ethI have a strategy with 80% win rate.
The essence of it is that by the end of October, we will not see ETH above 4100.
On the other hand, we are still within the body of the 12-month candle from 2021. In 2024, we failed to hold above 3700, which indicates weakness and increases the likelihood of a move toward the 2021 low, around 700.
Right now, this sounds pessimistic and I don't like this scenario, but that’s how I see the chart.
ETHUPUSDT trade ideas
Ethereum Facing Key Resistance, Breakout or Fakeout?ETH is pressing into major horizontal resistance near $2,600 after breaking out from a double-bottom structure. Price is moving within a wide range capped near $2,900 and supported by the 0.5 and 0.618 fib zones.
🟢 Scenario 1 – Bullish:
Clean break and hold above $2,600 opens room to test the top of the range around $2,900. Watch for a higher low retest to confirm strength.
🔴 Scenario 2 – Bearish:
Rejection here could send ETH back toward $2,340 (0.5 fib) or even $2,220 (0.618). The stochastic RSI is approaching overbought, signaling caution.
This chart is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Time to go long!!
1) A candle broke out and closed above the descending parallel channel.
2) The price has been consolidating above Fib0.0382 level for weeks.
3) The recent candles are sitting above EMA21.
4) EMA 21 is above EMA55.
5) EMA200 is running horizontally still but it is getting close to cross EMA55.
6) All momentum indicators are in the bull zone and still plenty to go before it hits overbought territory.
There might be a strong breakout to the upside.
It is time to go long.
Ethereum (ETH): Buyers Showing Dominance | $2800 IncomingBuyers are doing a great job currently, keeping the price above the EMAs (which also have been marked by us as a retest area after we did that break of structure on the 2nd of July).
Now as long as we are above our buy zone, we are bullish on ETH. As many know, we are far away from the potential of ETH and the first target is at $2800-$3000.
Swallow Academy
$ETH - SELL to BUY BiasOn the Daily Timeframe, Ethereum cleared the liquidity sitting on the $1755 zone and bounced off the support around $1500 region. It then rallied hard and swept the liquidity at $2800 , doubling and confirming it as a solid Resistance zone.
Using strong buy rejection and good volume as confirmation, a sell from the $2700 - $2750 zone is feasible, with target at the liquidity sitting at $2100 - $2110 zone.
We then, can consider buying from any POI below that zone.
Remember to REACT and not PREDICT. DYOR‼️
Ethereum Faces Key Resistance: Potential Pullback AheadHello Guys!
What I see:
Head and Shoulders Pattern:
Left Shoulder: Formed
Head: Peak, followed by a drop.
Right Shoulder: Formed.
The neckline break around $2,450 initiated a downside move, confirming the bearish setup.
Current Price Action:
ETH is currently trading near $2,519, attempting to reclaim the broken neckline zone, which now acts as resistance.
The price action is showing lower highs, hinting at weakening bullish momentum.
Bearish Retest in Progress:
The chart shows an anticipated bearish retest of the support-resistance flip zone ($2,530–$2,550), with a probable rejection leading ETH back down toward the $2,440–$2,450 support zone.
Demand Zone:
A strong demand area is visible between $2,420–$2,450. Price may revisit this zone before making the next major move.
Trend Channel:
ETH is moving within an ascending channel, and the lower bound coincides with the highlighted demand zone.
________________________
Let's check this deja vu:
You can see that previously the price formed an H&S and after that did a hunting of the head! And after that price experienced a drop there! Same scenario here!
ETH - Should I go long?Ethereum (ETH) is currently positioned at a critical juncture, with multiple technical and fundamental indicators suggesting the potential for a significant move ahead.
Current Price and Momentum: As of the latest real-time data, ETH is trading at $2,549.97, having recently started a fresh increase above the $2,520 zone. The price is above both the $2,550 level and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
Key Resistance Levels: The immediate resistance is near $2,600, followed by $2,620 and a major barrier at $2,650. A decisive break above $2,650 could open the path toward $2,720 and potentially $2,800 in the near term.
Support Levels: On the downside, $2,520 is a key support zone. A sustained drop below this could trigger declines toward $2,500 or even $2,420, but as long as ETH holds above $2,520, the bullish structure remains intact.
On-Chain and Institutional Signals: Long-term holders have been accumulating ETH, and institutional inflows have surged, with over $750 million invested recently. This accumulation, alongside strong ETF inflows and rising staking activity, points to growing confidence and could act as a catalyst for a major price move.
Technical Patterns: ETH is consolidating above critical moving averages and within bullish chart formations (such as ascending triangles and coiling structures). These patterns often precede significant breakouts, especially when accompanied by increasing trading volumes and improving momentum indicators.
Market Sentiment: While short-term indicators show some cooling, the broader trend remains bullish. Analysts note that if ETH can break above the current resistance cluster, it could ignite a new wave of bullish momentum and set the stage for a broader breakout.
In summary: Ethereum is at a pivotal resistance zone. If it can break and hold above $2,600–$2,650, analysts expect a strong move higher, with targets at $2,800. Institutional inflows, strong on-chain accumulation, and bullish technical setups all support the case for a significant upside move in the coming weeks or months, provided key support levels are maintained.
Note that a possible correction of Bitcoin (which essentially will result in a drop of the entire crypto market) is possible in the next weeks.
#crypto #eth #btc #bitcoin #ethereum #analysis #trading #portfolio #long #algorithm #buysellsignals #tradingsignals #bullrun
Ethereum (ETH): Buyers Back in Control | From $2570 to $2800?Ethereum is still strong on the 1D timeframe, we are seeing the EMAs being controlled by buyers and secured, which is opening for us the gap to move towards the $2800 area.
What we want to see now is a proper BOS on the current timeframe at $2600, which would then be an ideal entry for a smaller long position!
Swallow Academy
Ethereum (ETH): Still Cheap Don't You Think? | $2800 NextEthereum is still cheap compared to what is about to happen. Now saying "about to happen" is a little broad, saying as it might be weeks or months until we see the full potential of ETH but we are bullish for sure.
Bitcoin had its moment of money inflow and now money has to flow somewhere else, which should be ETH. This is the next stage for the bull market and that's what we are looking for.
Targeting currently $2800, but overall we want to see at least $4000.
Swallow Academy
#ETH Update #1 – July 7, 2025🟢 #ETH Update #1 – July 7, 2025
Ethereum is currently testing a resistance level that dates back about 30 days . I’m seeing long upper wicks forming here, suggesting a potential rejection from this zone. Price still hasn’t cleared its previous impulsive high, and this resistance could push ETH back toward the $2,480 level.
As long as ETH holds above $2,480, I don’t see any major concern. But if it loses that support, I’ll be watching the $2,375 level next. Below that, there's a visible imbalance around $2,320, which could act as a magnet for price.
For me, a long position becomes valid above $2,635 with momentum and confirmation. On the flip side, if ETH breaks $2,480 to the downside with strength, I may consider a short setup toward $2,327 .
But for now, I’m staying out. No position until the chart speaks more clearly.
Long opportunity in ETH/USDT.PSThe 2516.37 level has already been broken. So we need to wait to retest the same level.
Reasons : -
1. 30 MIN BOS.
2. it retested the fibonocci 0.611 level.
Entry : 2516.37
TP : 2545.27
SL : 2502.29
Disclaimer : I'm not recommending to take this entry. Do with your analysis too.
Sunday, 6 July 2025 - ETH/USDT.P ShortTrading Journal Entry: ETH/USDT SHORT
Date of Entry: July 7, 2025
Asset: ETH/USDT Perpetual Futures
Position: SHORT
Entry Price: $2,580.00
Stop Loss: $2,615.00
Take Profit: $2,510.00
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.00:1
Setup Grade: A+
1. Core Thesis
The trade is a high-confluence short position designed to capitalize on a probable liquidity hunt below an obvious daily support level. The core thesis is that the market is incentivized to purge over-leveraged longs, whose positions are revealed by order flow data, within the context of a clear daily downtrend.
2. High-Timeframe Context (The Strategic Landscape)
My analysis began with a top-down approach to understand the broader market environment.
Weekly Context: The market is in a large-scale consolidation range. This tells us that expecting a massive, sustained trend breakout is a lower probability. Instead, trading between major support and resistance zones is the governing dynamic.
Daily Context: The immediate trend on the daily chart is bearish. Price had established a series of lower highs and lower lows, bringing it down to a major area of historical support and the Volume Profile Point of Control (POC) around the ~$2,550 zone. This created the central conflict: a bearish trend meeting a significant support level. A naive analysis would be to buy this support.
3. Order Flow & Sentiment Analysis (The Deciding Factor)
This layer of analysis was the key to resolving the trend vs. support conflict and formed the backbone of my bearish bias.
Liquidation Analysis: The liquidation maps revealed a very large and proximate pool of long liquidations clustered between $2,470 and $2,500. This liquidity acts as a powerful magnet for price, as market makers are incentivized to push price toward these zones to absorb orders.
Funding Rate Analysis: Funding rates across almost all exchanges were consistently positive. This provided clear evidence that derivative traders were predominantly positioned long, were paying a premium to maintain those longs, and were betting on the daily support holding. This identified a crowded trade.
Synthesis: The presence of a large downside liquidity target (the "magnet") combined with a vulnerable and crowded group of participants (the "fuel") created a high-probability scenario for a contrarian move. The path of least resistance was for the market to push through the "obvious" support to liquidate these longs.
4. Tactical Execution (The Entry Trigger)
With a firm directional bias, the final step was to find a low-risk entry.
4-Hour Structure: The price action at the daily support level was weak. The 4H chart showed a low-volume, sideways consolidation, not a strong bullish rejection. This lack of a decisive bounce was my first clue that the support was fragile.
1-Hour Entry Pattern: I identified the perfect entry trigger by observing the 1H chart.
Price staged a minor rally toward the $2,580 resistance level.
Crucially, this rally occurred on visibly declining volume, signaling a lack of genuine buying interest. It was a corrective, not an impulsive, move.
My entry at $2,580 was placed at a clear support-turned-resistance flip zone, allowing us to short into weakness at a favorable price.
5. Risk Management (The Trade's Foundation)
Stop Loss ($2,615): The SL was not an arbitrary price but a logical invalidation point. It was placed just above a recent 1H structural swing high. A move above this level would have proven the "weak rally" thesis incorrect and signaled that buyers had taken control.
Take Profit ($2,510): The TP was chosen for two reasons:
Rule Compliance: It mathematically secured my required 2:1 risk/reward ratio.
Strategic Placement: It sits just ahead of the psychological $2,500 level and the densest part of the liquidation pool, increasing the probability of a fill before any potential support-driven bounce.
This trade represents a textbook example of my strategy: using high-timeframe analysis to build a directional bias, confirming it with order flow and liquidity data, and executing with precision on a low-timeframe pattern, all while adhering to strict risk management rules.
Classic Bear Flag formation on ETH day chartprice has been hovering in a a range for sometime before the last high made was on june 11th when ti touched 2879 and a low was made on june 22nd when it was 2115 since then price has moved up but has made a lower high of 2637 on 3rd july and now is trading around 2550 giving a classic bear flag appearance to the structure if the price breaks down below 2480 then we may see a max down move towards 1900-1800 consolidation in this range can happen and the price will start its upward trajectory as shown in the chart towards 3000-4000 range
ETHEREUM TRADE PLAN!!!Ethereum still remains bullish, especially on the daily timeframe there's a +OB/BISI supporting the price.
My focus is on the "4-Hour TF" I want to see price revisit (BISI) level as a more favorable entry point for continuation. This level aligns with a key bullish order block, which I anticipate will draw price down before resuming the uptrend.
ETHUSDT - BEARISHETH/USDT Chart Overview (Short-Term Trading Idea)
- **Current Price**: ~$2,516.91
- **Volume**: 11.91K (moderate activity)
---
### 💡 **Trading Idea: Short-Term Bounce Play and then bloodbath.**
#### ✅ Setup
- Wait for ETH to retest the $2,100–$2,2000 support zone
- Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g. engulfing, hammer)
- Confirm with rising EMA or bullish divergence in RSI (if available)
#### 🚀 Entry
- Buy near $2,280 if price shows strength
#### 🛑 Stop Loss
- Around $2,220 (below recent support and wick levels)
### 🧠 Notes for Strategy
- Keep your position size conservative due to high intraday volatility.
- News around BTC can affect ETH—watch both charts.
- Great for scalping or a quick day trade, not ideal for long-term holds in this timeframe.
NFA
DYOR