ETHUST trade ideas
ETH/USDT – Short-Term OpportunityETH/USDT – Short-Term Opportunity
Ethereum is showing weakness below resistance, and sellers are stepping in.
Looking for a quick short play with a target at $2,598.
⚠️ Watching price action closely for confirmation — clean risk/reward.
📉 Follow for real-time setups, no noise — just sharp trades.
ETH Breakdown Retest in Progress — More Downside Ahead?🧱 Breakdown Retest Structure
The triangle/wedge was broken to the downside around May 28–30.
After the breakdown, price has rallied back and is now hovering around the lower boundary of the broken triangle—classic bearish retest behavior.
This structure often plays out as:
Breakdown → retest of support as resistance → continuation down.
🔴 Confluence for Bearish Outlook:
Lower Highs + Weak Momentum: Recent price spikes are showing rejection wicks near $2,700, indicating seller strength.
Volume Drop: Weak follow-through on the bounce suggests it's a corrective rally, not accumulation.
EMA Pressure: The price is struggling to hold above the 20 EMA, showing hesitation.
Bearish AB=CD Structure: The rally from the bottom might be forming a harmonic ABCD correction before the next leg down.
Major Resistance Zone ($2,720–$2,800) is being respected—multiple rejections are evident.
⚠️ Bearish price projections:
If ETH fails to reclaim $2,720–$2,750 and closes below $2,580 on the 4H chart, expect downside targets:
🎯 Target 1: $2,460 (recent support zone)
🎯 Target 2: $2,220 (origin of the last rally)
🛑 Invalidation: 4H close and hold above $2,800 would invalidate this bearish thesis.
🧠 Summary
You're spotting what looks like a bearish retest after a breakdown, which is a high-probability short setup in technical analysis. While bulls are attempting to push back, unless ETH breaks back into the triangle, the path of least resistance looks down.
📌 Conclusion: Wait for a 4H rejection near $2,700 with strong bearish candle for confirmation. Stop above $2,800. Profit targets: $2,460 and lower.
ETH/USDT – Bullish Reversal From Demand Zone | 1H SetupAfter a clean downtrend with lower highs and lower lows, ETH has just printed a clear local reversal from the previous demand zone around $2 480–$2 510 .
Price-action shows us a rounded bottom, that is holding above the 0.5 Fib from the previous pump.
We now see:
✅ Break of structure on the lower timeframes (check 15m)
✅ Price reclaiming 20/50 EMA with increasing volume
✅ Strong green engulfing candle, coming before momentum shift
✅ Stop hunter candle below support and quick recovery aka retest.
Trade Idea:
If ETH holds above $2510–$2520, we may see a strong move toward the next supply zone near $2750–$2780 .
Entry: $2520–$2530
Stop-loss: Below $2440 (or around $2400 for safer invalidation below Fib 0.5)
Targets:
• TP1: $2666
• TP2: $2720
• TP3: $2770
🟩 Watch for confirmation with a candle close above $2540 + volume spike.
🟥 Cancel if price loses $2480 local support zone.
BUY Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Breakout strategy Long term.Instrument: Ethereum / USDT
Timeframe: 1-Day (D1)
Trade Type: Trend Continuation (Conditional Long)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.74
Duration: 2–6 months
📉 Trade Parameters (If Triggered)
Entry (Pending Trigger): 2,802.49
Target: 4,012.97
Stop Loss: 2,106.45
Risk: ~24.84%
Reward: ~43.19%
📌 Trade Thesis
This trade will be valid if ETH/USDT reclaims and holds above the 2,800 zone, confirming a bullish breakout continuation.
Currently, ETH is trading below the entry trigger, but the broader market structure and momentum suggest a potential move toward retesting the key breakout zone.
🧱 Structural Context
High-Volume Resistance: The 2,600–2,800 area is a historically significant resistance block, previously acting as supply during multiple failed attempts to break higher.
A clean break-and-hold above this region would confirm accumulation completion and mark a trend resumption.
📉 Momentum Signals
MACD: The MACD remains in bullish alignment, with positive histogram bars and a rising signal line. A renewed MACD surge on breakout would confirm trend continuation.
Stochastic RSI: Recently cooled from overbought and now resetting — this provides momentum room for a fresh leg upward if price breaks out.
🎯 Target Zone Rationale
4,000–4,100 is a macro swing high and psychological resistance area. It represents a natural magnet for bullish momentum once 2,800 is cleared and confirmed.
🧠 Strategy Notes
This is a conditional trade setup — do not enter unless price breaks and holds above 2,800 with supporting volume. The trade structure offers a healthy R:R of 1.74, but the wide stop reflects daily volatility and must be sized accordingly.
Keep watch for:
Bitcoin and NASDAQ correlation
Macro catalysts (e.g., inflation data, ETH ETF news)
Breakout confirmation via candle close above 2,800 on solid volume
They bought the dip. I anticipated the shift.This ETH setup didn’t require hopium — just structure, volume, and timing.
The chart respected every level I mapped days ago. And now? Price is setting the table again.
We swept liquidity below 2488.11 — textbook turtle soup into a bullish STB on the 1H.
Then price ripped clean into the 4H OB and tapped 2649.12 — the fib extension target. That’s not retail momentum. That’s interbank delivery at work.
Now we’re pulling back. And here’s where it gets clear:
The 0.5–0.618 zone sits between 2586.56–2571.80
It overlaps with the 1H STB zone — a demand pocket from the origin of the expansion
If price consolidates above 2550.78 (the 0.786) and flips 2564.83 again, I expect continuation back toward 2618.32 and 2648.46
If we sweep 2524.01 without reaction — then it’s a deeper rotation
This isn’t a “buy support” setup. This is a model-driven continuation based on structure and internal range logic.
Entry bias is valid above 2580. Below 2524 — it’s invalidated.
I don’t guess entries. I forecast structure.
More models and trades? Check the profile description. Precision lives there.
ETH/USDT – Short-Term SetupETH/USDT – Short-Term Setup
Ethereum is showing signs of weakness after hitting resistance.
If this structure holds, a short position targeting $2,602 looks promising in the short term.
🎯 Waiting for confirmation? Watch the 15–30min chart closely.
📉 Quick moves. Clean risk. Let’s trade smart.
ETH is still bearish (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Ethereum has now reached a support zone after sweeping the liquidity pool and the supply area at the top of the chart, as marked in the previous analysis. It has lost the trendline, and a slight upward recovery is expected before potentially being rejected again toward lower levels.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Price doesn’t chase liquidity. It engineers it.ETH is mid-delivery — not in trend, not in reversal — but in execution. This is where most get faked out. I’m just reading the structure.
Here’s the play:
We’ve tapped into the FVG 4H, reacting from an inefficiency left by the last aggressive selloff
Above that, the BPR 4H marks a supply zone engineered for reaction, not breakout — that’s where early longs will get tested
Fib levels are clean: price is hovering around 0.5 (2,623.76), with clear tolerance for a dip into the 0.618–0.786 (2,584–2,528)
Two paths from here:
A clean push into 2,662.89 → 2,711.32, possibly even sweeping into 2,789.59, followed by rejection from premium imbalance
A deeper pull into OB 4H at 2,457.92 before any real mark-up begins
Execution mindset:
Intraday longs are valid as long as we hold above the 4H OB
HTF liquidity targets sit above 2,660 — but the smarter entries were already taken lower
If we reject the BPR without breaking 2,662, I expect a controlled drop back into discount
This isn’t a breakout. It’s a rebalancing. You don’t follow price. You align with its logic.
For more setups with structure, not noise — check the account description.
HolderStat┆ETHUSD road to the sell zoneCRYPTOCAP:ETH price ascends inside a neat channel after a trio of consolidations. The chart’s marked sell zone near 3 100 USDT aligns with upper resistance, yet current higher-low structure, breakout arrows and supportive trendline suggest bulls intend to test that ceiling soon.
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Technical Analysis | Breaking the Trend📈 Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Technical Analysis | Breaking the Trend – What's Next?
As shown in the chart, Ethereum has broken out of the descending trendline and is now moving upward with strength. However, price is currently facing a key resistance at $2,647, which has acted as a supply zone in previous sessions.
🟢 Bullish Scenario: Break and Rally
If ETH can successfully break above the $2,647 resistance, the next upside targets are:
$2,680 – mid-level resistance with past reactions
$2,720 – a strong psychological and technical resistance
A clean breakout above these levels could confirm a bullish continuation and bring more momentum to the market.
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Rejection and Pullback
If the price fails to break this resistance and shows signs of bearish rejection, we may see a short-term correction. Key support levels to watch:
$2,620 – minor support
$2,609 – key intraday support
$2,572 – a stronger demand zone if the correction deepens
📌 Conclusion
Ethereum is at a critical decision point. A breakout can fuel bullish momentum, while a rejection may trigger a pullback. Watch for candlestick confirmations and volume surges for better trade entries.
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ETH Price Action Explained – What the Charts Are Really Saying?🔍 Taking a look at Ethereum ETH right now across multiple timeframes…
On the lower timeframes ⏱️, we’re seeing a bullish break 💥 that might spark some enthusiasm 🚀, but when you zoom out and get that macro perspective 🌐, my outlook shifts from to one of caution ⚠️.
📊 ETH is currently trading into a key resistance level 🧱, and if we step back and view the bigger picture, we can clearly see that it’s been range-bound 🔁 for quite some time.
On the lower timeframes, there might be an opportunity to squeeze a bit out of the range 🎯 by trading between the highs and lows—but keep in mind, this approach is not for the feint hearted ⚡.
📹 This video is purely analysis 🧠, not a trade idea. I’m sharing my thoughts and market view 📈, and I hope you find it helpful and insightful 💡.
🚫 Not financial advice.
ETH – Watching the $2,900 Trigger for ATHsJust need BINANCE:ETHUSDT to break above $2,900 for the next trigger.
Feeling confident it will chew through the current supply zone.
Plenty of other coins are already showing clear direction, and Ethereum should follow.
Be patient—I doubt ETH will challenge the #1 spot, but a move above $2,900 opens the door to a potential new ATH.
Bitcoin Or Gold? Real Safe Haven In Middle East tension When the world shakes, where does money go— Bitcoin or gold ?
You may think crypto is the ultimate safe haven… but data tells a different story.
This breakdown compares digital dreams vs. physical trust —with charts, tools, and the psychology behind every move.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
Contrary to common expectations, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience amid recent geopolitical tensions, refraining from a sharp sell-off.
This price behavior signals a potential shift in market psychology—something I’ll explore further in an upcoming educational post.
Based on my previous analyses, I continue to anticipate an upward breakout above the $110K resistance zone in the current structure.
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
📌 Gold: The Legacy of Trust
For thousands of years, gold has been the go-to safe asset. In wars, inflation, sanctions, and crashes—it remains the mental anchor of value. Tangible, historic, and out of government control.
🪙 Bitcoin: Revolutionary but Unstable
Bitcoin promises freedom, decentralization, and anti-inflation. But during actual crises, trust wavers. High volatility, regulatory risk, and lack of a long history make investors hesitate when fear hits hard.
🛠️ TradingView Tools That Reveal Where Smart Money Flows
One reason TradingView stands out is its wide set of tools that help you track market psychology—not just price action. When it comes to analyzing the Bitcoin-vs-Gold battle during global crises (like the Iran-Israel war), these tools are essential:
Correlation Coefficient: This shows how closely BTC and gold move together. In panic moments, it helps reveal where the real trust is flowing.
On-Balance Volume (OBV): Key for spotting where big money is headed. If OBV on gold rises while BTC’s falls, smart money isn’t betting on crypto just yet.
Fear & Greed Index Logic (DIY): While not a native TradingView tool, you can mimic it by combining volatility and volume indicators to reflect market emotion.
Overlay XAUUSD and BTCUSD: Place both on a single chart with “percentage scale” enabled. You’ll see exactly which one holds up better during chaos.
Marking Geo-Political Events: Tag key events (like missile strikes or sanctions) on your charts. Track how Bitcoin and gold react immediately after.
📊 How Investors React in Crisis
During events like an Iran-Israel war, data shows money often flows into gold—not BTC. When panic peaks, people run toward the “known,” not the “new.”
🧠 The Illusion of Crypto as Safe Haven
We want to believe BTC is the new gold. But the human mind—under threat—defaults to ancient instincts. Fear doesn’t innovate. It runs to what it knows: shiny, physical, historical gold.
💡 When Will Bitcoin Truly Compete?
When the next generation fully embraces digital assets. When institutions store BTC alongside gold. When BTC no longer crashes on scary headlines—that’s when the shift becomes real.
⚠️ Lessons from War
Wars reveal that markets don’t behave rationally in fear. Even if Bitcoin makes sense on paper, emotion drives flows. Right now, that flow still favors gold.
🔍 What to Watch Next
If, during a future conflict, Bitcoin drops less—or even rises while gold does—you may be witnessing a turning point. Until then, keep tracking both with your TradingView setups.
🧭 Final Takeaway
Gold still owns the trust game in a crisis. Bitcoin is on its way but hasn’t crossed that psychological line. If you’re a smart trader, know how to read both—and move before the herd does.
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Ethereum Wave Analysis – 16 June 2025
- Ethereum moving inside sideways price range
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 2754.00
Ethereum cryptocurrency recently reversed up from the support zone between the support level 2435,00 (lower border of the active narrow sideways price range from May), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from May.
The upward reversal from this support zone continues the active minor impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from last month.
Ethereum can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 2754.00 (upper border of the active sideways price range).
ETH Eyes Key Resistance — Bullish Structure Holds!🎯 Trading Plan:
Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation):
Buy or hold as long as price holds above VWAP
Target move toward $3,000 –$3,430 (resistance zone)
If breakout above $3,430 — watch for acceleration
Scenario 2 (Rejection at Resistance):
Wait for confirmation of rejection (e.g., weekly SFP or bearish engulfing) in $3,000 –$3,430 zone
Consider short/hedge if rejection is confirmed, targeting a move back toward $2,600–$2,222
Invalidation:
Structure turns bearish only if price closes below $2,222
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Uptrend intact as long as price is above VWAP
Confirmation required for shorts: look for SFP or clear reversal pattern at resistance
📝 Order Placement & Management:
🔼 Buy/Hold: While price is above $2,222
🛡️ Stop: Close below $2,222 (monthly close)
🎯 Targets: $3,150 → $3,430
🔻 Short/Hedge (optional): On confirmed weekly rejection at resistance
🎯 Short Target: $2,600–$2,222
🚨 Risk Warning:
Main structure is bullish; any shorts are strictly countertrend and require strong confirmation
ETH is holding the midrange supportETH tagged 50% of the down candle that took out local lows — textbook support zone for new longs.
Main risk: stops under $2,300 probably get swept before real reversal — watch for fakeout.
Holding above $2,400 keeps the bullish thesis alive, next target $2,780–2,800.
As always — manage risk, don’t get caught on the wrong side of a sweep.
Long trade
15min ~ TF
🟢 ETHUSDT – Buyside Trade
Date: Saturday, 14th June 2025
Session: Asia Session AM
Time: 8:30 AM
Entry Timeframe: Intraday (short-term confirmation)
Trade Parameters
Entry: 2518.88
Take Profit: 2554.89 (+1.43%)
Stop Loss: 2515.56 (−0.13%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 10.85
🧠 Trade Reasoning
This entry was taken after ETHUSDT displayed strong bullish intent early in the Asia session, with price forming a liquidity sweep below local lows, quickly followed by a reversal candle and bullish order block on the lower timeframes.
Testing system on ETHlooked at 17 trades . 5 wins= 29.41% ,8 losses= 47.06%, 4 breakevens= 23.53%. average losing trade is 1% of account size and the average win is 5.14 times the risk==> 1:5.14 r:r .so every trade trade has a >50% chance of not losing and when it goes right it will hit hard, with the average winner is 5 times bigger than the loser. this is the worst performing pair that i have tested on so my confidence is boosted because i know that my edge is working in any market and the worst performing one is still profitable