ETH/USDT 1H: Oversold & Ready to Rebound – Bulls Eyeing $3,320! ETH/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Market Condition:
Price: $2,939, currently in a discount zone.
RSI: 26.4, indicating extreme oversold conditions.
Key SMC Levels:
Support: $2,880 (major discount zone).
Resistance: $3,120 (equilibrium).
Premium Zone: $3,320 - $3,400.
Trade Setup (Confidence 8/10):
Long Entry: $2,880 - $2,900 zone.
Targets:
T1: $3,120.
T2: $3,320.
Stop Loss: $2,840 (below discount).
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3.5 (favorable R:R).
Market Maker Analysis:
Distribution Phase Complete—now transitioning to accumulation.
Hidden Bullish Divergence Forming on RSI, signaling a potential reversal.
Expect a liquidity grab below $2,880 before price rebounds.
Smart Money likely accumulating at these levels.
Risk Score: 7/10
Wait for confirmation of support at discount zone before entering.
Declining volume suggests a potential reversal is forming.
Strong technical setup for longs once support is validated.
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ETHUST trade ideas
ETHUSDT: Bulls are ready to repeat the history.From June 22 to Oct. 23 the pair remained in a triangle. From 16th Oct. 23 the bulls took the charge and took the price to 4k plus level (in 21 weeks). From 11th March 24 to onward the price has again been forming a Triangle.
As per time cycles the price started climbing up from the 70th week. The same 70th week marks the beginning of another triangle which we are experiencing now. As per time cycle the 70th week shall begun from the 17th Feb. 2025. So we need to be vigilant to any bullish move emanating from this week.
The safer entry shall be when the price closes above the recent triangle in that case the TP shall be 6725 and SL is 2110. On weekly chart this is a good risk to reward ratio.
ETH/USD Analysis – Bearish Breakdown AcceleratesETH/USD Analysis – Bearish Breakdown Accelerates 🔻
ETH/USD has confirmed its breakdown below $3,100, reinforcing the strong bearish momentum. The price is now testing the lower trendline of the descending channel, a key decision point for either a bounce or a further breakdown.
📉 Key Observations (Bearish Control Strengthens):
1. Clear Breakdown Below $3,100
• This confirms the downtrend continuation with increased downside risk.
• Previous support ($3,100) is now acting as resistance.
2. Bearish Volume Spike
• Increased volume during the decline signals strong seller conviction.
• If volume remains high, ETH/USD could continue falling.
3. Test of Lower Channel Trendline (~$3,000 - $3,020)
• The price is now approaching the descending channel’s lower boundary.
• This is a make-or-break zone—either a short-term bounce or a stronger breakdown.
4. 20-Period EMA as Resistance (~$3,120 - $3,130)
• ETH/USD remains below the 20 EMA, which acts as dynamic resistance.
• Any bounce is likely to be capped at the EMA or previous support ($3,100).
5. Series of Strong Bearish Candles
• A clear bearish impulse move with little sign of buyer strength.
• Suggests the downtrend is accelerating with minimal retracement.
🔻 Bearish Scenario (More Likely)
• If ETH/USD breaks below the lower trendline ($3,000 - $3,020), expect further downside.
• Next major targets:
• $2,980 - $2,950 (psychological support)
• $2,900 - $2,880 (potential extension lower)
🟡 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely – Short-term Bounce)
• A temporary bounce from the lower trendline could happen.
• Key upside resistance levels:
• $3,100 - $3,120 (previous support, now resistance)
• $3,130 - $3,150 (20 EMA – strong rejection zone)
🔹 For a true trend reversal, ETH/USD must break and hold above $3,180, which is unlikely at this point.
🎯 Trading Strategy & Considerations
📌 Short Position Setup (High Probability Trade)
• Entry: Wait for a retest of $3,100 - $3,120 as resistance.
• Stop-loss: Above $3,150 - $3,180 (above 20 EMA & trendline).
• Targets:
• First TP: $3,020
• Second TP: $3,000
• Third TP: $2,950
📌 Long Setup (Risky – Only if a Strong Bounce Occurs)
• Entry: If price holds the lower trendline and reclaims $3,100.
• Stop-loss: Below $2,980
• Targets:
• First TP: $3,120
• Second TP: $3,150
📌 Final Takeaway:
✅ ETH/USD is in a strong downtrend, with a key test at $3,000 - $3,020.
✅ A break below this level could trigger a deeper selloff.
✅ Short trades remain the best risk-reward setup unless price reclaims $3,100.
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) at Critical Support – Breakout or Breakdown?📉 Ethereum (ETH/USDT) 4H Chart Analysis
🔴 Current Price: $3,220.06 (-0.95%)
📊 Indicators & Patterns:
Downtrend Resistance: A descending trendline is acting as resistance.
Support Zone: The red highlighted area (~$3,220) is a key support level.
200 EMA: At $3,320, acting as resistance.
🔮 Possible Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Case 🚀: If ETH holds the support and breaks the descending trendline ($3,320), it could test higher levels around $3,400 - $3,500.
2️⃣ Bearish Case 📉: A breakdown below the support ($3,220) could trigger a fall towards $3,100 or even $3,000.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $3,320 (EMA 200), $3,400 (Trendline)
Support: $3,220 (Zone), $3,100 (Next Major Support)
⏳ Conclusion
ETH is at a critical decision point. A bounce could lead to a breakout, but failure to hold could trigger more downside. Watch for a reaction around $3,220! 🚦
Eth to $2900???...Starting nowI just recently opened a short on Eth.
Am anticipating that the market will continue to fall a bit lower and that things could get messy given we lose the $3050 area.
So...this could be bloody sunday. Or maybe big pump. For now though am more in favor of shorts.
Given we fall to $3000 I'll be looking to potentially close out $3000
If momentum is strong then want to right it all the way to $2920 to close out 80%
Then another 10% at $2900
Then its whatever, might full close there or watch to see if it falls lower
eth longGot into such position as I have seen this picture many times on ethereum already which looks nice to me
I am quite sure we are at the lows and the risk reward for such position is teasing
We have retested the imbalance on day chart after the FOMC meeting without any significant downside breakout, so lets see where it leads us
Updated ETH/USD Analysis – Bearish Momentum Confirmed ETH/USD is still in a strong downtrend, with price action respecting the descending channel and making lower highs and lower lows.
📉 Key Observations (Bearish Bias Strengthened):
1. Rejection at $3,170 - $3,180 (Channel Resistance)
• Price failed to break the upper trendline and got strongly rejected.
• This confirms that the descending channel is still intact.
2. Break Below $3,100 (Critical Support Level)
• ETH/USD broke below $3,100, a key psychological and technical level.
• A retest of $3,100 as new resistance would confirm further downside.
3. Trading Below the 20-Period EMA (Bearish Confirmation)
• The price is consistently staying below the 20 EMA, reinforcing bearish control.
• The EMA is now acting as resistance (~$3,130 - $3,140).
4. Volume Increase on the Decline
• Growing selling pressure confirms that bears remain in control.
• If volume continues to rise, ETH/USD could see faster declines.
🔻 Bearish Scenario (More Likely)
• ETH/USD remains below the 20 EMA and $3,100 = bearish continuation likely.
• Next downside targets:
• $3,050 - $3,030 (short-term support)
• $3,000 - $2,980 (lower trendline of the descending channel)
• Below $2,980 = possible sharper decline
🟡 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely)
• A bounce at $3,100 - $3,020 could cause a temporary move up.
• Key resistance levels:
• $3,130 - $3,140 (20 EMA)
• $3,170 - $3,180 (descending channel resistance)
🔹 For a bullish reversal, ETH must break and hold above $3,180—which seems unlikely now.
🎯 Trading Strategy & Considerations
📌 Short Position Setup (High Probability Trade)
• Entry: Look for a retest of $3,100 - $3,120 as resistance.
• Stop-loss: Above $3,150 - $3,180 (above 20 EMA & trendline).
• Targets:
• First TP: $3,050
• Second TP: $3,000
• Third TP: $2,950
📌 Long Setup (Low Probability Trade)
• Entry: Only consider if ETH/USD breaks and holds above $3,180.
• Stop-loss: Below $3,100
• Targets:
• First TP: $3,200
• Second TP: $3,250
📌 Final Takeaway:
✅ ETH/USD remains in a strong downtrend.
✅ Break of $3,100 confirms further downside risk.
✅ Short trades have better risk-reward setups than longs.
ETHUSDT 3500$ resistance zone is ready to block and dump itAs we can see price is currently started first moves of fall and correction and i think we can expect more fall and dump at least to the targets like 3000$ and 2500$.
also as i mentioned in the Topic major resistance zone now is 3500$ resistance which is also 0.5% Fibonacci resistance level too and i am looking for a dump now or after testing this resistance zone.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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Maybe sooner than later... :((If you look at the broader market, ETH isn’t exactly the market’s darling right now—one of the least favorable assets. That makes it risky, but sometimes, risk is worth it.
Solana, on the other hand, is shining bright, with rising temperatures and the market approaching a key level here.
But if you want me to be real—if BTC takes a shit, we can all pack it up, rest in peace, and wait for the next opportunity to roll around.
Fingers crossed, my friends, and good luck out there! 🚀
ETHEREUM ANALYSIS
ETH/USDT Weekly Chart Breakdown
1. Overview of the Chart
The chart is a weekly timeframe for ETH/USDT on Binance.
Various technical indicators and tools are used, including:
Elliott Wave Analysis (Labelled waves 1 to 5, and corrective waves a, b, c).
Support and Resistance Zones.
Fibonacci Levels & Supply/Demand Zones.
Trendlines & Chart Patterns (e.g., Rising Wedge).
Stochastic RSI and Momentum Indicators.
Buy and Sell Signals based on multiple confluences.
2. Key Levels & Market Structure
Support Zones (Buying Areas)
Discount Zone (~$500 - $1200): The blue shaded area represents a significant support region.
Strong Low (~$86 - $121): Marked as a potential extreme bearish target, but unlikely unless a black swan event occurs.
Equilibrium Zone (~$2000 - $2500): A fair value level where ETH could stabilize before resuming upward.
Resistance Zones (Selling Areas)
Premium Supply (~$4500 - $5200): Marked as a major selling area.
Rising Wedge Breakdown (~$3500 - $4000): ETH has already broken down from this structure.
Previous High (~$4800): Strong resistance, as price previously failed to hold.
3. Market Trend & Patterns
Elliott Wave Perspective: ETH completed a 5-wave impulsive cycle, followed by a corrective (A)-(B)-(C) pattern.
Rising Wedge Breakdown: Suggests a bearish continuation unless ETH finds strong demand at key support.
Bearish Divergence in RSI: Indicates weakness in the trend.
Fibonacci Discount Zone: ETH could retrace towards $1200 - $1500, aligning with previous cycle lows.
4. Best Buying & Selling Zones
Buying Zones (Long Entry)
$1500 - $2000: A strong accumulation zone. Price could retest before resuming an uptrend.
$1000 - $1200: If ETH dips further, this becomes a high-value buy area.
DCA Strategy: Buy in increments rather than one large position.
Selling Zones (Short/Mid-Term Exits)
$3500 - $4000: If ETH rebounds, this zone is ideal for partial profit-taking.
$4500 - $5000: A major resistance; strong selling pressure expected.
5. Risk Management Strategy
Position Sizing: Never risk more than 2-5% of your total capital per trade.
Stop Loss Placement:
If buying at $2000, place SL at $1750.
If buying at $1500, SL at $1200.
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3000
TP2: $3500
TP3: $4500
Hedging Strategy: If holding ETH, consider using futures shorts or stablecoins to mitigate risks.
Long-Term Selling Strategy
📌 Short-Term Take Profit (TP) Targets:
$3000 - $3500 → First take-profit level in case of a relief rally.
$4500 - $5000 → Strong historical resistance, ideal for partial profit-taking.
📌 Long-Term TP Targets (2025-2026 Bull Run)
$6000 - $7500 → Based on Fibonacci Extensions.
$10,000+ → Psychological level; possible cycle top.
Fibonacci-Based Price Projections
Fibonacci extensions are widely used in technical analysis to project price targets after major market corrections.
Using Fibonacci extensions based on ETH's previous cycle:
Fibonacci Level Projected Price Target
1.618 Fib $6500 - $7500
2.0 Fib $9500 - $11,000
2.618 Fib $13,500 - $15,000
3.618 Fib (Extreme Bull Case) $18,000 - $22,000
The most reasonable long-term target is $6500 - $7500 based on 1.618 Fib.
A stronger bull market extension could push ETH to $9500 - $11,000.
If ETH follows an extreme parabolic move like 2017, $15,000+ is possible.
Institutional Adoption & Fundamental Growth
Ethereum’s value is not just speculation—it's supported by fundamental growth: ✅ Ethereum ETFs Coming → Potential spot ETF approval could drive institutional demand.
✅ Layer 2 Scaling (Arbitrum, Optimism, zkSync) → More transactions = Higher network value.
✅ Deflationary ETH (EIP-1559) → ETH supply is decreasing over time.
✅ Staking Yield (ETH 2.0) → Staked ETH reduces market supply, increasing scarcity.
Conservative vs. Aggressive Scenarios for 2025-2026
Scenario ETH Target Price
Bearish (low demand) $4500 - $6000
Moderate (standard cycle) $7500 - $10,000
Bullish (strong adoption) $12,000 - $15,000
Extreme (Supercycle) $18,000 - $22,000
Final Thoughts & Conclusion
🚀 Most Probable Target: $7500 - $10,000 in 2025-2026.
🔥 Extreme Bull Case: $15,000+ possible, but not guaranteed.
Mr.Million | Why ETH Doesn’t Look Good Near-Term From a purely technical standpoint, I do not see a reason for upside in the near future.
Negative sentiment around ETH is also growing:
ETH is relatively slow 🐌and its fees remain high. A new version (ETH 2.0) may take a while to drop.
SOL-based projects gaining momentum. 🚀
Let’s see if #VitalikButerin can reclaim ETH’s past glory and make ETH great again! 😉✨
ETHEREUMEthereum is currently forming a Falling Wedge, leaving room for the realization of the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IHS) pattern. At the moment, there is space for two more weekly candles within the Falling Wedge, with the potential for price to find support in the red box below. From that point, a bounce is expected, leading to a breakout from the wedge and confirming the IHS pattern.
If the price manages to break through the key $4,105 zone, the first rally is likely to reach the flag positioned in the psychological zone of Fib 0.618. Beyond that, it will depend on market conditions to determine whether we enter a new bullish season, which could push Ethereum toward new all-time highs (ATHs).