EURAUD trade ideas
EURAUD trade that went rogue -update on 1hr Here is an update on the EURAUD trade that went rogue on us (1hr timeframe).
Turns out it was a contracting correction. Contracting corrections are very hard to forecast cause we're always assuming the 3d leg of the correction is at least gonna as far as the first leg, especially when the bigger structure points in the same direction. The key factor here is looking at the macd: if it crosses back in the opposite direction the trade is invalidate and the chances of it being a contracting structure are extremely high or in any case too high to keep the trade open regardless.
Now, if we were wrong about the sell, we would be certainly right about buying this, but given our reduced loss (0.5%) and given the new risk to reward which isn't very convenient as the moment it breaks the top it can reverse, we're going to skip the buy and wait for the next sell.
2025/06/26 - EURAUD - TL break2025/06/26 - EURAUD - m30 trendline break
Daily Horizontal SR + H4 Dynamic SR + Trendline Break
EURAUDBUY EURAUD
sl 1.78497
tp 1.79396
20% risk
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#EURAUD: Two Major Buying Zones|, Which One Are You In? Hey Everyone
Following a substantial bullish candle, the price failed to maintain the bullish momentum and swiftly transitioned into a bearish position, effectively eradicating the bullish gain. Nevertheless, we remain optimistic that the price will retain its bullish trend in the upcoming weeks. We have identified two potential areas where price may reverse from either of the two zones. You are welcome to set take profit and stop loss orders based on your own investment strategy. It is advisable to closely monitor the prices before making any trading decisions.
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Euraud sell alert Trading the trend , saw my break of structure and went down to 5m tf for my confirmation so I met it I am in for a sell let's go
Call for a short at this strong lvl? Looks like this has meet a pretty strong resistance lvl. If this candle closes engulfing, the previous candle. I will mostly likely take a short to the next lvl. Probably at 3pm after the spreads tighten up. Let see what happens. You never know.
EURAUD BEARISHEURAUD
4Hr TF
1. We have a completed Wedge / Flag. Once a flag is completed, we should always expect a drop
2. Confluence, We also have 3 zones, which complement our setup, which we believe would push this pair down
3. SS+ FOZ, we also have a fake-out zone concept that might be at play on this pair and push it down.
#003 Investment Opportunity LONG EUR/AUD
The EUR/AUD pair is showing an interesting technical-macro context that suggests a possible bullish development in the next sessions. The analysis conducted integrates multi-timeframe elements, advanced indicators, institutional positioning and macroeconomic context, concluding in a coherent view in favor of a long position.
🔍 Multi-timeframe technical analysis (8H, D, W)
On 8H and daily timeframes, EUR/AUD has broken the descending bearish trendline and is building a new structure of higher lows above the long-term moving average. The weekly chart shows a consolidation above the static support of 1.7400, with candles that are starting to configure potential reversals.
📊 Main technical indicators
WaveTrend and RSI are bullish but not overbought, offering room for further extensions.
The Stochastic has just crossed upwards in the restart zone, confirming the market's intention to reverse the previous bearish push.
🌀 Harmonic patterns and cyclical
We are in the initial phase of a new bullish cycle. The completion of a possible "inverse Gartley" pattern coincides with the currently tested technical support levels. The short-term cyclical shows a clear end of the previous bearish cycle.
🧱 Key supports and resistances
The price has bounced strongly from the dynamic support represented by the 200-hour moving average and the static support in the 1.7420 area. The immediate target is the structural resistance at 1.7950, already tested in the past as a reaction point.
📈 Volumes and volume profile
The volume profile highlights a strong accumulation in the area between 1.7450 and 1.7550. No excess visible in the distribution, which suggests a still “light” movement with potential for expansion.
🕯 Candlestick patterns and price action
The last 8H candle is a bullish engulfing, closed above the moving average and with increasing volumes. The three previous candles show a compression and accumulation pattern.
🔗 Correlations and geometries
The divergence with AUD/USD (which appears weak) and the inverse correlation with EUR/JPY in strengthening give further strength to the bullish picture. Historical fractals also show symmetries that have occurred in similar macro contexts.
📊 Pattern Statistics
Similar patterns on EUR/AUD – post trendline breakout with bullish structure on 8H – have shown a positive outcome in 81% of cases on historical samples greater than 100.
📉 Retail Positioning
Current sentiment shows retail heavily positioned short, creating a potential contrarian effect in favor of buyers.
🏦 Institutional Positioning (COT)
COT data signals an increase in net long positions on the euro and a reduction on AUD, compatible with a directional reversal.
🧮 Fundamental Macroeconomic Analysis
EUR supported by expectations of monetary stabilization by the ECB, without new imminent tightening.
AUD penalized by weak exports and softer tones from the RBA.
Macro differential slightly in favor of EUR.
📊 Intermarket Relative Strength
EUR shows increasing strength against commodity currencies, including AUD. This reinforces the bullish thesis, also confirmed by the capital inflows on the euro.
📰 Real Sentiment and Newsflow
The latest macro news and institutional reports confirm a cautious positioning on the AUD. No imminent driver justifies a structural strengthening of the Australian currency.
🌪 Implied and Historical Volatility
Volatility is growing, but still within optimal historical ranges for sustained directional movements. The current ATR is above the average of the last 10 years, a favorable condition for breakouts.
📆 Macro Event Risk
No disruptive event expected in the next 48 hours. The economic calendar is neutral and does not threaten the technical structure in formation.
📉 Minimum Volatility Threshold
The current range and ATR exceed the minimum values of statistical validity, ensuring that the movement is not a false compression breakout.
EUR/AUD ShortEUR/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- 1H impulse down below area of interest.
- If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EURAUD Bullish TrendThe Weekly and Daily timeframe are bullish.
At 4Hr timeframe, the trend created a higher high and lower high and now heading to a new higher high.
The trend might retrace to the BOS 4H before going long.
Lets keep an eye on it.
Good Luck!
Bullish EURAUDI was already Buy Bias and Now it is playing out
support level
trend line break
HH formation
EURAUD in Trend ReversalAfter a reversal in the downtrend, I expect the pair to come down and collect the orders before resuming the uptrend.
Buy Limit
Entry Price 1.7700
Stop Loss 1.7642
TP 1.7884
Risk 1%
Lot Size 0.66
A BUY OPPORTUNITY Taking a long position on EURAUD,
Am hoping the pullback to foam the HL is created and entering this postion from the support down to the the new resistance HH
Looking to Buy for EURAUD for this week and next week price rejected daily resistance level and forming a bearing red candle.
The 4H changes structure to confirm the pull back. Since the daily is still bullish, we wait for the 4H time frame to change structure from bearish to bullish!
Price has broken 4H short term trend line, and created a higher high. I always enter at the breakout, but also enter more position if price pulls back lower.
I hope this helps
EURAUD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The price of EURAUD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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EURAUD 1H is forming a Harmonic Reversal pattern
Price formed ABCD Harmonic Reversal pattern with a neckline as current Temporary Resistance.
• ✅ Entry is triggered only after no new lower low is formed and higher high and higher low is printed.
• Instant Buy
• Stop Loss is at the recent lower Low (safe and logical placement). A bit lower than D Point
• 🎯 Take Profit levels are based on measured move projections.
Trade Plan:
• Instant Buy = 1.76767
• Stop Loss = 1.76106
• Take Profit 1: 1.77428
• Take Profit 2: 1.78057
• Lot size : 1:2 Risk Reward Ratio
EURAUD is forming a Harmonic Reversal pattern.
Key Highlights:
• ✅ Pattern: ABCD
•⚠️ Confirmation: on PRZ price bounced + Bullish candle
• 🔄 Risk Management: Tight SL, 2 TP levels
• 🧩 Confluence: ABCD + Price bounced on D point
POSSIBLE BUY OPPORTUNITY ON EURAUDPrice has made a strong push to the upside and is slowly returning to the base of that move. We identify a zone of demand at the origin of this strong move to again take a bounce in price!
2 trads on EURAUD 15m*The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
EURAUD breakout level retest at 1.7660Trend Overview:
EURAUD is currently exhibiting a bullish trend, with recent price action reflecting a retest of former resistance (now acting as support)—a classic bullish continuation pattern.
Key Support Level:
1.7660 – A pivotal zone representing the previous consolidation area. This level now serves as key support and a decision point for the next directional move.
Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias):
A corrective pullback to the 1.7660 area followed by a bullish bounce would signal trend continuation.
Upside targets are:
1.7800 – Near-term resistance.
1.7880 – Mid-term target aligned with prior highs.
1.7970 – Long-term resistance zone.
Bearish Scenario (Invalidation):
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.7660 would invalidate the current bullish bias.
This would open the door for further downside toward:
1.7610 – Initial retracement support.
1.7550 – Deeper pullback level within a broader range.
Conclusion:
EURAUD remains bullishly biased, supported by both structure and momentum. The 1.7660 level is crucial—holding this level would maintain the upside potential toward 1.7970. However, a decisive break below it would signal weakness and increase the likelihood of a deeper retracement.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURAUD - BearishEURAUD has formed head and shoulders pattern on 1H and currently trading near its neckline. Place sell stop on break of neckline with SL above right shoulder.
