ETH to at least $ 5400 in November 2025?ETH has declined by 53% since its 2024 year high (YH24) of $ 4108. A bottom price could lie around $ 1760.
However, TA shows ETH could rise to $ 5400, or more, based on a megaphone pattern / broadening wedge on the weekly chart. This price target could be reached in November 2025.
For ETH a difference of $ 2170 (the height) between the present price at the support line and the upper trendline around exists. Once the resistance of $ 4108 is broken the price target is calculated by adding 60% of $ 2170 (= $ 1302) to the price at the breakout point. So $ 4108 + $ 1302 ≈ $ 5400. The price target of $ 5400 could be a modest one given the fact that a break out is likely to happen at the end of September 2025 and the height of the pattern is larger then.
A strong correlation between ETH and BTC exists. This allows us to get an estimate when ETH may start to rise significantly when looking at BTC. Possibly this rise could start in early May.
Strong rises in the past for ETH and BTC occured in November 2024 and October 2023. On both instances BTC broke out of a broadening wedge pattern and crossed RSI = 70 on the daily chart.
Those broadening wedge patterns lasted 40 - 60 days. At present time no such pattern can be seen, so in case history repeats ETH may start to rise strongly at the start of May (40 days from now).
The bottom could be a price of around $ 1760, showing by possibly a double bottom (or Adam & Eve or 'cup n handle' etc.). Anyway exciting times await us.
ETHUST trade ideas
Ethereum (ETH): Rejection Resulted 6% Movement So FarWe had a nice 6% of movement since the rejection from the upper resistance zone where we had our necessary rejection.
Now that we see further weakness on Ethereum near $2000 we are looking for further movement to lower zones where eventually we need to form some sort of support zone.
Swallow Team
ETH. UPEthereum is currently trading near key psychological and technical levels, following recent developments in macroeconomic policy and cryptocurrency-specific catalysts. The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates and significantly slow down QT has created a favorable liquidity environment, positively influencing Ethereum as a high-beta risk asset.
Fed monetary policy easing and increased liquidity traditionally benefit cryptocurrencies, particularly Ethereum, given its high correlation with risk appetite.
Ethereum's imminent network upgrade is expected to significantly enhance its scalability, usability, and overall ecosystem efficiency, attracting further institutional and retail adoption.
Plans about Include Ethereum in a strategic crypto reserve significantly boosts the asset’s credibility and long-term bullish sentiment.
Anticipated approval and launch of spot Ethereum ETFs, increasing institutional investment accessibility, further supporting strong bullish sentiment.
Ethereum on-chain data exhibits strong accumulation signals, reduced supply on exchanges, and increased staking activities, indicating confidence among long-term holders.
Entry Strategy: Enter long positions upon a confirmed breakout and stabilization above the critical resistance at $2,500.
Stop Loss Placement: Positioned just below recent local support around $2,000 to manage risk effectively.
Profit-Taking Targets:
First Target: $3,000 (partial profit-taking and reassessment)
Second Target: $3,500 (substantial profit-taking point)
Ultimate Target: $4,000 (key resistance and potential breakout point)
Current Price Zone (~$2,000 - $2,500): A significant accumulation zone, reflecting investor interest and readiness for upward movement.
Immediate Resistance ($2,500): A strong psychological and historical resistance level. Confirmed breakout above this level is crucial for validating the bullish reversal.
Subsequent Targets ($3,000 - $3,500): Breaking above $2,500 will open a path to these intermediate resistance levels, with likely minor retracements.
Ultimate Target ($4,000): Represents previous local highs and key psychological resistance. A confirmed breakout above this level could signal further bullish expansion.
Anticipated bullish momentum is expected to accelerate substantially over the next 2-3 months (April-June 2025), aligning with macroeconomic improvements and cryptocurrency-specific developments.
The is still in a downtrend... Put it on a watch list. ETH is still in its downtrend. I am ready to flip bullish on alts as soon as I see this trend reverse. I will wait for those confirmations patiently. Market structure pivots require discipline. In the meantime DCA slowly.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
ETH - On which side will it break-out?Today, the FED will decide on the interest rate in the USA. It is almost certain (99% probability) that the rate will remain unchanged. The most important aspect to focus on in this meeting’s minutes is the FED Balance Sheet. Will they stop tightening the balance sheet this month, or will they wait until mid-year as stated in January?
Leading up to the FOMC meeting, ETH is squeezing within its 4-hour pattern, forming equal highs and higher lows. This suggests a potential breakout to the upside.
I have outlined two possible scenarios:
1. ETH breaks through the resistance zone with strong volume, then successfully retests it as support.
2. ETH fails to break the resistance zone and instead breaks below the rising trendline.
Scenario 1:
Many stop-loss orders are accumulating just above the equal highs. If ETH manages to break out of the resistance zone with high volume and fill the gap, there is a chance it will flip this resistance into support. To confirm this, we need multiple candle closes above the resistance zone.
However, there is also a possibility that the FOMC meeting could trigger a price pump, only to drop immediately afterward, taking out stop-losses along the way.
Scenario 2:
In this case, ETH breaks below its rising trendline. For this to be a valid breakdown, it must be accompanied by high volume and a new lower low. If ETH breaks the trendline without forming a new lower low, it could be a fake-out. Therefore, we need confirmation: a lower low followed by a trendline retest.
Interesting Observations:
Stochastic RSI on the Daily Timeframe is rising rapidly into the overbought zone, while ETH remains in consolidation. Typically, we want the momentum of the Stochastic RSI to increase alongside price action. However, that is not happening here.
If the Stochastic RSI enters the overbought area and then crosses downward, it could put selling pressure on ETH, potentially leading to new lows in this downtrend.
Conclusion:
My base case is that ETH will sweep liquidity/stop-losses during the FOMC meeting with an initial upside move, followed by a sustainable correction downward in the coming days or weeks, accompanied by a decrease in the Stochastic RSI.
We’ll have to wait and see how the FOMC meeting unfolds.
Thanks for your support!
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ETH/USDT 1H ANALYSISHi guys, today we want to analyze Ethereum in 1 hour time frame.
As you can see on the chart that we had a symmetrical triangle which was broken from the upper side and also we had an important resistance level at the price of $1,952.
Now the price action indicates that it could be a pullback to the broken static resistance level or maybe even to the upper level of the symmetrical triangle.
We may witness a push higher from that level, also as indicated on the chart we have a clear one hour resistance level at the price of $2,130.
ETHEREUM still bearish below its 20-day MAEther is making a pullback to its former support zone, which was broken to the downside around 2000/2100$.
The weakness of the move, along with the bearish 20-day moving average, could trigger a resumption of the bearish trend towards the next support around 1565$.
Ethereum’s Trendline Support Holds Strong! Time to Long?CRYPTOCAP:ETH is currently testing a key support trendline, which has historically provided strong buying interest. This level has acted as a critical zone for bullish rebounds in previous market cycles.
The 100 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) is positioned above the price, indicating potential resistance on any recovery attempts. If ETH maintains support at this trendline, it could trigger a bounce towards the ATH resistance zone around $4,400.
DYOR, NFA
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ETH - AltSeason confirmed?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
🔹 As per my last ETH analysis (attached to the chart), we expected that if $2,000 was broken to the upside, altseason would begin! 🚀
Now, ETH has been trading within the rising channel (marked in orange).
📈 As long as the lower orange trendline holds, the bulls remain in control, creating room for altcoins to surge!
💭 Do you think Altseason is confirmed, or is this just a bull trap? 🤔
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ETH----Buy around 1960, target 2060 areaMarch 20 ETH technical analysis: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a medium-sized positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern continued to rise. The price was above the moving average but at a low level. The fast and slow lines of the attached gold cross indicator were below the zero axis. The suppression at the weekly level was still relatively obvious. So we still have to continue to pay attention to the current rebound trend. The decline in the big trend remains unchanged, and there is a need for a rebound in a short time. This is the current trend situation; the short-cycle hourly chart price retreated under pressure this morning, but the overall retreat was not strong and did not continue. The current K-line pattern continued to fall, and the attached indicator was dead cross running. So we have to wait for the retracement support before entering the European session. The moving average resistance position is near the 1960 area.
Therefore, today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: buy in the 1960 area when retreating, stop loss in the 1930 area, and target the 2060 area;
Ethereum (ETH): Successful Re-Test / Ready For Another Drop?Ethereum has recently re-tested the major zone for us, where sellers showed that they still have control over this zone and rejected the price from there.
We are now looking for further movement to lower zones but before that we need to see the same selling presure until the end of the day, just to be sure that this is not a fakeout.
Keep in mind, we are entering the weekends markets so volatility is guaranteed!
Swallow Team
The key is whether there is support near 1935.34
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The important support and resistance zones have changed as it has fallen below the long-term upward trend line (1).
After March 18, the key is whether ETH can maintain its price by receiving support near 1935.34 and rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, that is, the Fibonacci ratio of 0.236 (2090.85).
If it falls after receiving resistance near 1935.34, it is possible that it will fall to around 1340.12, so you should also consider a response plan for this.
-
In order to turn into an uptrend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and maintain it.
To do so, the price must be maintained near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.382 (2647.80).
-
Therefore, if it rises after receiving support near 1935.34,
1st: M-Signal on the 1D chart (Fibonacci ratio of 0.236 (2090.85))
2nd: M-Signal on the 1M chart (Fibonacci ratio of 0.382 (2647.80))
You should respond depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
Currently, the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the overbought zone, so even if there is an additional rise, it is expected to eventually show a downward trend.
In order to ignore this law, an explosive trading volume or favorable market news is required.
-
(30m chart)
Since the StochRSI indicator is in the oversold zone, it is highly likely to rise even if it continues to fall further.
However, since it is a 30m chart, you should respond based on day trading or short-term trading.
Since the HA-High (1936.67) indicator and the BW (100) (1944.96) indicator are located near 1935.34, we can see that it is forming a resistance zone.
Therefore, even if there is an additional rise, it seems likely to be resisted in this resistance zone (1936.67-1944.96).
If it falls below 1923.43,
1st: Heikin Ashi's Close on the 1D chart
2nd: HA-Low indicator (1885.30)
3rd: 1865.10
We need to check if it is supported near the 1st-3rd above.
-
Therefore, if it is supported and rises near 1935.34,
1st: M-Signal on 1D chart (Fibonacci ratio 0.236 (2090.85))
2nd: M-Signal on 1M chart (Fibonacci ratio 0.382 (2647.80))
You need to respond depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
Since the StochRSI indicator is currently showing signs of entering the overbought zone, it is expected that it will eventually show a downward trend even if there is an additional rise.
In order to ignore this law, an explosive trading volume or favorable market conditions must occur.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
Chart Analysis Price Action:
The chart shows ETHUSD trading at 2,041.01, with a recent decline of -3.36 (-0.41%).
The high (HI) for the session was 2,044.00, and the low (L) was 1,664.36.
The price is currently near the session’s high, which suggests some resistance around the 2,044 level.
Trend:
The chart spans from 2009 to 2025, indicating a long-term uptrend for ETHUSD.
However, the recent price action (2024-2025) shows consolidation or a potential pullback, as the price is struggling to break above 2,044.
Key Levels:
Support: The low of 1,664.36 is a strong support level.
Resistance: The high of 2,044.00 is acting as a resistance level. If the price breaks above this, it could target higher levels.
Your short position at 2,037 is just below the resistance, which is a logical entry point for a short trade.
Momentum:
The price is currently in a slight downtrend, as indicated by the -0.41% decline.
The fact that the price is struggling to break above 2,044 suggests bearish momentum in the short term.
Ethereum Short Setup: Key Resistance Holding?Ethereum’s recent price action suggests a potential short trade if resistance holds. The market has seen an impulse move into the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and VWAP SR support, aligning with a lower high and lower low structure.
Key Points:
• Testing Key Resistance: Ethereum is currently trading at the 0.618 Fibonacci level and VWAP SR support, both acting as resistance.
• Lower High Structure: Price action continues to project lower highs and lower lows, favoring further downside.
• Liquidity Below Swing Low: A rejection here could lead to a move lower, targeting the liquidity resting beneath the most recent swing low.
• Next Key Support: The 1,644 daily support level is a major downside target if the trend continues.
If resistance holds, Ethereum is likely to continue its downward trend, making this a favorable short opportunity. However, proper risk management is essential, as price action should always be evaluated in real time. Traders should exercise discretion when executing and managing this setup.
ETH/USDT 1H: Bullish Breakout Holding – Next Stop $2,175?ETH/USDT 1H: Bullish Breakout Holding – Next Stop $2,175?
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Current Market Conditions (Confidence: 8/10):
Price at $2,043, maintaining strong momentum following a breakout.
RSI at 67.54, approaching overbought territory but still has room for continuation.
Clear break above previous resistance at $1,925, confirming bullish structure.
No significant bearish divergences present, reinforcing continuation potential.
LONG Trade Setup:
Entry: $2,035 - $2,045 zone.
Targets:
T1: $2,100 (short-term resistance).
T2: $2,175 (extended target).
Stop Loss: $1,925 (below recent support).
Risk Score:
6/10 – Lower risk due to strong structure, but resistance at $2,200 remains a key level to
monitor.
Market Maker Activity:
Accumulation evident at higher levels, with minimal selling pressure.
Clean breakout above resistance suggests further bullish continuation.
Key resistance ahead at $2,200, with strong support at $1,875.
Recommendation:
Long positions remain favorable within the $2,035 - $2,045 entry range.
Watch $2,100 and $2,175 for profit-taking zones.
Monitor volume on the approach to $2,200 to confirm breakout strength.
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ETHUSDT / LONG / 19.03.25⬆️ BUY ETH/USDT 19.03.25
💰 Entry: $2152.40
🎯 Goal: $15059.05
⛔️ Stop: $1755.78
Entry reasons:
1) OSOK:
— Month minimum was set at the first weekly of month and price
2) Eliott waves:
— 1D: 2th wave is formed, correction abc 61%
3) Range:
— Monthly range, correction into zone OTE
4) Additional arguments:
— Testing of big cluster
— Divergence (1d)
— Weekly liquidity is captured
Strategy: #osok #wave #cluster
ETH is bullish (1D)Before anything else, you should know that Ethereum's structure in higher time frames is bearish. However, we currently expect an internal pullback to higher levels because the price has reached a significant zone.
The expectation is that the price will move from the mitigated demand zone toward the targets.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
ETH Looks Bullish (1D)Before anything else, you should know that Ethereum's structure in higher time frames is bearish. However, we currently expect an internal pullback to higher levels because the price has reached a significant zone.
The expectation is that the price will move from the mitigated demand zone toward the targets.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
ETH Analysis (1D)Ethereum is approaching a support level.
The risk-to-reward ratio is not very attractive since we are in a bearish trend, but we expect a reaction to the green zone.
There are two targets ahead of the price, which we have marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETH : Don't get fooledETH has a lot of work to do. This ETH pump is a bearish pullback.
I'm still bearish on ETH and I'll be bearish until we break above the marked high. If we broke above the high significantly and sustained there at that moment I'll be a ETH bull again. Until then technically it is just a bearish retest.
I do not trade futures, I'm a spot trader so my plan is simple. If it breaks above the high then I'll look to buy the dip otherwise I'll not touch this thing.