EURCHF LONG 500 PIPS TO BE CAUGHT Analyzing the EUR/CHF pair requires considering both fundamental and technical factors. Here's a breakdown based on available information:
Fundamental Factors:
Economic Data Releases:
Key data releases from both the Eurozone and Switzerland significantly impact the EUR/CHF. Pay attention to:
Eurozone: Industrial production, trade balance, and Eurogroup meetings.
Switzerland: Consumer climate data.
Stronger-than-expected Eurozone data can strengthen the EUR, while positive Swiss data strengthens the CHF.
Central Bank Policies:
The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) policies play a crucial role. Interest rate decisions, quantitative easing, and forward guidance influence currency valuations.
Any divergence in monetary policy between the ECB and SNB can create trading opportunities.
Risk Sentiment:
The Swiss Franc is often considered a "safe-haven" currency. During periods of global economic uncertainty or geopolitical tensions, investors tend to buy CHF, which can put downward pressure on EUR/CHF.
Conversely, during times of economic optimism, the Euro can strengthen.
Technical Factors:
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Identifying significant support and resistance levels is crucial for determining potential entry and exit points.
Technical analysis sites provide information on these levels, often using tools like Fibonacci retracements and moving averages.
Technical Indicators:
Indicators like Bollinger Bands, RSI, and MACD can provide insights into momentum and potential trend reversals.
Monitoring these indicators can help traders make informed decisions.
Trend Analysis:
Determining the overall trend of EUR/CHF is essential. Is it an up trend, down trend, or ranging? This will help you determine the best trading strategy.
What to Look Out For:
ECB and SNB Communications: Pay close attention to any statements from these central banks regarding their monetary policy outlook.
Economic Data Surprises: Unexpected economic data releases can trigger significant price movements.
Geopolitical Events: Global events can impact risk sentiment and influence the demand for safe-haven currencies like the CHF.
Volatility: EUR/CHF can experience periods of high volatility, so it's essential to manage risk appropriately.
EURCHF trade ideas
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EUR/CHF "Euro vs Swissy" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
💸💲🧠 Fundamental Analysis
Interest Rates: The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain a hawkish stance, which could lead to a stronger euro and support the EUR/CHF.
Inflation: Eurozone inflation is expected to rise, which could lead to higher interest rates and support the EUR/CHF.
GDP Growth: Eurozone GDP growth is expected to accelerate, which could lead to a stronger euro and support the EUR/CHF.
Trade Balance: The Eurozone's trade surplus is expected to widen, which could support the EUR/CHF.
💸💲🧠 Macroeconomic Analysis
Unemployment Rates: Eurozone unemployment is expected to decline, which could lead to higher consumer spending and support the EUR/CHF.
Consumer Confidence: Eurozone consumer confidence is expected to rise, which could lead to higher consumer spending and support the EUR/CHF.
Manufacturing PMI: Eurozone manufacturing PMI is expected to rise, which could lead to higher economic growth and support the EUR/CHF.
💸💲🧠 Global Market Analysis
Risk Appetite: Global risk appetite is expected to rise, which could lead to a stronger euro and support the EUR/CHF.
Commodity Prices: Commodity prices are expected to rise, which could lead to higher inflation and support the EUR/CHF.
Global Economic Growth: Global economic growth is expected to accelerate, which could lead to a stronger euro and support the EUR/CHF.
💸💲🧠 COT Data Analysis
Non-Commercial Traders: Non-commercial traders are net long the EUR/CHF, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Commercial Traders: Commercial traders are net short the EUR/CHF, but the position is decreasing, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
Open Interest: Open interest in the EUR/CHF is increasing, indicating a rising bullish sentiment.
💸💲🧠 Intermarket Analysis
EUR/USD Correlation: The EUR/CHF has a strong positive correlation with the EUR/USD, indicating that the EUR/CHF tends to move in the same direction as the EUR/USD.
CHF/JPY Correlation: The EUR/CHF has a moderate negative correlation with the CHF/JPY, indicating that the EUR/CHF tends to move in the opposite direction of the CHF/JPY.
💸💲🧠 Quantitative Analysis
Moving Averages: The EUR/CHF has broken above its 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI for the EUR/CHF has broken above 50, indicating a bullish momentum.
Bollinger Bands: The EUR/CHF has broken above the upper band of its Bollinger Bands, indicating a strong bullish momentum.
💸💲🧠 Market Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment Indicators: Sentiment indicators, such as the EUR/CHF sentiment index, are indicating a bullish sentiment.
Institutional Traders: Institutional traders, such as hedge funds and banks, are net long the EUR/CHF, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Retail Traders: Retail traders, such as individual investors, are also net long the EUR/CHF, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Positioning: Market participants are net long the EUR/CHF, indicating a bullish sentiment.
💸💲🧠Positioning and Trend Analysis
Short-Term Trend: The short-term trend for the EUR/CHF is bullish, with a potential target of 0.9800.
Medium-Term Trend: The medium-term trend for the EUR/CHF is bullish, with a potential target of 1.0000.
Long-Term Trend: The long-term trend for the EUR/CHF is bullish, with a potential target of 1.0500.
💸💲🧠 Overall Summary Outlook
Based on the analysis, the EUR/CHF is expected to trade with a bullish bias in the short, medium, and long term, with potential targets of 0.9800, 1.0000, and 1.0500 respectively.
💸💲🧠 Future Prediction
Based on the analysis, here are some potential future price levels for the EUR/CHF:
Bullish Targets:
Short-term: 0.9800
Medium-term: 1.0000
Long-term: 1.0500
Bearish Targets:
Short-term: 0.9400
Medium-term: 0.9200
Long-term: 0.9000
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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EUR-CHF Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CHF is retesting a
Horizontal support level
Of 0.9518 while trading
In an uptrend so we are
Bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a bullish
Rebound and a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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EURCHF FORECAST Q1 FY25Switzerland
M2 Money Supply: In December 2024, Switzerland's M2 money supply was reported at $1.071 trillion, a decrease from $1.080 trillion in November 2024. This decline indicates a contraction in the money supply, potentially leading to lower inflation or deflationary trends.
CEICDATA.COM
European Union
M3 Money Supply: The European Central Bank reported that the M3 money supply in the Euro Area grew by 2.5% year-over-year in December 2024, reaching €15.5 trillion. This moderate growth suggests controlled inflationary expectations.
Ranking Based on Current Trends
Switzerland: The contraction in M2 suggests a tightening monetary environment, potentially leading to stable or decreasing inflation.
European Union: Moderate growth in M3 indicates a balanced approach, maintaining controlled inflation levels.
If these trends persist, Switzerland may experience stable or reduced inflation, the European Union could maintain its current inflation levels
next post OANDA:USDCHF like comment follow fuiyooooh
POTENTIAL SHORT TRADE SET UP FOR EURCHFAnalysis: Utilizing chart patterns, highs & lows, and impulses & corrections, the focus is on identifying a continuation corrective structure following a breakout.
Entry: The price approached the previous swing high zone with an ascending structure on the higher time frame (HTF), then plummeted from the swing high area signaling a bearish shift, and formed another bearish continuation-like pattern on the LTF. We shall be looking for an entry with a small bearish continuation structure here targeting the base of the ascending structure
Expectation: A downward move is anticipated.
⚠️ Reminder: Conduct your own analysis and implement proper risk management, as forex trading carries no guarantees. This is a high-risk endeavor, and past performance does not predict future outcomes. Trade responsibly!
EURCHF: Rise After the News 🇪🇺🇨🇭
Looks like EURCHF may continue growing after the release of US news today.
A breakout of the resistance of the range on an hourly time frame
provides a strong technical confirmation.
Goal - 0.959
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EURCHF at Key Support: Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:EURCHF has reached a significant support zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if buyers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support zone, there is a high likelihood of an upward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 0.94320 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
EUR/CHF: Fourth-Wave Correction Completed, Watching for BreakoutFor the EUR/CHF pair, it appears that we have completed (or almost completed) the fourth-wave correction in the form of a Zigzag. Several factors support this assumption:
• The price bounced off the price channel, signaling a potential continuation of the trend.
• Wave 2 retraced to the 61.8% Fibonacci level, suggesting that Wave 4 was likely to correct to 38.2%, which is exactly what happened.
A breakout above Wave B of the Zigzag at 0.95985 would confirm the bullish scenario, making it a valid level to consider long positions.
EURCHF Complex Correction Pattern developmentEURCHF Complex Correction Pattern development
EURCHF is currently developing a complex correction, influenced by both technical and fundamental factors.
Technically, it appears that EURCHF has completed the C wave down of a larger pattern, with the price now rising to complete another D wave.
It remains uncertain whether the pair will move down again or if this could lead to an even larger bullish wave.
After any correction, EURCHF is expected to rise to 0.9470, and potentially up to 0.9500.
Be careful because EURCHF is a risky currency pair for the time being.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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EUR/CHF breaks outThe EUR/CHF looks quite interesting heading into the ECB rate decision.
On the back of news from Germany will unlock 500 billion euros for defense and infrastructure investments, we have seen European bond yields surge higher, with those on the benchmark 10-year German bund rising nearly sharply to 2.75%, the highest level since November 2023. The euro has rallied across the board, with the EUR/USD climbing to 1.0780. The single currency has also gained ground against most other major currencies, including the pound, franc and yen.
The euro has climbed on expectation that increased government expenditure could stoke inflation. This, in turn, may increase the case for European Central Bank to cut rates more gradually than previously expected.
But the ECB is unlikely to keep its policy unchanged at Thursday’s meeting, with almost all economists expecting the central bank to trim rates by a further 25 basis points. It is what Lagarde will say at the ECB press conference that will be important.
In light of the threats of tariffs, Lagarde may try to be a bit more cautious and that may hurt the euro slightly. But the dips may well be bought, leading to fresh gains for euro crosses.
The EUR/CHF has broken out today, taking out key resistance at 0.9500-0.9517 and moving decisively above its 200-day average. It may now ease a little from 0.9600 resistance, but the path of least resistance is to the upside. 0.9700 could be next target from here, and eventually a rise towards parity wouldn't surprise me.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
EURCHF at Key Resistance Zone - Potential Drop to 0.95000OANDA:EURCHF has reached a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections, suggesting strong selling interest. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers regain control.
If the price confirms resistance within this zone through bearish price action (e.g., wicks or rejection candles), we could see a move toward 0.95000, which represents a logical target based on recent structure.
However, if the price breaks and holds above this resistance area, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially opening the door for further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
EUR/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.942 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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BUY EURCHF - Weakness in the "Flight to Safety" currenciesTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 16 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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Bulls have won the war!!Using the drop-down method starting on the daily TF we had order flow and structure breaks higher with that been said our daily TF we are bullish and can start buying the dips.
4hour TF as shown on the chart above we can see price breaking structure/ or shifting structure high, the three horizontal lines(dotted) represent our OTE and as we can see the OTE and the FVG being around the same levels, gives us confluence to believe that FVG can hold.
Before entering wait for a clear structure break on the lower timeframes(1m,5m or 15m)