High SpeculationThis is something I've come up with for a bit of fun, but looks pretty convincing, but should still to take with a massive grain of salt.
After comparing the ETHBTC and ETHUSD dates, this is what I've come up with, and so to get a better understanding, visit my other post showcasing the ETHBTC chart and put them side by side.
I've come up with a bull cycle endpoint by using ETHBTC's top and bottom durations which typically coincide with each other, and just used the channel it has been following as the potential price peak, given how much ETHUSD has moved from a far smaller move in ETHBTC makes this possible as ETHBTC has a long way to go still.
ETHEREUM trade ideas
Will ETH stall at $3,800 like BTC did at $120K?Ethereum is firmly in breakout mode. The ETH/BTC ratio , a closely watched measure of altcoin strength, has surged close to a year-to-date high.
ETH has now gained over 25% in the past week, fueled by institutional flows into ETH ETFs and tech investor Peter Thiel reportedly taking a major stake in BitMine.
RSI is at 84.82 , showing extremely strong momentum, though short-term consolidation near the $3,800–$4,000 resistance zone is possible. This is a zone that capped previous rallies in 2024.
Bitcoin, in contrast, is holding flat near $118,000 , down slightly from its recent highs above $120,000 . Small-bodied candles and minor intraday sell-offs have formed a tight consolidation block, indicating profit-taking and indecision.
The question now is whether Ethereum will follow BTC’s recent behaviour and stall near local highs, or whether the breakout will carry it decisively through $4,000 .
Moon SoonThe Genius Act passing and other regulatory tailwinds pave the way for the US financial system and the rest of the world to slowly migrate over to blockchain infrastructure via Ethereum. The demand relative to supply imbalance will force ETH to re-rate aggressively over coming months and years
ETH 1H – Breakout or Bull Trap ?
ETH just broke above the 0.236 Fib with a strong push.
✅ Trend structure remains bullish:
MLR > SMA > BB Center.
But something feels off...
🔍 Volume surged late — likely short liquidations.
OBV didn’t confirm — it's still lagging.
RSI is extended. Structure looks tired.
Could be a liquidity grab above recent highs.
If price closes back below the Fib, momentum could fade fast.
📌 Key zones to watch on a pullback:
– 1H 50MA
– Previous support clusters
We’ll be here to watch it unfold.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
ETH roadmap to 5000!Ethereum Wave 3 in Play? Eyes on the $4500 Target
Ethereum may currently be progressing through a wave 3, which is often the strongest leg of an impulse. The structure so far supports that idea, and based on standard projections, the most likely target sits near $4500.
If price can break and hold above the 4k level, we could see a consolidation forming above the previous high. That would be a constructive sign and might set up the next leg higher.
But there’s still a chance ETH struggles to clear that level. If that happens, consolidation could form just underneath, which would still be acceptable within a wave 3 framework. What matters next is the shape and depth of the pullback.
Wave 4 will be the key. A shallow or sideways correction would keep bullish momentum intact. A deeper pullback doesn't ruin the structure, but it does mean we’ll need to watch support zones more closely.
If wave 4 behaves well and broader market conditions stay supportive, then a final wave 5 could bring ETH into the $5000 region. That’s the upper edge of this current roadmap, based on conservative assumptions.
Stay flexible. Let the structure guide the bias.
3 Wins to Glory.You guys know my long term Targets for ETH.
What I wanted to highlight is the angle of the Banana zone has been remarkably consistent on the Log chart.
Granted we only have 2 - 2.5 data points
But note how even in 2025 the run is adhering to the approx 60 degree angle of attack, after breaking out of their respective W's.
something to monitor.
Multi-Timeframe Market Analysis – Bullish Opportunity Setting U🔍 Multi-Timeframe Market Analysis – Bullish Opportunity Setting Up?
I’ve been closely tracking a potential bullish setup using a multi-timeframe approach. Here’s a quick breakdown:
📅 Weekly Timeframe:
Price is currently trading inside a Weekly Type 2 Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) — a key higher timeframe support zone.
No bearish break on weekly structure yet, so bullish bias remains valid unless this FVG fails.
📉 Daily Timeframe:
We’re seeing a bearish orderflow leg, but this is unfolding within the weekly bullish FVG, reducing confidence in downside continuation.
My bias here: Neutral to bullish, watching lower timeframes for confirmation.
⏳ H4 Timeframe:
A dealing range is forming, hinting at potential accumulation or reversal.
Since this is happening after price tapped the weekly FVG, I suspect smart money is accumulating long positions.
I’ll be watching for bullish FVG formation within this range to confirm the setup.
⏱ Lower Timeframes (H1–M15):
Looking for internal liquidity sweeps followed by bullish FVGs.
These will be my entry triggers, with targets at external liquidity levels like daily swing highs.
🎯 My Trading Plan:
Favoring buy setups unless weekly FVG is invalidated.
Focused on H4 breakout and lower timeframe confirmation.
Risk managed entries only, with clear invalidation and targets.
💬 How do you approach multi-timeframe confluence in your trades? Drop your thoughts below!
#Trading #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #FVG #MarketStructure #Liquidity #MultiTimeframe #PriceAction #TraderMindset #SwingTrading
Seven topics explaining why Ethereum might be heading towards atSeven topics explaining why Ethereum might be heading towards at least $4,500 after returning to its trend:
1. Market Sentiment and Bullish Reversal
When Ethereum breaks out of a consolidation phase or a downtrend, it often signals a shift in market psychology. A bullish reversal can be triggered by technical patterns such as ascending triangles, breakouts above key resistance levels, or bullish candlestick formations. Positive news (e.g., regulatory clarity, major partnerships, or favorable market reports) enhances investor confidence. Once traders recognize a trend reversal, it leads to increased buying momentum, further propelling ETH higher. This shift in sentiment often acts as a self-fulfilling prophecy, attracting more capital into the asset.
2. Institutional Adoption and Investment
Institutional investors, including hedge funds, asset managers, and pension funds, play a crucial role in cryptocurrency price dynamics. Large-scale investments, ETFs, or custodial solutions designed for institutional clients can generate significant buy pressure. Notable endorsements from major financial firms or integration of Ethereum-based products into mainstream financial platforms can serve as a validation, encouraging broader participation. This institutional involvement often brings stability and confidence, supporting sustained upward movement towards higher targets like $4,500.
3. DeFi and NFT Growth
Ethereum's ecosystem is the backbone of the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector and NFTs. The expanding adoption of DeFi applications (lending, borrowing, staking) and booming NFT markets increase demand for ETH, since it is essential for transaction fees and smart contract execution. As new projects and use cases emerge, the utility of ETH grows, directly impacting its value. Additionally, mainstream adoption of DeFi and NFTs draws more retail and institutional investors into the ecosystem, contributing to price appreciation.
4. Network Developments
Ethereum continues to undergo significant upgrades to address scalability, security, and sustainability. Ethereum 2.0, with features like proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus, shard chains, and Layer 2 scaling solutions (like Rollups), greatly enhance network efficiency. These upgrades improve user experience and reduce transaction costs, making Ethereum more attractive for developers and users. The improving technology infrastructure can result in increased transaction volume, user activity, and investor confidence, which collectively drive the price upward.
5. Macro and Cryptocurrency Market Factors
Broader macroeconomic conditions influence Ethereum’s price. A declining dollar, inflation concerns, or global economic uncertainty can push investors toward alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin’s market movement often correlates with ETH, and a bullish Bitcoin trend can lift ETH prices as well. Additionally, positive regulatory developments or a general rally in the crypto market can create a favorable environment, supporting Ethereum’s ascent to higher levels.
6. Technical Indicators
Traders rely heavily on technical analysis. Breakouts above significant resistance levels (e.g., previous highs around $3,500 or $4,000), increased trading volume, and bullish chart patterns such as flags or bullish divergence reinforce the upward trend. These technical signals attract momentum traders and institutional players, which accelerate the price increase. Consistent bullish technicals contribute to a self-sustaining upward trajectory toward the $4,500 target.
7. Supply Dynamics
Ethereum's supply mechanics significantly influence its price. The implementation of EIP-1559 introduced a fee-burning mechanism that reduces circulating supply over time, creating a deflationary pressure. When network activity is high, more ETH is burned, decreasing supply and potentially increasing scarcity. Furthermore, the transition to Ethereum 2.0's proof-of-stake reduces issuance, limiting new ETH supply entering the market. These supply-side dynamics, combined with growing demand, can lead to significant appreciation, moving ETH toward and beyond the $4,500 level.
ETH to + $4,5007 topics explaining why Ethereum might be heading towards at least $4,500 after returning to its trend:
1. Market Sentiment and Bullish Reversal
When Ethereum breaks out of a consolidation phase or a downtrend, it often signals a shift in market psychology. A bullish reversal can be triggered by technical patterns such as ascending triangles, breakouts above key resistance levels, or bullish candlestick formations. Positive news (e.g., regulatory clarity, major partnerships, or favorable market reports) enhances investor confidence. Once traders recognize a trend reversal, it leads to increased buying momentum, further propelling ETH higher. This shift in sentiment often acts as a self-fulfilling prophecy, attracting more capital into the asset.
2. Institutional Adoption and Investment
Institutional investors, including hedge funds, asset managers, and pension funds, play a crucial role in cryptocurrency price dynamics. Large-scale investments, ETFs, or custodial solutions designed for institutional clients can generate significant buy pressure. Notable endorsements from major financial firms or integration of Ethereum-based products into mainstream financial platforms can serve as a validation, encouraging broader participation. This institutional involvement often brings stability and confidence, supporting sustained upward movement towards higher targets like $4,500.
3. DeFi and NFT Growth
Ethereum's ecosystem is the backbone of the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector and NFTs. The expanding adoption of DeFi applications (lending, borrowing, staking) and booming NFT markets increase demand for ETH, since it is essential for transaction fees and smart contract execution. As new projects and use cases emerge, the utility of ETH grows, directly impacting its value. Additionally, mainstream adoption of DeFi and NFTs draws more retail and institutional investors into the ecosystem, contributing to price appreciation.
4. Network Developments
Ethereum continues to undergo significant upgrades to address scalability, security, and sustainability. Ethereum 2.0, with features like proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus, shard chains, and Layer 2 scaling solutions (like Rollups), greatly enhance network efficiency. These upgrades improve user experience and reduce transaction costs, making Ethereum more attractive for developers and users. The improving technology infrastructure can result in increased transaction volume, user activity, and investor confidence, which collectively drive the price upward.
5. Macro and Cryptocurrency Market Factors
Broader macroeconomic conditions influence Ethereum’s price. A declining dollar, inflation concerns, or global economic uncertainty can push investors toward alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin’s market movement often correlates with ETH, and a bullish Bitcoin trend can lift ETH prices as well. Additionally, positive regulatory developments or a general rally in the crypto market can create a favorable environment, supporting Ethereum’s ascent to higher levels.
6. Technical Indicators
Traders rely heavily on technical analysis. Breakouts above significant resistance levels (e.g., previous highs around $3,500 or $4,000), increased trading volume, and bullish chart patterns such as flags or bullish divergence reinforce the upward trend. These technical signals attract momentum traders and institutional players, which accelerate the price increase. Consistent bullish technicals contribute to a self-sustaining upward trajectory toward the $4,500 target.
7. Supply Dynamics
Ethereum's supply mechanics significantly influence its price. The implementation of EIP-1559 introduced a fee-burning mechanism that reduces circulating supply over time, creating a deflationary pressure. When network activity is high, more ETH is burned, decreasing supply and potentially increasing scarcity. Furthermore, the transition to Ethereum 2.0's proof-of-stake reduces issuance, limiting new ETH supply entering the market. These supply-side dynamics, combined with growing demand, can lead to significant appreciation, moving ETH toward and beyond the $4,500 level.
ETH Faces Sharp Rejection at Triangle Resistance📆 On the 3D chart, CRYPTOCAP:ETH just got rejected from the upper boundary of a symmetrical triangle — a clear resistance reaction ❌
That rejection triggered a swift 14% drop 📉, putting pressure back on lower support zones. The structure remains valid, but bulls need to step in soon to avoid deeper losses.
This is a critical spot — will buyers defend the level, or does ETH have more room to slide?
👀 All eyes on support now — next move could be fast.
Not financial advice.
ETH Tactical Long: Laddered Bounce from Absorption ZoneCOINBASE:ETHUSD has been in a steady 1H downtrend, but key support at $3,440 is showing signs of absorption. Volume is thinning on sell-offs, and we're seeing early reversion signals.
This is my over the weekend analysis, not a final recommendation.
Setup Type: Mean Reversion / Absorption Bounce
- Trend: Still bearish on 1H (below 50/100/150 MAs), but slope compression hints at weakening
momentum
- RVI: Below 50, but curling up → early bounce bias
- Volume: Sellers fading into $3,440 = buyer absorption zone
📊 1hr Quant Entry Levels & Laddered Plan
Zone Type Action
$3,440–3,435 Primary Entry Base long entry zone 🔄
$3,420–3,410 Add-on Entry Optional bid stack 🧱
$3,320 Soft Invalidation Trend continuation if lost 🚫
$3,150 Deep Value Wick Low-prob, high-juice trap 💎
🎯 Targets:
T1: $3,515 → EMA cluster rejection zone
T2: $3,600–3,638 → Range midpoint
T3: $3,800 → Trend reversal if reclaimed
⚖️ Risk/Reward: 1:2.5+ (depends on fill ladder)
We are starting entries here, but be cautious if we break through our support levels and you don't have the appetite for the deep value range it may be wiser to wait for a confirming trend or post.
ETH 4H | Eyes on Support |ETH on the 4H
Bears are having their moment — and that’s fine.
Price is heading lower, with the 200MA around $3200 as the next support. If that breaks, the 0.382 Fib near $3000 is the last line before things get ugly.
My plan? Watch RSI for signs of bullish divergence.
Until then, hold tight.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
ETH Critical Next Few Days.Hello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we are taking a close look at Ethereum.
After the Tariff news and the Jobs report, The market as a whole seems very bearish suddenly to many. Even though we do have aggressive sellers in the short term, The market is still bullish in the mid to long term. Let's take a look.
Sentiment has changed
A major catalyst (like the Tariffs news) can cause a change of terrain. Buyers may become more bashful, taking their foot off the gas (where the put it before). Reactions to kry levels (like "top of demand") will give us clues into how strong are they still.
Short Term
ETH had a huge rally, Whats does a healthy rally need for a continuation?
Consolidation
This brings us to the charts
Top of demand gives us evidence of how convicted these current buyers still are in a market. A hot reaction = Aggressive Demand. Cold Reaction = Hesitant or lack of Demand.
Todays close was a touch cold, but considering the recent bearish news and data, not terrible. Buyers are still active in this area, but since the terrain might have changed, I have given you two scenarios.
Green Scenario
For this to play out, we need to see buyers step in immediately. The longer ETH stays in this demand, the heavier they will become (and it's a long way down)
Wait for a second test minimum. Best to get a hot reaction. If it presses into the demand zone, Cut it early. (always good to wait for a close)
Entry 3,518
Stop 3,360
TP 1 3,990
TP 2 Breakout? Trailing stop?
Red Scenario
If we can't close above top of demand (Like tomorrow...) This is the likely scenario. I would be hard pressed to try and catch a knife this overextended. So until we identify where the new sellers are sitting, I can't give you any trades on this scenario. If you are short biased this could run all the way down to the bottom of demand.
I'll keep a close eye this over the weekend and keep updates.
Long Term
These prices should be according to your personal sentiment on ETH.
Aggressive = 3,500
Good price = on the trend roughly 2,900 - 3k
STEAL = 2,200 - 2,400
That's all for ETH! Enjoy your weekend, and Happy Trading!
@thecafetrader
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Technical InsightsEthereum (ETH/USD) Technical Insights
**Chart Overview**
* **Current Price**: \~\$3,631
* **EMA 7 (Red Line)**: \$3,720.80
* **EMA 21 (Blue Line)**: \$3,522.96
* **Key Support Zone (Pink area)**: \~\$3,600–\$3,650
* **Support 1 (S1)**: \~\$2,950
* **Support 2 (S2)**: \~\$2,500
* **Uptrend Line**: Still intact, but under pressure
**Technical Insights**
* **Price Breakdown**: ETH has dropped below the **EMA 7**, and is now testing a **critical horizontal support zone** around **\$3,600–\$3,650**.
* **Trendline**: Still holds, but ETH is **hovering just above it**, signaling a potential bounce or breakdown.
* **EMA 21** near \$3,522 is the next short-term support if \$3,600 fails.
* **Momentum**: Recent candles show **strong selling**, indicating weakness, but no full breakdown yet.
**Bullish Scenario**
*Conditions**:
* Price **holds above** \$3,600–\$3,620 zone and the **trendline**
* **Bounce** with bullish daily candle from current zone or above \$3,650
**Buy Setup**:
* **Entry**: \$3,620–\$3,650 on confirmation
* **Stop-loss**: Below \$3,520 (just under EMA 21)
* **Targets**:
* TP1: \$3,720 (reclaim EMA 7)
* TP2: \$3,850–\$3,940
* TP3: \$4,100+
**Bearish Scenario**
**Conditions**:
* Price **breaks below** \$3,600 and **the trendline**
* EMA 21 is lost with strong bearish candle
**Sell Setup**:
* **Entry**: Below \$3,580 on breakdown
* **Stop-loss**: Above \$3,650
* **Targets**:
* TP1: \$3,520 (EMA 21)
* TP2: \$2,950 (S1)
* TP3: \$2,500 (S2)
**Bias: Neutral with Bearish Lean**
* **Decision Zone**: ETH is at a key inflection point
* Wait for **confirmation**: bounce or breakdown before entering
ETH 4H – 58% Trend Ride From MACD Liquidity StrategyThis Ethereum 4H setup shows the power of a clean trend-following system. The MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy (Normal Mode) entered long on July 1st after price reclaimed both the 60 and 220 EMAs — a major shift in directional bias confirmed by MACD momentum flipping bullish.
From there, ETH trended smoothly for weeks, gaining +58.35% before the strategy exited automatically as momentum waned and MACD flipped bearish. No overtrading, no manual input — just clear structure, confluence, and filter-based entries.
Now, we’re seeing pink candles return and price struggling to hold the 60 EMA. A continued breakdown here could open the door toward $3,400–$3,500 support. Bulls must reclaim $3,750+ quickly to confirm continuation.
📊 Strategy Breakdown:
– MACD: 25 / 60 / 220
– EMA Filter: 60 & 220
– Mode: Normal
– Timeframe: 4H
Educational content. Drop thoughts or questions below — let’s break it down together.
ETH Holding Steady in the Noise
ETH on the 4H
Price is pulling back again — mostly due to sticky inflation.
Even though YoY CPI came in at 2.8% (vs 2.7% expected), MoM data was on target, so the market may just be pricing in “higher for longer.”
Back to the chart — not much has changed.
ETH is still holding above both the 0.236 Fib and the 50MA.
The next real resistance is around $4,000.
Personally, I’d rather see price consolidate and gear up for a clean breakout than rush into it and get rejected.
Right now, it feels like ETH is waiting for direction.
It had a reason to drop — and didn’t.
It had a reason to fly — and paused.
Could be prepping for a boring chop before a sudden move.
I'm still bullish overall. Holding a long.
If it moves against me, I’ll scale out.
If it breaks higher, I’ll scale in.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
ETH: Buyers Show Their HandETH on the 4H
The Fed noise is gone, now it’s just pure market intent.
Price wicked below the 0.236 Fib, but buyers stepped in fast, showing strength at that level.
A small bullish divergence is forming on the RSI. If ETH holds above the Fib, that signal could gain momentum.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.