Ethereum – Short-Term Bearish Outlook as Resistance HoldsEthereum's recent attempt to break above the short-term resistance zone around $1,671 was once again rejected, highlighting ongoing selling pressure and a possible continuation of the downward trajectory—at least in the short term. The current 4H chart setup is showing strong resistance confirmation, which strengthens our conviction that bears remain in control, with a near-term downside target clearly visible.
Price Action and Key Technicals
Looking at the ETH/USD 4-hour chart (April 14, 2025), we observe a consistent failure to break and sustain above the $1,671 resistance. This price zone has acted as a major supply zone in the current cycle, and the recent wick rejections at this level reinforce the case for continued selling pressure.
Price is currently trading around $1,640, holding just below the failed resistance. Given the clear rejection, Ethereum remains vulnerable to another leg lower, particularly as no bullish follow-through has materialized in recent sessions.
The next major level to watch on the downside is $1,567.5, which has served as local support in recent candles. However, our primary profit target remains at $1,457, a price area which has historically attracted demand and marked local bottoms.
On the upside, the stop-loss for this setup is placed above the $1,780.4 level—beyond the previous structural high—to provide adequate room for volatility while still protecting against a trend reversal.
Bearish Setup Summary
Sell Zone: Near current price levels ($1,640 - $1,665)
Key Resistance (invalidates bearish bias): $1,671
Stop Loss: $1,780.4
Take Profit (Primary Target): $1,457
Short-Term Outlook: Bearish
Conviction: Moderate-to-High
While the bearish case currently holds sway, it’s important to stress that this conviction is short-term. Given the broader context of Ethereum’s market cycle and macro crypto sentiment, we could be approaching the end of the current corrective phase. Therefore, this forecast is more tactical than structural, and it will require dynamic re-evaluation once the $1,457 zone is reached or invalidated.
ETHUSD trade ideas
Ethereum Price Analysis: Range-bound with Potential Buy ZoneEthereum's price action remains within a defined range, recently moving from the top toward the lower boundary. A similar setup is observed in the ETH/BTC pair. This area may offer a buying opportunity, though confirmation of an uptrend on the daily chart is still required.
(ETH) ethereum "triangle - slant"Ethereum is not priced for an only up direction as of right now, unlike Bitcoin. As seen in the chart and indicator. The pink and purple dotted lines are close to intersecting and if the pink link crosses over this is a good sign for the chance of a neutrality and even a possible upward forming price chart position.
Ethereum H4 | Heading into a pullback resistanceEthereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1,746.35 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1,980.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1,436.95 which is a swing-low support.
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ETH/USD Analysis - Consolidation with Potential BreakoutETH/USD is currently in a consolidation phase on the 1-hour chart, trading within a range between $1,602.5 (resistance) and $1,595 (support). The price has shown multiple tests of these levels, with recent long and short signals indicating potential breakout opportunities.
Technical Indicators:
This analysis uses the " Supertrend with EMA and RSI @tradingbauhaus " indicator:
• Supertrend: The price is oscillating around the Supertrend line (green/red), with recent signals flipping between bullish (long) and bearish (short).
• EMA (10, 50): The price is near the 50-period EMA, acting as dynamic support/resistance. A breakout above or below could confirm the next move.
• RSI (14): Not visible on the chart, but typically used in this indicator to gauge overbought/oversold conditions.
Key Levels and Signals:
• Resistance: $1,602.5 (recent high, marked with a short signal at -6).
• Support: $1,595 (recent low, marked with a long signal at +6).
• Entry (Long): A confirmed break above $1,602.5 could signal a long entry, with a recent long signal at $1,610.
• Entry (Short): A break below $1,595 could confirm a short entry, as seen with the recent short signal at $1,602.5.
• Stop Loss (SL): For longs, place below $1,595; for shorts, place above $1,602.5.
• Take Profit (TP): For longs, target $1,620; for shorts, target $1,580.
Conclusion:
ETH/USD is at a critical juncture, with the price testing a tight range. A breakout above $1,602.5 could signal bullish momentum, while a drop below $1,595 might favor bears. Watch for confirmation from the Supertrend and EMA alignment. What are your thoughts, traders?
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Technical Analysis – Daily Chart (D1)
Method: Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Date: April 13, 2025
🔍 Market Structure Overview
Current trend: Bearish
The chart clearly shows a sequence of Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside, indicating strong bearish pressure.
The latest Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred in early February 2025, marking a shift from accumulation/distribution into a downward phase.
🧠 Smart Money Concepts Highlights
Break of Structure (BOS)
Multiple BOS levels broken to the downside, confirming institutional selling activity.
The most recent BOS around $1,700 now acts as a key resistance zone.
Change of Character (CHoCH)
A confirmed CHoCH to the downside reflects a structural shift in favor of sellers.
Equal Highs (EQH) & Weak Low
The EQH has already been taken, indicating liquidity sweep above prior highs.
The Weak Low near $1,360 now becomes a likely downside target for smart money.
🧱 Key Supply & Demand Zones
Supply Zones (Resistance):
$1,950 – $2,300
$2,650 – $2,850
$3,100 – $3,500 (major EQH + distribution zone)
Demand Zone:
$1,360 – $1,300 (Weak Low and liquidity pool)
📉 Swing Trading Plan (Bearish Bias)
🔻 Potential Short Setup
Entry Area (Sell on Rally):
Price retracing into the $1,720 – $1,800 area (minor supply zone + previous BOS level)
Entry Confirmation:
Look for signs of bearish intent on the H4 timeframe:
Swing Failure Pattern (SFP)
Minor BOS
Bearish engulfing
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $1,360
TP2: $1,280
Stop Loss (SL):
Above $1,850 (invalidates the bearish structure)
🔄 Alternative Bullish Scenario
A clean breakout and hold above $1,850 could indicate a CHoCH to the upside, potentially signaling a medium-term bullish reversal. However, the current structure remains bearish until proven otherwise.
📌 Conclusion
Bias: Bearish while price remains below $1,800
Strategy: Sell on retracement into premium zone
Confirmation: Look for SFP, BOS, or bearish PA on H4
Target Levels: $1,360 – $1,280
For full breakdown and SMC swing strategies, search: KepoinTrading on Google
Bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1,481.30
1st Support: 1,383.21
1st Resistance: 1,594.06
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ETH Long Term Prediction - Ethereum Game Plan ETH broke the bullish weekly structure and is currently retracing lower. I don’t see any signs of strength on the chart yet.
I expect the price to first hit $1250 and see a rejection there a possible bounce.
However, the real target is $870 (2022 low). That level holds significant liquidity, so I expect it to be taken out, triggering a potential capitulation. I’ll be looking for spot buys and long-term long setups in anticipation of another possible bull run.
ETH just completed its Wyckoff Distribution EventContext:
PSY—preliminary supply, where large interests begin to unload shares in quantity after a pronounced up-move. Volume expands and price spread widens, signaling that a change in trend may be approaching.
BC—buying climax, during which there are often marked increases in volume and price spread. The force of buying reaches a climax, with heavy or urgent buying by the public being filled by professional interests at prices near a top. A BC often coincides with a great earnings report or other good news, since the large operators require huge demand from the public to sell their shares without depressing the stock price.
AR—automatic reaction. With intense buying substantially diminished after the BC and heavy supply continuing, an AR takes place. The low of this selloff helps define the lower boundary of the distribution TR.
ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the BC to test the demand/supply balance at these price levels. For a top to be confirmed, supply must outweigh demand; volume and spread should thus decrease as price approaches the resistance area of the BC. An ST may take the form of an upthrust (UT), in which price moves above the resistance represented by the BC and possibly other STs before quickly reversing to close below resistance. After a UT, price often tests the lower boundary of the TR.
SOW—sign of weakness, observable as a down-move to (or slightly past) the lower boundary of the TR, usually occurring on increased spread and volume. The AR and the initial SOW(s) indicate a change of character in the price action of the stock: supply is now dominant.
LPSY—last point of supply. After testing support on a SOW, a feeble rally on narrow spread shows that the market is having considerable difficulty advancing. This inability to rally may be due to weak demand, substantial supply or both. LPSYs represent exhaustion of demand and the last waves of large operators’ distribution before markdown begins in earnest.
UTAD—upthrust after distribution. A UTAD is the distributional counterpart to the spring and terminal shakeout in the accumulation TR. It occurs in the latter stages of the TR and provides a definitive test of new demand after a breakout above TR resistance. Analogous to springs and shakeouts, a UTAD is not a required structural element: the TR in Distribution Schematic #1 contains a UTAD, while the TR in Distribution Schematic #2 does not.
Ether is a buy between 1300-1500!!This price point is significant as it aligns with Ethereum's previous highs from 2018, suggesting a potential support level. The occurrence of a monthly divergence indicates that selling pressure may be diminishing, potentially paving the way for a bullish reversal.
Looking ahead, industry projections are optimistic about Ethereum's future performance. Analysts anticipate that Ethereum could reach new all-time highs, with some forecasts suggesting prices exceeding $5,000 in the coming year.
From a fundamental perspective, Ethereum's transition to a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism has significantly reduced its energy consumption and introduced deflationary pressures on its supply. This shift, along with ongoing network upgrades, enhances Ethereum's scalability and security, reinforcing its position as a leading platform for decentralized applications and finance.
Furthermore, the approval of Ethereum-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has opened new avenues for institutional investment, contributing to increased demand and potential price appreciation.
In summary, the current price dip presents a favorable buying opportunity, supported by technical indicators and robust economic fundamentals. With continued network enhancements and growing institutional interest, Ethereum's outlook remains positive.
Please note alot of these things can take time to reflect in price. So although some of these news are a few years long it does not make it any less impactful! Buy when there is blood on the street.
ETHEREUM BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅ETHEREUM keeps falling
Down and the price made a
Bearish breakout of the
Key horizontal level of 1600$
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.