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Sunday, 6 July 2025 - ETH/USDT.P ShortTrading Journal Entry: ETH/USDT SHORT Date of Entry: July 7, 2025 Asset: ETH/USDT Perpetual Futures Position: SHORT Entry Price: $2,580.00 Stop Loss: $2,615.00 Take Profit: $2,510.00 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.00:1 Setup Grade: A+ 1. Core Thesis The trade is a high-confluence short position designed to capitalize on a probable liquidity hunt below an obvious daily support level. The core thesis is that the market is incentivized to purge over-leveraged longs, whose positions are revealed by order flow data, within the context of a clear daily downtrend. 2. High-Timeframe Context (The Strategic Landscape) My analysis began with a top-down approach to understand the broader market environment. Weekly Context: The market is in a large-scale consolidation range. This tells us that expecting a massive, sustained trend breakout is a lower probability. Instead, trading between major support and resistance zones is the governing dynamic. Daily Context: The immediate trend on the daily chart is bearish. Price had established a series of lower highs and lower lows, bringing it down to a major area of historical support and the Volume Profile Point of Control (POC) around the ~$2,550 zone. This created the central conflict: a bearish trend meeting a significant support level. A naive analysis would be to buy this support. 3. Order Flow & Sentiment Analysis (The Deciding Factor) This layer of analysis was the key to resolving the trend vs. support conflict and formed the backbone of my bearish bias. Liquidation Analysis: The liquidation maps revealed a very large and proximate pool of long liquidations clustered between $2,470 and $2,500. This liquidity acts as a powerful magnet for price, as market makers are incentivized to push price toward these zones to absorb orders. Funding Rate Analysis: Funding rates across almost all exchanges were consistently positive. This provided clear evidence that derivative traders were predominantly positioned long, were paying a premium to maintain those longs, and were betting on the daily support holding. This identified a crowded trade. Synthesis: The presence of a large downside liquidity target (the "magnet") combined with a vulnerable and crowded group of participants (the "fuel") created a high-probability scenario for a contrarian move. The path of least resistance was for the market to push through the "obvious" support to liquidate these longs. 4. Tactical Execution (The Entry Trigger) With a firm directional bias, the final step was to find a low-risk entry. 4-Hour Structure: The price action at the daily support level was weak. The 4H chart showed a low-volume, sideways consolidation, not a strong bullish rejection. This lack of a decisive bounce was my first clue that the support was fragile. 1-Hour Entry Pattern: I identified the perfect entry trigger by observing the 1H chart. Price staged a minor rally toward the $2,580 resistance level. Crucially, this rally occurred on visibly declining volume, signaling a lack of genuine buying interest. It was a corrective, not an impulsive, move. My entry at $2,580 was placed at a clear support-turned-resistance flip zone, allowing us to short into weakness at a favorable price. 5. Risk Management (The Trade's Foundation) Stop Loss ($2,615): The SL was not an arbitrary price but a logical invalidation point. It was placed just above a recent 1H structural swing high. A move above this level would have proven the "weak rally" thesis incorrect and signaled that buyers had taken control. Take Profit ($2,510): The TP was chosen for two reasons: Rule Compliance: It mathematically secured my required 2:1 risk/reward ratio. Strategic Placement: It sits just ahead of the psychological $2,500 level and the densest part of the liquidation pool, increasing the probability of a fill before any potential support-driven bounce. This trade represents a textbook example of my strategy: using high-timeframe analysis to build a directional bias, confirming it with order flow and liquidity data, and executing with precision on a low-timeframe pattern, all while adhering to strict risk management rules.
Short
by Wibono
ETH FAST TRADE [15M]📝 My ETH Short Idea (Test Trade) This is a test idea where I’m simply practicing my analysis and trade execution. It’s built entirely on my own personal strategy, so it’s primarily for self-development and tracking. 💡 The main setup: I’m looking for a short position on ETH, but this idea will only be valid if all my levels and conditions align exactly. Otherwise, I’ll skip the trade. 📌 How to enter: I’ve detailed exactly how to enter the trade: Wait for my specific trigger conditions to be met (price levels + confirmation by my indicators). Enter only after the setup is fully formed — no early entries. Manage risk properly with stop-losses beyond key invalidation levels. Scale in only if price structure continues to validate my scenario. ⚠️ Important: This is not financial advice. I’m using this idea mainly to test and refine my strategy. Sharing it here for transparency and to improve my analytical discipline. ✅ Plan: If the setup completes exactly as planned, I’ll look for targets according to my strategy’s rules, trailing stops along the way.
Short
by Buyhim
Ethereum Facing Key Resistance, Breakout or Fakeout?ETH is pressing into major horizontal resistance near $2,600 after breaking out from a double-bottom structure. Price is moving within a wide range capped near $2,900 and supported by the 0.5 and 0.618 fib zones. 🟢 Scenario 1 – Bullish: Clean break and hold above $2,600 opens room to test the top of the range around $2,900. Watch for a higher low retest to confirm strength. 🔴 Scenario 2 – Bearish: Rejection here could send ETH back toward $2,340 (0.5 fib) or even $2,220 (0.618). The stochastic RSI is approaching overbought, signaling caution. This chart is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
by Quant_Trading_Pro
ETH/USDT – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Setup (1H Chart)After a strong bullish impulse, ETH is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle formation — a classic continuation pattern. Price is coiling up near the apex, with higher lows forming against a horizontal resistance line. Setup Highlights: Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle (1H) Trend: Bullish continuation after breakout Entry Zone: ~2592 USDT Target: 2679 USDT (upper green box) Stop Loss: Below 2561 USDT (lower red box) Risk-Reward: Favorable R:R structure Watching closely for a decisive breakout above the triangle resistance to confirm bullish momentum continuation. Let me know what you think — bullish continuation or fakeout risk? #Ethereum #ETHUSDT #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #TradingView
Long
by Quant_Trading_Pro
ETH/USDT 1D🔍 ETH/USDT - technical analysis (1D interval): 📉 Price: 2478 USDT (-4.36%) 🔧 Resistance: • SMA 200 (green): ~ 2589 • Resistance zone: ~ 2715 → 2880 USDT • SMA 100 (blue): ~ 2500 (just rejected) 🔧 Support: • SMA 50 (red): ~ 2434 - currently tested • Strong support: 2373, 2314, 2223 USDT 📊 indicators: • MacD: freshly intersected, but the momentum is weakening • RSI: ~ 45 - neutral/weak, under 50 (no bull strength) • Trend: Still in the downward channel (yellow trend lines) ⸻ ⚠️ Conclusions: • Price rejected from 2500 (SMA 100) and flies down. • If 2434 falls, a further discount is possible to 2373–2314. • Lack of bulls with key resistance - the inheritance scenario dominates. • Watch behavior at 2434 - this is now a key level.
by cryptodailyuk
Q3 Could Be Big for #ETH, Breakout Watch ON#ETH bounced exactly from the 0.5 level of Fib Retracement, as expected. Now it appears to be gearing up for its next breakout move! After weeks of chopping inside a falling channel, ETH is showing signs of strength. It's reclaiming key levels and slowly pushing toward the breakout zone near $2,520. A breakout above this resistance could trigger a sharp move toward $2,880 and beyond. However, bulls need to hold the $2,300 zone, a drop below might delay the pump. Structure is bullish, just needs confirmation. IMO, Q3 could be massive for ETH. Like & retweet for more updates. #Ethereum
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
#ETH Rebounds on Ceasefire News – Eyes Set on $3100 and Beyond!By analyzing the #Ethereum chart on the weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that after dropping to $2100, ETH started recovering strongly following the ceasefire announcement, and is currently trading around $2430. If Ethereum manages to close above $2700 by the end of the week, we could expect further upside. The next potential bullish targets are $2890, $3100, and $4100. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
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