ETH vs BTC: Sentiment Shift & Reality CheckCRYPTOCAP:ETH vs BTC: Sentiment Shift & Reality Check
👥 Not long ago, everyone was convinced that ETH would surpass BTC. Now, the narrative has changed—ETH is "going to zero."
👀 But what are we actually observing? This is the most significant deviation from the multi-year trendline, and historically, these moments have presented some of the best opportunities relative to BTC.
📉 Currently, ETH is facing multiple negative factors simultaneously. But are these long-term issues, or just temporary fluctuations?
💡 Ask yourself: Will ETH truly be worth less than 1/20 of BTC? A return to 0.05 is certainly possible. Fundamentally, ETH continues to be a core pillar of the crypto space. The decision, as always, is yours.
ETHBTC trade ideas
ETHBTC MACROthe memecoin market dieing off means the market gets a second to think,
conviniently timing up with ethbtc low of december 2020
the complete floodgates of memes and narrative coins that flooded the market over the last few years diluted any liquidity that was educated on the blockchain and its challenges
everyone basically was looking for the next best thing that the obvious infrastructure that was neccesary to even have blockchains online was ignored mostly seen as too obvious an investment and a slow mover..
all the while given how obvious the trade seemed most traders resorted to scalping ethereum lows looking to catch the swing trade into highs
this simply brought the price crashing downward by marketmakers who saw the easy liquidity grab
once you regrasp what this market is and what its thesis' for the future really are not many of the narrative driven coins really fit into it..
for instance xrmr and ltc not dieing off like most other l1s memes and ai coins
long term projects that actually stand the test of time over multiple cycles in this crazy market space..
upon reevaluating this... ethereum becomes the obvious conclusion for an L1 that can withstand multiple cycles, its on the stockmarket with etfs and is used mostly for financial tools rather than meme p+ds
if ethereum really does die off, then btc and other scarcity coins that are holding up just fine around the narrative driven ones
this pivot all coming after ww3 and trade war fears..
all the while btc is trading above 80k
and ethbtc is at opportunity levels not seen for the last 5 years
meanwhile eth etf staking is rumoured for this year and btc public company adoption is going parabolic
intersting times and i still think eth doesnt bleed to 0
that doesnt discount any further down spikes though which there is always a chance of during volatility.
Ethereum Goes HomeLadies and gentlemen, the Ethereum Time Machine! Welcome back to 2020.
Ethereum’s weekly chart against Bitcoin has reached a major historical support level. This is a critical area where price previously found a strong base before launching into the 2021 bull market. The current retest of this zone suggests that buyers could begin stepping in here, although there’s no confirmed reversal signal yet.
Despite being largely wrong about Ethereum’s performance so far, I’ve maintained a sizable position and have not sold any. The price action has been weak for months, but this area of historical support could provide a foundation for a meaningful bounce.
Volume has increased slightly, which could indicate early accumulation, but confirmation will require more follow-through from buyers. A decisive hold of this support level and a higher low would be the first sign of potential trend reversal. However, if this level breaks down, there’s little visible support until significantly lower levels.
The Fate of ETHER#ethereum price has weakened against both #usd and #btc .In this #ethbtc chart, an Inverted Eve & Adam pattern has been formed in higher time frame. This took a long time and this is.. bearish. CRYPTOCAP:ETH structure shows no strenght, i' ve warned in my ideas and posts many times when price was higher than 3500 usd. Still #ethusd has many risks, #eth needs very strong news. Otherwise, furthermore dumps are inevitable...
Not financial advice.
Biggest support at ETHBTC, the end of the fall? Will Ethereum end its downtrend? Ethereum has been quite weak for a long time and is currently at an important support level. If it breaks down further, a sharp decline may continue, but if it holds the support, the upcoming period could be more positive.
2018 and 2021 crypto rally started from this support. Will be again?
Many cryptocurrency dominance charts, as well as Nasdaq and stock charts too, showing the same pattern. Is the reversal starting?
We’ll see.
This is not investment advice. Please do your own research.
Wishing you best.
-YusufDeli
Is SOL/BTC following the ETH/BTC distribution pattern?
As the big red weekly candle closes for BTC, we should see some volatility this week.
Solana valued in BTC has exited a rectangular distribution topping pattern.
Failure to recapture the rectangular box and enter back into it in a spring like move is looking increasingly unlikely.
Ethereum valued in BTC followed a very similar pattern in Nov 2023, exiting the rectangular distribution rectangle and fell much much lower.
The 50 week (blue line) and 200 week (purple line) moving averages also follow a similar trajectory for both instruments / coins.
If SOL / BTC does not recover into the box, and fast I will be exiting a long term position I hold.
Defensive Strategy based on this chart and the USD chart warrants consideration
PUKA
Ethereum - Wyckoff Events and PhasesThe dominance of Bitcoin is growing. When Bitcoin is growing - altcoins are growing less or without rising. Bitcoin falls - alts fall even more.
Paired with ETHBTC, we see a Wyckoff Distribution Schematic #2. We are currently in Phase D. The price is approaching a support zone. Most likely, there will be some descending trading near this zone. We will form LPST (a last point of supply) and SOW (a sign of weakness). Next, we are waiting for Phase E.
Best regards,
EXCAVO
Ethereum Ready To Beat Bitcoin?The Ethereum/Bitcoin daily chart is showing a notable bullish divergence, with price making lower lows while RSI is making higher lows. This is a classic reversal signal, especially as it emerges from oversold territory.
Volume also confirms growing interest, as buyers stepped in aggressively on the recent dip. However, while this divergence increases the probability of a bounce, ETH/BTC still needs to break above key resistance levels to confirm a trend shift. Until then, this remains a potential bottoming signal rather than a confirmed reversal.
ETHBTC analyse for 2025-2026I did my analyse on this chart around December 2024 and I showed some friends too. My bad to place it now, but the real pain will start soon. If you look closely at the ETH/BTC charts, you’ll see ETH has broken its 8-year uptrend and lost a key level, pausing around 0.036. My expectation is that price will move down to the lower green bar I’ve marked; if it can hold there, we could see a local bottom forming.
It’s wild that so many paid “crypto gurus” have been calling for an altseason over the last nine months even 1 year... despite the clear downtrend. This chart alone shows how misguided those calls have been. Always do your own analysis and don’t let anyone sell you illusions!!
ETH BTC set to rally>Jpow has got to come in dovish on Fed meeting this week ~POW GOES TO QE
> We could see a nice run to 0.05
>If Jpow comes Hawkish it will trigger another ~10% drop from here which will be short-lived.
> Overall Bullish for now
>Bigger players are suppressing eth
>Wait till the start of Feb to see a clear Direction of the market
ETH/BTCETH/BTC showing seller exhaustion on this most recent capitulation and is at the PCZ of a bullish informal M-shape harmonic structure.
This looks like an easy to manage risk area, further confirmation would be preferred but this chart generally acts like more of an oscillator than a traded asset.
Trade with care. : )
EthbtcMonster range
No idea how the market let's this continue with what is likely to come
Still highest tvl of any chain by far
The chain and its infrastructure works alot better than when the range high was put in in early 2021
This cycle hasn't been an easy predict at all especially in terms of eth
That being said its going to have to run this back at somepoint
The cycle can't be over with orange man in power..
ETHBTC - 2 ETH may soon buy 1 BTCBINANCE:ETHBTC is one of the most hated trades on the market right now. And based on price action from recent months and years - definitely for good reason. Ethereum is being viewed as a stale rust-bucket compared to the superior monetary properties of Bitcoin and the younger exuberance found in Solana. However don’t bet the house on that narrative continuing over the coming months. To me it seems that Ethereum may well have its time to shine once again...
Reasons to be super bullish
As crazy as it may be to say this, Ethereum can soon reach the rather insane price target of 0.5 BTC per ETH in the coming 18 months.
The pattern for the last 6 years has been one of accumulation, Wycoff Accumulation to be exact. Just look at similarities with an example pattern of GOLD posted from a few years ago, of it similarly being in deep accumulation and the price action that followed.
I’m willing to stick my neck out and say that the Wycoff (coiled) spring from the BINANCE:ETHBTC chart above has now completed, after over-shooting the downwards wedge (in white). Such an overshoot usually leads to the most volatile reversals, and is therefore one of my favorite trading patterns.
Not only that, BINANCE:ETHBTC also has a clean-looking cup & handle pattern forming, dating back to May 2018. Should that come to fruition, the minimum price target (taking the height of the cup via white arrows) would equate to 0.5 BTC. That just so happens to also perfectly coincide with the 1.414 fib level drawn.
Now, would Ethereum stop there? You’ve got to imagine so. However it may not…
BINANCE:ETHBTC 's onset to markets saw a 95x (pink arrow). Taking the same measured move, from the bottom in January 2020, would equate to a 30x move from current levels or a 55x from 2020's bottom. That would indicate a final target of 0.91 BTC, at the 1.618 fib, by around April 2026.
Another reason to suggest the selling is over, RSI is putting in a higher low, whilst price is making a lower low.
BINANCE:ETHBTC is mirroring the same setup as September 2019, with similar targets possible.
Reasons to be sceptical
We should be in a clearly bullish period, between Mar-24 to Apr-26 although we have yet to see bullish price action as of today. BINANCE:ETHBTC already enduring its bearish period from Dec-21 to Feb-24, this is unlikely to be another.
If we’re going to see the above come into fruition, we must soon see a huge uptick in volume in Ethereum in the coming days. Watch the green arrow underneath the chart to see if that happens over the coming 15-18 months.
BINANCE:ETHBTC looks to have already bounced off the 0.024 BTC per ETH. Or the 0.382 fib level (turquoise line). I expect very limited downside from here.
What might trigger a bullish change?
MSTR thanks to Michael Saylor has popularised his company as a quasi-leveraged ETF, turning the balance sheet of his company into a fast-tracked success.
Can you think of another company that is flush with billions of cash that is aligned with defi, NFT & decentralized markets and has one person on the board calling the shots for their investment committee? GameStop could well be the first public company to put Ethereum on their balance sheet and spark a huge step-change in the amount of institutional investment into ETH, over say BTC. They currently have $4.8bn in cash on their balance sheet and have yet to announce any M&A or changes to their corporate treasury.
Watch-out for catalysts, alt-season I sense is coming...