Important midweek ETH update.In just four days, ETH has impressively climbed 19.37%, achieving a substantial trading volume of 34.9 million, indicative of both renewed interest and heightened speculative activity. This sharp move follows two intensely impulsive trading days that thrust price upwards aggressively, followed immediately by two days of intermittent volatility and macro consolidationโperfectly manifesting the anticipated Bart Simpson pattern previously identified and traded with clinical precision.
Our initial boundary of the macro distribution zone at 2470 marked a critical juncture. ETH faced vehement rejection here, forming a violent wick as price sharply retraced, providing us with the ideal entry for our hedge short. This levelโkeenly highlighted in prior analysesโinitiated a cascade of rapid selling pressure, driving price down with impressive velocity and ferocity directly into the pre-established supply zone. This pullback validated our short, subsequently propelling price downward into demand territory at approximately 2380, where immediate liquidity absorption occurred, confirming demand strength.
Notably, ETHโs rapid recovery during the early Asian session surged back towards the optimal trade entry (OTE) region of the redistribution zone, affirming both market efficiency and the dynamic liquidity interplay present. This cyclical behavior reinforces the significance of clearly defined supply and demand zones, which have acted as robust reference points throughout this trading period.
At this juncture, ETH finds itself at a critical crossroadโa profound decision point characterized by considerable uncertainty. Three distinct scenarios now dominate trader psychology and technical rationale:
Liquidity Hunt Scenario: ETH could swiftly retrace to retest the mean, specifically targeting liquidity pools located near the spring wick from the latest impulse. Such a move would serve to shake out weak longs and solidify the market structure before another upward thrust.
Continuation Scenario: A bullish advance could propel ETH towards testing the upper boundary of the overarching macro symmetrical triangle, aligning with continued momentum and suggesting further bullish intent supported by current oscillatory readings.
Worst-Case Scenario (LL Scenario): The alternative, more extreme scenario involves ETH breaching structural integrity, aggressively flushing out late entrants with a sharp lower low (LL). While perceived as unlikely given recent volume and market resilience, this outcome cannot be discountedโparticularly given global macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions.
Several exogenous factors compound this uncertainty, most notably ongoing international conflicts and recent market sensitivities tied to off-the-cuff comments from influential figures such as former President Donald Trump. These events amplify volatility potential, exerting tangible influence upon investor sentiment and market positioning.
Analyzing the market structurally, ETH price action is now interacting directly at the apex of the current triangle structure, precisely aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rangeโa pivotal area frequently respected by both algorithmic and discretionary traders. Complementing this technical view, oscillators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently hold a neutral stance at exactly 50%, highlighting equilibrium in buying and selling pressure and reinforcing the indecisive nature of the current market environment.
However, adding weight to bullish sentiment in the near term, the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) presently indicates upward momentum, suggesting possible further upside if sustained during today's London and subsequent New York sessions. Consequently, immediate trading decisions should remain sensitive to intraday price behavior around these critical junctures.
If you've closely tracked my analysesโespecially the detailed insights shared in the recent macro Bart Simpson formation updateโyou'll likely have secured the short precisely at the 2503 rejection point, efficiently hedging against any potential drawdown from open long positions established lower down. This strategy exemplifies disciplined trading, strategically balancing risk and reward, capitalizing on clearly defined market structures and critical levels.
Summarizing the current state of play with utmost clarity, ETH stands delicately poised between bullish confirmation and bearish capitulation. Intraday sessions in the coming hours, notably London open and subsequently New York open, are expected to provide the decisive directional impulse. Traders should actively monitor price response at these critical levels, maintaining protective hedges where necessary while remaining flexible and adaptive to emerging market dynamics.
In conclusion, ETHโs immediate trajectory hinges upon nuanced market reactions at this strategically significant confluence point. Stay vigilant, as ETH approaches a potentially transformative decisionโone offering both substantial opportunity and considerable risk, contingent upon disciplined execution and strategic clarity in your trading approach.
ETHUSDT trade ideas
Ethereum at Key Resistance After Short Squeeze BounceEthereum recently found a local bottom at $2,111, triggering a sharp bounce that resembles a short squeeze. However, the rally has met a significant resistance zoneโa former support level now flipped into resistance. This zone is technically loaded with multiple confluences: the point of control, the VWAP, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, and the $2,550 weak resistance area. Reclaiming this zone is essential for Ethereum to regain bullish momentum.
Structurally, the daily market structure has shifted. The previous trend of consecutive higher highs and higher lows has been broken with the recent drop, signaling a bearish structural shift unless key levels are reclaimed.
If Ethereum fails to break and hold above $2,550, the current move may confirm as a bearish retest, increasing the likelihood of a rotation back to $2,227 in the near term. A loss of $2,227 would open the door for a much deeper correction, targeting the $1,790 support zoneโa critical level that acted as a base during previous consolidations.
At this point, Ethereum sits at a pivotal juncture. The reaction at current resistance will determine whether bulls can regain control or if bears will drive the next leg lower.
ETH Eyes FVG Fill โ Buy Dips Toward Confluence Supportโ
Multiple confluences: 1h MSS, range lows, FVG, and OB cluster at $2,273โ$2,319
โ
High probability of FVG ($2,529) being filled before new lows
โ ๏ธ Downside sweeps are buys, not sells โ use zone for bids
Active Setup:
Long Entry: Bids in $2,273โ$2,319 zone (on confirmation: SFP/reclaim or strong bounce)
Targets: First TP at FVG ($2,529), next at range high ($2,787)
Stop: Below $2,185 (invalidate on close below sweep low)
๐ Triggers & Confirmations:
Only enter on strong reversal/bounce in blue box
No FOMO above FVG, wait for clean setup
๐จ Risk Warning:
Avoid chasing into resistance (FVG), wait for dip entries with confirmation
Everyone sees consolidation. I see positioningETH is holding just above a key fib cluster, showing signs of controlled distribution, not weakness. Smart Money doesnโt chase โ they build positions while the crowd second-guesses.
The Structure:
Current Price: ~2,419
Local High (Premium): 2,482.09
Fib Retracements:
0.236 โ 2,394.72 (mild correction)
0.382 โ 2,340.68 (initial re-entry zone)
0.5 โ 2,296.99 (ideal discount)
0.618 โ 2,253.31 (deep entry, high confluence)
0.786 โ 2,191.11 (structure last line)
Key Zones:
FVG already filled during the move up โ imbalance mitigated
Order block (OB) at 2,191.11: high-probability reaction zone
Strategy Outlook:
Scenario A (Shallow pullback):
ETH tests 2,394 โ 2,340, then continues the push to 2,482
โ Aggressive buyers step in early
Scenario B (Deeper sweep):
A drop to 2,296 โ 2,253 opens the door for reaccumulation
โ Classic Smart Money trap before the next rally
Invalidation:
A break below 2,191 (and OB failure) kills this bullish narrative
Execution Logic:
Accumulation Zones:
Light: 2,340โ2,296
Strong: 2,253โ2,191 (discount reload)
Target:
2,482
Extension optional if momentum builds above recent highs
[SeoVereign] ETHEREUM Bearish Outlook โ June 27, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assetsโalways guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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๐ Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team.
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Hello,
I would like to present a bearish outlook on Ethereum as of June 27, 2025.
In the most recent Bitcoin idea I shared on the 22nd, I explained the reason for setting the take-profit zone at 98,875 and mentioned the possibility of a short-term rebound. Amidst the ongoing war risks in the Middle East that are shaking the overall crypto market, the market has shown a successful rebound, with Bitcoin at the center of this movement.
However, this upward movement has been limited to Bitcoin alone, while other major altcoins have shown weak and sluggish rebounds. In such a situation, when predicting a future decline and considering short positions, I believe it is strategically more advantageous to target altcoins rather than Bitcoin. The inability to properly rebound suggests a momentum issue, which is likely to lead to relative weakness in the market.
Many investors tend to short Bitcoin simply because it has risen significantly in price, but this is a beginner-level mistake. Taking a short position solely based on a large price increase carries high risk, and it is more rational to base strategies on altcoins that are failing to gain upward momentum.
From this perspective, I was preparing the basis for a short position in this idea, and as a technical confirmation signal has appeared, I now present a short strategy for Ethereum. The first target is set around the 2,357 level.
If the movement unfolds, I will further explain the analytical thinking that made it possible to anticipate this decline, along with additional key points to monitor in the market.
Thank you.
ETHEREUM is having a bearish retest?#ethereum price has been moving in a distribution zone and needs to breakout at least 3000$ to be optimistic and 3300$ to be bullish. #eth price is now having a bearish retest where broke the former support zone and now testing the current resistance zone. 4H ichimoku cloud must be broken out. A heavy declination from this zone may cause heavier dumps.
ETH Retracement 50% FibHi there, I think there will be a retrace at ETH to 50% fib. My new buy zone will be 2300 and I am short at the moment to 2300. Hope this helps you out. Do your research and this is no financial advice, just an idea. Oh and by the way, I got my SL just above the current high (~2490).
Let me know what your thoughts are in the comment below!
ETH/USDT | ICT Price Delivery Model: AMD๐ ETH/USDT โ Daily Timeframe | ICT Smart Money Framework
This analysis outlines a clean execution of the ICT Price Delivery Model:
๐น Accumulation Phase:
Price consolidates in a defined range, building liquidity above and below the zone.
๐น Manipulation Phase:
Liquidity sweep to the downside taps into the Balanced Price Range (BPR) โ engineered to trap late sellers.
๐น Repricing Phase:
Price reacts sharply from the Daily Fair Value Gap (D FVG), confirming bullish intent.
๐น Distribution Objective:
Smart Money likely targeting external liquidity resting above the $3,400 level.
Key ICT Concepts Applied:
โ Break of Structure (BOS)
โ Market Structure Shift (MSS)
โ Fair Value Gap (FVG)
โ Balanced Price Range (BPR)
โ External Liquidity ($$$)
๐ Directional Bias: Bullish
๐ฏ Primary Target: $3,400 (Distribution Zone)
๐ Chart Type: Daily (1D)
๐ Invalidation: Break and close below BPR without mitigation
๐ Shared by SeenForex โ Precision Analysis through ICT Methodology
ETH/USDT Bullish Reversal Analysis Chart Overview:
Ethereum (ETH) has shown a strong bullish reversal from the support zone near $2,200, forming a V-shaped recovery pattern. The price is currently trading around $2,450, with upward momentum targeting the next key resistance level.
๐ Key Technical Highlights:
โ
Support Zone:
Clearly respected at $2,200 โ $2,300 range
Multiple candle wicks suggest strong buyer interest
โ
Resistance Zone:
Major resistance expected around $2,900
Historical rejection indicates potential selling pressure
โ
Target Level:
Short-term target marked at $2,610 ๐ฃ
If momentum sustains, price could push towards this zone before facing resistance
๐ Bullish Momentum:
Strong breakout from downtrend channel
Formation of higher highs and higher lows
Price action respecting upward trend structure
๐ Pattern Structure:
Reversal pattern after corrective phase
Bullish engulfing candles suggest continuation
๐ Forecast Path:
Two potential scenarios are outlined:
๐ A clean push to the $2,610 target, followed by consolidation
๐ A short pullback to $2,374 before continuation to the target
โ ๏ธ Conclusion:
ETH/USDT is showing bullish signs with potential to reach $2,610. Watch for consolidation or pullbacks as buying opportunities, but be cautious of heavy resistance above $2,900. Ideal for short- to mid-term bullish setups
ETH Building Blocks - Keep it Simple๐งฑ Building Block - ETH Weekly Analysis ๐งฑ
Ethereum has been trading within a well-defined structure, respecting key horizontal zones โ each acting as a crucial building block in ETHโs macro journey.
๐น Zone 1 ($1,700 - $2,100)
A strong demand and accumulation zone. ETH bounced from here multiple times, proving itself as the foundation of the current bullish attempt.
๐น Zone 2 ($2,400 - $2,600)
We're currently hovering around this key mid-range resistance. A successful break above it would pave the way for the next major leg up.
๐น Zone 3 ($2,900 - $3,400)
A major historical resistance turned supply area. ETH needs strong momentum and volume to break through this ceiling.
๐น Zone 4 ($3,800 - $4,200)
The final building block before retesting ATH territory. A retest here could signal full bullish control in the coming months.
๐ As long as Zone 1 holds, ETH remains structurally bullish. Watch for breaks and rejections at each building block to gauge the next move.
Which block will ETH break next? ๐ฎ
๐ Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Will ETH be able to return to the key level of $2,500?โก๏ธ Hello, everyone!
Over the weekend, Bitcoin and the entire market fell sharply due to geopolitical instability. ETH reached $2,120! And now it is trading at $2,440. However, as long as the price remains below the psychological level of $2,500, this is definitely a bearish signal.
โ And the main question arises: will ETH be able to return to the $2,500 level and above, continuing its growth? Let's figure it out:
As I said in my previous review, ETH began to close the GAP from below at the levels of $2,470 - $1,855. However, there is also a GAP from above at the levels of $2,807 - $3,260. And after closing the current one, the next target will be this one. After all, as we know, 99% of GAPs close sooner or later.
๐ The price is in a flag pattern, and the first squeeze of the sloping support of the figure led to a price increase from $1,390 to $2,880 at its peak. However, the next test is unlikely to go so low, and therefore will not have the same effect. Therefore, the ETH price will likely continue to squeeze until it breaks one of the slopes, setting the direction.
โ๏ธ Metrics and indicators:
Money Flow - fresh liquidity has been flowing into ETH for almost a year now! Even despite the correction, the inflow has only been increasing since August 2024.
Liquidity Depth - as we know, the price moves from one liquidity zone to another. And now, there is significantly more liquidity concentrated at the top than at the bottom. This means that it is much easier to move the price up.
๐ Conclusion:
I'm not trying to say that ETH will skyrocket right now. But it's definitely not where it should be. And when it goes up, it will go up a lot, and we need to be ready for that.
I don't think we'll see levels of $1,500 and below again. But $1,800 at the end of summer or beginning of fall is quite realistic.
So be patient, we'll definitely get our chance!
Weekly trading plan for Ethereum BINANCE:ETHUSDT After the weekend, the price showed a solid recovery and is now attempting to break above the recent low at $2,436. If the breakout succeeds, we could see a move toward the marked resistance levels. Alternatively, we might get a local pullback before further upside. However, if the Pivot Point is broken to the downside, thereโs a chance weโll see a continuation of the bearish move
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
ETH: Short 23/06/25Trade Direction:
ETH Short
Risk Management:
- 0.5% risk allocation
Reason for Entry:
- Tagged and rejected from Daily FVG
- Market sentiment remains bearish across macro and crypto
- News flow is strongly risk-off. Qatar has closed flights, UK and US citizens issued shelter in place warnings aswell
- Heightened geopolitical risk from possible Iranian escalation, with largest US base in the region
- 0.718 rejection
ETH update 9.06.2025Hello everyone, many of you asked me to publish my vision for ETH.
Here you go!
I believe that the previous impulse movement was only the first upward movement, and now we are in a sideways correction movement โ call it what you will, but the fact is that the exit from this flat will be upward.
1. End of the year
2. ETH is accumulating on the Onchain
3. Liquidity overflow from BTC can be seen on the ETHBTC chart, and the overflow began at the very bottom
4. What else can large conservative players accumulate?
5. We are going after liquidity from above and should break 4100 by September
Best Regards EXCAVO
Ethereum (ETH): Attentions at 200EMA | Targeting Local HighEthereum is back near EMAs after a nasty drop we had recently due to news we had. Now it is basically the waiting game, where we just wait for confirmations of either a breakout from here or a rejection and movement back to lower zones.
We are looking more for the breakout scenario just based on the buyside volume we had recently, which showed the dominance of buyers!
Swallow Academy
Long trade
๐ข Trade Journal Entry โ Buyside Trade
๐ Pair: ETHUSDT
๐
Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
๐ Time: 8:00 AM (NY Session AM)
โฑ Time Frame: (Assumed 4Hr TF)
๐ Direction: Buyside
๐ Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 2422.81
Profit Level 2474.60 (+2.14%)
Stop Loss 2415.04 (โ4.08%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 2.91 : 1
๐ง Context / Trade Notes:
NY Session AM Execution:
Trade entered at the start of the New York session, aiming to capture directional momentum amid strong ETH volatility.
Liquidity Sweep Confirmation:
Clear stop-hunt below prior swing low sets up the reversal conditions
False Breakdown on ETH โ Bulls Back in Control?CRYPTOCAP:ETH just pulled a classic fakeout move โ breaking below a key support and rising trendline, only to snap right back above it.
This false breakdown caught the bears off guard, and now price has reclaimed the support zone with strength.
As long as ETH holds above this reclaimed level, we could see a short-term push higher. Watch for follow-through, bulls need to keep the momentum alive.