Skeptic | EUR/CAD at Crossroads: 1.55849 vs. 1.53291Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic.
Today, we’re diving deep into EUR/CAD, analyzing key levels and potential triggers. 🔍
Market Structure & Current Outlook
Looking at the 4H time frame , we initially saw an accumulation phase from February 3rd to February 24th. After breaking out from the accumulation range, price rallied strongly, continuing the major uptrend until 1.58552 .
Following this peak, EUR/CAD entered a corrective phase, forming a secondary downtrend that retraced to the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
Now, the minor downtrend has broken , signaling a potential continuation of the major 4H uptrend. With strong confluence for a bullish move, we’ll be looking for a long setup, but we’ll also prepare for a potential short trigger in case price reverses. Remember, as traders, we analyze the market from both perspectives and execute based on confirmations—skeptical eyes always! 🔮👽
📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup):
🔹 Trigger: Break & close above 1.55849
🔹 Confirmation: 7 SMA below the breakout candle
RSI entering overbought zone
🔹 Invalidation: Rejection & close back below 1.54325
📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup):
🔹 Trigger: Drop below 1.53291
🔹 Confirmation: RSI entering oversold zone
⚠️ Key Notes & Risk Management
🔹 Fundamentals:
This Friday is NFP day, a crucial event that could create volatility in the market.
Always consider fundamental catalysts when executing trades.
🔹 Risk Management:
Avoid overleveraging.
Wait for confirmed breaks before entering positions.
Stick to your trading plan and stop-loss strategy.
Stay sharp, and I’ll see you in the next analysis! 🚀
