ETH/USDT:UPDATEHello dear friends
Given the price drop we had, a head and shoulders pattern has formed within the specified support range, indicating the entry of buyers.
Now, given the good support of buyers for the price, we can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move towards the specified targets.
*Trade safely with us*
ETHUSDT trade ideas
ETH-----Sell around 1840, target 1770-1750 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on April 3: Today, the large-cycle daily line level closed with a medium-yin line yesterday, the K-line pattern was a continuous Yin and a single Yang, the price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross, so there was no problem with the trend and it was still falling significantly, but the trend this week was more volatile, and it was greatly stimulated by the news and data. The rhythm of trading is very important; the four-hour chart is the focus, the current K-line pattern is a continuous Yin, the attached indicator is dead cross, the morning fell, and the correction was made during the day. It was just corrected to the 1845 area near the moving average pressure position, so we still have to focus on the price continuing to break in the European session. In addition, the same anti-pull strength cannot be large, otherwise it will still fluctuate.
Therefore, today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell directly at the current price of 1840, stop loss in the 1870 area, and target the 1770-1750 area
ETH/USDT – LONG - Breakout Trade Setup
ETH is showing bullish momentum on the 1H chart. A breakout above resistance targets 1,952, with key support at 1,870 and 1,822 (Fibonacci levels). Stop-loss at 1,812 for risk management.
Watching for confirmation before entry!
💡 Risk Management: Always follow a risk management strategy and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for personal record-keeping and educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own research before making any trading decisions.
Ethereum Price Analysis: Is a Drop to $1,550 Imminent This Week?As of April 3, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) is trading at approximately $1,838 (based on recent market data), reflecting a precarious position in the crypto market. After a volatile start to the year, ETH has shed over 44% year-to-date and is now testing critical support levels. This analysis explores the potential for an 11% drop to the $1,550 range within the next few days (by the end of this week, April 6), driven by technical breakdowns, bearish on-chain signals, and broader market pressures.
Technical Analysis: Bearish Signals Mounting
On the daily chart, ETH has been struggling to maintain momentum above the $1,800 psychological level. After a brief bounce from its yearly low of $1,760 on March 11, the price has failed to reclaim the $2,000 mark—a key resistance zone that previously acted as support in late 2024. Here’s a breakdown of the technical setup:
Key Support Breach: The $1,800–$1,877 range has been a critical support zone, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the December 2024 high of $4,106 to the March 2025 low of $1,759. A close below $1,770 this week would confirm a breakdown, opening the door to the next major support at $1,550–$1,600, a level last tested in October 2023.
Bearish Pattern Confirmation: The 2-hour chart shows ETH completing a corrective structure (likely an A-B-C wave) after its March 19 peak at $2,070. If wave C mirrors wave A in length—a common Elliott Wave scenario—the target aligns near $1,550, coinciding with the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement of the recent bounce.
Moving Averages: ETH is trading below both its 50-day SMA ($2,321) and 200-day SMA ($3,010), signaling a sustained bearish trend. The 50-day SMA, now sloping downward, acts as dynamic resistance, capping any relief rallies. A failure to reclaim this level soon reinforces the downside risk.
RSI Oversold but Weak : The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits near 30, indicating oversold conditions. However, in strong downtrends, RSI can remain oversold for extended periods, as seen during ETH’s 2022 bear market. Momentum remains weak, with no bullish divergence to suggest an imminent reversal.
Target Projection : A drop from $1,838 to $1,550 represents an 11% decline, achievable within 2–3 days if selling pressure accelerates. The $1,550 level aligns with historical support and the long-term 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, making it a plausible target.
On-Chain Data: Selling Pressure Intensifies
On-chain metrics paint a grim picture, supporting the bearish technical outlook:
Exchange Reserves Rising: Ethereum’s exchange reserve has ticked up from 18.3 million ETH, reversing a multi-month decline. This suggests long-term holders or institutions are moving assets from cold storage to exchanges, potentially preparing to sell.
Whale Activity: Recent data shows significant whale sell-offs, with large transactions (over 100 ETH) spiking in the past 48 hours. This aligns with posts on X noting whale distribution near current levels, adding downward pressure.
DeFi Weakness: Ethereum’s dominance in decentralized finance (DeFi) is waning, with total value locked (TVL) dropping as competing Layer-1 chains gain traction. Reduced network activity undermines ETH’s utility-driven demand, a key pillar of its value proposition.
Staking Dynamics: While staking activity increased post-Shapella upgrade, the anticipated selling pressure from unstaked ETH continues to linger, especially as macroeconomic uncertainty prompts profit-taking.
Market Sentiment: Fear Dominates
The broader crypto market is reeling from macroeconomic headwinds. The U.S. Core PCE Index rose to 2.8% in February, exceeding the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, signaling persistent inflation. Higher interest rates for longer dampen risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies. Posts on X reflect growing pessimism, with some traders eyeing sub-$1,000 levels if $1,760 fails—a sentiment echoed by Ethereum’s 7% drop this week alone.
Bitcoin (BTC), trading near $82,000, has also faltered, dragging altcoins lower. ETH’s correlation with BTC remains high (around 0.9), and a failure to hold $80,000 for BTC could amplify ETH’s decline. Additionally, the lack of immediate catalysts—such as ETF approvals or major network upgrades—leaves ETH vulnerable to further capitulation.
Price Scenarios and Key Levels
Bearish Case (Base Scenario): A daily close below $1,770 triggers a swift move to $1,550–$1,600 by April 6. Volume spikes and panic selling could push it lower, though $1,550 offers strong historical support.
Bullish Rejection: A reclaim of $2,070 (the March 19 high) invalidates the bearish setup, potentially sparking a relief rally to $2,250. This seems unlikely without a significant BTC breakout or positive news.
Invalidation: A close above $2,120 this week would negate the short-term bearish thesis, though resistance at the 50-day SMA ($2,321) caps upside potential.
Trading Strategy
Entry: Short ETH below $1,770 with confirmation of increased volume.
Target: $1,550 (11% drop), with a stretch goal of $1,500 if momentum persists.
Stop Loss: $1,911 (intraday high from April 2), limiting risk to 4–5%.
Risk/Reward: Approximately 2.5:1, assuming a $1,550 target.
Conclusion
Ethereum’s technical setup, coupled with bearish on-chain signals and a fearful market, suggests an 11% drop to $1,550 is plausible by the end of this week (April 6, 2025). The $1,770 level is the line in the sand—watch it closely. While oversold conditions hint at a potential bounce, the lack of buying conviction and macro pressures tilt the odds toward further downside. Traders should monitor BTC’s price action and exchange inflows for confirmation. Stay nimble, and let the charts guide your next move.
Ethereum Elliot Wave Theory: $19,000 & Altcoins Market UpdateThe market is shaking but nothing truly changes. Ethereum is on a path that will end with a price above $10,000 USD. Ether (ETHUSDT) can easily trade at $11,111, $15,000 or even $19,000 in the latter part of 2025. Think about the market conditions and sentiment when Ether trades above 10K. Take a moment to think. Visualize. What do you see, hear, sense or feel?
The low was set March 10. Ethereum has been bearish since March 2024.
11-March 2024 was the main and first peak.
10-March 2025 was the main bottom and low.
An entire year of bearish action. The market never moves straight down nor straight up. The bullish action in late 2024 is part of a complex correction. It can be called an inverted correction within a long-term correction.
The last bear-market ended with a bottom being hit June 2022. This was followed by slow but steady growth; bullish consolidation. Prices were sideways but producing higher lows. Then a bullish wave developed to end 2023 and went through March 2024. March 2024 marked the end of this cycle and the start of a major, long-term complex correction. This correction ended last month. The end of the correction marks the start of the next bull-market cycle. The 2025 bull-market. This bull-market is not yet fully obvious but it will be clear within less than 2 months. There will be growth but for the majority of the participants to realize that yes, it is happening, it will take even longer.
Altcoins Market In General
Some projects bottomed in February, others in March. Most of them ended their correction in February 2025, there are always variations. This low is a long-term higher low. Many projects bottomed in late 2024. After a strong rise to end the year, we had a correction and this puts us in the current situation. Once the correction ends (already over) a new bullish impulse starts. The bullish impulse is composed of five waves. Three moves forward with two steps back.
➢ The first wave is up and green. Wave 1.
➢ The second wave is down and red. Wave 2.
➢ The third wave is the biggest wave. This wave tends to produce the highest volume and lots of momentum. Up and green. Wave 3.
➢ The fourth wave will be down and red and it will alternate the second wave. For example, if the second wave is long in duration, the fourth wave will be short. If the second wave is fast, the fourth wave will be slow. Etc. Wave 4.
➢ The fifth wave signals the end of the bullish impulse and this is the speculative wave. This is where anything is possible. Anything can happen within this wave. Trading volume will be lower compared to the third wave but new All-Time Highs are hit here and after this wave is over, the start of a new long-term correction or bear-market. Wave 5.
This is the map based on Elliot Wave Theory terminology. Everything is looking ready right now.
Signals are starting to show pointing to the start of major growth. What one does, the rest follows. Look at EOS. I just shared an article. Visit my profile and read it for a simple and quick example.
Don't be surprised when Ethereum trades above $10,000. Be prepared.
Take profits when prices are high and up.
The time to buy is now. Focus on the long-term.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
ETH-----Sell around 1900, target 1820 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on April 2: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negatives. The price was at a low level, and the attached indicator was a golden cross with a shrinking volume, but it can be seen that the fast and slow lines are still below the zero axis, which is an obvious price suppression, and the current pullback trend is only a correction performance, which is difficult to continue and difficult to break. This is the signal, so the downward trend remains unchanged; the correction trend of the four-hour chart for two consecutive trading days is also completed. At present, the K-line pattern is continuous negative, and the price is under pressure and retreats. Whether the European session can break down is very critical. The short-cycle hourly chart of the previous day's US session hit a high in the early morning and retreated under pressure in the morning. The current K-line pattern is a continuous negative and the attached indicator is dead cross running. It is still bearish during the day. The starting point is near the 1850 area. The European session depends on the breakout of this position.
Therefore, today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the pullback 1900 area, stop loss at the 1930 area, and target the 1820 area;
Ethereum (ETH): Something Is Cooking Here / Waiting Is Key NOWEthereum has been moving just as we needed for the last couple of months, and now we are at a smaller dispute area.
As we are about to form a double bottom pattern, this is not yet confirmed (it needs a proper breakout from resistance).
Meanwhile, markets are again dipping; we have placed 2 zones, which we will be keeping our attentions on.
If any of those zones are secured and broken, then we will be taking the position according to market structure development!
Swallow Team
Ethereum is still in a downtrend... however... no fresh shortsETH is still in a downtrend and losing against Bitcoin. The real question is when will Ethereum show us proof of life? To confirm a pivot to the upside a clear CHOCH would be the key. Momentum and trend oscillator are bottomed out and looking for a slow grind up.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
ETH - Relief bounce on the 1-hour?Ethereum (ETH) is showing signs of potential exhaustion on the 1-hour timeframe, hinting at a possible relief bounce. Despite forming smaller lower lows and lower highs, which indicate a short-term downtrend, the reduced volatility and diminishing selling pressure suggest that bears may be losing momentum.
However, traders should remain cautious, as relief bounces in a downtrend can be short-lived. Confirmation from increased volume and a shift in market structure would strengthen the case for a more sustained recovery. At this moment ETH is still in a clear downtrend.
With a possible relief bounce it is an option to look for shorts at resistance areas to trade ETH back down. If ETH breaks it's current low it could get ugly with 1500 as a possible level.
On the daily timeframe is ETH at his supportlevel from the initial, drop a couple weeks ago. So with ETH on the daily support and on the 1-hour indicating for a possible short relief bounce we have to trade accordingly with risk management if you are opening shorts at this stage.
Thanks for your support.
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Ethereum Is About To Make Move !!!As Per current price action on Ethereum, Two Harmonic Patterns, Bat & Alt. Bat are forming on Ethereum, and right now price is at PRZ of both patterns. If price reclaims range low, then we may probably will see ethereum exploding upto mid range range high and even further beyond forming new ATH.
Will we see 2,500 on ETH ?Added a little bit of information about BTC for previous video
Marked the important levels in this video for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Etherum looks weak compared to BTC or SOL, strong resistance at 2k, if broken we may see a quick rise to 2300
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
Ethereum (ETH): Support Forming Near Local Bottom / Might PumpEthereum is forming a proper support near our local bottom, which has been our point of interest for quite some time now.
We are going to wait now for upper resistance to be tested, where afterwards we will be looking for a break to happen where we will be looking for a long position.
Swallow Team
Is This the Start of ETH’s Next Mega Rally?#Ethereum just bounced off its strongest support since 2020! 🔥
This trend has held firm for 5 years, and ETH is respecting it once again.
This could be the start of the next big rally if history repeats.
Bullish momentum loading?
What’s your ETH target for this cycle? 👇
ETH - When will this downtrend finally stop?Ethereum (ETH) has been stuck in a prolonged downtrend, and the bearish scenario is now playing out. On the 4-hour chart, ETH recently broke below its rising trend line after forming a rising wedge that typically signals further downside. This breakdown confirms the potential for further downside.
At the same time, on the weekly timeframe, ETH has perfectly retested its resistance and failed to push higher, reinforcing overall market weakness. With failing to break resistance it is likely that ETH could face continued weakness and move towards the weekly support area at 1500.
Thanks for your support.
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ETH is leaving exchanges , is a "supply shock" approaching ?Hello Traders 🐺
Today I’ve got some good news for ETH, and I also spotted a bullish pattern forming. Plus, I’ll talk about the short-term price targets, so stick with me until the very end—and don’t forget to like for more support! 👍🔥
Alright, let’s get into it:
According to Glassnode and Santiment, only 14% of the total ETH supply is left on centralized exchanges. That’s the lowest level in nearly 10 years — but what does it mean?
Usually, this type of data hints at major volatility incoming. And guess what? The big players are the ones playing this game. Let me explain:
They keep the price artificially low, slowly exhausting retail traders and shaking them out. Meanwhile, they accumulate quietly. Once their bags are full, they remove the sell pressure, and suddenly…
🚨 Supply shock.
People start panic buying, and with so little ETH available on exchanges, the price skyrockets.
Also, ETH transaction fees have dropped to their lowest levels since mid-2020, which I see as another bullish sign for Ethereum. Now let’s look at the chart:
We have a clear falling wedge pattern on the daily timeframe, along with a potential double bottom forming.
If the price breaks above the neckline of this “W” formation—which also aligns with a strong daily resistance—I expect a strong reversal for ETH. 📈🚀
Make sure to act accordingly, and as always:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Ethereum’s High Time Frame Outlook: Key Support LevelsHello Traders,
in our second update for today, we are taking a closer look at Ethereum (ETH) on the higher time frame following the recent monthly close. The price has seen a strong bearish expansion from the $3,700 resistance level, pushing ETH into the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, with the Value Area Low (VAL) of the high time frame range sitting just below it. While this is a technical trade location, there is currently no clear sign of a bounce, meaning we need to wait for further price development before considering any reversal scenarios.
If Ethereum continues its downward trajectory, the next key support sits at $1,196. This level will be crucial, as a bullish reaction here could increase the probability of a rotation back toward the highs. However, for now, price action remains rotational on the higher time frame, and the monthly trend is still in a clear downtrend with no immediate signs of reversal.
Key Technical Points to Consider
• ETH has rejected strongly from the $3,700 monthly resistance, leading to a bearish expansion into the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone.
• There is no clear bullish reaction yet, meaning traders should wait for further price action confirmation before considering a bounce.
• The next key support at $1,196 is critical—if price reaches this level and finds buyers, it could trigger a rotation back toward the highs.
Potential Scenarios & Conclusion
If Ethereum stabilizes within the 0.618 Fibonacci region and forms a strong bullish reaction, it could signal a potential short-term bounce. However, without confirmation, the risk of further downside remains, with $1,196 acting as the next major support level.
Traders should approach the market with caution, as the monthly trend is still bearish, and a clear reversal signal has yet to emerge. Until price action provides stronger confirmation, Ethereum remains in a rotational phase, requiring patience before determining the next high-probability trade setup.