 which could seek out small movements to the downside for GBPUSD and EURUSD.
Fully aware that dollar can continue to present risk on conditions, taking out 103.373 lows and making its way into the longer term monthly bias of the 101.917 - 103.373 FVG.
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Bearish Outlook – Key Levels & PredictioDXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Analysis – Daily Chart
🔹 Recent Downtrend:
The DXY has been in a strong decline ⬇️ after breaking key support around 104.5 📉.
The price dropped sharply, showing bearish momentum 🚨.
🔹 Key Zones Identified:
Resistance Zone (104.0 – 105.0) ❌📊 (Previously support, now acting as resistance)
Support Zone (100.5 – 101.0) ✅📉 (Potential target for further downside)
🔹 Expected Price Movement:
A possible short-term bounce 🔄 back toward the 104.0 - 104.5 resistance ⚠️.
If rejected ❌, the downtrend may continue toward the 100.5 – 101.0 level 🎯📉.
🔎 Conclusion:
✅ Bearish Bias – Trend favors further downside unless the price reclaims 105.0.
📌 Watch for a retracement before another drop 📉.
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance: 104.0 – 105.0 🚧
Support: 100.5 – 101.0 🛑
$DXY-101.64 retrace the Trump PumpHola people!
expecting this to dip below the 200 ema and take liquidity
would love it to slice through but surely some sort of reaction there
currently at a key level of 103.650 which was our range high in Jan 2016
so acceptance below this along with a close below the weekly 200 ema should get things moving quicker
let see what we get on the weekly close either way time to pay attention
