ETHUSD trade ideas
ETHUSD: This pattern always ends with massive rally.Ethereum has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.794, MACD = 85.840, ADX = 26.701) as it's been compressed inside the 1W MA50 and 1W MA200 in the past month. The long term pattern here is a Megaphone - Broadening Wedge. Every Cycle formed one and historically once broken, it led to an enormous rally. We are still expecting the price to approach the top of this pattern on the medium term but if broken, you can aim for the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 11,000) if you want to pursue some risk.
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Watching 4H and 30min Reaction
Price is now finding resistance on the 4H at the 200MA, and on the 30min at the 50MA.
On the 4H, the SMA has flattened, and the MLR is starting to flatten too—after price found support at the 0.5 Fib and weekly 200MA.
Buying volume is starting to pick up on both timeframes.
For stop-loss, I’m using push notifications instead of an open order.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
Ethereum / US Dollar (ETH/USD) ETH/USD is forming a short-term ascending channel on the 15-minute chart after a strong rebound from the 2510 level. As long as price remains inside this channel, a move toward 2604 and possibly 2657 is likely. A break below 2510 would weaken this bullish momentum and could trigger a new wave of selling.
Reaccumulation Before Breakout? Idea Summary:
Ethereum is currently in a consolidation phase after testing the $2,700–$2,750 zone. Using Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, I anticipate a potential bullish continuation pattern forming above key support zones, with eyes on higher targets.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Current price: ~$2,540
Key Fib retracement levels:
0.786 – ~$2,347 → holding as immediate support
0.618 – ~$2,222
0.5 – ~$2,064
0.382 – ~$1,906
Resistance zone: ~$2,734 (Fib 1.0)
Main breakout target:
1.618 extension – $3,563
2.618 extension – $4,904 (longer-term projection)
Price action suggests a potential bullish structure forming – a possible inverse head & shoulders or ascending triangle pattern.
Bullish Scenario:
If ETH holds above $2,300–$2,350 and breaks above the $2,730 resistance, we could see a surge toward the $3,560 level (1.618 Fib extension), with the possibility of entering a parabolic leg toward $4,900+ in the longer run.
Bearish Scenario:
If ETH fails to hold above the 0.786 level ($2,347), the next downside supports are:
$2,222 (0.618)
$2,064 (0.5)
These levels could offer new long entries depending on reaction.
Conclusion:
Ethereum is forming a solid base for the next move. As long as bulls protect the $2,300 zone, the chart favors upside continuation. A break above $2,750 would confirm strength and may trigger a powerful bullish extension.
ETHUSD is moving within the 2110.00 - 2550.00 range 👀 Possible scenario:
Ethereum is holding above the key $2,400 level, trading at $2,450, despite a 7.45% drop over the past 30 days and a 5% weekly loss. Staying above this support keeps ETH within the range it’s held since early May.
On-chain data shows strong accumulation: whales bought 1 million ETH on June 16 — the biggest daily purchase since 2018. Spot ETFs also saw $232.4M in inflows over three days, signaling rising retail interest. While Q3 is typically weak for ETH, current momentum suggests bullish potential. A firm move above $2,400 could set the stage for a test of the range highs.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Support levels are now located at 2,110.00 and 2,400.00.
Now, the resistance level is located at 2,550.00.
ETH 4H – Testing the 200W MA
ETH is trying to reclaim the 200-week MA on the 4H chart.
The last 4H candle closed right on top of it.
The first 4H bar from June 26 closed above the 0.5 Fib, but that level was eventually lost.
If the 200W MA holds as support, price may attempt to flip the 0.5 Fib into support again.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
Ethereum H4 | Resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci retracementEthereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 2,551.80 which is a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 2,700.00 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 2,364.35 which is a pullback support.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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#ETHEREUM - 900 POINTS MOVE ON THE RADARDate: 19-05-2025
#ETHEREUM - The last time we posted an update on this scrip was on 24th April. In fact, we did have had a run-up for about 900+ points move and we are expecting the same this time around also. I am making it very clear that the number of points it can move but not a direction. The chart says so.
Current Price: $2469
Mid-Point: $2571.73
Upside Targets: $2991.35, $3232.17, $3479.84 and $3727.50
Downside Targets: $2152.94, $1911.29, $1663.63 and $1415.96
Support: $2394.59
Resistance: $2750.52
A Week Ahead: 23.06.2025 – 29.06.2025 | Key Events to WatchMonday, June 23
EU PMI Index – key for EUR
US PMI Index – key for USD
Tuesday, June 24
Canada CPI – important for CAD
Fed Chair Powell Testimony – high-impact event for USD and US stock markets
Wednesday, June 25
Fed Chair Powell Testimony continues – markets will look for monetary policy clues
Thursday, June 26
US GDP Q1 – key for USD
Friday, June 27
UK GDP Q1 – important for GBP
Japan Retail Sales, Unemployment, CPI – important for JPY
Canada GDP – important for CAD
US Personal Income and Spending – key for USD and US stock market
Summary: This week is packed with macroeconomic data and Powell’s testimony, which could shake the USD, CAD, JPY, GBP, and US stocks.
Ethereum Primed for Breakout as Institutional Interest SurgesBlackRock's aggressive ETH accumulation—$276M in February, $98M just this week—signals institutional conviction as Ethereum approaches a breakout towards $3,000. With real-world asset (RWA) tokenization exploding to $21B+ (Ethereum commanding 59% market share) and stablecoin volume hitting record $717B monthly highs, ETH is positioned as the backbone of traditional finance's blockchain migration.
The convergence of institutional buying, technical breakout signals, and Ethereum's dominance in the fastest-growing crypto sectors creates a perfect storm for the next major price surge 🚀
intel.arkm.com
Ethereum Whale Buys $422M in ETH: Bullish Signal or False Hope?
The cryptocurrency market has always been a playground for big players, often referred to as "whales," whose massive transactions can influence market sentiment and price action. Recently, one such Ethereum whale has made headlines by accumulating a staggering $422 million worth of ETH in less than a month. This aggressive buying spree has sparked curiosity and speculation among investors and analysts alike. Is this whale positioning for a massive rally, or are they simply hedging against market uncertainty? Let’s dive into the details of this significant accumulation and explore its potential implications for Ethereum’s price trajectory.
The Whale’s Buying Spree: A Breakdown
Blockchain analytics platforms like Lookonchain and Whale Alert have been tracking the movements of this Ethereum whale over the past few weeks. According to their data, the whale has been systematically purchasing large quantities of ETH across multiple transactions, totaling over 150,000 ETH at an average price of approximately $2,800 per token. This accumulation, valued at $422 million, represents one of the largest buying sprees by a single entity in recent months.
What’s particularly intriguing is the timing of these purchases. The whale began accumulating during a period of relative market uncertainty, with Ethereum hovering near key support levels after a significant correction from its earlier highs. This suggests that the whale may have viewed these price levels as a buying opportunity, potentially anticipating a rebound or long-term growth in Ethereum’s value.
Why Are Whales Accumulating Now?
There are several reasons why a whale might choose to accumulate such a massive amount of ETH at this juncture. First, Ethereum remains the backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), two sectors that continue to drive innovation and adoption in the crypto space. Despite short-term price volatility, Ethereum’s fundamentals—such as its developer activity, network usage, and upcoming upgrades—remain strong.
Second, the whale may be betting on the long-term impact of Ethereum’s transition to Proof-of-Stake (PoS) via the Merge and subsequent upgrades like sharding. These upgrades are expected to make Ethereum more scalable, energy-efficient, and cost-effective, potentially driving greater adoption and value over time.
Finally, macroeconomic factors could be at play. With inflation concerns and uncertainty in traditional markets, some institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals are turning to cryptocurrencies like Ethereum as a store of value or hedge against economic instability. This whale’s buying spree could be a signal of growing institutional interest in Ethereum as a long-term investment.
Market Implications of the Whale’s Actions
The actions of whales often have a ripple effect on the broader market. When a single entity accumulates such a large amount of a cryptocurrency, it can create a supply crunch, reducing the amount of ETH available for sale on exchanges. This, in turn, can drive up prices if demand remains constant or increases.
Moreover, whale activity often attracts the attention of retail investors, who may interpret such moves as a bullish signal. Social media platforms like Twitter and Reddit are already buzzing with discussions about this whale’s accumulation, with many speculating that a major price rally could be on the horizon. However, it’s worth noting that whale movements can also be a double-edged sword—while accumulation can signal confidence, sudden sell-offs by the same whale could trigger panic and price crashes.
For now, the Ethereum market appears to be reacting positively to this news. In the days following the whale’s most recent purchases, ETH’s price has shown signs of recovery, bouncing off key support levels. But is this just a temporary blip, or the beginning of a sustained rally? Let’s explore this further in the next section.
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Ethereum Bounces Hard After Support Bluff: A False Alarm or Fresh Rally?
Ethereum’s price action in recent weeks has kept traders on edge. After a prolonged period of consolidation and a dip toward critical support levels, ETH staged a powerful bounce, reclaiming key technical levels and reigniting hopes of a broader rally. However, the question remains: is this bounce a genuine signal of bullish momentum, or merely a false alarm before another downturn?
The Support Bluff and Subsequent Bounce
Ethereum had been trading in a tight range for much of the past month, with $2,500 acting as a crucial support level. This level was tested multiple times, and on several occasions, it appeared that bears would succeed in pushing the price lower. However, each time ETH approached this support, buyers stepped in, preventing a breakdown.
This repeated defense of $2,500 created what some analysts call a “support bluff”—a situation where the market tests a key level multiple times, creating uncertainty about whether it will hold. Just when it seemed like the support might finally give way, Ethereum staged a hard bounce, surging over 10% in a matter of days to reclaim the $2,800 level. This move caught many traders off guard, particularly those who had positioned for a breakdown.
Technical indicators also supported the bullish case for this bounce. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) moved out of oversold territory, signaling renewed buying pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on the daily chart. Additionally, on-chain data revealed a spike in transaction volume and active addresses during the bounce, suggesting that the move was backed by genuine market participation.
False Alarm or Fresh Rally?
While the bounce has undoubtedly injected optimism into the Ethereum market, it’s too early to declare a full-fledged rally. Several factors could determine whether this move has legs or if it’s just a temporary relief rally before further downside.
On the bullish side, the whale accumulation discussed earlier could provide a psychological boost to the market. If other large players follow suit and start buying ETH at these levels, it could create a self-reinforcing cycle of demand. Additionally, Ethereum’s fundamentals remain strong, with ongoing developments like the upcoming Cancun-Deneb (Dencun) upgrade, which aims to reduce Layer 2 transaction costs, potentially driving greater adoption.
However, there are also bearish risks to consider. The broader cryptocurrency market remains correlated with macroeconomic conditions, and any negative developments—such as interest rate hikes or geopolitical tensions—could weigh on risk assets like Ethereum. Moreover, if the whale who accumulated $422 million in ETH decides to take profits at higher levels, it could trigger a sharp sell-off, undermining the current momentum.
For now, traders are closely watching key resistance levels around $3,000 and $3,200. A break above these levels could confirm a fresh rally, potentially targeting Ethereum’s previous highs near $4,000. On the other hand, a failure to sustain the current bounce could see ETH retest the $2,500 support, with a breakdown below this level opening the door to further declines.
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Ethereum Developer Proposes 6-Second Block Times to Boost Speed, Slash Fees
Ethereum’s scalability and transaction costs have long been points of contention among users and developers. While the transition to Proof-of-Stake has improved energy efficiency, issues like high gas fees and network congestion persist, particularly during periods of high demand. In a bid to address these challenges, Ethereum developer Barnabé Monnot has proposed a radical change: reducing Ethereum’s slot times (the time between blocks) from 12 seconds to just 6 seconds. This proposal aims to make the network more responsive, improve efficiency for DeFi applications, and significantly lower transaction fees. But what are the implications of this change, and is it feasible?
Understanding Slot Times and Their Impact
In Ethereum’s current Proof-of-Stake consensus mechanism, validators propose and confirm blocks in slots that occur every 12 seconds. This slot time was chosen to balance network security, decentralization, and performance. A shorter slot time means blocks are produced more frequently, which could theoretically increase transaction throughput and reduce latency for users.
Barnabé Monnot’s proposal to halve slot times to 6 seconds is based on the idea that faster block production would make Ethereum more responsive, particularly for time-sensitive applications like decentralized exchanges (DEXs) and other DeFi protocols. Additionally, by processing transactions more quickly, the network could reduce congestion during peak periods, potentially leading to lower gas fees for users.
Potential Benefits of 6-Second Slot Times
If implemented successfully, Monnot’s proposal could have several positive impacts on Ethereum:
1. Improved User Experience: Faster block times would reduce the time users have to wait for transactions to be confirmed, making Ethereum more competitive with centralized payment systems and other blockchains like Solana, which boast sub-second transaction finality.
2. Enhanced DeFi Efficiency: DeFi protocols often rely on rapid transaction processing for arbitrage opportunities, liquidations, and other automated functions. A 6-second slot time could make these processes more efficient, potentially attracting more users and capital to Ethereum’s DeFi ecosystem.
3. Lower Gas Fees: By increasing the frequency of block production, the network could process more transactions per minute, reducing competition for block space during high-demand periods. This could lead to lower gas fees, addressing one of the most persistent criticisms of Ethereum.
4. Competitive Edge: Faster block times could help Ethereum maintain its dominance in the smart contract space, especially as rival blockchains continue to innovate with speed and cost efficiency.
Challenges and Risks
While the proposal sounds promising, it’s not without challenges. Reducing slot times could place additional strain on validators, particularly those with less powerful hardware. This could lead to missed slots or delays in block production, potentially undermining network stability. Additionally, shorter slot times could increase the risk of network forks or reorgs (reorganizations of the blockchain), where competing blocks are proposed simultaneously, creating temporary uncertainty about the canonical chain.
Another concern is the impact on decentralization. If faster block times disproportionately favor validators with high-performance hardware or low-latency connections, it could lead to greater centralization of the network, as smaller validators struggle to keep up. This would go against Ethereum’s core ethos of maintaining a decentralized and accessible infrastructure.
Finally, implementing such a change would require extensive testing and coordination among Ethereum’s developer community. Any misstep could result in bugs or vulnerabilities that compromise the network’s security.
Community Response and Next Steps
Monnot’s proposal has sparked lively debate within the Ethereum community. Some developers and users are enthusiastic about the potential for faster transactions and lower fees, while others caution against the risks of rushing such a significant change. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has expressed cautious optimism, noting that shorter slot times could be a viable long-term goal but emphasizing the need for thorough research and simulation to understand the full implications.
For now, the proposal remains in the discussion phase, with no concrete timeline for implementation. If it gains traction, it could be tested on Ethereum testnets before being rolled out to the mainnet as part of a future upgrade. Regardless of the outcome, Monnot’s idea highlights Ethereum’s ongoing commitment to innovation and addressing user pain points.
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Is Ethereum Staging a Repeat of 2021? Here’s Why a 200% Surge Could Follow
Ethereum’s price history is full of dramatic rallies and corrections, with 2021 standing out as a particularly bullish year. During that period, ETH surged from around $700 at the start of the year to an all-time high of nearly $4,900 in November—a gain of over 600%. As Ethereum shows signs of recovery in 2023, some analysts are drawing parallels to 2021, suggesting that a 200% surge could be on the horizon. But are these comparisons justified, and what factors could drive such a rally?
Parallels Between 2021 and 2023
Several factors from 2021 appear to be resurfacing in 2023, fueling speculation of a repeat performance:
1. Market Sentiment: In early 2021, the crypto market was riding a wave of optimism driven by institutional adoption, mainstream media coverage, and retail FOMO (fear of missing out). Today, while sentiment isn’t quite at 2021 levels, there are signs of growing interest, with major financial institutions exploring blockchain technology and retail investors returning to the market.
2. Network Upgrades: The lead-up to Ethereum’s London Hard Fork in 2021, which introduced the EIP-1559 fee-burning mechanism, was a major catalyst for price appreciation. In 2023, upcoming upgrades like Dencun and potential improvements to block times (as discussed earlier) could similarly boost confidence in Ethereum’s long-term value.
3. DeFi and NFT Growth: The explosive growth of DeFi and NFTs in 2021 drove massive demand for Ethereum, as most of these projects were built on its blockchain. While the hype around NFTs has cooled, DeFi continues to evolve, and new use cases like decentralized social media and gaming could reignite interest in Ethereum.
4. Macro Conditions: In 2021, loose monetary policies and stimulus packages created a favorable environment for risk assets like cryptocurrencies. While the macro environment in 2023 is more challenging, any shift toward accommodative policies—such as interest rate cuts—could provide a tailwind for Ethereum.
Why a 200% Surge Could Happen
If Ethereum is indeed staging a repeat of 2021, a 200% surge from current levels (around $2,800) would take ETH to approximately $8,400—a new all-time high. Several catalysts could make this possible:
• Institutional Adoption: Increased participation from institutional investors, as evidenced by whale accumulation like the $422 million ETH purchase, could drive sustained demand.
• Bitcoin Halving Effect: The upcoming Bitcoin halving in 2024 historically triggers bull runs across the crypto market, with Ethereum often outperforming BTC during these cycles.
• Technical Breakout: If Ethereum breaks above key resistance levels like $3,200 and $4,000, it could trigger a wave of buying momentum from technical traders and algorithms.
• Network Improvements: Successful implementation of upgrades like Dencun or shorter block times could enhance Ethereum’s utility, attracting more users and capital to the ecosystem.
Risks to the Bullish Thesis
Despite the optimism, there are significant risks that could derail a 200% surge. Regulatory uncertainty remains a major concern, with governments worldwide scrutinizing cryptocurrencies and DeFi. Additionally, competition from other Layer 1 blockchains like Solana, Avalanche, and Polkadot could divert developer and user attention away from Ethereum if it fails to address scalability and cost issues.
Moreover, the macro environment remains unpredictable. Persistent inflation, geopolitical tensions, or a prolonged recession could dampen risk appetite, weighing on Ethereum’s price regardless of its fundamentals.
Conclusion
Ethereum is at a fascinating crossroads. The massive $422 million accumulation by a whale signals strong confidence from big players, while the recent price bounce suggests that bullish momentum may be building. At the same time, innovative proposals like Barnabé Monnot’s 6-second block times highlight Ethereum’s commitment to addressing long-standing issues like fees and speed. Whether these factors coalesce into a 2021-style rally remains to be seen, but the potential for a 200% surge is not out of the question if key catalysts align. For now, investors and traders should remain vigilant, keeping an eye on technical levels, on-chain activity, and broader market trends to navigate the exciting but volatile world of Ethereum.
Watching for a Double Signal on ETH ETH 4H – Watching for Dual Signal Confirmation
ETH is now trading above the BB center, with both the MLR and SMA also above.
PSAR hasn’t flipped yet, but if upside continues, we could see a bullish flip soon.
If PSAR flips while price holds above range low, that’s a potential dual signal (trend + structure).
Still, this is speculative—price could easily reject here and head lower.
Reminder: ETH remains under the 200MA on both the 4H and daily timeframes.
However, it’s currently holding the 5D 200MA. Idea on that coming soon.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
ETHUSD Utilizing the technicals of channels, support and resistance and OB and OS
CURRENT GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS CAN ALTER THIS BIAS
MY BIAS, short term sell then buy with a pull back and continued push to the upside
Opinion: This analysis is for education purposes only and is just my analysis, this is not a trade idea.
CRYPTO For Investment View 2025+Trying to forecast estimated target and target duration. Not for investment advice or anything tips like approach.
Just using basic tool we can forecast price and estimated time. Obviously different NEWS and geopolitical events may effect this.
So the point is, practice the basic.