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Ethereum Analysis – December 23, 2024Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today's analysis is on Ethereum. Weekly Chart Overview: Let’s start by looking at the weekly chart. The orange box, where Ethereum is currently facing resistance, has served as a resistance zone three times recently. Numerically, the last resistance saw a slight higher high, but it wasn’t a clear breakout, leading to a corrective decline. At its current position, Ethereum continues to face resistance at the highs of 2024. Alongside the Ichimoku Cloud entry and a retest of the weekly 20 EMA, the Lagging Span is also crossing through the candles. This indicates a potential for further downside. Historical data suggests that if Ethereum breaks above the orange box resistance at 4110, we could see an approximate 20% increase, with a breakout above 4877 potentially leading to new all-time highs. Zoomed-in Weekly Chart: Looking closer, the recent rebound occurred around 2112. The critical support zone is at 2067, which corresponds to the lower wick of the green box candle from the previous frame. Holding above this support is crucial. If Ethereum drops from its current resistance zone to the 2112–2067 range, it may form a large double-top pattern. This could significantly strengthen selling pressure in the market. In such a scenario, Ethereum may fall to the lower boundary of the next frame at 1492, a level that could mark the beginning of a prolonged bearish trend. Daily Chart Overview: On the daily chart, Ethereum is currently finding support near the Ichimoku Cloud. However, it has yet to enter the cloud. If it does, the next support zone would be around 3016, a level that served as support for approximately 10 days within the yellow box. If 3016 fails as support, Ethereum is likely to retest the upward trendline. Should the trendline break to the downside, holders of long positions may need to reduce their exposure. This is because, even if the double-top pattern holds as support, we could still see up to an additional 20% correction. Conclusion: Based on the current chart, Ethereum is not a recommended buy at this time. For aggressive buyers, entering after a breakout above 4110 is advisable. This is due to the historical resistance at this level, which has been tested three times. A breakout above 4110 could lead to a 20% move or more, with the potential for Ethereum to reach uncharted territory. On the other hand, buying now simply because prices have dropped significantly is risky, given the possibility of a large double-top pattern and weakening buying pressure. It’s best to avoid buying at the current levels. For sellers, key signals to watch for are: Entry into the Ichimoku Cloud. Failure to hold support at 3016. A break below the upward trendline. Failure to hold the 2112–2067 support zone.
by Greedy_allday
ETHUSDT.1DThe analysis focuses on Ethereum's performance against the US dollar (USDT) as traded on the Binance platform. The data is pulled from daily charts, offering insights into ETH's price movement trends and potential future directions. Price Action and Trend: Ethereum has been demonstrating a bullish momentum in recent weeks, evidenced by its upward movement and recovery from previous lows. The price recently broke through a descending trend line, indicating a potential reversal of the preceding downtrend. Key Technical Levels: Resistance Levels (R1 and R2): R1: $4,125.64 - This level is crucial as it previously acted as a strong resistance. A decisive close above this could signal continued bullish momentum. R2: $5,528.52 - This represents a significant historical resistance level and a potential target should the upward trend continue past R1. Support Levels (S1 and S2): S1: $2,713.70 - Currently serves as the primary support post-breakout, crucial for maintaining the bullish trend. S2: $2,101.09 - A further fallback below S1 would find cushioning here, a level where buyers previously stepped in. Technical Indicators: MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence is nearing a bullish crossover above the signal line, indicating strengthening momentum. RSI: The Relative Strength Index hovers around 54, suggesting a balanced scenario between overbought and oversold conditions, which provides room for upward or downward movement without extreme pressure. Volume and Market Sentiment: Volume shows consistency, with increased activity during price hikes, suggesting a strong buyer presence at key levels. Conclusion and Forecast: The recent breakout above the descending trend line and the maintenance above $2,713.70 (S1) suggest a bullish outlook in the short to medium term. The next key challenge for Ethereum is surpassing the $4,125.64 resistance, which could pave the way for a move towards $5,528.52. Trading Strategy: Bullish Scenario: Consider buying on retracements towards S1 with stops below this level. Target profits at R1 and potentially R2 if the momentum continues. Bearish Reversal: Should Ethereum break below S1, this could indicate a potential reversal or deeper correction. Short positions could be considered with targets around S2, placing stops above S1 to limit risks. Summary: Ethereum shows promising signs of continuation in its bullish phase, provided it can maintain above key support levels. The approach should be one of cautious optimism, monitoring for sustenance above S1 and reaction at R1 to adjust trading strategies accordingly.
Long
by MarsSignals
Start of decline: Below 3707.61 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (ETHUSDT 1W chart) As I mentioned in the BTC idea, when the StochRSI indicator is moving, the value of the StochRSI indicator fluctuates when it passes a meaningful point. Currently, the value of the StochRSI indicator seems to have fallen from the 100 point. However, if it rises above a certain point, it is possible that it will show the 100 point again. Also, you can check the exact value when a new candle occurs. - In the previous idea, I said that the time to buy is when it is below 3438.16. The reason is that if it goes up more than that, you may feel psychological anxiety due to volatility. If you bought an altcoin during this buying period, I think it is likely that it is currently at a similar price range or making a profit. Otherwise, if it is losing money, the coin (token) can be considered a subordinate coin (token). In other words, it can be seen as being neglected in the market. - (1D chart) It has fallen below the HA-High indicator (3831.12). It has also fallen below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator. Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 3644.71 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, or if possible, above 3831.12. If not, and it falls, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. Before that, 1st: 3438.16 ~ 0.618 (3548.07) 2nd: 3265.0-3321.30 You need to check if it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above. When the decline progresses, if the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to check whether there is support near it. In particular, if the HA-Low indicator is generated, it will close the current wave and create a new wave. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto