ETHUSD downtrend continuation capped at 2,171The ETH/USD pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 2,171, which represents the current intraday swing high and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 2,171 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 1,872, with further potential declines to 1,770 and 1,670 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 2,171 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 2,272 resistance, with a potential extension to 2,345 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the ETH/USD sentiment remains bearish, with the 2,171 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
ETHUSD.P trade ideas
The Power of Technical Indicators: ETH 4H Chart Breakdown📈 In this analysis, I demonstrate how a combination of key technical indicators can provide high-probability trade setups. By using Auto Fibonacci Gauge, Quantum Moving Average, Momentum Charge Theory, and Smart Money Concept, we can decode market movements with precision.
🔹 Auto Fibonacci Gauge: The Perfect Retracement
The Auto Fib Gauge shows a textbook retracement, respecting key levels like 23.6% & 61.8%.
These levels act as potential reversal zones where price reacts based on trader sentiment.
🔹 Quantum Moving Average & Momentum Charge Theory: Trend Confirmation
The Quantum Moving Average aligns perfectly with the momentum shift, confirming trend direction.
The Momentum Charge Theory further validates entry & exit signals, showing confluence with the Fib levels.
🔹 Smart Money Concept: Tracking Institutional Moves
The SMC method helps identify where large institutional orders (aka smart money) are likely placed.
Key structure points like BOS (Break of Structure) & CHoCH (Change of Character) signal potential trend shifts.
📊 Why is this important?
Combining these indicators enhances probability of successful trades.
Understanding retracements, momentum, and institutional order flows helps traders avoid weak setups and trade with confidence.
🚀 What’s your take? Do you use similar confluences in your trading? Let me know in the comments!
Ethereum Analysis - Bull Trap - Don't Buy!COINBASE:ETHUSD recently tapped into the 1,800$ order block, but rather than signaling a bullish reversal, this level appears to be pure inducement. There is no fair value gap above this zone, meaning there’s no true imbalance that price needs to mitigate. This suggests that smart money is not positioning for higher prices here, but instead using this level to lure in retail longs before engineering a deeper move to the downside.
The broader market structure remains bearish, with price continuously making lower highs and lower lows. While many traders may see the 1,800 order block as a support level, the absence of a fair value gap indicates that this area lacks real institutional interest. Instead, it serves as a liquidity pool where market makers can absorb buy orders before driving price lower. The true liquidity targets lie below, particularly around the 600$ levels, where a significant number of stop losses and liquidation points are resting. These levels act as magnets, and until they are taken, the probability of a sustained bullish move remains low.
Additionally, the inefficiencies left in the previous sharp upward move suggest that price still has unfinished business to the downside. Smart money thrives on liquidity, and the clean lows below 600$ offer an attractive area for a deeper sweep before any meaningful bullish expansion can take place. This is a classic case of market manipulation, where early longs are baited into the market just before a significant downside move clears out weaker hands.
Once liquidity has been swept from the 600$ regions, the probability of a true reversal increases. At that point, institutional players will have accumulated enough liquidity to justify a move higher. The most logical upside target following this sweep is the 2,700 order block, which aligns with a previous imbalance and a major area of institutional interest. However, until the sell-side liquidity is fully taken out, any attempt at longs is premature and likely to result in being used as exit liquidity for smart money.
In conclusion, the current price action is a textbook example of liquidity engineering. The move down into 1,800$ was a carefully orchestrated inducement to trap buyers before a deeper price correction. The most probable scenario is a continued decline to sweep liquidity below 600$, at which point smart money will begin repositioning for a true bullish move toward 2,700. Until then, every attempt to push higher is likely just part of a larger manipulation cycle designed to fuel the next major market move.
SPX & ETH: Market Manipulation or Final Pump Before Dump?Just as the market shows a strong move up — with SPX hitting 0.5169 and ETH reclaiming 1813 — we receive breaking news:
🇨🇳 China will impose an additional 34% tariff on U.S. goods.
Combined with upcoming key events — Non-Farm Payrolls , Unemployment Rate , and Powell's Speech — this could trigger a dramatic shift in sentiment.
Technical clues:
• SPX drops sharply after touching the upper Bollinger Band;
• ETH also rejects resistance;
• RSI overheated (above 66);
• Weak institutional demand (Coinbase Premium barely positive);
• Selling pressure increasing with higher volume.
Conclusion: I’m staying out for now. This move could be a trap — a setup to lure in retail buyers before major volatility. Better safe than sorry.
Patience > FOMO.
SPX + ETH — Pre-NFP Pullback or Trap?Both SPX and ETH showed a strong rally, but now we’re seeing early signs of rejection:
• SPX dropped sharply from 0.5169 to 0.4861 (≈ -6%), printing a bearish candle at the top of the Bollinger band.
• ETH follows with a rejection near the upper band too.
• RSI on both charts was above 57 — momentum was hot, but likely overextended.
• Coinbase Premium still barely positive at +2.78 — no strong institutional demand behind the rally.
• Volumes on the sell candle spike — smart money unloading?
Timing matters: All this happens just 2 hours before major economic data (NFP + Unemployment) and a Fed speech.
My View: This smells like a setup to trap late buyers. No long positions until after the news drops. I’d rather miss a few % than get caught in algo-driven volatility.
Protect capital first. Patience wins.
ETH Market Check – April 4, 2025Let’s take a closer look at Ethereum (ETH) – not just following SPX, but showing some of its own behavior lately.
1. Structure & Indicators
- ETH is currently retesting the 200 EMA zone on the 1h chart, and candles are starting to flatten near resistance (around 1833–1835).
- RSI is at 56–57 and losing momentum, approaching overbought on low volume.
- Coinbase Premium is still negative (-36 earlier, now -21), meaning institutional buying pressure is not behind this move – it’s likely retail-driven .
- Bollinger Bands show price hugging the upper band, often a signal of a temporary stretch.
2. Volume Analysis
- Volume on the move up was decent but fading .
- No strong spikes that would suggest big buyers stepping in.
It looks more like shorts covering and FOMO buying.
3. Divergence Risk
- We’re seeing early signs of bearish divergence on RSI vs price – ETH pushing up while RSI is not following with strength.
- This usually signals weakness in continuation , especially near key resistance zones.
4. News & Macro Correlation
- ETH will likely react sharply to today’s NFP data and Powell’s speech, even if it’s crypto – macro still rules.
- If SPX dumps, ETH will follow , especially with its current weak spot structure.
My View:
ETH is not showing organic strength . This climb seems forced and light , with clear signs of hesitation.
Unless we get positive macro surprise , I expect ETH to either:
- stall at current levels and chop sideways
- or pull back fast toward 1795 / 1755 zone
So I’m not entering longs here. Watching for rejection confirmation and possibly a short setup if conditions align after the news.
ETHEREUM at Major Support: Bullish Rally Incoming?COINBASE:ETHUSD is on the verge of a major move. The price has reached a key support level that has historically triggered strong buying interest. This zone has acted as a demand area multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in once again.
The market structure suggests that a confirmed bounce from this level could ignite a significant recovery. If bulls hold the support, the first upside target is $2,400, which represents a logical target for this setup. However, a sustained breakout beyond $2,400 could mark the beginning of a stronger rally, fueled by renewed buying momentum and increasing volume.
Given the prolonged bearish move leading into this setup, a retracement here could turn into a larger trend shift. However, a clean breakdown below support would invalidate this bullish bias and open the door for further downside.
🚀 If this rally takes off, we could see COINBASE:ETHUSD reclaiming higher levels in the coming weeks. What are your thoughts? Drop them in the comments! 🚀
Ethereum at Critical Support – Breakout or Breakdown?Ethereum is currently testing a key support zone within a falling wedge structure. This level is crucial for bulls to hold if they want to push higher.
📊 Market Structure Update
ETH remains within a falling wedge, a pattern that often precedes breakouts.
Price is now at a key decision point—holding here could trigger upside momentum.
🔎 What’s Next?
A strong reaction from this support could lead to a breakout attempt.
Failure to hold may open the door for further downside.
Ethereum traders, how are you playing this setup?
I'm begging again, buy ETHUSD,BTCUSD!! Don't miss out...One thing about crypto, just like stock is that it is always bullish. There may be corrections but it will cover them in few years.
You may be waiting for a better entry, a steeper fall, you may be waiting for when you're sure but I assure you, now is the time.
Now, ETH has corrected really well, to price I've never expected. Buying eth at 1800 is like buying BTC at 20k. You may think it can fall more but that doesn't matter, it can always rise more
DXY has been falling, crypto falling with it. This doesn't usually happen in bull market.
It signifies either accumulation for an explosive move, or a ranging market.
Either way, you're safe buying now.
The market recovered from 2008 market crash, what then will make ETH or BTC not to recover?
Dont start liking posts after the trade is profitable. Trade and make money.
SL- 1735
TP- 5000
ENTRY- 1800
Ya gaziere unu
(ETH) ethereum "update"Ethereum update. Nothing per se to analyze. More of an image to share with two indicators. Not much else to say here. It would be better if the average lines (pink and purple) had dots closer together. The further those dots become on a descent, the higher the likelihood there is of a big drop in price. We want the purple line to begin to curve in a reversal pattern for the price to recover from what is losing right now. Huge discount on Etheruem though, if you like that sort of thing, and Ethereum.
ETH - UpdateETH has been "crashing" lately but I think it is in the end state of a long rally. In fact I think we are in the last stage of Wyckoff distribution and we could see a major rally soon. Looking at the 300 SMA we bottomed there in June 22 and if we hold there, it could be the spring board for a massive rally to new highs.
Also I think GLD will top in a week or so which will be good for BTC and ALTS.
Not investment advice. Please like and share and leave a comment.
ETHEREUM Huge bullish divergence targets $4000Ethereum / ETHUSD formed a Double Bottom while the 1day RSI was on a Rising Support.
This is a similar bottom formation like the September 6th 2024 Double Bottom.
Technically once the Falling Resistance breaks, the new bullish wave begins.
Target the bottom of the Resistance Zone at $4000.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Buy EthereumThe idea that Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) tend to go up around 70 days after global liquidity (M2) increases is based on how liquidity drives risk asset prices—especially in speculative markets like crypto. Here's a breakdown of why this happens, particularly with the 70-day lag:
🔍 What is M2 Global Liquidity?
M2 includes:
Cash
Checking deposits
Savings accounts
Other near-money assets
When global M2 increases, it usually means central banks are easing (e.g., lowering rates, injecting liquidity), which tends to:
Increase money supply
Lower the cost of capital
Make riskier assets more attractive
💸 Why Does BTC/ETH React to M2?
Crypto = High-Beta Asset Class
BTC and ETH are risk-on assets, meaning they thrive when:
Investors are optimistic
There's more disposable capital floating around
Liquidity Flows Down the Risk Curve
When liquidity enters the system:
It first boosts safe assets (e.g., bonds, large-cap stocks)
Then mid-cap equities
Finally flows into speculative plays like crypto
Crypto’s Reaction is Delayed (~70 Days)
This 70-day lag happens because:
Institutions take time to reallocate capital
Retail follows after they see initial market strength
It takes time for M2 to affect sentiment, demand, and actual buying
📊 Empirical Backing
Analysts like Arthur Hayes, Macro Alf, and others have noted:
BTC price often correlates with global M2, with a lag of 60–90 days
Crypto tends to front-run rate cuts, but lags money supply changes
⏱️ Summary: Why the 70-Day Lag?
Cause Effect
Global M2 rises Money becomes more available
Institutions adjust portfolios Risk-on flows begin
Investors re-enter crypto Demand for BTC/ETH increases
~70 days later BTC/ETH prices begin to climb