ETHBTC trade opportunityETHBTC has broken down from a mega bullish pennant structure, warranting cautious trading. Within this structure, a potential descending channel is forming, with price adhering to it in a corrective movement.
An accumulation zone has been identified on the chart, presenting a potentially optimal area for loading Ethereum. This view is primarily for holders, with a specific target marked on the chart.
Note that the descending channel could offer opportunities for strategic entries. However, always manage risk appropriately given the current market conditions.
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ETHBTC trade ideas
ETH/BTC - Weekly Outlook (Updated)Here is a link to our previous chart:
It is amazing to see the accuracy of this chart. We are still in our white symmetrical triangle. This resistance has again caused the ETH/BTC pair to get rejected an additional 3 times leading to a breakdown. Once our support at 0.049 was broken it caused a collapse to test our lower white band of support.
Now that the resistance line has given us even more signals of the significance of that trendline, we can prepare for ETH's strength when that line is broken.
ETH/BTC - BTC first, ETH next?BTC leads, the rest follows?
This is ETH against BTC, not USD!
So as long as BTC doesn't do a big dump, it sure looks like ETH might push next. With BTC being close to ATH and ETH still missing another 30% just to get to ATH (in USD), that does seem plausible enough.
Going by this projection though and assuming at least a stable BTC at the current levels (midterm), that would put ETH significantly higher in USD value from the current price of 3.7k.
ETHBTC Shows Lower Degree Bullish Setup FormationWe talked about ETHBTC back on July 5th, where we mentioned and highlighted a completed higher degree corrective decline with strong support zone. Since then, we have seen some short-term slow down, which can be just a lower degree bullish setup formation.
ETHBTC looks to be finally ready for a bullish continuation within higher degree wave C/3 after we noticed an impulsive rally into wave A/1, followed by recent a-b-c corrective setback in B/2. With current sharp bounce, seems like wave B/2 is completed and wave C or 3 already in progress, especially if the price jumps back above 0.05150 region. Bullish ETHBTC pair also indicates that Ethereum could be doing better than Bitcoin in upcoming weeks. Can other ALTcoins too? Is it finally time for ALTseason?
Ethereum will explode soonBy thoroughly examining more data, we found that Ethereum is located in a large triangle. This analysis was done with much more data.
The green range is where Ethereum's 7-year dominance triangle could end and witness heavy pumping of Ethereum and altcoins.
Our view on the dominance of Ethereum and alt-party is as you can see on the chart
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
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Ethereum to shutdown in this bull market?In the “Alt-coin market preparing for a 10x move” idea (below) it was written:
“A word of warning. The uptrend will not be equal across all alt-tokens”
MATIC, ALGO, LTC to name a few.. as expected not all legacy projects are enjoying the multiple x gains so many in the space have seen.
Ethereum has currently printed a 78% return on the dollar pair since the statement above while others like Solana are up 1200%. In fact many tokens have printed a 10x return since that time. Despite all this the bullish outlook held by Ethereum fans is steadfast as it is loyal.
The bitcoin pair ratio of legacy projects, that includes Ethereum, is a significant reason for knowing why a group of tokens would fail to participate in the current bull market.
On the above monthly chart the Ethereum/Bitcoin (ETH.BTC) pair has confirmed failed support after seven years of uptrend. This is significant. The confirmation was made on the close of March with whole body monthly red candle printing outside the channel.
The bear flag that preceded this breakout forecasts a 80% correction in the ETH.BTC pair.
On the weekly ETH.btc pair (below) a weekly death cross is almost certain to print. Price action on this pair corrected 60% on the last cross in June 2019. You think this time is different?
Ww
Alt-coin market preparing for a 10x move
Weekly ETH.BTC Death cross
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ETH/BTC potential breakdown!!! due to Monetary cyle This will be a technical but deep analysis.
Most "crypto influencers" have been trying to pump Altcoins since the end of 2023 when CME:BTC1! started to grow coming out from the lows of that period.
Calling out "the next altseason" almost every month, and failing every time.
The thing is that they are following the crypto cycle to the letter, analyzing what happened in previous Halving years and saying that we will have the same 2020 or 2016 in 2024.
The issue with this view is that they are not taking into account bigger things, yes people, there are other markets besides our king (and most of them bigger than the crypto market). They are forgetting the cycle that goes above all. MONETARY CYCLE.
The FED is still tightening the economy (QT) as they haven't dropped the interest from 5.5% (cyan line) and they are still reducing their balance sheet (purple line). This means one thing, the money printer is not doing BRRR.
This has a big effect on the economy and especially on risky assets like crypto because they are still speculative assets (The crypto community might not like this), and if Gold gets affected by this monetary policy (Bitcoin is currently valued at $1.4tr compared to gold's $16tr market cap), well Bitcoin is affected too.
We compare this situation to 2019, the same Monetary cycle (the FED started to cut rates and, by EOY, increased their balance sheet) and a similar macroeconomic paradigm (people worried about recession after a huge growth in the markets). See how the logical answer that year was "NO to risky assets", making the total Crypto market drop, but most importantly, making ETH and especially ALTS, drop even more, falling in value against the king.
So, what can happen to BITCOIN, ETH, and ALTS in an election year, QT (quantitative tightening) cycle, Recession risk going up, and geopolitical threats to the economy?
All of this while the halving year goes on? Well, that's the right question to ask.
I forecast an ETH short-term meltdown to the 0.3-0.4 valuation against BTC in August and September. ALTCOINS may drop even harder!
what can cause this you ask?... Failed ETF launch, Mount Gox news, strong Democrats candidate, I guess we'll soon know.
ETHBTC is ready to soarAs regulatory pressure (namely interest rates) finally begins to appear to be easing-- BTC is butting up against historical resistance , that's not to say that BITSTAMP:BTCUSD can't surge in the near term, I actually think it will!
That said, the writing is on the wall that it is BITSTAMP:ETHUSD and BINANCE:ETHBTC 's time to shine in this cycle. The CRYPTOCAP:ETH ETF is set to go live very soon, and investors like Matt Hougan believe that ETH as an asset will have inflows that are far beyond what the average analyst is expecting.
If you analyze the RSI trend on a long term basis, these 1M candles paint a familiar picture from last cycle, when BINANCE:ETHBTC did ~300% in a few short months. What say you?
ETHBTC - Follow the volumeThis chart has been an obsession for a while now.
Not because I actively trade it, but it's interesting to track sentiment across the two majors coins in the market.
Notice how volume spikes usually concur with pivot points. It's been downtrending for so long, so it's really hard to say "this time is different".
On the other hand, we see that this s/r flip is kinda holding on higher volume, which would open the gates for finally making a higher high.
If s/r flip doesn't hold, we're back at good old lower lows and slow bleed on this pair. Invalidation is pretty clear though, which provides us with a good setup to bet more on ETH and ETH-eco coins.
Added bonus is of course that a potential news event could provide the spike that is needed to take this pair out of it's eternal bleed. It's one of those cases where news can influence chart, which could cause a sentiment squeeze: people chasing to try to position.
All on very thin ice of course, this chart has done nothing but disappoint and I've been very bearish on it in general. Opportunity is here though and because inval is tight, it's worth trying to frontrun some positioning in ETH coins imo.
Is ETHBTC Pair Turning Bullish?ETHBTC pair can be turning bullish, as we see strong rebound after a completed corrective decline by Elliott wave theory.
We talked about ETHBTC pair back on May 14th, where we mentioned and highlighted the completion of an (A)-(B)-(C) corrective setback with the wedge pattern within wave 5 of (C).
As you can see today on July 05, ETHBTC pair bounced from projected 0.045 support area, which can be signal that it’s turning back to bullish mode, especially if breaks back above 0.061 region.
Regarding dominance in the Crypto market, ETHBTC chart can be one of the reasons that ALTcoin dominance may kick in soon, so new ALTseason could be around the corner.
ETH DOMINANCE Ethereum dominance showed strength a few hours ago. This is a great sign for large cap altcoins as well as Ethereum. There is only a little time left when he will show his strength.
It is important to be ready when the impulse comes. At some point, ethereum should jump by at least 50 to 100 percent.
Also Btc.D dominance will show the peak of bitcoin and then the altcoin season begins. Currently, the price of bitcoin is above 69300 both daily and weekly. Which shows that the trend continues, but I must not ignore Ethereum
Swing Trading Ethereum with Bullish Signs on Weekly ChartsThis analysis explores the potential for swinging Ethereum (ETH) based on its price movement against Bitcoin (BTC) on weekly charts. While this strategy takes a long-term view (weeks to months), it highlights bullish indicators suggesting significant upside for ETH.
Fundamental Optimism for Ethereum ETFs
The anticipation of a positive decision on Ethereum ETFs fuels long-term optimism for the asset. Increased institutional adoption through ETFs could significantly boost ETH prices.
Technical Analysis on Weekly Charts
• Momentum Indicators:
o RSI: A strong bullish divergence on the weekly RSI suggests a potential altcoin season on the horizon, favoring altcoins like ETH.
o MACD: A bullish crossover on the weekly MACD, combined with strong bullish divergences and histograms, further strengthens the bullish case for ETH.
• Weekly Trend Line: ETH has broken its downtrend on the weekly chart, indicating a potential shift towards bullish momentum in the coming months.
• Price Action:
o Golden Pocket & FVG: ETH has captured significant liquidity within the 70% Fibonacci retracement level, and shifting it structure forming breaker block with fvg is quite bullish sign.
o Stalling in Breakout Zone: ETH is currently consolidating within the breakout zone. If it holds this area, a retest of the 2021 highs becomes a realistic target, offering a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Key Levels to Watch:
• Support Levels: Monitor the 0.050btc and 0.045 btc zones for potential pullbacks. These levels could act as strong support.
• Resistance Levels: Key resistance levels include $0.060 and $0.070. Breaking through these could confirm a sustained bullish trend.
Volume Analysis:
• Increased trading volume during uptrends would confirm the strength of the bullish move. Watch for volume spikes that align with price increases.
Market Sentiment:
• Overall market sentiment, macroeconomic indicators, and regulatory news could impact ETH's performance against BTC. Stay updated with the latest developments.
Risk Management:
• Diversification and risk management are crucial. Ensure ETH forms part of a broader investment strategy with defined stop-loss levels.
Scenario Analysis:
• Bullish Scenario: If ETH breaks through key resistance levels and maintains higher trading volumes, the bullish trend could lead to retesting 2021 highs.
• Bearish Scenario: If ETH fails to hold support levels and breaks below the invalidation point, reconsider the bullish thesis.
Conclusion:
Including ETH in a portfolio appears to be a promising long-term strategy based on both fundamental and technical factors. However, this analysis serves as an example of the thought process and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.