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EURAUD trade ideas

EURAUD FORMING INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERNEURAUD FORMING INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN AFTER A DOWNTREND. EURAUD was forming bearish trend structure in last few sessions. A breakout can be shown to the bearish trend structure. An Inverted Head and Shoulder given a breakout on higher side. Market is showing buyers strength by forming bullish candles. Market is expected to rise in upcoming sessions. Price may rise to the levels of 1.7860 and further in upcoming sessions. On lower side price may test the resistance level of 1.7460.
Long
by TraderAishDXB
EUR/AUD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT Hello, Friends! EUR/AUD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 3H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.756 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
EUR-AUD Short From Resistance! Sell! Hello,Traders! EUR-AUD made a retest Of the key horizontal Resistance level of 1.7640 From where we are already Seeing a bearish pullback so As we are locally bearish Biased and we will be Expecting a further Bearish move down Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
EUR/AUD 8H Analysis - Bullish Breakout Brewing📍 Structure Shift Price has broken out of a descending wedge, hinting at a bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend. This pattern often signals a liquidity sweep followed by a rally — which aligns with current market behavior. 📍 Key Confluences Bullish Liquidity Trendline respected with multiple touches and strong rejection candles. Medium Demand Zone has been tested and held, showing signs of institutional accumulation. 71% Fibonacci Retracement from the most recent leg has been tagged and respected — prime zone for reversals. Break above a medium resistance level now flipping into support. 📍 Volume Analysis Spike in buying volume near the 71% fib and demand zone – another tick for bullish strength. 📍 Buy-Side Liquidity Above Clean equal highs and unmitigated zones above. Market likely targeting these areas next. 📈 Bias: Strong Buy As long as price holds above the broken wedge and the bullish trendline, EUR/AUD has strong potential to rally toward the buy-side liquidity zone marked at the top. 🎯 Next Target: Liquidity sweep zone above highs Then into the upper supply zone for reaction or reversal
Long
by jamesibartram
Bullish bounce off pullback support?EUR/AUD has bounced off the pivot, which is a pullback support, and could rise to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.75099 1st Support: 1.73653 1st Resistance: 1.77533 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
EURAUD INTRADAY retest of resistance at 1.7645Trend: Bearish Current Move: Oversold bounce toward resistance Key Resistance: 1.7645 – Prior consolidation zone Key Supports: 1.7400 – Immediate support 1.7273 – Secondary support 1.7120 – Longer-term target Scenario 1 – Bearish Continuation: If price fails to break above 1.7645 and shows rejection (e.g. bearish candlestick pattern), expect a move lower toward 1.7400, and potentially 1.7273 and 1.7120 over time. Scenario 2 – Bullish Reversal: If price breaks and closes above 1.7645 on the daily chart, it would invalidate the bearish view and open up upside targets at 1.7770, 1.7885, and 1.8010. Conclusion: EURAUD remains bearish below 1.7645. A rejection at that level favors downside continuation. A daily close above 1.7645 would shift sentiment toward a bullish reversal. Monitor price action closely at this key level. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
#003 Investment Opportunity LONG EUR/AUD The EUR/AUD pair is showing an interesting technical-macro context that suggests a possible bullish development in the next sessions. The analysis conducted integrates multi-timeframe elements, advanced indicators, institutional positioning and macroeconomic context, concluding in a coherent view in favor of a long position. 🔍 Multi-timeframe technical analysis (8H, D, W) On 8H and daily timeframes, EUR/AUD has broken the descending bearish trendline and is building a new structure of higher lows above the long-term moving average. The weekly chart shows a consolidation above the static support of 1.7400, with candles that are starting to configure potential reversals. 📊 Main technical indicators WaveTrend and RSI are bullish but not overbought, offering room for further extensions. The Stochastic has just crossed upwards in the restart zone, confirming the market's intention to reverse the previous bearish push. 🌀 Harmonic patterns and cyclical We are in the initial phase of a new bullish cycle. The completion of a possible "inverse Gartley" pattern coincides with the currently tested technical support levels. The short-term cyclical shows a clear end of the previous bearish cycle. 🧱 Key supports and resistances The price has bounced strongly from the dynamic support represented by the 200-hour moving average and the static support in the 1.7420 area. The immediate target is the structural resistance at 1.7950, already tested in the past as a reaction point. 📈 Volumes and volume profile The volume profile highlights a strong accumulation in the area between 1.7450 and 1.7550. No excess visible in the distribution, which suggests a still “light” movement with potential for expansion. 🕯 Candlestick patterns and price action The last 8H candle is a bullish engulfing, closed above the moving average and with increasing volumes. The three previous candles show a compression and accumulation pattern. 🔗 Correlations and geometries The divergence with AUD/USD (which appears weak) and the inverse correlation with EUR/JPY in strengthening give further strength to the bullish picture. Historical fractals also show symmetries that have occurred in similar macro contexts. 📊 Pattern Statistics Similar patterns on EUR/AUD – post trendline breakout with bullish structure on 8H – have shown a positive outcome in 81% of cases on historical samples greater than 100. 📉 Retail Positioning Current sentiment shows retail heavily positioned short, creating a potential contrarian effect in favor of buyers. 🏦 Institutional Positioning (COT) COT data signals an increase in net long positions on the euro and a reduction on AUD, compatible with a directional reversal. 🧮 Fundamental Macroeconomic Analysis EUR supported by expectations of monetary stabilization by the ECB, without new imminent tightening. AUD penalized by weak exports and softer tones from the RBA. Macro differential slightly in favor of EUR. 📊 Intermarket Relative Strength EUR shows increasing strength against commodity currencies, including AUD. This reinforces the bullish thesis, also confirmed by the capital inflows on the euro. 📰 Real Sentiment and Newsflow The latest macro news and institutional reports confirm a cautious positioning on the AUD. No imminent driver justifies a structural strengthening of the Australian currency. 🌪 Implied and Historical Volatility Volatility is growing, but still within optimal historical ranges for sustained directional movements. The current ATR is above the average of the last 10 years, a favorable condition for breakouts. 📆 Macro Event Risk No disruptive event expected in the next 48 hours. The economic calendar is neutral and does not threaten the technical structure in formation. 📉 Minimum Volatility Threshold The current range and ATR exceed the minimum values ​​of statistical validity, ensuring that the movement is not a false compression breakout.
Long
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
EURAUD 3MONTHS CHARTEUR/AUD Bond Yield, Interest Rate Differential, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–30, 2025) Current 10-Year Bond Yields Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: 4.48% (as of May 19–21, 2025) , rising slightly due to RBA rate cuts and global uncertainty. Eurozone 10-Year Bond Yield: 3.17% (as of May 23, 2025) , reflecting moderate inflation and cautious ECB policy. Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between Australian and Eurozone 10-year bonds is:4.48(AUD−3.17(EUR)=+1.31% 4.48% (AUD)−3.17% (EUR)=+1.31% This differential favors the Australian dollar, creating a carry trade opportunity. Carry Trade Advantage Investors can borrow EUR at lower Eurozone rates and invest in higher-yielding AUD assets, earning the 1.31% yield spread as profit. The strategy is supported by Australia’s elevated bond yields despite recent RBA rate cuts, driven by global demand for commodity-linked currencies and resilient growth. Key Economic Data (May 25–30, 2025) Date Region Event Impact on Yields May 25 AUD RBA Meeting Minutes Neutral (rate cut already priced in) May 28 EUR Eurozone GDP Growth (Q1) Potential downside risk to EUR yields if growth disappoints May 29 AUD Australia Private Capital Expenditure Could support AUD yields if spending rises Summary Table Metric Australia (AUD) Eurozone (EUR) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.48% 3.17% Interest Rate Differential +1.31% (AUD over EUR) — Carry Trade Appeal Favorable for long AUD/EUR — Conclusion The 1.31% yield advantage for AUD over EUR supports a long AUD/EUR carry trade strategy. However, traders should monitor: RBA policy: Further rate cuts could narrow the yield spread. Eurozone growth data: Weak GDP figures may pressure EUR yields lower, widening the differential. Commodity prices: AUD remains sensitive to iron ore and coal price fluctuations. While the carry trade offers potential gains, volatility from macroeconomic data and shifts in risk sentiment could impact returns. #EURAUD #AUDEUR
by Shavyfxhub
EUR/AUD - Multi Time Frame Analysis 📆 Weekly Time Frame – Big Picture Bias: Bullish Price has just completed a textbook Wave (4) correction and is setting up for a Wave (5) extension. Pullback respected the long-term trendline and institutional demand zone. The 71% Fibonacci retracement held perfectly, showing deeper correction but still in trend structure. Expectation: Wave (5) toward 1.85 – 1.90, riding momentum from previous wave strength. 📉 Daily Time Frame – Setup in Motion Clean (1)-(2)-(3)-(4) structure with recent bounce initiating Wave (5). Volume builds on Wave (4) low — signs of accumulation. Price bounced off the cloud and 200 EMA, holding bullish structure. Last correction (Wave (4)) took the form of a bull flag / wedge, and has now broken to the upside. Targeting the upper channel zone and major resistance levels toward 1.87–1.88. ⏱ 4H Time Frame – Precision Entry Zone Current action shows price completing a minor abcde correction inside Wave (4). Bounce is happening off a 71% fib zone with volume starting to rise — classic entry trigger zone. Structure is forming higher lows, and price is reclaiming the cloud, signaling strength. You can see momentum shifting as buyers defend the 1.6280–1.6330 range. 📌 High Probability Trade Setup: Entry: 1.6300 – 1.6340 Stop Loss: 1.6150 (beneath Wave (4) low) Take Profit: 1.7500 – 1.7700 (Wave (5) extension) Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3+ ✅ Summary: Trend: Bullish continuation Wave Structure: Weekly Wave (5) just starting Entry Catalyst: 4H wedge breakout from Wave (4) Confluence: 71% Fib + Cloud + Trendline + Volume rise Conviction: 🔥🔥🔥 (Very High Probability) This is a multi-timeframe aligned swing opportunity — ideal for holding through to Wave (5) completion with precision risk control.
Long
by jamesibartram
EURAUD1. 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differentials Eurozone 10-Year Yield: ~3.2% (stable amid ECB’s cautious rate policy). Australia 10-Year Yield: ~4.1% (higher due to RBA’s inflation focus). Yield Spread: 4.1% (AUD)−3.2% (EUR)=+0.9% Australia’s yield advantage supports AUD through carry trades. Policy Rate Differential: ECB Rate: 3.75% (cut by 25bps in June 2025). RBA Rate: 4.35% (unchanged since late 2024). Spread: +0.6% favoring AUD. 2. Carry Trade and Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) Carry Trade Bias: Investors borrow EUR (lower rate) to invest in AUD (higher rate), supporting AUD demand. UIP Implications: According to UIP, AUD should depreciate to offset its yield advantage. However, persistent AUD strength (e.g., EUR/AUD near 1.75–1.77) suggests deviations due to risk appetite and commodity-driven AUD demand. 3. Upcoming Economic Data (June 1–5) Date Event Currency Impact June 2 Eurozone CPI (May) Higher inflation (>2.5%) could delay ECB cuts, boosting EUR. June 3 AU Retail Sales (Apr) Strong sales (>0.5% MoM) may lift AUD. June 4 Eurozone Unemployment Rate Rise above 6.5% pressures EUR. June 5 AU Trade Balance (Apr) Surplus (>A$10B) supports AUD via export optimism. Bearish Catalysts: Wider AU-EU yield spreads and RBA’s hawkish stance. Strong AU data (retail sales, trade balance). Bullish Catalysts: ECB inflation surprises or delayed rate cuts. Risk-off sentiment weakening AUD (commodity-linked). Summary Table Factor Eurozone (EUR) Australia (AUD) 10-Year Yield 3.2% 4.1% Policy Rate 3.75% 4.35% Yield Spread +0.9% (AUD over EUR) — Key Data CPI, Unemployment Retail Sales, Trade Balance Carry Trade Bias Neutral-to-Bearish for EUR Bullish for AUD #EURAUD
by Shavyfxhub
EURAUD - Technical analysisHello dear traders! Welcome to this trading idea... First, we have a few trading options here. 1. We can open short right now, with a small target profit at the previous resistance level... 2. Wait until the price tests our resistance level and sell or buy only after that. 3. Shorting position after the price comes down, an uprising diagonal (green) line, and will break down our marked red line price marking level. In this situation, what we are waiting for is a selling opportunity. SELL But... If the pair becomes bullish, we may go long later.
by Nika-Lekishvili